FinalWin Prob.pScore
2141%96
95
1859%99
108
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
94.1101108.2
CHI logo CHI
109.19992.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDCHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI95
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDShaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Gray 8' Jump Shot93
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDOwens Layup (2 PTS)93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27INDMISS Shaw. Williams Layup91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37CHIHinrich Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55INDShaw. Williams Layup (6 PTS)91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (38 PTS)89
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36INDMISS Graham Layup89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44INDPacers Rebound89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44INDMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55CHIHinrich Layup (36 PTS)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:12INDFoster Layup (12 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)89
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:28CHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Hinrich 10 AST)87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40CHINoah REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)87
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 3:41INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Jump Shot87
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 4:00CHIHinrich Driving Layup (34 PTS)87
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 4:10INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)87
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q4 - 4:18CHINoah Dunk (12 PTS)87
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 4:20CHINoah REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)87
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q4 - 4:22CHIMISS Griffin 11' Jump Shot87
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 4:41INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)87
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 4:55CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)85
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 5:08INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)85
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 5:08INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)84
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 5:19CHINocioni 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Hinrich 9 AST)83
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:32INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)83
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 6:05CHINoah Layup (10 PTS) (Hinrich 8 AST)83
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 6:10INDHinrich STEAL (2 STL)83
5.1%
91
94.9%
Q4 - 6:23CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)83
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 6:23CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)83
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q4 - 6:37INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (31 PTS)83
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 6:52INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 6:53CHIMISS Noah Layup80
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 7:05INDRush Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)80
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 7:11CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (30 PTS)80
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 7:28CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)80
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q4 - 7:29INDNocioni BLOCK (2 BLK)80
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 7:52CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 7 AST)80
10.8%
87
89.2%
Q4 - 8:07CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)80
14.9%
85
85.1%
Q4 - 8:08INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
16.0%
85
84.0%
Q4 - 8:20CHISefolosha Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)80
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 8:39INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)80
14.9%
85
85.1%
Q4 - 8:47CHINocioni Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Hinrich 6 AST)77
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q4 - 9:10INDFoster Foul Turnover (P3.T15)77
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 9:27CHIHinrich 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS)77
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 9:33CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
19.3%
81
80.7%
Q4 - 9:35INDMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
20.5%
81
79.5%
Q4 - 9:51INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 9:52CHIMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 10:03INDSefolosha STEAL (3 STL)77
20.1%
81
79.9%
Q4 - 10:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q4 - 10:08INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot77
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q4 - 10:29CHIGriffin 13' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)77
24.3%
81
75.7%
Q4 - 10:44INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
28.3%
79
71.7%
Q4 - 10:44INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
27.6%
79
72.4%
Q4 - 10:57INDPacers Rebound75
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q4 - 10:57INDNocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)75
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q4 - 11:03INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q4 - 11:04CHIMISS Nocioni 10' Jump Shot75
23.6%
79
76.4%
Q4 - 11:28INDShaw. Williams 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)75
20.8%
79
79.2%
Q4 - 11:38CHINoah Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)73
17.6%
79
82.4%
Q4 - 11:39CHINoah REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)73
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 11:40CHIMISS Nocioni 15' Jump Shot73
16.6%
79
83.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI73
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDShaw. Williams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)73
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q3 - 0:08.0CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
13.0%
79
87.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0CHIHinrich 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)71
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDDiener 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)71
15.4%
77
84.6%
Q3 - 1:07INDPacers Rebound68
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 1:08INDMISS Diener 21' Jump Shot68
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q3 - 1:22CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (24 PTS)68
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 1:36INDDiener 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
13.7%
75
86.3%
Q3 - 1:49CHINocioni 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)66
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q3 - 2:01CHINoah REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)66
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 2:02CHIMISS Sefolosha 23' Jump Shot66
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 2:22CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 2:24INDMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q3 - 2:30INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 2:31CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 2:31CHIMISS Noah Tip Shot66
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 2:33CHIMISS Wallace Layup66
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 2:55CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
16.7%
72
83.3%
Q3 - 2:56INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 266
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 2:56INDHarrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 3:10CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 3:10CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 3:24INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 3:24INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)64
19.7%
70
80.3%
Q3 - 3:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Granger Layup63
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 3:31INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
17.5%
70
82.5%
Q3 - 3:32CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 3:54INDDiener Layup (5 PTS)63
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 3:58CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)61
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 4:09INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:09INDHarrison Dunk (2 PTS)61
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 4:12INDMISS Rush Layup59
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 4:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 4:25CHIMISS Hinrich Layup59
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 4:30CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 4:31INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 4:43CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)59
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 4:49CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 4:51INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)59
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 5:11CHIHinrich 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)59
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 5:24CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q3 - 5:25INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q3 - 5:34INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
21.2%
65
78.8%
Q3 - 5:36CHIMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 5:57CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 5:58INDMISS Diener 17' Jump Shot59
19.2%
65
80.8%
Q3 - 6:10INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
21.6%
65
78.4%
Q3 - 6:12CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 259
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 6:12CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 259
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 6:22INDDunleavy 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)59
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 6:35CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 6:35CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
17.0%
64
83.0%
Q3 - 6:42CHIBULLS Rebound57
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 6:42INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 6:49INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 6:51CHIMISS Sefolosha Layup57
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 7:02INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 7:02INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 256
18.7%
63
81.3%
Q3 - 7:15CHINocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)56
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 7:20INDNocioni STEAL (1 STL)56
16.8%
63
83.2%
Q3 - 7:32CHIHinrich Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)56
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q3 - 7:53INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)56
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q3 - 8:12INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 8:14CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 254
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q3 - 8:14CHIWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 8:31INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Foster 3 AST)54
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 8:44INDPacers Rebound51
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 8:45CHIMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot51
14.7%
60
85.3%
Q3 - 8:53INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 8:53INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 8:58INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 8:59CHIMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot49
11.3%
60
88.7%
Q3 - 9:14CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 9:15INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot49
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 9:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 9:24CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 9:43INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)49
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 9:58CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 9:58CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 10:01CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 10:02INDMISS Rush Dunk49
14.7%
58
85.3%
Q3 - 10:17INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 10:18CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 249
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 10:18CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 10:31INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)49
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 10:43CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)46
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 10:43CHIBULLS Rebound46
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q3 - 10:43CHIMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot46
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 11:13INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)46
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q3 - 11:28INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 11:29CHIMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot43
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 11:32INDHinrich STEAL (1 STL)43
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q3 - 11:34INDPacers Rebound43
9.0%
57
91.0%
Q3 - 11:35INDMISS Foster 15' Jump Shot43
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND43
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0CHIMISS Noah 14' Jump Shot43
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0INDSefolosha STEAL (2 STL)43
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)43
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDMISS Harrison 15' Jump Shot43
8.9%
57
91.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)43
9.4%
57
90.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Sefolosha 22' Jump Shot43
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 243
8.7%
57
91.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
8.3%
57
91.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0CHIMISS Griffin 11' Jump Shot42
8.1%
57
91.9%
Q2 - 1:04INDFoster Layup (10 PTS)42
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q2 - 1:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)40
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 1:06INDMISS Dunleavy Layup40
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 1:23CHISmith Layup (6 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)40
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 1:38CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
8.1%
55
91.9%
Q2 - 1:39INDMISS Dunleavy Layup40
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 1:54INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 1:55CHIMISS Sefolosha 21' Jump Shot40
8.5%
55
91.5%
Q2 - 2:15CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q2 - 2:16INDMISS Rush 15' Jump Shot40
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q2 - 2:32CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
9.3%
55
90.7%
Q2 - 2:32CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q2 - 2:36CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 2:50CHISmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q2 - 3:10INDGranger Layup (15 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)40
11.1%
53
88.9%
Q2 - 3:15CHISefolosha Layup (12 PTS)38
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 3:27INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q2 - 3:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 3:33INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 3:47CHINocioni Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 4:01CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
11.6%
51
88.4%
Q2 - 4:02INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot38
12.0%
51
88.0%
Q2 - 4:22INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
12.8%
51
87.2%
Q2 - 4:24CHIMISS Griffin Free Throw 2 of 238
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 4:24CHIGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q2 - 4:37INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q2 - 4:37INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 4:38INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 4:39INDMISS Rush 23' Jump Shot36
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 4:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 4:51CHIMISS Hinrich Layup36
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 5:17INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)36
10.7%
50
89.3%
Q2 - 5:27CHIHinrich Layup (11 PTS)33
8.8%
50
91.2%
Q2 - 5:34CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 5:35INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot33
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 5:51INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 5:53CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 5:58CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 6:00INDThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)33
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q2 - 6:05CHISmith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)33
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 6:24INDRush 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)33
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 6:33CHIThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)31
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 7:00INDDiogu Layup (2 PTS)31
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 7:03INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 7:04INDMISS Granger 22' Jump Shot29
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 7:17CHIHinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)29
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 7:21INDGriffin STEAL (1 STL)29
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 7:25CHIThomas Layup (4 PTS)29
13.1%
43
86.9%
Q2 - 7:27CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 7:29CHIMISS Griffin Layup29
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 7:35CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 7:36INDMISS Tinsley Layup29
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 7:52CHINoah Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)29
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 8:06INDNoah STEAL (3 STL)29
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 8:25CHINocioni Layup (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)29
18.8%
39
81.2%
Q2 - 8:31CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 8:32INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 8:48CHINocioni Layup (9 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)29
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 8:58INDNoah STEAL (2 STL)29
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q2 - 9:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 9:10CHIMISS Griffin Layup29
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 9:24CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:25INDMISS Daniels Layup29
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 9:33INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 9:35CHIMISS Sefolosha Layup29
25.5%
35
74.5%
Q2 - 9:42INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)29
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 9:52CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 9:52CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 9:57INDDaniels Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)29
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 9:59CHISefolosha Reverse Slam Dunk (10 PTS)29
30.2%
33
69.8%
Q2 - 10:03INDSefolosha STEAL (1 STL)29
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 10:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 10:14CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 3 of 329
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 10:14CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)29
32.8%
31
67.2%
Q2 - 10:14CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)29
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q2 - 10:33INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q2 - 10:43INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q2 - 10:44CHIMISS Sefolosha 21' Jump Shot27
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 11:12INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)27
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 11:21CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 11:21CHINoah Layup (6 PTS)24
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 11:24CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q2 - 11:24CHIMISS Griffin Tip Shot24
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q2 - 11:25CHIMISS Griffin Layup24
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q2 - 11:42CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q2 - 11:43INDMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound24
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Diener 31' 3PT Jump Shot24
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.8%
27
68.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHIMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 124
31.6%
27
68.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0CHIGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDMISS Shaw. Williams 22' Jump Shot24
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q1 - 0:43.0CHINoah 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)24
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 1:03CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 1:04INDMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot24
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q1 - 1:10INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
36.2%
25
63.8%
Q1 - 1:11CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot24
35.7%
25
64.3%
Q1 - 1:31INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)24
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 1:41CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 1:55CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 1:56INDMISS Diener 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.9%
23
67.1%
Q1 - 2:15CHINocioni 19' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 2:28CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.6%
21
63.4%
Q1 - 2:29INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot21
37.2%
21
62.8%
Q1 - 2:49CHINoah Layup (4 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)21
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 3:04INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 3:04INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 3:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 3:05CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot19
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 3:27INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)19
36.3%
19
63.7%
Q1 - 3:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
32.4%
19
67.6%
Q1 - 3:39CHIMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 4:04INDGranger 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)16
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 4:12CHINoah 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 4:26INDNoah STEAL (1 STL)14
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 4:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 4:45CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 4:49CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 4:51CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 214
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 4:51CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
30.8%
17
69.2%
Q1 - 5:01INDRush Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)14
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 5:14CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)12
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 5:37INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)12
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 6:03CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 6:03CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:11CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 6:12INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 6:20INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:21CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot10
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 6:33CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 6:34INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.6%
11
65.4%
Q1 - 6:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:52CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 6:54CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 6:55CHIMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot10
35.3%
11
64.7%
Q1 - 7:10INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 7:10INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 7:19CHIWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)8
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 7:27CHIBULLS Rebound8
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 7:27CHIMISS Nocioni Layup8
35.3%
9
64.7%
Q1 - 7:32CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 7:33INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot8
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 7:42CHINocioni Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 7:48CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 7:52INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:05INDPacers Rebound8
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:05CHIMISS Smith 9' Jump Shot8
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:09CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 8:10CHIMISS Wallace Layup8
38.9%
7
61.1%
Q1 - 8:32INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)8
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 8:50CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)5
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 8:50CHIBULLS Rebound5
32.3%
7
67.7%
Q1 - 8:50CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
33.6%
7
66.4%
Q1 - 9:17INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:38CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)3
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 9:49INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 9:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.2%
5
70.8%
Q1 - 9:54CHIMISS Nocioni 19' Jump Shot0
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 10:09INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
27.4%
5
72.6%
Q1 - 10:19CHIHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)0
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 10:35CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:36INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:50CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:00CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:01INDMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:10CHISefolosha Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)0
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 11:19CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:21INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:39INDPacers Rebound0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:39CHIMISS Wallace 9' Hook Shot0
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. Foster: Tip to Nocioni0
35.6%
0
64.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 49.0%
CHI
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
12
25
48%
CHI
19
32
59%
Midrange
IND
11
28
39%
CHI
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
CHI
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
IND
22
25
88%
CHI
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3383%16.5 / 20
K. Rush1346%6.5 / 14
J. Foster1275%6.0 / 8
M. Dunleavy1031%5.0 / 16
T. Diener1050%5.0 / 10
S. Williams833%4.0 / 12
D. Harrison338%1.5 / 4
J. Tinsley225%1.0 / 4
I. Diogu2100%1.0 / 1
A. Owens2100%1.0 / 1
M. Daniels0-0.0 / 3
S. Graham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Hinrich3879%19.0 / 24
A. Nocioni2452%12.0 / 23
T. Sefolosha1441%7.0 / 17
J. Noah1470%7.0 / 10
J. Smith650%3.0 / 6
A. Griffin528%2.5 / 9
T. Thomas4100%2.0 / 2
B. Wallace325%1.5 / 6
A. Gray0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+14
-18
97
CHI
87
+13
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 49.0%
CHI
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
104.1
IND 94.1 +15.0
CHI 109.1
Pace
98.0
93.0
IND 108.2 +15.4
CHI 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.3
IND 13.3 +2.2
CHI 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
47.0%
IND 44.0%
CHI 51.2% +7.2%
TO %
15.0%
15.1%
IND 16.8%
CHI 12.6% +4.2%
ORB %
24.4%
28.9%
IND 19.1%
CHI 22.2% +3.1%
FTrt
29.2
29.6
IND 30.1
CHI 35.7 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
60.6%
IND 62.5% +15.0%
CHI 47.5%
STL %
7.7%
8.2%
IND 7.9%
CHI 10.1% +2.2%
BLK %
7.9%
8.5%
IND 4.4%
CHI 7.5% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.2%
IND 49.0%
CHI 52.9% +3.9%
Rim FG%
58.0%
53.0%
IND 48.0%
CHI 59.4% +11.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.0%
IND 39.3%
CHI 41.7% +2.4%
3P %
37.4%
36.3%
IND 30.0%
CHI 37.5% +7.5%
FT %
76.8%
75.6%
IND 88.0% +14.7%
CHI 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
32.5%
IND 30.1%
CHI 38.1% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
48.4%
IND 33.7% +9.1%
CHI 42.9%
3P Att. %
28.9%
19.0%
IND 36.1% +17.1%
CHI 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
Game TotalsINDCHI
Possessions10199
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points95108
Rebounds4448
Assists2019
Steals810
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)38 (1)
Field Goals32-8340-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2519-32
Midrange FG11-2815-36
2-Point FG23-5334-68
3-Point FG9-306-16
Free Throws22-2522-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
39.7
10
31%
6
3
2
0
4
0
1
5
6-8
75%
2-6
33%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 222 · 25
35.4
33
83%
7
4
2
1
2
3
1
6
7-7
100%
7-11
64%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
33.9
12
75%
11
3
1
0
4
5
4
7
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
33.4
13
46%
4
1
1
1
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-8
25%
3-6
50%
G · 6'3" 188 · 30
29.7
2
25%
3
6
0
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
18.3
10
50%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
14.1
8
33%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
13.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
9.6
3
38%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
6.8
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
1.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#3 · F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
44
20
8
3
18
0
9
35
22-25
88%
23-53
43%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.