FinalWin Prob.pScore
2639%97
94
2161%101
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.29288.9
MEM logo MEM
107.49497.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM94
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (17 PTS)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MEMNavarro Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)92
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMMISS Navarro Free Throw 2 of 292
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMNavarro Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)92
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)92
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 292
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 292
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Davis Layup92
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
4.6%
96
95.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0MEMGay 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)92
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 1:04MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
13.9%
94
86.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
15.0%
94
85.0%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
21.0%
94
79.0%
Q4 - 1:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
25.0%
94
75.0%
Q4 - 1:17MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot92
21.6%
94
78.4%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
17.1%
94
82.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot92
19.8%
94
80.2%
Q4 - 1:57MEMGasol Layup (28 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)92
26.9%
94
73.1%
Q4 - 2:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
34.9%
92
65.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot92
39.7%
92
60.3%
Q4 - 2:28MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)92
51.6%
92
48.4%
Q4 - 2:31MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
34.7%
92
65.3%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Blount Dunk92
39.6%
92
60.4%
Q4 - 2:52MEMConley Layup (11 PTS)92
49.6%
92
50.4%
Q4 - 2:58MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
56.4%
90
43.6%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot92
60.8%
90
39.2%
Q4 - 3:07MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)92
70.2%
90
29.8%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)92
56.1%
90
43.9%
Q4 - 3:43MEMConley 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)90
46.9%
90
53.1%
Q4 - 3:57MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound90
55.8%
88
44.2%
Q4 - 3:57MEMMISS Gasol Layup90
62.5%
88
37.5%
Q4 - 4:01MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
55.9%
88
44.1%
Q4 - 4:02MEMMISS Navarro 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
62.5%
88
37.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)90
56.0%
88
44.0%
Q4 - 4:31MIAHeat Rebound87
37.9%
88
62.1%
Q4 - 4:32MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
35.0%
88
65.0%
Q4 - 4:37MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
28.9%
88
71.1%
Q4 - 4:40MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
35.0%
88
65.0%
Q4 - 5:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)87
29.9%
88
70.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS)87
29.9%
88
70.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
23.7%
88
76.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)85
19.6%
88
80.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup85
19.6%
88
80.4%
Q4 - 5:31MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
23.6%
88
76.4%
Q4 - 5:31MEMMiller Tip Shot (23 PTS)85
23.6%
88
76.4%
Q4 - 5:32MEMMISS Gay 22' Jump Shot85
35.2%
86
64.8%
Q4 - 5:55MIAHaslem 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)85
29.9%
86
70.1%
Q4 - 6:09MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 6:09MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q4 - 6:37MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)83
30.0%
84
70.0%
Q4 - 6:45MEMLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)80
19.6%
84
80.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)80
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
13.3%
84
86.7%
Q4 - 7:15MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.3%
84
87.7%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWade Layup (16 PTS)78
10.1%
84
89.9%
Q4 - 7:47MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q4 - 7:47MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)76
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 8:07MEMGay 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 8:28MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)76
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q4 - 8:56MEMSwift Foul Turnover (P1.T12)74
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 9:07MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound74
12.4%
80
87.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot74
13.3%
80
86.7%
Q4 - 9:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q4 - 9:24MEMGasol Putback Layup (26 PTS)74
15.4%
80
84.6%
Q4 - 9:26MEMMISS Jacobsen 22' Jump Shot74
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q4 - 9:33MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
18.6%
78
81.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot74
19.8%
78
80.2%
Q4 - 9:57MEMGay 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q4 - 10:26MEMGay 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)72
23.5%
76
76.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)72
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q4 - 11:02MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)69
20.3%
74
79.7%
Q4 - 11:02MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)69
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)69
23.8%
72
76.2%
Q4 - 11:43MEMGasol 6' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)66
17.0%
72
83.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM66
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound66
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Gay 31' 3PT Jump Shot66
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
21.0%
70
79.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Rebound64
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MEMMISS Gay 9' Floating Jump Shot64
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIADavis Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T12)64
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0MEMJacobsen Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)64
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound64
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot64
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q3 - 1:06MEMMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot64
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 1:11MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
15.7%
70
84.3%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Barron 10' Jump Shot64
16.5%
70
83.5%
Q3 - 1:25MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q3 - 1:27MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 1:42MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot64
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q3 - 2:00MEMSwift 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)64
18.4%
70
81.6%
Q3 - 2:25MIADavis Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)64
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.0%
68
81.0%
Q3 - 2:32MEMMISS Gasol Layup62
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 2:47MIAWade 14' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)62
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 3:09MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)60
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 3:22MIADavis 23' Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
16.7%
66
83.3%
Q3 - 3:26MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)58
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)58
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q3 - 3:47MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q3 - 3:47MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 258
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 4:04MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 258
15.0%
65
85.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 258
16.4%
65
83.6%
Q3 - 4:19MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)58
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 4:35MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)58
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 258
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
24.8%
62
75.2%
Q3 - 4:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 4:56MEMMISS Conley 21' Jump Shot57
21.9%
62
78.1%
Q3 - 5:14MIADavis 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q3 - 5:29MEMMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot55
17.0%
62
83.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 5:58MEMMiller Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)53
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:58MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 353
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q3 - 5:58MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)53
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q3 - 6:17MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
15.9%
60
84.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 6:39MEMMilicic Layup (8 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)53
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 6:52MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Quinn Running Layup53
21.5%
58
78.5%
Q3 - 7:20MEMGay 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
23.8%
58
76.2%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
26.3%
56
73.7%
Q3 - 7:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot51
21.7%
56
78.3%
Q3 - 7:56MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)51
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q3 - 7:59MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 8:01MEMMISS Gasol 10' Turnaround Jump Shot51
32.2%
53
67.8%
Q3 - 8:18MIADavis 7' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)51
29.7%
53
70.3%
Q3 - 8:33MEMGay 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)49
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q3 - 8:48MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)49
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q3 - 9:08MEMGasol 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)46
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 9:30MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot46
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q3 - 9:51MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)46
33.0%
48
67.0%
Q3 - 9:56MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot46
40.8%
45
59.2%
Q3 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q3 - 10:08MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIAConley STEAL (2 STL)46
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q3 - 10:31MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q3 - 10:43MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
39.2%
45
60.8%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot46
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q3 - 11:03MEMConley Layup (7 PTS)46
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q3 - 11:08MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
45.8%
43
54.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAMISS Blount 13' Turnaround Jump Shot46
46.9%
43
53.1%
Q3 - 11:32MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q3 - 11:32MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot46
48.4%
43
51.6%
Q3 - 11:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
45.9%
43
54.1%
Q3 - 11:49MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot46
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Gasol 3PT Jump Shot46
47.7%
43
52.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)46
46.1%
43
53.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0MEMConley Running Layup (5 PTS)46
48.5%
43
51.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MEMNavarro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot46
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
55.1%
41
44.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0MEMMISS Gasol Layup46
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 1:17MIABlount Layup (9 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)46
52.6%
41
47.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
47.9%
41
52.1%
Q2 - 1:25MEMMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIAHaslem 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 2:04MEMSwift Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)42
41.9%
41
58.1%
Q2 - 2:24MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)42
45.2%
39
54.8%
Q2 - 2:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
41.8%
39
58.2%
Q2 - 2:38MEMMISS Conley Layup40
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 2:50MIABlount Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
39.1%
39
60.9%
Q2 - 2:56MEMMISS Navarro 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHeat Rebound38
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 3:15MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 237
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)37
33.4%
39
66.6%
Q2 - 3:34MEMMISS Jacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
32.5%
39
67.5%
Q2 - 3:53MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)37
30.5%
39
69.5%
Q2 - 4:06MIABlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)37
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound37
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot37
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 4:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 4:32MEMMISS Navarro 3PT Jump Shot37
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 4:44MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)37
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 4:58MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 4:58MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)34
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 5:06MIABlount Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)34
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 5:21MEMMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot32
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 5:37MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)32
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 5:52MEMMISS Gay Layup32
25.4%
37
74.6%
Q2 - 6:10MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)32
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 6:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 6:23MEMMISS Gasol Layup29
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 6:31MIAConley STEAL (1 STL)29
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 6:46MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Navarro 1 AST)29
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 6:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot29
22.8%
35
77.2%
Q2 - 7:05MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot29
23.4%
35
76.6%
Q2 - 7:24MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)29
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q2 - 7:24MEMGasol Layup (14 PTS)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Davis 10' Jump Shot29
29.5%
32
70.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 7:46MEMMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot29
30.4%
32
69.6%
Q2 - 8:01MEMJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Davis 7' Jump Shot29
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:19MIAHeat Rebound29
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Blount Layup29
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 8:23MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)29
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:43MEMNavarro Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIADavis Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
28.8%
32
71.2%
Q2 - 9:06MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 9:18MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 9:35MEMMISS Milicic 8' Jump Hook Shot25
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 9:51MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.8%
32
78.2%
Q2 - 9:59MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 10:01MEMMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 10:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)25
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:27MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P3.T6)25
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q2 - 10:38MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound25
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:39MEMMISS Swift 14' Jump Shot25
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 10:52MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 11:08MEMMilicic 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)25
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 11:16MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot25
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 11:28MEMMiller Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
26.9%
30
73.1%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM22
25.0%
28
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound22
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Lowry 43' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot22
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T5)22
24.9%
28
75.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
23.5%
28
76.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Barron Layup22
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
24.9%
28
75.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
24.9%
28
75.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound22
27.1%
26
72.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot22
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 1:10MEMGay 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q1 - 1:13MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
31.1%
24
68.9%
Q1 - 1:14MEMMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot22
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
31.1%
24
68.9%
Q1 - 1:48MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)19
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 2:15MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q1 - 2:28MEMMilicic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)17
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 2:45MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 117
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 2:53MIAHeat Rebound15
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot15
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot15
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 3:20MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 3:59MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q1 - 3:59MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 4:15MIACook Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)15
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:34MEMMilicic Layup (4 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)13
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIADavis 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 4:58MEMGasol Dunk (8 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)11
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 5:14MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
27.9%
15
72.1%
Q1 - 5:44MEMGay Layup (2 PTS)11
29.2%
15
70.8%
Q1 - 5:55MIACook 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 6:15MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 6:15MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
29.5%
12
70.5%
Q1 - 6:23MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 6:38MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)9
32.7%
11
67.3%
Q1 - 6:42MEMMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 6:43MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 7:20MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
32.7%
9
67.3%
Q1 - 7:20MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 27
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 7:24MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 7:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 7:40MEMMISS Gasol 7' Running Hook Shot7
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 7:51MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot7
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 8:17MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 8:17MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 8:22MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Blount 6' Turnaround Jump Shot7
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 8:31MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 8:39MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 8:53MEMGasol Putback Layup (4 PTS)7
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:55MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 8:56MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 9:25MEMMISS Gasol Layup7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:35MIACook 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Cook 23' Jump Shot5
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 10:11MEMMilicic 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)5
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)5
39.2%
2
60.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:42MEMMISS Conley Layup2
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:46MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Blount Layup2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:13MEMGasol 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:29MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)2
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:44MEMMilicic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Blount: Tip to Milicic0
34.1%
0
65.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
MEM
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
MEM
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
18
45
40%
MEM
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MEM
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
Free Throws
MIA
6
13
46%
MEM
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2463%12.0 / 19
D. Wade1841%9.0 / 22
C. Quinn1785%8.5 / 10
U. Haslem1458%7.0 / 12
M. Blount1243%6.0 / 14
D. Cook941%4.5 / 11
E. Barron0-0.0 / 4
J. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Gasol2854%14.0 / 26
M. Miller2574%12.5 / 17
R. Gay2261%11.0 / 18
M. Conley1155%5.5 / 10
D. Milicic880%4.0 / 5
S. Swift467%2.0 / 3
J. Navarro330%1.5 / 5
C. Jacobsen0-0.0 / 3
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+15
-13
94
MEM
79
+14
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
MEM
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
104.9
MIA 102.2
MEM 107.4 +5.3
Pace
90.5
95.5
MIA 88.9
MEM 97.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.2
MEM 14.8 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.0%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 50.7% +0.7%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
MIA 12.2% +2.4%
MEM 14.6%
ORB %
22.2%
23.8%
MIA 26.1%
MEM 28.6% +2.5%
FTrt
30.0
31.1
MIA 14.8
MEM 43.2 +28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.4%
MIA 45.0%
MEM 57.1% +12.1%
STL %
7.9%
6.4%
MIA 8.7% +3.4%
MEM 5.3%
BLK %
7.1%
7.1%
MIA 3.8%
MEM 5.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.6%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 54.3% +4.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.4%
MIA 58.3%
MEM 69.2% +10.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.4%
MIA 40.0%
MEM 46.2% +6.2%
3P %
35.8%
34.9%
MIA 42.1% +19.4%
MEM 22.7%
FT %
72.7%
72.3%
MIA 46.2%
MEM 81.3% +35.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.1%
MIA 27.3%
MEM 35.1% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
37.5%
MIA 51.1%
MEM 35.1% +16.0%
3P Att. %
21.7%
26.4%
MIA 21.6%
MEM 29.7% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points94101
Rebounds3744
Assists1820
Steals85
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals40-8835-74
At-the-Rim FG14-2418-26
Midrange FG18-4512-26
2-Point FG32-6930-52
3-Point FG8-195-22
Free Throws6-1326-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
40.1
24
63%
3
6
1
0
4
2
1
2
0-1
0%
9-15
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
39.6
14
58%
12
0
0
1
1
5
5
7
0-0
-
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
33.0
12
43%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
2-6
33%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
31.9
9
41%
5
2
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
30.0
17
85%
0
0
3
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
29.1
18
41%
3
9
4
1
4
1
0
3
4-6
67%
7-18
39%
0-2
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
16.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
14.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
5.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
37
18
8
2
13
0
12
25
6-13
46%
32-69
46%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.