Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 18, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	19	Bobcats	29%	92	84
	11	Hornets	71%	99	112

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
CHA	96.6	87	85.4
NOH	128.7	87	88.7

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+16

-11

NOH

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.90 45.2%

NOH

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	NOH
Q4 - 0:00.0	NOH		84 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:15.0	CHA	Dudley Layup (9 PTS) (McInnis 6 AST)	84 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:23.0	NOH	Armstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)	82 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:39.0	CHA	McInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	82 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:47.0	NOH	Armstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)	79 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:57.0	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	79 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 0:59.0	CHA	MISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot	79 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 1:13	NOH	Vinicius Dunk (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	79 0%	112 100%
Q4 - 1:16	CHA	Butler STEAL (1 STL)	79 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 1:33	NOH	Armstrong Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)	79 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 1:44	CHA	McInnis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)	79 0%	108 100%
Q4 - 2:05	NOH	Armstrong Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)	77 0%	108 100%
Q4 - 2:12	NOH	Vinicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 0%	108 100%
Q4 - 2:13	CHA	MISS Davidson 13' Jump Shot	77 0%	108 100%
Q4 - 2:34	NOH	Bowen Dunk (4 PTS) (Pargo 7 AST)	77 0%	108 100%
Q4 - 2:38	NOH	Vinicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	77 0%	106 100%
Q4 - 2:39	CHA	MISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot	77 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:43	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	77 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 2:44	CHA	Ely BLOCK (1 BLK)	77 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 3:06	NOH	Butler Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)	77 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 3:11	NOH	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	77 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:12	CHA	MISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:41	NOH	Vinicius 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	77 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 3:51	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 3:53	NOH	MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:07	NOH	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:08	CHA	MISS Davidson 17' Jump Shot	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:12	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:13	CHA	Armstrong BLOCK (3 BLK)	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:28	NOH	Pargo 11' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)	77 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 4:44	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	77 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:45	CHA	MISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot	77 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:49	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	77 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 4:52	CHA	Armstrong BLOCK (2 BLK)	77 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 5:07	NOH	Vinicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)	77 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 5:13	NOH	Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 5:14	CHA	MISS Davidson 17' Jump Shot	77 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 5:33	NOH	Armstrong Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	77 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 5:53	CHA	Carroll 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davidson 3 AST)	77 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 6:11	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	75 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 6:12	NOH	MISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 2	75 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 6:12	NOH	Ely Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	75 0.1%	97 99.9%
Q4 - 6:17	CHA	Armstrong STEAL (1 STL)	75 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 6:31	NOH	Pargo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	75 0.1%	96 99.9%
Q4 - 6:44	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	75 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 6:45	CHA	MISS Dudley 17' Jump Shot	75 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 7:04	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	75 0.3%	94 99.7%
Q4 - 7:05	NOH	MISS Pargo Layup	75 0.3%	94 99.7%
Q4 - 7:23	CHA	Carroll 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	75 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 7:48	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	73 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 7:49	NOH	MISS Butler 10' Jump Shot	73 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:09	CHA	Dudley Layup (7 PTS)	73 0.2%	94 99.8%
Q4 - 8:10	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:11	CHA	Armstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:28	CHA	Dudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:29	NOH	MISS Ely 9' Hook Shot	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:43	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:46	CHA	MISS Davidson 19' Jump Shot	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 8:59	NOH	Ely 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)	71 0.1%	94 99.9%
Q4 - 9:21	CHA	Davidson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)	71 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 9:32	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	69 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 9:33	NOH	MISS Armstrong Layup	69 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 9:33	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	69 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 9:34	NOH	MISS Armstrong Layup	69 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 9:58	CHA	Hollins Layup (2 PTS) (Davidson 2 AST)	69 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:02	CHA	Davidson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	67 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:04	CHA	MISS Carroll 23' Jump Shot	67 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 10:11	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	67 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:12	NOH	MISS Bowen 11' Jump Bank Shot	67 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:34	CHA	McInnis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)	67 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 10:41	CHA	Davidson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	67 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:42	NOH	MISS Armstrong 7' Jump Shot	67 0.2%	92 99.8%
Q4 - 10:55	CHA	Dudley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	67 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 11:08	NOH	Ely Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	64 0.1%	92 99.9%
Q4 - 11:08	NOH	Ely Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	64 0.1%	91 99.9%
Q4 - 11:26	CHA	Davidson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)	64 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 11:44	CHA	Carroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q4 - 11:46	NOH	MISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot	62 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CHA		62 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	West Layup (28 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)	62 0.1%	90 99.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0	CHA	Dudley Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)	62 0.2%	88 99.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0	NOH	West 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)	60 0.1%	88 99.9%
Q3 - 1:03	CHA	Carroll 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)	60 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q3 - 1:20	NOH	Chandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)	58 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q3 - 1:41	CHA	Okafor Layup (13 PTS) (Hollins 1 AST)	58 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q3 - 2:03	NOH	Paul Dunk (14 PTS)	56 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q3 - 2:05	CHA	Paul STEAL (1 STL)	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:07	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:08	NOH	MISS Paul 14' Jump Shot	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:27	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:28	CHA	MISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:55	NOH	Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	56 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q3 - 2:55	NOH	Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	56 0.2%	83 99.8%
Q3 - 2:58	CHA	Stojakovic STEAL (3 STL)	56 0.3%	82 99.7%
Q3 - 3:04	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)	56 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 3:09	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	56 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 3:10	CHA	MISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot	56 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 3:27	NOH	Paul Layup (12 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)	56 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q3 - 3:31	CHA	Stojakovic STEAL (2 STL)	56 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q3 - 3:44	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	56 0.6%	80 99.4%
Q3 - 3:45	CHA	MISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot	56 0.5%	80 99.5%
Q3 - 4:02	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)	56 0.7%	80 99.3%
Q3 - 4:31	CHA	Richardson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)	56 0.9%	77 99.1%
Q3 - 4:52	NOH	West 14' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)	54 0.8%	77 99.2%
Q3 - 5:01	CHA	Stojakovic STEAL (1 STL)	54 1.1%	75 98.9%
Q3 - 5:08	NOH	Paul 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)	54 1.3%	75 98.7%
Q3 - 5:23	CHA	Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	54 1.5%	73 98.5%
Q3 - 5:23	CHA	Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	53 1.4%	73 98.6%
Q3 - 5:34	NOH	Paul Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T4)	52 1.3%	73 98.7%
Q3 - 5:44	CHA	Felton Layup (7 PTS)	52 1.1%	73 98.9%
Q3 - 5:49	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)	50 0.9%	73 99.1%
Q3 - 5:52	NOH	MISS Chandler 7' Hook Shot	50 0.9%	73 99.1%
Q3 - 6:12	CHA	Richardson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	50 0.9%	73 99.1%
Q3 - 6:31	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	50 1.0%	73 99.0%
Q3 - 6:32	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 1.0%	73 99.0%
Q3 - 6:41	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	50 0.9%	73 99.1%
Q3 - 6:42	CHA	MISS Okafor 8' Jump Bank Shot	50 0.9%	73 99.1%
Q3 - 6:58	NOH	Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)	50 1.0%	73 99.0%
Q3 - 7:15	CHA	Okafor Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)	50 1.6%	70 98.4%
Q3 - 7:26	NOH	West 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)	48 1.4%	70 98.6%
Q3 - 7:45	CHA	Okafor 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)	48 1.5%	68 98.5%
Q3 - 7:59	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q3 - 8:00	NOH	MISS Peterson Layup	46 1.3%	68 98.7%
Q3 - 8:12	CHA	Wallace Driving Layup (12 PTS)	46 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q3 - 8:39	NOH	Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)	44 1.1%	68 98.9%
Q3 - 8:45	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	44 1.4%	65 98.6%
Q3 - 8:46	CHA	MISS Mohammed 8' Jump Shot	44 1.5%	65 98.5%
Q3 - 8:47	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	44 1.7%	65 98.3%
Q3 - 8:48	CHA	Chandler BLOCK (1 BLK)	44 1.5%	65 98.5%
Q3 - 9:06	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	44 1.8%	65 98.2%
Q3 - 9:07	NOH	MISS Paul 11' Jump Shot	44 1.7%	65 98.3%
Q3 - 9:17	CHA	Okafor Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	44 1.5%	65 98.5%
Q3 - 9:32	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (8 PTS)	44 1.8%	65 98.2%
Q3 - 9:42	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	44 2.1%	63 97.9%
Q3 - 9:43	CHA	MISS Mohammed 13' Jump Bank Shot	44 2.2%	63 97.8%
Q3 - 9:54	NOH	West 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)	44 2.4%	63 97.6%
Q3 - 10:13	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	44 2.9%	61 97.1%
Q3 - 10:14	CHA	MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot	44 3.0%	61 97.0%
Q3 - 10:24	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	44 3.4%	61 96.6%
Q3 - 10:25	NOH	MISS Peterson Layup	44 3.2%	61 96.8%
Q3 - 10:48	CHA	Mohammed Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)	44 2.9%	61 97.1%
Q3 - 11:08	NOH	West Layup (18 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)	42 2.7%	61 97.3%
Q3 - 11:14	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	42 3.0%	59 97.0%
Q3 - 11:15	NOH	MISS West Layup	42 3.3%	59 96.7%
Q3 - 11:37	CHA	Richardson 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	42 3.0%	59 97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		40 2.7%	59 97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 2.3%	59 97.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	CHA	MISS Felton Layup	40 2.7%	59 97.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	40 2.9%	59 97.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0	CHA	MISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot	40 2.7%	59 97.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	40 2.9%	59 97.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0	CHA	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	40 2.7%	59 97.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	40 2.9%	59 97.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0	NOH	West Putback Slam Dunk (16 PTS)	40 2.9%	59 97.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0	NOH	MISS Chandler Layup	40 3.6%	57 96.4%
Q2 - 1:14	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	40 3.7%	57 96.3%
Q2 - 1:15	CHA	MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot	40 3.7%	57 96.3%
Q2 - 1:18	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	40 3.9%	57 96.1%
Q2 - 1:19	CHA	MISS Richardson Layup	40 3.7%	57 96.3%
Q2 - 1:39	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)	40 3.9%	57 96.1%
Q2 - 1:49	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	40 5.3%	54 94.7%
Q2 - 1:50	CHA	MISS Richardson Reverse Layup	40 5.4%	54 94.6%
Q2 - 2:04	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (6 PTS)	40 6.1%	54 93.9%
Q2 - 2:16	CHA	Richardson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mohammed 2 AST)	40 6.9%	52 93.1%
Q2 - 2:44	NOH	Peterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)	38 6.0%	52 94.0%
Q2 - 2:56	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 7.7%	49 92.3%
Q2 - 2:57	CHA	MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot	38 7.9%	49 92.1%
Q2 - 3:12	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	38 9.0%	49 91.0%
Q2 - 3:12	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	38 9.3%	48 90.7%
Q2 - 3:30	CHA	Richardson Layup (4 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)	38 9.9%	47 90.1%
Q2 - 3:42	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	36 8.9%	47 91.1%
Q2 - 3:43	CHA	MISS Felton 3PT Jump Shot	36 8.2%	47 91.8%
Q2 - 4:05	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (4 PTS)	36 9.1%	47 90.9%
Q2 - 4:15	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	36 10.1%	45 89.9%
Q2 - 4:16	CHA	MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot	36 10.4%	45 89.6%
Q2 - 4:24	NOH	West Layup (14 PTS)	36 11.2%	45 88.8%
Q2 - 4:42	CHA	Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)	36 12.4%	43 87.6%
Q2 - 5:07	NOH	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 10.3%	43 89.7%
Q2 - 5:07	NOH	Bowen Tip Shot (2 PTS)	33 10.3%	43 89.7%
Q2 - 5:08	NOH	MISS West 7' Hook Shot	33 12.1%	41 87.9%
Q2 - 5:24	NOH	Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 11.2%	41 88.8%
Q2 - 5:25	CHA	MISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot	33 11.6%	41 88.4%
Q2 - 5:41	NOH	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	33 12.5%	41 87.5%
Q2 - 5:41	NOH	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	33 12.7%	40 87.3%
Q2 - 5:50	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 13.7%	39 86.3%
Q2 - 5:51	CHA	MISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot	33 14.2%	39 85.8%
Q2 - 6:09	NOH	Chandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	33 15.4%	39 84.6%
Q2 - 6:26	CHA	Okafor 8' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)	33 18.2%	36 81.8%
Q2 - 6:42	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	31 16.9%	36 83.1%
Q2 - 6:43	NOH	MISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2	31 16.7%	36 83.3%
Q2 - 6:43	NOH	MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2	31 15.9%	36 84.1%
Q2 - 6:59	NOH	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 15.1%	36 84.9%
Q2 - 6:59	CHA	MISS McInnis 10' Jump Shot	31 15.7%	36 84.3%
Q2 - 7:23	NOH	Ely Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)	31 17.1%	36 82.9%
Q2 - 7:28	NOH	Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 18.5%	34 81.5%
Q2 - 7:29	CHA	MISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot	31 19.0%	34 81.0%
Q2 - 7:50	NOH	Jackson 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	31 20.3%	34 79.7%
Q2 - 8:04	CHA	Carroll 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)	31 21.7%	32 78.3%
Q2 - 8:27	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	29 20.3%	32 79.7%
Q2 - 8:28	NOH	MISS Chandler 12' Hook Shot	29 19.7%	32 80.3%
Q2 - 8:42	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	29 18.5%	32 81.5%
Q2 - 8:43	NOH	MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot	29 19.7%	32 80.3%
Q2 - 8:50	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 18.5%	32 81.5%
Q2 - 8:51	CHA	MISS Wallace Layup	29 19.0%	32 81.0%
Q2 - 8:55	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	29 20.3%	32 79.7%
Q2 - 8:58	NOH	MISS Jackson Layup	29 19.7%	32 80.3%
Q2 - 9:03	NOH	Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 18.4%	32 81.6%
Q2 - 9:04	CHA	MISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot	29 18.9%	32 81.1%
Q2 - 9:22	NOH	Jackson 6' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)	29 20.2%	32 79.8%
Q2 - 9:39	CHA	Mohammed Layup (4 PTS)	29 21.6%	30 78.4%
Q2 - 9:40	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	27 20.2%	30 79.8%
Q2 - 9:41	CHA	MISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot	27 18.9%	30 81.1%
Q2 - 9:46	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	27 20.2%	30 79.8%
Q2 - 9:47	CHA	MISS Hollins 16' Jump Shot	27 18.9%	30 81.1%
Q2 - 9:57	CHA	McInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 20.2%	30 79.8%
Q2 - 9:59	NOH	MISS Ely 9' Hook Shot	27 19.6%	30 80.4%
Q2 - 10:12	CHA	Wallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)	27 18.5%	30 81.5%
Q2 - 10:28	NOH	Jackson Layup (3 PTS)	27 20.3%	30 79.7%
Q2 - 10:33	NOH	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 21.7%	28 78.3%
Q2 - 10:36	CHA	MISS Mohammed Reverse Layup	27 22.3%	28 77.7%
Q2 - 10:48	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	27 23.7%	28 76.3%
Q2 - 10:51	NOH	MISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 1	27 23.4%	28 76.6%
Q2 - 10:58	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	27 25.3%	26 74.7%
Q2 - 10:59	CHA	MISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot	27 25.9%	26 74.1%
Q2 - 11:16	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 26.8%	26 73.2%
Q2 - 11:17	NOH	MISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot	27 26.2%	26 73.8%
Q2 - 11:34	CHA	Carroll 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)	27 25.0%	26 75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA		25 23.2%	26 76.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0	NOH	West 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)	25 22.9%	26 77.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	25 25.0%	24 75.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0	CHA	MISS Mohammed Layup	25 25.4%	24 74.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0	CHA	Hollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 26.4%	24 73.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0	NOH	MISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2	25 26.2%	24 73.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0	NOH	Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	25 24.9%	24 75.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	25 26.8%	23 73.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0	NOH	MISS West 8' Jump Shot	25 27.8%	23 72.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0	CHA	Wallace 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)	25 26.8%	23 73.2%
Q1 - 1:05	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	23 24.6%	23 75.4%
Q1 - 1:07	NOH	MISS Paul 9' Jump Shot	23 24.2%	23 75.8%
Q1 - 1:16	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	23 23.2%	23 76.8%
Q1 - 1:19	CHA	MISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 23.7%	23 76.3%
Q1 - 1:42	NOH	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)	23 24.6%	23 75.4%
Q1 - 1:47	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 28.7%	20 71.3%
Q1 - 1:51	NOH	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	23 29.7%	20 70.3%
Q1 - 1:57	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 28.7%	20 71.3%
Q1 - 1:58	CHA	MISS Okafor 10' Jump Shot	23 29.2%	20 70.8%
Q1 - 2:16	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	23 30.3%	20 69.7%
Q1 - 2:17	NOH	MISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 29.7%	20 70.3%
Q1 - 2:36	CHA	Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 28.5%	20 71.5%
Q1 - 2:36	CHA	Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 27.9%	20 72.1%
Q1 - 2:36	CHA	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 26.5%	20 73.5%
Q1 - 2:38	CHA	MISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot	21 25.3%	20 74.7%
Q1 - 3:00	NOH	Ely Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)	21 26.5%	20 73.5%
Q1 - 3:28	CHA	Richardson 23' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	21 27.9%	18 72.1%
Q1 - 4:00	NOH	West 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	19 26.3%	18 73.7%
Q1 - 4:19	CHA	Wallace 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)	19 27.3%	16 72.7%
Q1 - 4:47	NOH	West Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)	17 26.0%	16 74.0%
Q1 - 5:04	CHA	Felton 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	17 26.8%	14 73.2%
Q1 - 5:23	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (West 1 AST)	15 25.4%	14 74.6%
Q1 - 5:44	CHA	Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)	15 26.8%	12 73.2%
Q1 - 6:03	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)	12 23.5%	12 76.5%
Q1 - 6:25	CHA	Okafor 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)	12 24.9%	10 75.1%
Q1 - 6:46	NOH	Chandler Dunk (4 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	10 23.5%	10 76.5%
Q1 - 6:57	CHA	Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	10 24.9%	8 75.1%
Q1 - 6:57	CHA	MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2	9 24.4%	8 75.6%
Q1 - 6:58	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	9 25.0%	8 75.0%
Q1 - 6:59	CHA	MISS Richardson Layup	9 23.9%	8 76.1%
Q1 - 7:04	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	9 24.6%	8 75.4%
Q1 - 7:18	CHA	McInnis Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	9 23.1%	8 76.9%
Q1 - 7:33	NOH	Paul 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	7 21.9%	8 78.1%
Q1 - 7:54	CHA	Peterson STEAL (1 STL)	7 23.1%	6 76.9%
Q1 - 8:10	NOH	Chandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	7 24.5%	6 75.5%
Q1 - 8:29	CHA	Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)	7 22.9%	6 77.1%
Q1 - 8:37	CHA	Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 20.5%	6 79.5%
Q1 - 8:38	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot	4 20.1%	6 79.9%
Q1 - 8:43	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 19.2%	6 80.8%
Q1 - 8:46	CHA	MISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot	4 19.6%	6 80.4%
Q1 - 8:53	CHA	Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 20.5%	6 79.5%
Q1 - 8:55	NOH	MISS West Free Throw 1 of 1	4 20.3%	6 79.7%
Q1 - 9:14	CHA	McInnis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)	4 21.4%	4 78.6%
Q1 - 9:31	NOH	Paul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 20.5%	4 79.5%
Q1 - 9:39	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 18.9%	4 81.1%
Q1 - 9:40	CHA	MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 19.4%	4 80.6%
Q1 - 9:46	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 20.5%	4 79.5%
Q1 - 9:47	NOH	MISS West Layup	2 20.0%	4 80.0%
Q1 - 10:02	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	2 19.0%	4 81.0%
Q1 - 10:04	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 22' Jump Shot	2 19.9%	4 80.1%
Q1 - 10:17	CHA	Okafor Dunk (2 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)	2 19.0%	4 81.0%
Q1 - 10:38	NOH	Chandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)	0 18.0%	4 82.0%
Q1 - 10:45	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 19.0%	2 81.0%
Q1 - 10:47	CHA	MISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot	0 19.4%	2 80.6%
Q1 - 10:52	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	0 20.3%	2 79.7%
Q1 - 10:52	CHA	West BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 19.4%	2 80.6%
Q1 - 10:56	CHA	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 20.3%	2 79.7%
Q1 - 10:57	NOH	MISS West 7' Jump Shot	0 19.9%	2 80.1%
Q1 - 11:22	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 19.1%	2 80.9%
Q1 - 11:23	CHA	MISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot	0 19.4%	2 80.6%
Q1 - 11:42	NOH	West Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)	0 20.2%	2 79.8%
Q1 - 12:00	NOH	Jump Ball Chandler vs. Okafor: Tip to Paul	0 21.4%	0 78.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.90 45.2%

NOH

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

58%

NOH

73%

Midrange

CHA

40%

NOH

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

6.0

25%

38%

NOH

10.5

54%

81%

Free Throws

CHA

86%

NOH

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Okafor	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Wallace	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Richardson	12	33%	6.0 / 18
M. Carroll	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. McInnis	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Dudley	9	75%	4.5 / 6
R. Felton	7	70%	3.5 / 5
N. Mohammed	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Davidson	4	22%	2.0 / 9
R. Hollins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	28	78%	14.0 / 18
P. Stojakovic	17	94%	8.5 / 9
C. Paul	14	64%	7.0 / 11
T. Chandler	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Ely	11	69%	5.5 / 8
B. Jackson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Vinicius	7	117%	3.5 / 3
J. Pargo	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Bowen	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Peterson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
H. Armstrong	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Butler	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+16

-11

NOH

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.90 45.2%

NOH

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	104.7 110.8	CHA 96.6 +32.2 NOH 128.7
Pace	91.9 90.5	CHA 85.4 NOH 88.7 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15.7 15.9	CHA 16.9 NOH 16.2 +0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.2% 51.2%	CHA 44.3% NOH 64.7% +20.4%
TO %	14.9% 12.4%	CHA 10.8% NOH 10.5% +0.3%
ORB %	25.7% 27.1%	CHA 28.3% +9.5% NOH 18.8%
FTrt	32.3 25.1	CHA 8.0 NOH 21.8 +13.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	59.1% 56.4%	CHA 73.0% +7.0% NOH 66.0%
STL %	8.1% 8.6%	CHA 4.6% NOH 8.0% +3.4%
BLK %	7.7% 6.4%	CHA 3.1% NOH 8.3% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.6% 53.3%	CHA 45.2% NOH 64.4% +19.2%
Rim FG%	57.1% 58.2%	CHA 58.3% NOH 72.7% +14.4%
Mid FG%	39.2% 43.1%	CHA 39.6% NOH 50.0% +10.4%
3P %	36.7% 38.9%	CHA 25.0% NOH 53.8% +28.8%
FT %	71.4% 76.9%	CHA 85.7% +21.0% NOH 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.3% 29.6%	CHA 27.3% NOH 42.3% +15.0%
Mid Att. %	41.7% 46.5%	CHA 54.5% NOH 41.0% +13.5%
3P Att. %	22.0% 23.9%	CHA 18.2% +1.5% NOH 16.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	NOH
Possessions	87	87
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	84	112
Rebounds	39	39
Assists	27	31
Steals	4	7
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	37-88	47-78
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	24-33
Midrange FG	19-48	16-32
2-Point FG	33-72	40-65
3-Point FG	4-16	7-13
Free Throws	6-7	11-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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19 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 25	31.8	12	46%	3	3	0	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Jason Richardson F · 6'6" 225 · 27	27.9	12	33%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-4	0%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	27.1	7	70%	2	6	2	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 33	26.9	9	90%	1	6	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 25	25.9	13	59%	7	0	1	1	1	5	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 27	24.1	10	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 30	21.2	6	30%	11	2	0	0	0	2	6	5	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 23	17.5	9	75%	5	1	0	0	1	0	3	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 23	16.8	2	50%	6	1	1	0	0	6	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jermareo Davidson F · 6'10" 230 · 23	12.0	4	22%	2	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 34	8.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Othella Harrington F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Adam Morrison #35 · F · 6'8" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	45%	39	27	4	2	11	0	13	26	6-7	86%	33-72	46%	4-16	25%

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19 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 25	31.8	12	46%	3	3	0	0	3	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Jason Richardson F · 6'6" 225 · 27	27.9	12	33%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-4	0%
Raymond Felton G · 6'1" 205 · 24	27.1	7	70%	2	6	2	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Jeff McInnis G · 6'4" 190 · 33	26.9	9	90%	1	6	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 25	25.9	13	59%	7	0	1	1	1	5	2	5	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 27	24.1	10	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 30	21.2	6	30%	11	2	0	0	0	2	6	5	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 23	17.5	9	75%	5	1	0	0	1	0	3	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 23	16.8	2	50%	6	1	1	0	0	6	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jermareo Davidson F · 6'10" 230 · 23	12.0	4	22%	2	3	0	1	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 34	8.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Othella Harrington F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34
Sean May #42 · C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Adam Morrison #35 · F · 6'8" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	45%	39	27	4	2	11	0	13	26	6-7	86%	33-72	46%	4-16	25%

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11 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 27	31.9	28	78%	7	1	0	1	0	0	1	6	2-3	67%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 25	29.8	13	65%	10	2	0	1	2	2	1	9	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 23	29.7	14	64%	4	13	1	0	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 31	28.0	17	94%	3	3	3	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	5-7	71%
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 30	26.5	3	50%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30	19.6	11	69%	2	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	3-5	60%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 28	18.3	4	50%	3	7	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 32	16.6	4	50%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	12.0	2	25%	2	0	1	3	4	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 35	11.9	7	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 29	9.5	2	33%	3	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Marcus Vinicius F · 6'8" 225 · 24	6.2	7	117%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Julian Wright #32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	64%	39	31	7	6	10	0	6	33	11-17	65%	40-65	62%	7-13	54%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE