FinalWin Prob.pScore
1357%96
97
2343%93
90
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
107.89087.8
MIA logo MIA
101.18991.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)95
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
98.8%
90
1.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 294
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Reverse Layup (42 PTS)94
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)94
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)93
98.9%
88
1.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)92
98.0%
88
2.0%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)92
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0CLEVarejao Tip Shot (6 PTS)92
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)90
98.0%
85
2.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot90
96.7%
85
3.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (37 PTS)90
96.9%
85
3.1%
Q4 - 1:15CLEIlgauskas Dunk (13 PTS) (Varejao 3 AST)90
97.9%
83
2.1%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)88
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)88
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 1:27MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 1:29CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot88
97.8%
81
2.2%
Q4 - 1:47CLECavaliers Rebound88
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 2:04CLEVarejao Foul Turnover (P4.T14)88
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 2:22MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (33 PTS)88
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot88
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem Layup88
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 2:39CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (11 PTS)88
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 2:40CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 2:42CLEMISS James 15' Jump Shot86
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q4 - 2:58CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)86
97.1%
79
2.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Cook 12' Jump Shot86
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 3:15CLEJames Foul Turnover (P5.T13)86
95.1%
79
4.9%
Q4 - 3:29CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot86
94.6%
79
5.4%
Q4 - 3:42CLEWilliams STEAL (2 STL)86
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q4 - 3:59CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
95.5%
79
4.5%
Q4 - 4:02CLEMISS James Driving Layup86
94.2%
79
5.8%
Q4 - 4:14CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
95.6%
79
4.4%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
95.0%
79
5.0%
Q4 - 4:41CLEGibson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)86
93.7%
79
6.3%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)84
91.3%
79
8.7%
Q4 - 5:20CLEVarejao Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 5:25MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)82
89.2%
77
10.8%
Q4 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
85.4%
77
14.6%
Q4 - 5:44CLEMISS Gibson 12' Jump Shot82
86.7%
77
13.3%
Q4 - 5:57CLECavaliers Rebound82
89.2%
77
10.8%
Q4 - 5:58CLEMISS James 18' Jump Shot82
86.7%
77
13.3%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS)82
87.7%
77
12.3%
Q4 - 6:29CLEJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)82
90.2%
75
9.8%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)79
84.1%
75
15.9%
Q4 - 7:11CLEJones Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)79
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q4 - 7:23CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
82.7%
73
17.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
81.3%
73
18.7%
Q4 - 7:39CLEJames Driving Finger Roll Layup (26 PTS)77
77.8%
73
22.2%
Q4 - 7:58CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
73.4%
73
26.6%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
71.5%
73
28.5%
Q4 - 8:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
66.3%
73
33.7%
Q4 - 8:12CLEMISS James 21' Jump Shot75
68.1%
73
31.9%
Q4 - 8:23CLECavaliers Rebound75
71.9%
73
28.1%
Q4 - 8:24CLEO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)75
68.1%
73
31.9%
Q4 - 8:38CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
71.9%
73
28.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 275
71.2%
73
28.8%
Q4 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)75
67.5%
73
32.5%
Q4 - 8:57CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
71.9%
72
28.1%
Q4 - 8:57CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 274
71.0%
72
29.0%
Q4 - 8:57CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
72.0%
72
28.0%
Q4 - 8:58CLEMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot74
68.2%
72
31.8%
Q4 - 9:06CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
71.5%
72
28.5%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
69.9%
72
30.1%
Q4 - 9:29CLEGibson Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)74
66.1%
72
33.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)72
60.7%
72
39.3%
Q4 - 10:05MIAHEAT Rebound72
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q4 - 10:06CLEMISS Varejao 3' Jump Shot72
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q4 - 10:07CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)72
60.5%
72
39.5%
Q4 - 10:10CLEMISS Varejao 9' Hook Shot72
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q4 - 10:25CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
60.5%
72
39.5%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot72
58.7%
72
41.3%
Q4 - 10:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
54.5%
72
45.5%
Q4 - 10:37CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Fadeaway Jumper72
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)72
59.8%
72
40.2%
Q4 - 11:24CLECook STEAL (1 STL)72
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q4 - 11:40CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
69.7%
70
30.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot72
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)72
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper72
66.3%
70
33.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0CLECavaliers Rebound72
69.4%
70
30.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0CLEMISS Varejao 16' Jump Shot72
66.3%
70
33.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)72
69.4%
70
30.6%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)72
73.6%
68
26.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0CLEMISS Gibson 9' Jump Shot72
74.8%
68
25.2%
Q3 - 1:13MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
76.8%
68
23.2%
Q3 - 1:38CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
80.1%
66
19.9%
Q3 - 1:38CLEMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 271
79.3%
66
20.7%
Q3 - 1:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
80.2%
66
19.8%
Q3 - 1:40CLEMISS Hughes 19' Jump Shot71
77.8%
66
22.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
80.2%
66
19.8%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
83.0%
64
17.0%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot71
84.9%
64
15.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
81.8%
64
18.2%
Q3 - 2:05CLEMISS James 3PT Jump Shot71
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q3 - 2:24CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)71
84.7%
64
15.3%
Q3 - 2:25CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q3 - 2:40MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
84.7%
64
15.3%
Q3 - 3:10CLEJames Layup (24 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)71
81.4%
64
18.6%
Q3 - 3:14MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
78.7%
64
21.3%
Q3 - 3:16MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot69
77.7%
64
22.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS Blount 7' Jump Shot69
77.7%
64
22.3%
Q3 - 3:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 3:39CLEMISS Gooden 4' Turnaround Jump Shot69
76.4%
64
23.6%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)69
78.7%
64
21.3%
Q3 - 4:05CLEJames 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)69
74.6%
64
25.4%
Q3 - 4:31MIAWade Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)67
71.8%
64
28.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
74.6%
62
25.4%
Q3 - 4:35CLEMISS Hughes 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.8%
62
24.2%
Q3 - 4:38CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
78.2%
62
21.8%
Q3 - 4:39CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)67
75.8%
62
24.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)67
78.2%
62
21.8%
Q3 - 5:10CLEIlgauskas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)67
80.1%
60
19.9%
Q3 - 5:10CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
82.8%
60
17.2%
Q3 - 5:11CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot67
81.0%
60
19.0%
Q3 - 5:19MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)67
82.8%
60
17.2%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound67
80.1%
60
19.9%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Bank Shot67
82.1%
60
17.9%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Rebound67
80.2%
60
19.8%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Shot67
82.1%
60
17.9%
Q3 - 5:50CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)67
80.2%
60
19.8%
Q3 - 5:50CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
79.5%
60
20.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)65
77.6%
60
22.4%
Q3 - 6:05CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)65
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 6:17CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
76.0%
60
24.0%
Q3 - 6:40CLEHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pavlovic 4 AST)65
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 6:51CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
67.4%
60
32.6%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup62
66.3%
60
33.7%
Q3 - 7:14CLEHughes Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)62
62.8%
60
37.2%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)62
66.9%
60
33.1%
Q3 - 7:46CLEJames 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
73.0%
57
27.0%
Q3 - 8:00CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot60
69.2%
57
30.8%
Q3 - 8:23CLEGooden Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Pavlovic 3 AST)60
66.5%
57
33.5%
Q3 - 8:49MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)58
63.5%
57
36.5%
Q3 - 8:58MIAHEAT Rebound58
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 8:58CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
67.7%
55
32.3%
Q3 - 9:20CLECavaliers Rebound58
69.8%
55
30.2%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Williams 13' Fadeaway Jumper58
68.8%
55
31.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIAHEAT Rebound58
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup58
68.8%
55
31.2%
Q3 - 9:44CLEJames Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Pavlovic 2 AST)58
66.5%
55
33.5%
Q3 - 9:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)56
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
69.5%
52
30.5%
Q3 - 10:04CLEMISS Pavlovic 21' Jump Shot56
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 10:14CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
72.8%
52
27.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot56
71.8%
52
28.2%
Q3 - 10:33CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
69.5%
52
30.5%
Q3 - 10:45CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot54
65.7%
52
34.3%
Q3 - 11:04CLEJames Driving Layup (14 PTS)54
63.6%
52
36.4%
Q3 - 11:19CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
60.5%
52
39.5%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q3 - 11:44CLEPavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)52
56.9%
52
43.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
50.2%
52
49.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T7)49
46.6%
52
53.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIABlount Dunk (8 PTS)49
50.2%
52
49.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
56.1%
50
43.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)49
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0CLEGooden Layup (8 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)49
60.9%
48
39.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)47
56.6%
48
43.4%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 1:28CLEMISS James Driving Finger Roll Layup47
61.7%
46
38.3%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)47
62.8%
46
37.2%
Q2 - 2:02CLEHughes 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)47
66.3%
44
33.7%
Q2 - 2:07CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
63.3%
44
36.7%
Q2 - 2:08MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
62.5%
44
37.5%
Q2 - 2:23CLEPavlovic 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
60.6%
44
39.4%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 3:01CLEPavlovic Driving Layup (3 PTS)43
60.4%
42
39.6%
Q2 - 3:14CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot41
56.8%
42
43.2%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 3:31CLEMISS Gooden 14' Jump Shot41
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 3:48CLECavaliers Rebound41
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot41
56.8%
42
43.2%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Varejao: Tip to Haslem41
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 3:59CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 4:01CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 2 of 241
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q2 - 4:01CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 4:05CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
55.0%
42
45.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup40
54.1%
42
45.9%
Q2 - 4:35CLEJames Driving Layup (12 PTS)40
52.1%
42
47.9%
Q2 - 4:42CLEJames Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)38
49.2%
42
50.8%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)37
46.9%
42
53.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
49.5%
40
50.5%
Q2 - 5:15CLEMISS Brown 10' Fadeaway Jumper37
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 5:32MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)37
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 5:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
55.1%
38
44.9%
Q2 - 5:37CLEO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)37
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q2 - 5:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
58.1%
38
41.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 237
58.7%
37
41.3%
Q2 - 6:13CLEBrown Layup (6 PTS)37
57.9%
37
42.1%
Q2 - 6:20CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 6:21CLEMISS Hughes 14' Jump Shot35
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 6:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q2 - 6:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas 10' Jump Shot35
53.5%
37
46.5%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)35
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHEAT Rebound35
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
54.8%
37
45.2%
Q2 - 7:22CLEWilliams STEAL (1 STL)35
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 7:41CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 235
55.6%
37
44.4%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 235
53.6%
37
46.4%
Q2 - 7:42MIAHEAT Rebound35
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
55.1%
37
44.9%
Q2 - 7:47CLEDavis STEAL (1 STL)35
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q2 - 7:51CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 7:53CLEMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot35
54.0%
37
46.0%
Q2 - 8:07MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)35
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
58.1%
35
41.9%
Q2 - 8:18CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIACook 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
60.9%
35
39.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
63.1%
33
36.9%
Q2 - 8:50CLEMISS Varejao 14' Turnaround Jump Shot35
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q2 - 9:00CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
65.8%
33
34.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
64.8%
33
35.2%
Q2 - 9:19CLEBrown 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
63.0%
33
37.0%
Q2 - 9:36MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
60.9%
33
39.1%
Q2 - 9:53CLEJames Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)33
65.3%
30
34.7%
Q2 - 10:12MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS)31
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup31
66.8%
28
33.2%
Q2 - 10:28CLEJones 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 10:51MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T4)29
63.1%
28
36.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound29
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q2 - 11:03CLEMISS Varejao Driving Layup29
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 11:07CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot29
62.1%
28
37.9%
Q2 - 11:34CLEVarejao Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
60.5%
28
39.5%
Q2 - 11:36CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q2 - 11:39CLEMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot27
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 11:41CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q2 - 11:43CLEMISS James 20' Jump Shot27
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
55.8%
28
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
57.8%
28
42.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot27
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q1 - 0:41.0CLEBrown 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)27
56.0%
28
44.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIABlount Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)25
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q1 - 1:30CLEJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q1 - 1:43MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)22
50.9%
26
49.1%
Q1 - 1:53MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
53.8%
24
46.2%
Q1 - 1:55CLEMISS James Reverse Layup22
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)22
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q1 - 2:09CLEMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot22
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 2:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q1 - 2:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q1 - 2:32CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
58.5%
22
41.5%
Q1 - 3:00CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
60.7%
22
39.3%
Q1 - 3:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
62.6%
20
37.4%
Q1 - 3:23CLEMISS Gibson Driving Layup22
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q1 - 3:44CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot22
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 3:58CLEGooden 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)22
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 4:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q1 - 4:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 4:24MIAHEAT Rebound20
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot20
64.3%
18
35.7%
Q1 - 4:46CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)20
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 5:05MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 5:05MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
65.3%
17
34.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
66.5%
16
33.5%
Q1 - 5:10CLEMISS Pavlovic 14' Jump Shot20
67.1%
16
32.9%
Q1 - 5:25MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
68.5%
16
31.5%
Q1 - 5:31MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
70.2%
14
29.8%
Q1 - 5:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas Finger Roll Layup20
70.8%
14
29.2%
Q1 - 5:42CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
72.1%
14
27.9%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot20
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 6:04CLEJames Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
69.7%
14
30.3%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q1 - 6:26CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
69.7%
12
30.3%
Q1 - 6:26CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
69.5%
12
30.5%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 6:54CLEIlgauskas 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)16
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
67.8%
10
32.2%
Q1 - 7:31CLEIlgauskas Layup (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
70.8%
7
29.2%
Q1 - 7:40CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot12
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 7:59CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
67.6%
7
32.4%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
69.8%
7
30.2%
Q1 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
71.2%
5
28.8%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Haslem 10' Hook Shot12
72.4%
5
27.6%
Q1 - 8:39CLEGooden 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
71.1%
5
28.9%
Q1 - 8:50MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
69.7%
5
30.3%
Q1 - 8:57CLEHughes 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)10
67.9%
5
32.1%
Q1 - 9:08CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
65.8%
5
34.2%
Q1 - 9:25CLEIlgauskas 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)8
64.3%
5
35.7%
Q1 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 26
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 9:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot6
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 9:52CLEHughes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 9:58CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot4
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 10:08CLEMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot4
59.6%
4
40.4%
Q1 - 10:15CLECavaliers Rebound4
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 10:16CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot4
59.6%
4
40.4%
Q1 - 10:30MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 10:53CLEGooden Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:10CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot2
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 11:29CLEJames Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Williams0
59.2%
0
40.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
23
32
72%
MIA
18
29
62%
Midrange
CLE
13
42
31%
MIA
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
Free Throws
CLE
13
17
76%
MIA
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2850%14.0 / 28
Z. Ilgauskas1350%6.5 / 13
D. Gooden1169%5.5 / 8
S. Pavlovic1063%5.0 / 8
D. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
L. Hughes956%4.5 / 8
A. Varejao638%3.0 / 8
D. Brown660%3.0 / 5
D. Gibson420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4266%21.0 / 32
S. O'Neal1056%5.0 / 9
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
J. Williams833%4.0 / 12
M. Blount850%4.0 / 8
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
R. Davis220%1.0 / 5
D. Cook214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
76
+18
-14
94
MIA
76
+17
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
100.2
CLE 107.8 +6.7
MIA 101.1
Pace
90.0
90.5
CLE 87.8
MIA 91.3 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.3
CLE 16.4
MIA 15.8 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
48.2%
CLE 48.8% +3.6%
MIA 45.2%
TO %
14.5%
15.4%
CLE 13.0% +0.2%
MIA 13.2%
ORB %
30.5%
22.2%
CLE 35.0% +6.8%
MIA 28.2%
FTrt
30.8
30.0
CLE 19.8
MIA 24.1 +4.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.5%
CLE 40.0% +2.2%
MIA 37.8%
STL %
7.8%
7.9%
CLE 11.1% +2.1%
MIA 9.0%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
CLE 8.6% +4.5%
MIA 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
50.6%
CLE 51.6% +4.7%
MIA 46.9%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.2%
CLE 71.9% +9.8%
MIA 62.1%
Mid FG%
36.9%
38.8%
CLE 31.0%
MIA 43.9% +12.9%
3P %
35.8%
35.8%
CLE 33.3% +25.6%
MIA 7.7%
FT %
71.7%
72.7%
CLE 76.5% +1.5%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
30.2%
CLE 37.2% +2.3%
MIA 34.9%
Mid Att. %
42.2%
48.1%
CLE 48.8% +0.6%
MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %
23.1%
21.7%
CLE 14.0%
MIA 15.7% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9790
Rebounds4237
Assists1614
Steals108
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)26 (3)
Field Goals40-8637-83
At-the-Rim FG23-3218-29
Midrange FG13-4218-41
2-Point FG36-7436-70
3-Point FG4-121-13
Free Throws13-1715-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
39.7
28
50%
3
5
4
1
5
4
1
2
5-5
100%
10-22
45%
1-4
25%
C · 7'3" 260 · 33
30.2
13
50%
11
0
0
1
2
5
3
8
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 29
27.9
9
56%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 250 · 26
26.6
11
69%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 235 · 24
19.6
10
63%
3
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 260 · 25
33.2
6
38%
10
3
1
2
4
3
7
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 22
27.6
4
20%
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
20.1
10
83%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
15.2
6
60%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 22
G · 6'3" 205 · 35
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 25
#15 · F · 6'9" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 245 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
42
16
10
6
14
0
14
28
13-17
76%
36-74
49%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.