FinalWin Prob.pScore
2049%94
80
2751%95
87
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
88.99096.4
MIL logo MIL
100.08781.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL80
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0ATLHawks Rebound80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)80
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILBogut Dunk (21 PTS) (Simmons 5 AST)80
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)80
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)80
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)80
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (19 PTS)77
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 1:04ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)77
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 1:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 1:10MILMISS Ivey Layup74
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 1:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 1:28ATLBogut BLOCK (4 BLK)74
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 1:37ATLHawks Rebound74
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 1:37MILMISS Villanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 1:57ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)74
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 2:16MILIvey 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)74
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 2:39MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)74
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 2:40ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot74
8.0%
79
92.0%
Q4 - 3:03MILVillanueva Layup (10 PTS)74
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q4 - 3:03MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 3:04MILMISS Bell Layup74
23.6%
77
76.4%
Q4 - 3:09MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q4 - 3:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
27.3%
77
72.7%
Q4 - 3:10ATLMISS Horford Layup74
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 3:12ATLMISS Smith Layup74
19.6%
77
80.4%
Q4 - 3:35MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)74
28.7%
77
71.3%
Q4 - 4:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
44.8%
74
55.2%
Q4 - 4:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
43.3%
74
56.7%
Q4 - 4:12MILRedd 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
36.2%
74
63.8%
Q4 - 4:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
44.7%
72
55.3%
Q4 - 4:27MILMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot72
51.6%
72
48.4%
Q4 - 4:47ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
44.6%
72
55.4%
Q4 - 4:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
42.3%
72
57.7%
Q4 - 4:48ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
36.0%
72
64.0%
Q4 - 4:50ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot70
29.8%
72
70.2%
Q4 - 5:05ATLHawks Rebound70
37.6%
72
62.4%
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot70
35.1%
72
64.9%
Q4 - 5:19MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
29.8%
72
70.2%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMISS Smith Layup70
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q4 - 5:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
37.5%
72
62.5%
Q4 - 5:27MILMISS Yi 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
35.0%
72
65.0%
Q4 - 5:42ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q4 - 5:42ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 269
28.5%
72
71.5%
Q4 - 5:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
30.0%
72
70.0%
Q4 - 5:46MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
27.8%
72
72.2%
Q4 - 6:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
25.0%
72
75.0%
Q4 - 6:03ATLYi BLOCK (2 BLK)69
27.1%
72
72.9%
Q4 - 6:21MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)69
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q4 - 6:34MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot69
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q4 - 6:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
31.9%
72
68.1%
Q4 - 6:45MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q4 - 7:00ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)69
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q4 - 7:17MILJump Ball Yi vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson69
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q4 - 7:17MILMISS Yi Layup69
31.6%
72
68.4%
Q4 - 7:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
27.1%
72
72.9%
Q4 - 7:24ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot69
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q4 - 7:36MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
33.7%
72
66.3%
Q4 - 7:36MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 269
35.8%
71
64.2%
Q4 - 7:55MILYi REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)69
32.8%
71
67.2%
Q4 - 7:56ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot69
34.9%
71
65.1%
Q4 - 8:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 169
39.5%
71
60.5%
Q4 - 8:38MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
46.5%
69
53.5%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 269
47.4%
69
52.6%
Q4 - 8:38ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 269
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q4 - 8:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q4 - 8:43MILMISS Yi 3' Hook Shot69
51.1%
69
48.9%
Q4 - 8:59MILBUCKS Rebound69
46.5%
69
53.5%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot69
48.5%
69
51.5%
Q4 - 9:23MILYi 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
53.0%
69
47.0%
Q4 - 9:25MILYi REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)69
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Yi Layup69
62.8%
67
37.2%
Q4 - 9:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q4 - 9:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
57.7%
67
42.3%
Q4 - 9:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
53.0%
67
47.0%
Q4 - 9:53MILMISS Villanueva Layup67
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q4 - 9:55MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q4 - 9:56MILMISS Yi Layup67
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q4 - 9:57MILYi REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)67
46.7%
67
53.3%
Q4 - 10:00MILMISS Villanueva Layup67
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q4 - 10:01MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q4 - 10:02MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot67
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 10:18ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q4 - 10:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 266
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q4 - 10:35MILVillanueva Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)66
47.1%
67
52.9%
Q4 - 10:43MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw Technical66
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q4 - 11:00MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q4 - 11:01ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 266
52.7%
65
47.3%
Q4 - 11:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
56.0%
65
44.0%
Q4 - 11:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q4 - 11:02ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot65
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q4 - 11:15ATLHawks Rebound65
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q4 - 11:15MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot65
50.5%
65
49.5%
Q4 - 11:33ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)65
46.6%
65
53.4%
Q4 - 11:35ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q4 - 11:36MILMISS Villanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
50.5%
65
49.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL65
46.6%
65
53.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound65
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Lue 41' 3PT Jump Shot65
48.3%
65
51.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILIvey Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)65
52.2%
65
47.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)65
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
46.2%
65
53.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
41.9%
65
58.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot63
53.7%
62
46.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q3 - 0:58.0MILMISS Bogut 5' Hook Shot63
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 1:18ATLJohnson Layup (11 PTS)63
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q3 - 1:27ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Redd Layup61
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q3 - 1:53ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 1:53ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
41.5%
62
58.5%
Q3 - 1:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
37.7%
62
62.3%
Q3 - 1:58MILMISS Villanueva 10' Hook Shot59
36.3%
62
63.7%
Q3 - 2:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 2:10ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot59
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 2:34MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)59
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 2:45MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 2:47ATLMISS Lue 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 3:08MILVillanueva 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simmons 4 AST)59
38.5%
62
61.5%
Q3 - 3:24ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T9)59
42.5%
60
57.5%
Q3 - 3:45MILBogut 4' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)59
47.2%
60
52.8%
Q3 - 3:58ATLVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)59
51.4%
58
48.6%
Q3 - 4:08MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
56.0%
58
44.0%
Q3 - 4:08MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 259
57.1%
57
42.9%
Q3 - 4:20ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q3 - 4:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
47.4%
57
52.6%
Q3 - 4:25MILMISS Simmons 16' Jump Shot56
45.9%
57
54.1%
Q3 - 4:48MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
42.5%
57
57.5%
Q3 - 4:49ATLMISS Law 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
44.0%
57
56.0%
Q3 - 5:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
47.3%
57
52.7%
Q3 - 5:13MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot56
46.0%
57
54.0%
Q3 - 5:31MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
42.9%
57
57.1%
Q3 - 5:32ATLMISS Law 20' Jump Shot56
44.2%
57
55.8%
Q3 - 5:38ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
47.3%
57
52.7%
Q3 - 5:40MILMISS Ivey Layup56
46.0%
57
54.0%
Q3 - 5:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
42.8%
57
57.2%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 255
42.2%
57
57.8%
Q3 - 6:09MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Simmons 3 AST)55
43.3%
57
56.7%
Q3 - 6:23ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)55
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q3 - 6:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
55.3%
54
44.7%
Q3 - 6:33MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot55
54.0%
54
46.0%
Q3 - 6:54ATLSmith Layup (12 PTS)55
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q3 - 6:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
47.3%
54
52.7%
Q3 - 6:56ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot53
44.3%
54
55.7%
Q3 - 7:18MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ivey 6 AST)53
47.1%
54
52.9%
Q3 - 7:24MILIvey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q3 - 7:26MILMISS Bogut Layup53
57.3%
51
42.7%
Q3 - 7:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
54.3%
51
45.7%
Q3 - 7:45ATLMISS Horford Layup53
55.7%
51
44.3%
Q3 - 7:49ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
58.7%
51
41.3%
Q3 - 7:51MILMISS Ivey Layup53
57.4%
51
42.6%
Q3 - 8:03ATLHorford Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)53
54.4%
51
45.6%
Q3 - 8:07ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
51.1%
51
48.9%
Q3 - 8:08MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
49.8%
51
50.2%
Q3 - 8:26ATLWilliams Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)51
46.8%
51
53.2%
Q3 - 8:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Yi 7' Jump Shot49
42.3%
51
57.7%
Q3 - 8:57ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)49
39.4%
51
60.6%
Q3 - 9:01MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q3 - 9:22ATLWilliams 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
32.9%
51
67.1%
Q3 - 9:32ATLHawks Rebound45
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 9:33MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
28.9%
51
71.1%
Q3 - 9:48ATLSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)45
26.8%
51
73.2%
Q3 - 10:10MILBogut 4' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)45
30.6%
51
69.4%
Q3 - 10:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q3 - 10:27ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot45
34.4%
49
65.6%
Q3 - 10:38MILYi 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
36.9%
49
63.1%
Q3 - 10:44MILYi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Ivey Layup45
42.6%
47
57.4%
Q3 - 11:03ATLHorford Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)45
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q3 - 11:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q3 - 11:04ATLBogut BLOCK (3 BLK)45
41.5%
47
58.5%
Q3 - 11:16MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
44.0%
47
56.0%
Q3 - 11:16MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
44.6%
46
55.4%
Q3 - 11:16MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q3 - 11:17MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
49.7%
45
50.3%
Q3 - 11:38MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q3 - 11:39ATLMISS Smith Layup45
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL45
50.9%
45
49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
50.9%
45
49.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Smith Layup45
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLYi BLOCK (1 BLK)45
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLHawks Rebound45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLRedd BLOCK (1 BLK)45
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot45
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 1:00MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 1:01ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Hook Shot45
48.8%
45
51.2%
Q2 - 1:33MILRedd 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ivey 5 AST)45
50.0%
45
50.0%
Q2 - 1:43MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 1:44MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot45
55.9%
43
44.1%
Q2 - 2:14ATLJohnson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)45
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 2:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
50.6%
43
49.4%
Q2 - 2:27MILMISS Redd 6' Jump Hook Shot43
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 2:45ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
47.7%
43
52.3%
Q2 - 2:45ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 3:04MILIvey 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)41
44.8%
43
55.2%
Q2 - 3:31ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)41
47.5%
41
52.5%
Q2 - 3:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 3:37MILMISS Redd Layup39
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 3:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
41.5%
41
58.5%
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot39
42.5%
41
57.5%
Q2 - 3:55MILYi Dunk (10 PTS) (Ivey 4 AST)39
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 4:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 4:02MILMISS Bogut Layup39
49.6%
39
50.4%
Q2 - 4:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 4:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
47.1%
39
52.9%
Q2 - 4:33MILSimmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 4:58ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)37
50.5%
36
49.5%
Q2 - 5:02ATLHawks Rebound35
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 5:02ATLBogut BLOCK (2 BLK)35
45.7%
36
54.3%
Q2 - 5:23MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
47.8%
36
52.2%
Q2 - 5:23MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 235
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 5:37MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 5:38ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot35
48.5%
35
51.5%
Q2 - 5:59MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
50.6%
35
49.4%
Q2 - 5:59MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 6:13ATLRedd STEAL (1 STL)35
53.0%
33
47.0%
Q2 - 6:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 6:20MILMISS Villanueva Running Layup35
55.3%
33
44.7%
Q2 - 6:38ATLLue 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
53.1%
33
46.9%
Q2 - 6:50ATLHawks Rebound33
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 6:50MILMISS Gadzuric 3' Jump Shot33
49.8%
33
50.2%
Q2 - 7:12ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)33
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 7:26ATLHawks Rebound31
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 7:28MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot31
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 7:57ATLLue Layup (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)31
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 8:00ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
40.3%
33
59.7%
Q2 - 8:02MILMISS Storey 18' Jump Shot29
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q2 - 8:09MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
37.5%
33
62.5%
Q2 - 8:11ATLMISS Childress 18' Jump Shot29
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 8:25MILVillanueva Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Storey 3 AST)29
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 8:41MILStorey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
42.6%
31
57.4%
Q2 - 8:43MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 8:50ATLGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)29
42.6%
31
57.4%
Q2 - 9:11MILRedd Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)29
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 9:18MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
47.7%
29
52.3%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot29
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q2 - 9:27MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q2 - 9:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
47.6%
29
52.4%
Q2 - 9:44ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 9:59MILVillanueva 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)27
45.4%
29
54.6%
Q2 - 10:11ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS)27
47.5%
27
52.5%
Q2 - 10:12ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Childress Layup25
43.5%
27
56.5%
Q2 - 10:33MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Storey 2 AST)25
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q2 - 10:51ATLLaw Layup (4 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)25
47.6%
25
52.4%
Q2 - 10:56MILGadzuric Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q2 - 11:14ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q2 - 11:14ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q2 - 11:27MILIvey 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Storey 1 AST)21
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q2 - 11:46ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson Layup21
43.5%
23
56.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44.8%
23
55.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 221
44.5%
23
55.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 221
43.1%
23
56.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILIvey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)21
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0MILMISS Ivey Layup21
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0MILIvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0MILMISS Bogut Layup21
44.2%
23
55.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLLaw 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLWilliams Layup (4 PTS)19
43.0%
21
57.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
40.2%
21
59.8%
Q1 - 1:03MILIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q1 - 1:05ATLBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)17
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 1:33MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
40.3%
21
59.7%
Q1 - 1:51ATLLaw Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)17
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 2:13MILIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
45.3%
19
54.7%
Q1 - 2:13MILIvey Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
45.3%
19
54.7%
Q1 - 2:15MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot17
49.3%
17
50.7%
Q1 - 2:39ATLSmith 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q1 - 3:01MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 3:09MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
43.0%
17
57.0%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot15
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 3:17MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 3:17MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
45.8%
16
54.2%
Q1 - 3:30MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot15
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 3:46MILYi 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)15
50.0%
15
50.0%
Q1 - 4:14ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)15
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 4:35MILYi Dunk (4 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)12
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 4:42MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
49.6%
11
50.4%
Q1 - 4:43ATLMISS Smith Layup12
50.4%
11
49.6%
Q1 - 5:03ATLHawks Rebound12
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 5:03MILMISS Ivey 20' Jump Shot12
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 5:10MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
49.6%
11
50.4%
Q1 - 5:12ATLMISS Johnson Layup12
50.3%
11
49.7%
Q1 - 5:33MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 5:33MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
52.3%
10
47.7%
Q1 - 5:56ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)12
53.8%
9
46.2%
Q1 - 6:16MILBogut Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)10
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:30ATLSmith Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)10
53.5%
7
46.5%
Q1 - 6:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 6:45MILMISS Yi 6' Hook Shot8
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 6:48MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 6:49MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
50.9%
7
49.1%
Q1 - 7:15ATLSmith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
49.3%
7
50.7%
Q1 - 7:31MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
47.6%
7
52.4%
Q1 - 7:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 7:49ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot6
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 8:14MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)6
51.7%
5
48.3%
Q1 - 8:29MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
55.2%
2
44.8%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot6
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 8:42MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)6
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 8:51MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.9%
0
41.1%
Q1 - 8:53ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 8:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Yi Layup6
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 9:23ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 9:38MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 9:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 9:44ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 10:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
57.0%
0
43.0%
Q1 - 10:10MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
56.4%
0
43.6%
Q1 - 10:32ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 10:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 10:36MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot2
52.7%
0
47.3%
Q1 - 10:52ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS)2
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 10:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 11:00MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:00MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot0
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 11:02MILMISS Simmons Layup0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:12MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:38MILMISS Yi 14' Jump Shot0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Smith: Tip to Yi0
47.6%
0
52.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.0%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
37
46%
MIL
15
39
38%
Midrange
ATL
8
25
32%
MIL
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
MIL
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
ATL
24
30
80%
MIL
16
23
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2261%11.0 / 18
J. Smith1941%9.5 / 23
J. Johnson1233%6.0 / 18
A. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
A. Horford638%3.0 / 8
J. Childress650%3.0 / 6
T. Lue440%2.0 / 5
A. Law450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2166%10.5 / 16
M. Redd1750%8.5 / 17
J. Yi1642%8.0 / 19
C. Villanueva1038%5.0 / 13
R. Ivey930%4.5 / 15
B. Simmons956%4.5 / 8
C. Bell330%1.5 / 5
D. Gadzuric250%1.0 / 2
A. Storey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+14
-14
90
MIL
77
+18
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.0%
MIL
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.5
ATL 88.9 +11.1
MIL 100.0
Pace
91.4
91.2
ATL 96.4 +14.7
MIL 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
ATL 14.9 +2.7
MIL 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.2%
ATL 37.8%
MIL 40.8% +3.0%
TO %
15.5%
15.5%
ATL 13.8%
MIL 9.3% +4.5%
ORB %
29.8%
30.1%
ATL 22.7%
MIL 37.5% +14.8%
FTrt
34.0
29.4
ATL 40.5 +14.1
MIL 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.2%
ATL 66.7%
MIL 69.7% +3.0%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
ATL 8.9% +5.5%
MIL 3.4%
BLK %
8.4%
7.2%
ATL 17.4% +6.1%
MIL 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.9%
ATL 44.0%
MIL 44.4% +0.4%
Rim FG%
58.6%
54.3%
ATL 45.9% +7.4%
MIL 38.5%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.4%
ATL 32.0%
MIL 43.3% +11.3%
3P %
35.6%
34.4%
ATL 16.7%
MIL 27.8% +11.1%
FT %
77.2%
73.3%
ATL 80.0% +10.4%
MIL 69.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
37.4%
ATL 50.0% +5.2%
MIL 44.8%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
43.2%
ATL 33.8% +0.7%
MIL 34.5%
3P Att. %
16.5%
19.5%
ATL 16.2%
MIL 20.7% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points8087
Rebounds4052
Assists1823
Steals83
Blocks127
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)18 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (8)34 (1)
Field Goals27-7433-87
At-the-Rim FG17-3715-39
Midrange FG8-2513-30
2-Point FG25-6228-69
3-Point FG2-125-18
Free Throws24-3016-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
39.2
19
41%
9
1
0
7
2
2
4
5
5-7
71%
7-18
39%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
39.1
22
61%
6
3
2
1
2
2
1
5
10-11
91%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
38.9
12
33%
7
1
2
0
2
3
0
7
3-4
75%
3-11
27%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
30.5
6
38%
7
2
0
2
2
5
2
5
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
26.6
7
58%
4
7
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
21.5
6
50%
4
0
2
1
0
2
2
2
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
14.8
4
40%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
12.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
12.1
4
50%
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
44%
40
18
8
12
14
0
10
30
24-30
80%
25-62
40%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.