for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 11, 2008
FinalWin Prob.pScore
26
Heat
22%91
88
8
Hornets
78%101
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.18787.7
NOH
129.58887.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAL. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Armstrong Layup85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:02MIAArmstrong BLOCK (2 BLK)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:19MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:21NOHMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:41MIAL. Jackson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:45MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:46NOHMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:03MIACook 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:24NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:24NOHArmstrong Dunk (3 PTS)83
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:26NOHMISS Bowen Layup83
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)83
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:53NOHBowen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 7 AST)83
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS L. Jackson 10' Jump Shot83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27NOHMISS Vinicius Free Throw 3 of 383
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27NOHVinicius Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)83
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27NOHMISS Vinicius Free Throw 1 of 383
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34NOHBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAMISS Wright Layup83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHeat Rebound83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50NOHMISS Vinicius 19' Jump Shot83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52NOHVinicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54NOHMISS Butler Layup83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31NOHArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31NOHMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00NOHPargo 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43NOHChandler Layup (19 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)73
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33MIABowen STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51NOHBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)73
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20NOHPaul Backcourt Turnover (P5.T11)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46NOHJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)71
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24NOHMISS Ely Layup71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS L. Jackson 19' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAHeat Rebound71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:30NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48NOHEly 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)71
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:28NOHPaul 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:49MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 11:03NOHWest 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 11:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot66
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 11:42NOHJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)66
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPaul 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 5 AST)66
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)66
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)64
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 1:02MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)64
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 1:15NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 1:36MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)62
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 1:57NOHPaul 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:03NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot60
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 2:15NOHMISS Ely 15' Jump Shot60
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 2:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q3 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot60
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 2:51NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot60
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)60
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 3:22NOHJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)58
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 3:45MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)58
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 4:04NOHJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)58
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 4:17NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot58
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 4:47NOHStojakovic 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)58
6.4%
67
93.6%
Q3 - 5:00NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot58
8.1%
65
91.9%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHeat Rebound58
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 5:24NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 5:47MIABlount Dunk (23 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)58
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 6:01NOHPaul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)56
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 6:02NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
5.9%
65
94.1%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot56
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 6:19NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)56
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 6:40MIABlount Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)56
7.9%
63
92.1%
Q3 - 6:51NOHChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 6:51NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 7:06MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)56
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 7:17NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot54
9.0%
61
91.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWade Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
7.1%
61
92.9%
Q3 - 7:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot52
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q3 - 8:15MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 8:34NOHWest Layup (6 PTS)50
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 8:35NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 8:38NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot50
6.9%
59
93.1%
Q3 - 8:51NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot50
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 9:15NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)50
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
8.2%
57
91.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 9:38NOHMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot47
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 9:41NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 9:42NOHMISS Chandler Layup47
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 9:44NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
5.4%
57
94.6%
Q3 - 9:45NOHMISS Chandler Layup47
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)47
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 10:23NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)45
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 10:45MIABlount Dunk (21 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)45
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 10:57NOHChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:59MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)43
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q3 - 11:15NOHWest Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)43
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAHaslem 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot41
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIABlount 23' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)41
3.6%
55
96.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)39
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 1:04NOHChandler Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)39
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAPargo STEAL (1 STL)39
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 1:28NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot39
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)39
3.8%
53
96.2%
Q2 - 1:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot39
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 2:10NOHPargo 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)39
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 2:16NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.1%
51
94.9%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 2:24NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot39
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 2:48MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 3:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 3:09NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot37
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIABlount Dunk (15 PTS)37
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 3:50NOHPargo 13' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)35
3.7%
51
96.3%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)35
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 4:29NOHChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 4:36NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Blount 9' Jump Shot33
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 4:48MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 4:50NOHMISS Ely 7' Hook Shot33
3.7%
49
96.3%
Q2 - 5:03MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 5:21NOHEly 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)31
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 5:34NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot31
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 5:58NOHPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)31
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 6:22MIAEly STEAL (1 STL)31
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 6:26MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot31
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 6:47MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade Dunk31
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 6:57MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)31
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 7:19NOHChandler Dunk (7 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)30
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 7:24NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
5.8%
42
94.2%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot30
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 7:40NOHChandler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)30
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 7:55NOHPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot30
7.2%
40
92.8%
Q2 - 8:24NOHPargo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)30
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 8:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)30
7.1%
40
92.9%
Q2 - 8:42MIAHeat Rebound30
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 8:42MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)30
7.3%
40
92.7%
Q2 - 9:01NOHJackson 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)30
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 9:26MIAAl. Johnson Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)30
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 9:51NOHBowen Layup (2 PTS) (West 4 AST)28
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 10:04NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot28
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 10:33NOHEly 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)28
9.7%
36
90.3%
Q2 - 10:39NOHJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot28
10.8%
34
89.2%
Q2 - 10:53MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 10:54NOHMISS Ely 10' Hook Shot28
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 11:13MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)28
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 11:30NOHJackson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 3 AST)26
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
9.6%
32
90.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0NOHEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWest BLOCK (2 BLK)24
9.1%
32
90.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0NOHPaul 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
9.5%
32
90.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABlount Dunk (9 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)24
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q1 - 1:00NOHPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)22
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q1 - 1:17MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Al. Johnson 1 AST)22
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q1 - 1:38NOHJackson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)20
10.4%
27
89.6%
Q1 - 1:52MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 2:15NOHJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)18
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 2:35MIAWade Layup (3 PTS)18
13.5%
21
86.5%
Q1 - 2:40NOHEly Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
11.5%
21
88.5%
Q1 - 3:11NOHJackson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)16
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 3:24NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot16
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:39NOHStojakovic 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)16
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 3:48MIABlount 9' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 4:00NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot14
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 4:10NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
14.2%
16
85.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot14
14.6%
16
85.4%
Q1 - 4:28NOHStojakovic Layup (5 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)14
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 4:32MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)14
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 4:48NOHStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS) (West 2 AST)14
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 5:14NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot14
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 5:29NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:29NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 214
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 5:42NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.9%
11
80.1%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 214
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 5:58MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 6:00NOHMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 213
19.9%
11
80.1%
Q1 - 6:00NOHChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 6:14MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 212
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 6:28NOHWest 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 6:47MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 6:54MIAHeat Rebound10
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot10
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 7:06MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 7:07NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot10
18.8%
8
81.2%
Q1 - 7:21MIABlount Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 7:37NOHChandler 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 7:55NOHHORNETS Rebound8
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot8
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 8:08NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot8
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)8
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 8:30NOHMISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot5
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 8:54MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
14.6%
6
85.4%
Q1 - 9:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 9:05NOHMISS Chandler 10' Hook Shot3
13.4%
6
86.6%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)3
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:43NOHPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:55NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
3
87.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot0
13.0%
3
87.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHeat Rebound0
13.8%
3
86.2%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot0
13.0%
3
87.0%
Q1 - 10:18NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
13.6%
3
86.4%
Q1 - 10:21NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 10:24NOHMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 10:35NOHChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 10:59NOHPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 11:09NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:22MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWest BLOCK (1 BLK)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:34MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 11:35NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot0
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Chandler vs. Blount: Tip to Stojakovic0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
NOH
1.37 68.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
17
59%
NOH
12
18
67%
Midrange
MIA
20
46
43%
NOH
22
38
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
NOH
13
19.5
21
62%
93%
Free Throws
MIA
7
9
78%
NOH
7
12
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Blount2779%13.5 / 17
J. Williams1275%6.0 / 8
D. Wade1134%5.5 / 16
R. Davis935%4.5 / 13
C. Quinn8100%4.0 / 4
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
L. Jackson542%2.5 / 6
D. Cook433%2.0 / 6
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jackson25139%12.5 / 9
T. Chandler1963%9.5 / 15
C. Paul16114%8.0 / 7
P. Stojakovic1568%7.5 / 11
D. West1146%5.5 / 12
J. Pargo9113%4.5 / 4
M. Ely643%3.0 / 7
R. Bowen675%3.0 / 4
M. Peterson338%1.5 / 4
H. Armstrong350%1.5 / 3
M. Vinicius125%0.5 / 2
R. Butler0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+10
-13
84
NOH
77
+6
-11
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.2%
NOH
1.37 68.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
110.8
MIA 101.1
NOH 129.5 +28.4
Pace
90.5
90.5
MIA 87.7 +0.3
NOH 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 16.4 +0.1
NOH 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.2%
MIA 51.9%
NOH 69.5% +17.6%
TO %
15.4%
12.4%
MIA 14.6%
NOH 11.8% +2.8%
ORB %
22.2%
27.1%
MIA 13.9%
NOH 20.0% +6.1%
FTrt
30.0
25.1
MIA 11.5
NOH 15.6 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
56.4%
MIA 78.4%
NOH 78.7% +0.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.6%
MIA 5.7%
NOH 8.0% +2.3%
BLK %
7.1%
6.4%
MIA 0.0%
NOH 9.5% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.3%
MIA 51.2%
NOH 68.7% +17.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.2%
MIA 58.8%
NOH 66.7% +7.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.1%
MIA 43.5%
NOH 57.9% +14.4%
3P %
35.8%
38.9%
MIA 46.7%
NOH 61.9% +15.2%
FT %
72.7%
76.9%
MIA 77.8% +19.5%
NOH 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
29.6%
MIA 21.8%
NOH 23.4% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
46.5%
MIA 59.0%
NOH 49.4% +9.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
23.9%
MIA 19.2%
NOH 27.3% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points88114
Rebounds2937
Assists2937
Steals57
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals37-7847-77
At-the-Rim FG10-1712-18
Midrange FG20-4622-38
2-Point FG30-6334-56
3-Point FG7-1513-21
Free Throws7-97-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
26 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Mark Blount
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
37.8
27
79%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
13-16
81%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
36.5
11
34%
1
7
2
0
3
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
35.9
9
35%
8
7
1
0
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
30.9
12
75%
2
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
25.6
6
50%
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
20.0
4
33%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
17.1
8
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
14.4
4
67%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
9.1
5
42%
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
5.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
Smush Parker
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
51%
29
29
5
0
13
0
5
24
7-9
78%
30-63
48%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.