FinalWin Prob.pScore
249%91
81
651%92
83
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
98.88283.9
HOU logo HOU
101.28280.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS81
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound81
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 11' Jump Shot81
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 281
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 281
31.8%
82
68.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 281
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
20.3%
82
79.7%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot81
26.1%
82
73.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
43.2%
82
56.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot81
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
27.2%
82
72.8%
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot81
38.3%
82
61.7%
Q4 - 1:32HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
31.0%
82
69.0%
Q4 - 1:33SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 181
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q4 - 1:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)79
23.6%
82
76.4%
Q4 - 1:48HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
20.9%
82
79.1%
Q4 - 2:02HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
15.6%
82
84.4%
Q4 - 2:03HOUMISS Alston 17' Fadeaway Jumper79
22.5%
82
77.5%
Q4 - 2:23HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
15.5%
82
84.5%
Q4 - 2:24HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 179
25.1%
82
74.9%
Q4 - 2:24HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)79
31.9%
80
68.1%
Q4 - 2:25HOUMISS Head Driving Reverse Layup79
43.1%
80
56.9%
Q4 - 2:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Oberto 2 AST)79
31.8%
80
68.2%
Q4 - 3:05HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
19.9%
80
80.1%
Q4 - 3:05HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
20.8%
79
79.2%
Q4 - 3:11HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)76
24.2%
78
75.8%
Q4 - 3:13SASMISS Duncan Layup76
27.7%
78
72.3%
Q4 - 3:30HOUAlston Driving Layup (15 PTS)76
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q4 - 3:47SASAlston STEAL (2 STL)76
45.5%
76
54.5%
Q4 - 4:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)76
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q4 - 4:10HOUMISS Scola 15' Jump Shot76
52.3%
76
47.7%
Q4 - 4:20HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
45.3%
76
54.7%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot76
48.3%
76
51.7%
Q4 - 4:38HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
55.3%
76
44.7%
Q4 - 4:38HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 276
58.0%
75
42.0%
Q4 - 4:38HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
54.7%
75
45.3%
Q4 - 4:40HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
61.6%
75
38.4%
Q4 - 4:59SASParker 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
54.7%
75
45.3%
Q4 - 5:15HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P4.T7)74
46.3%
75
53.7%
Q4 - 5:17HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q4 - 5:19SASAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)74
40.3%
75
59.7%
Q4 - 5:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)74
46.3%
75
53.7%
Q4 - 5:25HOUMISS Yao Layup74
43.6%
75
56.4%
Q4 - 5:40HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)74
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot74
40.3%
75
59.7%
Q4 - 5:55SASSpurs Rebound74
46.3%
75
53.7%
Q4 - 5:56HOUMISS Scola 23' Jump Shot74
43.6%
75
56.4%
Q4 - 6:16SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)74
38.5%
75
61.5%
Q4 - 6:19SASSpurs Rebound72
32.6%
75
67.4%
Q4 - 6:20SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot72
27.5%
75
72.5%
Q4 - 6:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q4 - 6:34HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot72
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q4 - 6:51SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)72
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q4 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)70
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q4 - 7:05HOUMISS Scola Layup70
21.6%
75
78.4%
Q4 - 7:28SASParker 22' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q4 - 7:50HOULandry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)68
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q4 - 7:52HOULandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q4 - 7:53HOUMISS Landry Free Throw 2 of 268
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q4 - 7:53HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q4 - 7:53HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
14.2%
74
85.8%
Q4 - 7:54HOUMISS Scola 10' Jump Shot68
17.1%
74
82.9%
Q4 - 8:15SASBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T11)68
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q4 - 8:22HOUBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)68
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q4 - 8:39SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
29.3%
71
70.7%
Q4 - 8:39SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
28.5%
71
71.5%
Q4 - 8:56HOULandry Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)66
24.4%
71
75.6%
Q4 - 9:17SASUdoka Layup (4 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)66
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q4 - 9:38HOUBattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brooks 2 AST)64
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q4 - 9:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
35.8%
66
64.2%
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
37.6%
66
62.4%
Q4 - 10:13SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
42.2%
66
57.8%
Q4 - 10:14HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Jump Shot64
40.4%
66
59.6%
Q4 - 10:42SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)64
36.3%
66
63.7%
Q4 - 10:58HOUMcGrady Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)61
26.9%
66
73.1%
Q4 - 11:02SASAlston STEAL (1 STL)61
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q4 - 11:22HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)61
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASOberto 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)61
47.3%
61
52.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU59
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)59
36.7%
61
63.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup59
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
42.7%
61
57.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Alston 19' Pullup Jump Shot59
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASUdoka Driving Dunk (2 PTS)59
37.7%
61
62.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)57
33.0%
61
67.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUROCKETS Rebound57
28.6%
61
71.4%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 1:06HOUAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)57
34.0%
61
66.0%
Q3 - 1:07HOUYao Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)57
29.6%
61
70.4%
Q3 - 1:31SASParker 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 1:49HOUAlston Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
29.7%
60
70.3%
Q3 - 2:03HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 2:04SASYao BLOCK (2 BLK)55
35.4%
58
64.6%
Q3 - 2:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
38.7%
58
61.3%
Q3 - 2:21HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot55
37.3%
58
62.7%
Q3 - 2:39SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)55
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 2:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)53
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q3 - 2:59HOUMISS Yao 22' Jump Shot53
29.0%
58
71.0%
Q3 - 3:08HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q3 - 3:09SASMISS Duncan 8' Fadeaway Jumper53
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 3:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)53
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 3:30HOUMISS Hayes 9' Turnaround Jump Shot53
29.8%
58
70.2%
Q3 - 3:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)53
27.1%
58
72.9%
Q3 - 3:49SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q3 - 4:04SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 4:06HOUMISS Hayes 5' Hook Shot53
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 4:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q3 - 4:09HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
27.6%
58
72.4%
Q3 - 4:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
26.6%
58
73.4%
Q3 - 4:45HOUYao Layup (16 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)51
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 4:58HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 4:58HOUMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot51
30.4%
56
69.6%
Q3 - 5:17SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q3 - 5:17SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 250
27.5%
56
72.5%
Q3 - 5:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 5:24HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 5:48SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)50
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q3 - 5:57SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 5:59HOUMISS Yao Layup47
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 6:19SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 6:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 6:40HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 245
15.4%
56
84.6%
Q3 - 6:40HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
14.3%
56
85.7%
Q3 - 6:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 6:53SASMISS Oberto 11' Jump Shot45
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q3 - 7:13HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)45
18.6%
55
81.4%
Q3 - 7:36SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)45
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 7:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q3 - 7:48SASHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)43
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q3 - 8:05HOUYao 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)43
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 8:24HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
16.7%
53
83.3%
Q3 - 8:25SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot43
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 8:47HOUHead 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)43
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 8:53SASHayes STEAL (1 STL)43
21.3%
51
78.7%
Q3 - 9:07SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
24.8%
51
75.2%
Q3 - 9:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 9:08HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot43
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 9:10HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot43
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 9:12HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 9:13HOUMISS Hayes Layup43
23.9%
51
76.1%
Q3 - 9:25HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q3 - 9:26SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 9:41HOUWells 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)43
24.7%
51
75.3%
Q3 - 9:56SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
27.5%
49
72.5%
Q3 - 10:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
25.6%
49
74.4%
Q3 - 10:29HOUMISS Wells 16' Jump Shot41
24.7%
49
75.3%
Q3 - 10:46HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
22.7%
49
77.3%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot41
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q3 - 11:11HOUWells 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)41
26.2%
49
73.8%
Q3 - 11:24SASParker 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q3 - 11:42HOUAlston 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)39
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS39
28.8%
45
71.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound39
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 60' 3PT Jump Shot39
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Parker Layup39
36.7%
43
63.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUWells Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)39
38.2%
43
61.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
42.3%
41
57.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
43.0%
41
57.0%
Q2 - 1:00HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)39
44.6%
41
55.4%
Q2 - 1:00HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
45.1%
40
54.9%
Q2 - 1:09SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)39
49.3%
39
50.7%
Q2 - 1:28HOUYao Putback Layup (8 PTS)39
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 1:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
55.7%
37
44.3%
Q2 - 1:31HOUMISS Alston 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
56.8%
37
43.2%
Q2 - 1:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
55.7%
37
44.3%
Q2 - 1:46SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 1:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
50.9%
37
49.1%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q2 - 1:56HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 1:57SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot37
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 2:10HOUBattier Layup (2 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)37
51.5%
37
48.5%
Q2 - 2:23HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
54.9%
35
45.1%
Q2 - 2:24SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 237
55.2%
35
44.8%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 2:38HOUMcGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)36
54.6%
35
45.4%
Q2 - 2:56HOUWells REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
58.0%
33
42.0%
Q2 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 236
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 2:57SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 236
60.1%
33
39.9%
Q2 - 2:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan Layup36
58.8%
33
41.2%
Q2 - 3:21HOUAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)36
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 3:43HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
65.8%
30
34.2%
Q2 - 3:44SASMISS Duncan Layup36
66.7%
30
33.3%
Q2 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
67.9%
30
32.1%
Q2 - 4:03HOUMISS Alston Layup36
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 4:10HOUROCKETS Rebound36
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 4:10HOUMISS Head Layup36
67.2%
30
32.8%
Q2 - 4:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 235
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 4:27HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)35
65.4%
30
34.6%
Q2 - 4:58SASBarry Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)35
62.8%
30
37.2%
Q2 - 5:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
60.0%
30
40.0%
Q2 - 5:02HOUMISS Brooks Layup33
59.1%
30
40.9%
Q2 - 5:17SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)33
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 5:32HOUYao Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Head 1 AST)30
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 5:55SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)30
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 6:30HOULandry Putback Dunk (4 PTS)30
57.3%
28
42.7%
Q2 - 6:33HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
59.4%
26
40.6%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
61.6%
26
38.4%
Q2 - 6:58HOULandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
59.4%
26
40.6%
Q2 - 6:58SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot30
60.4%
26
39.6%
Q2 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
62.0%
26
38.0%
Q2 - 7:18HOUMISS Brooks 18' Jump Shot30
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 7:43HOULandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
59.3%
26
40.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Jump Shot30
60.2%
26
39.8%
Q2 - 8:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 8:02HOUMISS McGrady 19' Turnaround Jump Shot30
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q2 - 8:25SASBattier STEAL (1 STL)30
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q2 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 8:30HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot30
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q2 - 8:46SASVaughn Layup (2 PTS)30
59.0%
26
41.0%
Q2 - 9:08HOULandry Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)28
56.5%
26
43.5%
Q2 - 9:26SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)28
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q2 - 9:36SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS Scola Driving Layup26
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 10:02SASDuncan Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)26
53.5%
24
46.5%
Q2 - 10:14HOUScola 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)24
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q2 - 10:33SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)24
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q2 - 10:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 10:35SASMISS Horry 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q2 - 10:44SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 10:45HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
55.5%
22
44.5%
Q2 - 11:13SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)24
53.4%
22
46.6%
Q2 - 11:15SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
48.6%
22
51.4%
Q2 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot21
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q2 - 11:36HOUScola Layup (3 PTS)21
48.6%
22
51.4%
Q2 - 11:38HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q2 - 11:39HOUMISS Landry Layup21
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU21
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound21
51.0%
20
49.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot21
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
51.1%
20
48.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 219
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
46.5%
20
53.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASBrooks STEAL (1 STL)19
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.6%
19
49.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Brooks 21' Jump Shot19
50.0%
19
50.0%
Q1 - 1:02HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
48.8%
19
51.2%
Q1 - 1:03HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
50.1%
19
49.9%
Q1 - 1:15HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
48.8%
19
51.2%
Q1 - 1:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 219
49.0%
19
51.0%
Q1 - 1:16SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
50.4%
19
49.6%
Q1 - 1:30HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)18
48.2%
19
51.8%
Q1 - 1:43SASScola STEAL (1 STL)18
53.5%
16
46.5%
Q1 - 1:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Elson 19' Jump Shot18
54.0%
16
46.0%
Q1 - 2:00HOUYao Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)18
55.3%
16
44.7%
Q1 - 2:15SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 2:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 2:29HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot18
59.6%
14
40.4%
Q1 - 2:34HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 2:35SASMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)18
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 2:58HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 3:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
61.8%
12
38.2%
Q1 - 3:14SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot18
62.5%
12
37.5%
Q1 - 3:29HOUYao Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)18
64.2%
12
35.8%
Q1 - 3:37HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 3:38SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot18
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 3:45SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 3:46HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot18
67.6%
10
32.4%
Q1 - 3:57HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 218
66.3%
10
33.7%
Q1 - 3:58SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
67.7%
10
32.3%
Q1 - 4:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 4:16HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot17
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 4:36SASParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
63.5%
10
36.5%
Q1 - 4:47SASSpurs Rebound15
61.9%
10
38.1%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Elson 21' Jump Shot15
60.1%
10
39.9%
Q1 - 5:04SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 5:05HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 5:21SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)15
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 5:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:40SASMISS Elson Dunk12
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 5:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 5:50HOUMISS Alston 17' Pullup Jump Shot12
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 5:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
52.8%
10
47.2%
Q1 - 5:57SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)12
53.5%
10
46.5%
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 6:06SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot12
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 6:17SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 6:18HOUMISS Head Driving Layup12
54.0%
10
46.0%
Q1 - 6:23HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
52.5%
10
47.5%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot12
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 6:41HOUHead Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
54.6%
10
45.4%
Q1 - 7:02SASHead STEAL (1 STL)12
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 7:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 7:08HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 7:19HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 7:20SASMISS Oberto 14' Jump Shot12
56.7%
8
43.3%
Q1 - 7:40HOUHead 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
58.2%
8
41.8%
Q1 - 8:01SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)12
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 8:19HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 8:47SASFinley 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
61.8%
3
38.2%
Q1 - 9:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.2%
3
39.8%
Q1 - 9:07HOUMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot8
59.5%
3
40.5%
Q1 - 9:22SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 9:38HOUAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
56.5%
3
43.5%
Q1 - 9:55SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 10:12HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
58.1%
0
41.9%
Q1 - 10:24SASDuncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 10:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 10:43HOUMISS Head Driving Layup2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 11:00SASBowen 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:21HOUMISS Hayes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 11:39HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:40SASMISS Parker 10' Turnaround Jump Shot0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Duncan: Tip to Oberto0
50.5%
0
49.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.4%
HOU
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
9
20
45%
HOU
17
32
53%
Midrange
SAS
17
38
45%
HOU
8
32
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
HOU
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
SAS
11
19
58%
HOU
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2448%12.0 / 25
M. Ginobili2166%10.5 / 16
T. Parker1647%8.0 / 17
M. Bonner675%3.0 / 4
I. Udoka4100%2.0 / 2
F. Oberto233%1.0 / 3
B. Bowen250%1.0 / 2
M. Finley220%1.0 / 5
J. Vaughn2100%1.0 / 1
B. Barry2100%1.0 / 1
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
F. Elson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2175%10.5 / 14
R. Alston1650%8.0 / 16
L. Head941%4.5 / 11
T. McGrady938%4.5 / 12
B. Wells770%3.5 / 5
C. Landry770%3.5 / 5
L. Scola623%3.0 / 13
S. Battier542%2.5 / 6
A. Brooks338%1.5 / 4
C. Hayes0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
70
+11
-12
81
HOU
75
+18
-7
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.4%
HOU
0.88 44.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
106.4
SAS 98.8 +2.4
HOU 101.2
Pace
89.5
90.7
SAS 83.9 +3.7
HOU 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
SAS 17.2 +0.8
HOU 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
49.2%
SAS 49.3% +6.5%
HOU 42.8%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
SAS 13.1%
HOU 7.1% +6.0%
ORB %
23.4%
29.1%
SAS 17.9%
HOU 30.2% +12.3%
FTrt
27.6
27.6
SAS 26.8 +2.7
HOU 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.5%
SAS 46.9%
HOU 65.6% +18.7%
STL %
7.1%
8.0%
SAS 2.4%
HOU 8.5% +6.1%
BLK %
6.5%
7.8%
SAS 6.3%
HOU 8.6% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
SAS 49.4% +5.3%
HOU 44.1%
Rim FG%
60.6%
57.9%
SAS 45.0%
HOU 53.1% +8.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.6%
SAS 44.7% +19.7%
HOU 25.0%
3P %
36.9%
34.2%
SAS 46.2% +9.4%
HOU 36.8%
FT %
76.1%
72.6%
SAS 57.9%
HOU 60.0% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
33.9%
SAS 28.2%
HOU 38.6% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
40.6%
SAS 53.5%
HOU 38.6% +15.0%
3P Att. %
25.1%
25.5%
SAS 18.3%
HOU 22.9% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8282
Possession Minutes23.424.5
Points8183
Rebounds4448
Assists1521
Steals27
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals32-7132-83
At-the-Rim FG9-2017-32
Midrange FG17-388-32
2-Point FG26-5825-64
3-Point FG6-137-19
Free Throws11-1912-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
39.4
24
48%
17
1
0
2
5
4
5
12
4-9
44%
10-21
48%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
36.4
16
47%
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
4
2-4
50%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
30.9
2
33%
5
2
0
1
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
30.7
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
18.7
2
20%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
33.1
21
66%
5
4
0
0
2
3
0
5
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
4-7
57%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
12.8
4
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
11.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
9.8
6
75%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
5.8
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
5.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
49%
44
15
2
4
12
0
7
37
11-19
58%
26-58
45%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.