FinalWin Prob.pScore
2545%95
92
2755%97
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.994103.2
MIL logo MIL
104.39486.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL92
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Davis 28' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)92
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)92
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade Layup (34 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)92
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)90
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)90
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot90
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
10.2%
93
89.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot90
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)90
8.3%
93
91.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound87
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 1:00MILMISS Bell 15' Jump Shot87
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 1:23MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade Layup87
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 1:36MILSimmons 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)87
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)87
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 2:11MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q4 - 2:11MILBUCKS Rebound85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot85
10.7%
89
89.3%
Q4 - 2:17MILBell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)85
16.3%
89
83.7%
Q4 - 2:20MILBUCKS Rebound85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 2:20MILMISS Simmons Layup85
13.6%
89
86.4%
Q4 - 2:20MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 2:20MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot85
13.6%
89
86.4%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)85
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)84
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHeat Rebound83
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Williams Layup83
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 2:51MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)83
8.2%
89
91.8%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)83
15.1%
86
84.9%
Q4 - 3:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)82
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 3:13MILYi Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)81
12.2%
86
87.8%
Q4 - 3:34MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 280
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 3:51MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
10.2%
86
89.8%
Q4 - 3:51MILMISS Bell Free Throw 1 of 280
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)80
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 4:17MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 4:19MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot77
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (32 PTS)77
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 5:00MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 275
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 5:00MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 275
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)75
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)74
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 5:34MILMISS Simmons 20' Jump Shot73
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)72
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 6:13MILSimmons 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)71
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 6:34MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 7:03MILWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)71
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)71
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 270
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade Layup70
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot70
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 7:36MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)70
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 7:37MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T15)70
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 7:46MILYi Layup (9 PTS)70
5.9%
80
94.1%
Q4 - 7:48MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 7:49MILMISS Yi Hook Shot70
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)70
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q4 - 8:32MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 8:32MILMISS Yi Free Throw 1 of 270
11.5%
77
88.5%
Q4 - 8:36MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Cook 8' Jump Shot70
11.8%
77
88.2%
Q4 - 8:53MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)70
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q4 - 8:53MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)70
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 8:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
17.0%
75
83.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAYi BLOCK (2 BLK)70
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)70
22.4%
75
77.6%
Q4 - 9:12MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot70
21.0%
75
79.0%
Q4 - 9:28MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 9:30MIAYi BLOCK (1 BLK)70
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q4 - 9:51MILBell Layup (10 PTS) (Simmons 4 AST)70
22.3%
75
77.7%
Q4 - 10:07MIACook Layup (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)70
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q4 - 10:22MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
23.3%
73
76.7%
Q4 - 10:22MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)68
23.8%
72
76.2%
Q4 - 10:30MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q4 - 10:32MILMISS Yi 16' Jump Shot68
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q4 - 10:43MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)68
27.2%
71
72.8%
Q4 - 10:59MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS)68
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHeat Rebound66
28.1%
70
71.9%
Q4 - 11:14MILMISS Yi 15' Jump Shot66
26.7%
70
73.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T13)66
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q4 - 11:40MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
28.1%
70
71.9%
Q4 - 11:41MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 166
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound66
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 37' 3PT Jump Shot66
36.0%
68
64.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)66
33.3%
68
66.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
37.9%
68
62.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
38.8%
67
61.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIABogut STEAL (3 STL)66
42.9%
66
57.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILBogut Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)66
48.0%
66
52.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
53.1%
64
46.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
54.7%
64
45.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
58.2%
64
41.8%
Q3 - 1:01MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
56.0%
64
44.0%
Q3 - 1:17MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
52.6%
64
47.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot66
54.1%
64
45.9%
Q3 - 1:38MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P4.T11)66
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)66
52.6%
64
47.4%
Q3 - 1:56MILVillanueva Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)63
43.0%
64
57.0%
Q3 - 2:07MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
37.8%
64
62.2%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot63
39.3%
64
60.7%
Q3 - 2:25MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 2:26MILMISS Villanueva Layup63
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWilliams Layup (15 PTS)63
37.9%
64
62.1%
Q3 - 3:02MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 3:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
30.3%
64
69.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
31.5%
64
68.5%
Q3 - 3:37MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)61
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (24 PTS)61
38.3%
62
61.7%
Q3 - 4:12MILVillanueva Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)59
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 4:35MIABarron Layup (5 PTS)59
30.3%
62
69.7%
Q3 - 4:35MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Williams Layup57
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 4:47MILMISS Williams Layup57
26.1%
62
73.9%
Q3 - 5:03MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
24.4%
62
75.6%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot57
25.4%
62
74.6%
Q3 - 5:12MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
27.8%
62
72.2%
Q3 - 5:14MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot57
26.7%
62
73.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade Layup (22 PTS)57
24.3%
62
75.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)55
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 5:36MIAVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)55
19.5%
62
80.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 255
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q3 - 5:41MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
20.8%
62
79.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Barron Layup54
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound54
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q3 - 5:57MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWilliams Layup (13 PTS)54
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 6:23MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 6:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)52
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)51
12.6%
62
87.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 7:02MILMISS Simmons 17' Jump Shot50
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 7:28MIADavis Foul Turnover (P2.T10)50
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIAHeat Rebound50
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 7:37MILMISS Bogut Hook Shot50
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q3 - 7:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
10.1%
62
89.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
10.6%
62
89.4%
Q3 - 8:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 8:14MILBogut Tip Shot (13 PTS)50
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q3 - 8:16MILMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot50
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q3 - 8:37MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 8:51MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 8:52MILMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot50
15.3%
60
84.7%
Q3 - 8:56MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
13.8%
60
86.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 9:08MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 9:10MILMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot50
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 9:20MILBUCKS Rebound50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Williams Layup50
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 9:23MIASimmons STEAL (2 STL)50
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 9:40MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)50
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIASimmons STEAL (1 STL)50
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
21.4%
58
78.6%
Q3 - 10:07MILMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot50
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 10:22MILWilliams Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)50
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q3 - 10:33MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot50
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 10:46MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 10:47MILMISS Yi 3' Jump Shot50
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q3 - 11:02MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot50
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 11:24MILYi 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)50
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q3 - 11:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q3 - 11:49MIAMISS Davis Layup50
27.6%
55
72.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound50
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 38' 3PT Jump Shot50
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade Running Dunk (18 PTS)50
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MILMISS Simmons 28' 3PT Jump Shot48
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAWade Reverse Layup (16 PTS)48
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILWilliams Layup (17 PTS)46
19.9%
55
80.1%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
23.6%
53
76.4%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q2 - 1:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)44
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 1:10MILBogut Foul Turnover (P3.T7)44
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWade Layup (12 PTS)44
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 1:41MILBogut 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)42
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q2 - 2:07MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)42
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 2:12MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 2:19MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot39
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 2:35MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 2:36MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 139
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 2:57MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound37
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 2:57MILMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot37
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 3:38MILBell Layup (6 PTS) (Yi 3 AST)34
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 3:43MIAYi STEAL (1 STL)34
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 3:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 3:51MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 4:11MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
14.1%
47
85.9%
Q2 - 4:21MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)32
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWilliams 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:54MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)30
14.1%
44
85.9%
Q2 - 4:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
17.1%
41
82.9%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot30
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 5:22MILSimmons 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yi 2 AST)30
19.2%
41
80.8%
Q2 - 5:43MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 130
23.1%
38
76.9%
Q2 - 5:47MILYi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 6:09MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot26
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 6:29MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 226
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
17.6%
38
82.4%
Q2 - 6:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 6:41MILMISS Bell 22' Jump Shot25
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 6:50MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 7:05MILVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)25
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 7:21MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot25
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q2 - 7:34MILRuffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 7:34MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 7:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
24.0%
33
76.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIARuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)25
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 8:05MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
26.4%
33
73.6%
Q2 - 8:05MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 8:17MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 8:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot23
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q2 - 8:57MILBell Layup (4 PTS)23
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 9:05MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 9:12MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 9:14MILMISS Simmons Layup23
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q2 - 9:26MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot23
29.2%
29
70.8%
Q2 - 9:45MILSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 9:53MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 9:54MIAMISS Haslem Layup23
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 10:16MILBell 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 10:26MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 10:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 223
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 223
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q2 - 10:59MILBogut Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)23
35.3%
27
64.7%
Q2 - 11:14MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q2 - 11:22MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q2 - 11:23MILMISS Villanueva 7' Hook Shot23
39.0%
25
61.0%
Q2 - 11:45MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Barron Layup23
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound23
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Barron 66' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.1%
25
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Ivey 27' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.8%
25
61.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
37.6%
25
62.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
33.3%
25
66.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
32.8%
25
67.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q1 - 1:10MILMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot19
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q1 - 1:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 1:30MILBUCKS Rebound19
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 1:30MILMISS Ivey Layup19
30.4%
25
69.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIABogut STEAL (2 STL)19
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 1:54MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)19
30.8%
25
69.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Davis Layup17
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 2:21MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:44MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)17
29.4%
23
70.6%
Q1 - 2:48MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)15
25.6%
23
74.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot15
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIABarron 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 3:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q1 - 3:41MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 213
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 3:41MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q1 - 3:56MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T4)13
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 4:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 4:05MILMISS Ivey 15' Jump Shot13
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
24.4%
22
75.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 4:31MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 4:32MILMISS Bogut 4' Hook Shot11
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 4:47MILBUCKS Rebound11
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot11
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 5:11MILIvey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
23.7%
22
76.3%
Q1 - 5:30MIABlount Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)11
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 5:47MILBogut Driving Dunk (4 PTS)9
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIABlount 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 6:23MILYi 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 6:40MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 7:00MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)7
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 7:11MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)7
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 7:25MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)7
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 7:28MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot7
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 7:47MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)7
36.3%
11
63.7%
Q1 - 8:05MIABlount Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
38.1%
9
61.9%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 8:14MILMISS Yi 10' Jump Hook Shot5
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)5
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 8:42MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 8:42MILYi Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 8:45MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot5
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:50MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
38.1%
7
61.9%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot5
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 9:08MILWilliams Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)5
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 9:23MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 9:40MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)5
43.7%
5
56.3%
Q1 - 9:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 25
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:18MILBogut 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Yi 1 AST)4
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 10:41MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)4
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 10:56MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:15MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:34MILMISS Ivey 3PT Jump Shot0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Blount: Tip to Ivey0
41.6%
0
58.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
32
56%
MIL
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
8
27
30%
MIL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
28
36
78%
MIL
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3461%17.0 / 28
J. Williams2355%11.5 / 21
R. Davis950%4.5 / 9
M. Blount956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem739%3.5 / 9
E. Barron536%2.5 / 7
C. Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
D. Cook213%1.0 / 8
A. Johnson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams3567%17.5 / 26
A. Bogut1777%8.5 / 11
B. Simmons1240%6.0 / 15
C. Bell1150%5.5 / 11
J. Yi1045%5.0 / 11
C. Villanueva744%3.5 / 8
M. Ruffin467%2.0 / 3
R. Ivey220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+14
-15
93
MIL
80
+12
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
MIL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
105.5
MIA 97.9 +6.4
MIL 104.3
Pace
90.5
91.2
MIA 103.2 +16.8
MIL 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
MIA 14.0 +2.7
MIL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.2%
MIA 42.7%
MIL 48.1% +5.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIA 14.2%
MIL 13.3% +0.9%
ORB %
22.2%
30.1%
MIA 26.1% +7.7%
MIL 18.4%
FTrt
30.0
29.4
MIA 48.0 +6.4
MIL 41.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.2%
MIA 53.3%
MIL 67.6% +14.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
MIA 7.4%
MIL 7.4%
BLK %
7.1%
7.2%
MIA 5.2%
MIL 8.5% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.9%
MIA 49.5%
MIL 52.7% +3.2%
Rim FG%
59.2%
54.3%
MIA 56.3%
MIL 61.5% +5.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.4%
MIA 29.6%
MIL 37.5% +7.9%
3P %
35.8%
34.4%
MIA 25.0%
MIL 31.6% +6.6%
FT %
72.7%
73.3%
MIA 77.8% +2.8%
MIL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
37.4%
MIA 42.7% +8.9%
MIL 33.8%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
43.2%
MIA 36.0% +5.6%
MIL 41.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
19.5%
MIA 21.3%
MIL 24.7% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points9298
Rebounds4341
Assists1623
Steals77
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (5)34 (2)
Field Goals30-7534-77
At-the-Rim FG18-3216-26
Midrange FG8-2712-32
2-Point FG26-5928-58
3-Point FG4-166-19
Free Throws28-3624-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
44.3
9
50%
10
6
0
0
3
3
3
7
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
40.9
34
61%
9
5
3
0
5
1
4
5
12-13
92%
11-22
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
33.1
7
39%
5
0
0
1
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
21.9
9
56%
5
1
0
0
4
3
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
7.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
37.1
23
55%
0
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
6-7
86%
4-9
44%
3-9
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
25.4
2
13%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
13.6
5
36%
7
0
0
0
1
5
3
4
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
8.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
7.4
1
50%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
50%
43
16
7
3
15
0
12
31
28-36
78%
26-59
44%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.