FinalWin Prob.pScore
2341%91
126
2659%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
135.59395.9
MIA logo MIA
102.19491.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA126
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIGriffin 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)126
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHIMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIGray 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)124
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15CHIKhryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)122
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot122
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39CHIKhryapa Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)122
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIACook 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)120
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)120
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35CHIThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00CHIGriffin 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)117
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAAl. Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)115
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)115
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32CHIMISS Noah Free Throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)115
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49CHIWright STEAL (1 STL)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13CHIMISS Noah 18' Jump Shot114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIACook Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)114
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42CHINocioni 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)114
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54MIAAl. Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)112
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)112
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11CHIMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWright Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)112
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52CHINocioni Layup (18 PTS) (Deng 8 AST)112
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54CHIBulls Rebound110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55CHICook BLOCK (1 BLK)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:02CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)110
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot110
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)110
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 6:39MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)107
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 6:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)107
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 6:43CHIMISS Noah 5' Hook Shot107
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 6:56CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)107
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot107
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 7:25CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)107
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 7:25CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)106
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 7:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot105
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHEAT Rebound105
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup105
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 7:59CHINoah Putback Dunk (2 PTS)105
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 8:00CHINoah REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)103
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 8:02CHIMISS Wallace 13' Fadeaway Jumper103
97.6%
87
2.4%
Q4 - 8:30MIAO'Neal Layup (24 PTS)103
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q4 - 8:51CHIGordon Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)103
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)103
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 8:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)103
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 8:57CHIWright BLOCK (1 BLK)103
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 9:20MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)103
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 9:29CHINocioni 6' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS)103
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 9:46CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)101
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot101
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 10:06CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)101
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 10:22CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
96.9%
82
3.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot98
96.7%
82
3.3%
Q4 - 10:35CHINocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)98
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 10:50MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T11)95
94.1%
82
5.9%
Q4 - 11:08CHISefolosha 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
91.6%
82
8.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)93
89.9%
82
10.1%
Q4 - 11:29CHIWilliams STEAL (2 STL)93
93.1%
79
6.9%
Q4 - 11:30CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 11:31CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
93.6%
79
6.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)93
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q4 - 11:48CHIWilliams STEAL (1 STL)93
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA93
94.5%
79
5.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
93.2%
79
6.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
94.1%
79
5.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
92.1%
79
7.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 293
92.3%
79
7.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
93.3%
79
6.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
92.1%
79
7.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
91.0%
79
9.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
92.2%
79
7.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot92
91.7%
79
8.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0CHIGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Duhon 7 AST)92
90.6%
79
9.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
86.4%
79
13.6%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q3 - 1:17CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)89
82.2%
79
17.8%
Q3 - 1:30MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
79.3%
79
20.7%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)87
82.2%
77
17.8%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot87
84.2%
77
15.8%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)87
82.2%
77
17.8%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot87
84.2%
77
15.8%
Q3 - 1:58CHINocioni 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 7 AST)87
82.3%
77
17.7%
Q3 - 2:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 285
78.2%
76
21.8%
Q3 - 2:25CHISmith 4' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Deng 6 AST)85
77.3%
76
22.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
74.3%
76
25.7%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
74.7%
75
25.3%
Q3 - 2:56CHISmith 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)83
77.4%
74
22.6%
Q3 - 3:12MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)81
73.3%
74
26.7%
Q3 - 3:34CHIDeng Driving Dunk (19 PTS)81
76.5%
72
23.5%
Q3 - 3:45MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)79
73.3%
72
26.7%
Q3 - 3:53MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
76.5%
70
23.5%
Q3 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot79
78.8%
70
21.2%
Q3 - 4:06CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
74.9%
70
25.1%
Q3 - 4:06CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 278
74.6%
70
25.4%
Q3 - 4:22MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
75.5%
70
24.5%
Q3 - 4:42CHIWallace Putback Slam Dunk (7 PTS)78
78.2%
68
21.8%
Q3 - 4:43CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
75.5%
68
24.5%
Q3 - 4:43CHIMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
72.9%
68
27.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)76
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
70.8%
68
29.2%
Q3 - 5:14CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot76
71.9%
68
28.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)76
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q3 - 5:45CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
77.2%
66
22.8%
Q3 - 5:45CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
76.6%
66
23.4%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
74.4%
66
25.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
75.8%
64
24.2%
Q3 - 6:11CHIMISS Duhon Driving Layup74
76.8%
64
23.2%
Q3 - 6:22CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
78.9%
64
21.1%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q3 - 6:44CHIDeng 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)74
76.0%
64
24.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIAWade Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)72
72.0%
64
28.0%
Q3 - 7:24CHISefolosha 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 6 AST)72
74.6%
62
25.4%
Q3 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
72.0%
62
28.0%
Q3 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
73.4%
61
26.6%
Q3 - 7:46CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
74.6%
60
25.4%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
68.8%
60
31.2%
Q3 - 8:09CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)67
64.4%
60
35.6%
Q3 - 8:18CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot64
56.4%
60
43.6%
Q3 - 8:43CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
53.4%
60
46.6%
Q3 - 8:43CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)63
52.8%
60
47.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)62
49.2%
60
50.8%
Q3 - 9:17CHIDeng 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)62
52.8%
58
47.2%
Q3 - 9:26CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
49.3%
58
50.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot60
48.1%
58
51.9%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 9:44CHIMISS Duhon 6' Jump Shot60
46.7%
58
53.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)60
49.3%
58
50.7%
Q3 - 10:17MIAHEAT Rebound60
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 10:18CHIMISS Sefolosha 12' Turnaround Jump Shot60
46.2%
58
53.8%
Q3 - 10:31MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)60
49.0%
58
51.0%
Q3 - 10:49CHISefolosha Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)60
45.0%
58
55.0%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
49.0%
58
51.0%
Q3 - 11:13CHISefolosha 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 5 AST)60
51.8%
56
48.2%
Q3 - 11:37MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)58
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI58
55.3%
53
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound58
58.8%
53
41.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Duhon 3PT Jump Shot58
56.4%
53
43.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
57.5%
53
42.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0CHIGordon 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)58
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
60.8%
50
39.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 256
58.8%
50
41.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 256
61.2%
50
38.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS)56
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q2 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
64.4%
48
35.6%
Q2 - 1:23CHIMISS Nocioni 21' Jump Shot56
64.9%
48
35.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
66.0%
48
34.0%
Q2 - 2:01CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
68.5%
46
31.5%
Q2 - 2:01CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
68.2%
46
31.8%
Q2 - 2:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
65.7%
46
34.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Blount 10' Hook Shot54
64.9%
46
35.1%
Q2 - 2:37CHISmith Dunk (17 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)54
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 2:53MIAHaslem Tip Shot (10 PTS)52
59.8%
46
40.2%
Q2 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Davis Layup52
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q2 - 2:59CHIWade STEAL (1 STL)52
63.1%
44
36.9%
Q2 - 3:07CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS Blount Driving Layup52
63.8%
44
36.2%
Q2 - 3:26CHISmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
61.6%
44
38.4%
Q2 - 3:26CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
61.2%
44
38.8%
Q2 - 3:26CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot50
58.1%
44
41.9%
Q2 - 3:39CHIGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)50
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 3:54MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)50
59.2%
44
40.8%
Q2 - 4:13CHIDeng Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)50
60.8%
42
39.2%
Q2 - 4:16CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q2 - 4:17CHIMISS Wallace Layup48
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)48
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q2 - 4:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q2 - 4:38CHIMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot48
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 4:50CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
57.3%
42
42.7%
Q2 - 5:11CHISmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)48
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q2 - 5:20CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
48.4%
42
51.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 5:40CHIMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot45
47.2%
42
52.8%
Q2 - 5:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 5:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
51.4%
40
48.6%
Q2 - 6:11CHIMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot45
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)45
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
59.6%
37
40.4%
Q2 - 6:38CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
60.5%
37
39.5%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)45
62.7%
37
37.3%
Q2 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
64.8%
35
35.2%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot45
66.8%
35
33.2%
Q2 - 7:18CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 7:18CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 7:21MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)43
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 7:45CHISmith 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gray 1 AST)43
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (14 PTS)41
56.2%
35
43.8%
Q2 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 8:20CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot41
59.2%
33
40.8%
Q2 - 8:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
61.2%
33
38.8%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 241
62.3%
32
37.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 8:45CHIMISS Thomas Layup41
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 8:48CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 8:49CHIMISS Gordon 19' Jump Shot41
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
63.9%
31
36.1%
Q2 - 9:28CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 9:28CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
64.7%
30
35.3%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)39
62.9%
30
37.1%
Q2 - 9:43CHIWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T1)39
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 9:46CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
62.9%
30
37.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot39
62.1%
30
37.9%
Q2 - 9:58CHISefolosha 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)39
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 10:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
57.7%
30
42.3%
Q2 - 10:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
62.2%
27
37.8%
Q2 - 10:16CHIMISS Sefolosha 8' Jump Shot37
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q2 - 10:39CHIMISS Nocioni 14' Jump Shot37
65.3%
26
34.7%
Q2 - 10:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
67.0%
26
33.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
68.0%
25
32.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 10:57MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot37
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q2 - 11:15CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)37
66.0%
25
34.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (8 PTS)34
61.5%
25
38.5%
Q2 - 11:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup34
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI34
63.8%
23
36.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
66.5%
22
33.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)34
67.7%
21
32.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
62.8%
21
37.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot31
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIWallace Layup (5 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)31
61.2%
21
38.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
58.3%
21
41.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHISefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHISefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
55.7%
21
44.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
53.4%
21
46.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q1 - 1:05MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q1 - 1:06CHIMISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot27
52.3%
21
47.7%
Q1 - 1:16CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 1:18CHIMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
52.3%
21
47.7%
Q1 - 1:29CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 227
53.4%
21
46.6%
Q1 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
51.7%
21
48.3%
Q1 - 1:47CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)27
54.1%
20
45.9%
Q1 - 2:01MIAWilliams 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
49.1%
20
50.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 2:08CHIMISS Deng 7' Hook Shot24
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 2:22CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot24
53.1%
18
46.9%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 2:33CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot24
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q1 - 2:49MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)24
53.8%
18
46.2%
Q1 - 3:06CHIDeng Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)24
50.6%
18
49.4%
Q1 - 3:24CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot22
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 3:38CHIWallace Dunk (3 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)22
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 3:51MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)20
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 4:00CHISmith Tip Shot (8 PTS)20
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 4:02CHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 4:04CHIMISS Deng Driving Layup18
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 4:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 4:28CHIMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot18
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)18
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 5:05CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
49.4%
12
50.6%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
49.5%
10
50.5%
Q1 - 5:35CHIMISS Duhon Driving Finger Roll Layup16
50.2%
10
49.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
51.9%
10
48.1%
Q1 - 6:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot16
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 6:29CHISmith 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)16
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:40CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot14
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 6:55CHISmith 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 7:16MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:43CHIDeng 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 7:55MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
46.4%
6
53.6%
Q1 - 8:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 8:16CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 210
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 8:16CHIWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 8:30CHISefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot9
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 8:47CHIDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)9
46.2%
4
53.8%
Q1 - 8:58CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.0%
4
58.0%
Q1 - 9:21CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)6
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 9:33CHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:48CHISmith 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 10:12MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:25CHIMISS Sefolosha 18' Jump Shot2
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 10:58CHISefolosha 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)2
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:35CHIMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to0
38.5%
0
61.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.30 64.9%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
15
22
68%
MIA
18
26
69%
Midrange
CHI
23
43
53%
MIA
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
CHI
23
29
79%
MIA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon2467%12.0 / 18
J. Smith2396%11.5 / 12
L. Deng2162%10.5 / 17
A. Nocioni2071%10.0 / 14
T. Sefolosha1777%8.5 / 11
B. Wallace758%3.5 / 6
A. Griffin4100%2.0 / 2
C. Duhon321%1.5 / 7
J. Noah338%1.5 / 4
A. Gray2100%1.0 / 1
V. Khryapa2100%1.0 / 1
T. Thomas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2448%12.0 / 25
S. O'Neal2460%12.0 / 20
J. Williams1777%8.5 / 11
U. Haslem1575%7.5 / 10
R. Davis550%2.5 / 5
D. Cook536%2.5 / 7
D. Wright425%2.0 / 8
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
84
+12
-9
96
MIA
77
+14
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.30 64.9%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.1
100.2
CHI 135.5 +33.4
MIA 102.1
Pace
93.0
90.5
CHI 95.9 +4.6
MIA 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.3
CHI 15.0 +0.8
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.0%
48.2%
CHI 62.8% +13.4%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
15.1%
15.4%
CHI 8.7% +7.4%
MIA 16.1%
ORB %
28.9%
22.2%
CHI 27.8%
MIA 29.3% +1.5%
FTrt
29.6
30.0
CHI 35.4 +0.3
MIA 35.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
CHI 59.6% +4.0%
MIA 55.6%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
CHI 11.8% +7.5%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
8.5%
7.1%
CHI 1.6%
MIA 3.1% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
50.6%
CHI 64.9% +12.2%
MIA 52.7%
Rim FG%
53.0%
59.2%
CHI 68.2%
MIA 69.2% +1.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.8%
CHI 53.5% +16.7%
MIA 36.8%
3P %
36.3%
35.8%
CHI 52.9% +22.1%
MIA 30.8%
FT %
75.6%
72.7%
CHI 79.3% +5.2%
MIA 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.5%
30.2%
CHI 26.8%
MIA 33.8% +6.9%
Mid Att. %
48.4%
48.1%
CHI 52.4%
MIA 49.4% +3.1%
3P Att. %
19.0%
21.7%
CHI 20.7% +3.8%
MIA 16.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.22 and 2.22.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points12696
Rebounds3938
Assists2820
Steals114
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)26 (1)
Field Goals47-8236-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2218-26
Midrange FG23-4314-38
2-Point FG38-6532-64
3-Point FG9-174-13
Free Throws23-2920-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 240 · 33
32.7
7
58%
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 23
31.3
21
62%
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
9-15
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
29.6
3
21%
0
7
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 225 · 32
26.9
23
96%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
9-10
90%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 220 · 24
26.8
17
77%
6
2
2
0
1
4
0
6
5-5
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
36.1
24
67%
3
4
2
0
3
1
0
3
8-10
80%
2-6
33%
4-7
57%
· 6'7" 225 · 28
18.4
20
71%
4
2
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-2
0%
4-8
50%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 230 · 23
16.5
3
38%
8
1
1
0
1
2
3
5
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 21
7.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 23
6.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 34
4.5
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 210 · 25
3.5
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#12 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 216 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
126
65%
39
28
11
1
9
0
10
29
23-29
79%
38-65
58%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.