FinalWin Prob.pScore
2517%92
89
383%104
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.99083.0
DAL logo DAL
105.68997.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALHoward Running Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)89
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHarris STEAL (4 STL)89
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
9.1%
90
90.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Davis Running Reverse Layup89
12.1%
90
87.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)89
25.5%
90
74.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIADavis Driving Layup (17 PTS)89
9.7%
90
90.3%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Turnaround Jump Shot87
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 1:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 3 of 385
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)85
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 384
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 1:15DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)84
3.2%
89
96.8%
Q4 - 1:31DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Haslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 1:49DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)84
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q4 - 1:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
15.1%
85
84.9%
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper84
20.5%
85
79.5%
Q4 - 2:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
13.7%
85
86.3%
Q4 - 2:23MIANowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)84
16.3%
85
83.7%
Q4 - 2:38MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
23.9%
85
76.1%
Q4 - 2:39DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
20.2%
85
79.8%
Q4 - 2:55DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
15.1%
85
84.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot84
17.4%
85
82.6%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
24.1%
85
75.9%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Jones 19' Floating Jump Shot84
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q4 - 3:47MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)84
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 4:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 4:05DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot82
10.9%
85
89.1%
Q4 - 4:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q4 - 4:33DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)82
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q4 - 4:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot82
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 5:04DALHarris Foul Turnover (P5.T11)82
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 5:12MIANowitzki STEAL (2 STL)82
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q4 - 5:28DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)82
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)82
21.4%
82
78.6%
Q4 - 5:55DALHoward Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)82
28.0%
82
72.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)82
34.9%
80
65.1%
Q4 - 6:19DALHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)82
39.6%
80
60.4%
Q4 - 6:28MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)82
31.7%
80
68.3%
Q4 - 6:44DALHoward Running Slam Dunk (9 PTS)79
20.9%
80
79.1%
Q4 - 6:52DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot79
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q4 - 7:06MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
30.6%
78
69.4%
Q4 - 7:09DALMISS Howard 16' Fadeaway Jumper79
28.7%
78
71.3%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHarris STEAL (3 STL)79
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q4 - 7:41DALDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
30.8%
78
69.2%
Q4 - 7:52DALMAVERICKS Rebound79
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 8:08MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)79
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q4 - 8:24DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup79
28.0%
78
72.0%
Q4 - 8:33DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)79
26.0%
78
74.0%
Q4 - 8:59DALHarris 15' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
29.6%
78
70.4%
Q4 - 9:20MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)79
33.3%
76
66.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
28.4%
76
71.6%
Q4 - 9:41DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
26.9%
76
73.1%
Q4 - 9:55DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Cook 12' Fadeaway Jumper77
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q4 - 10:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
27.8%
76
72.2%
Q4 - 10:18DALMISS Harris Running Layup77
26.3%
76
73.7%
Q4 - 10:41MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)77
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q4 - 10:58DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
16.3%
76
83.7%
Q4 - 10:58DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
16.8%
75
83.2%
Q4 - 11:00MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)74
19.3%
74
80.7%
Q4 - 11:19DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)74
23.6%
74
76.4%
Q4 - 11:23DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot74
33.6%
71
66.4%
Q4 - 11:44MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
37.2%
71
62.8%
Q4 - 11:46DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot74
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL74
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 41' 3PT Jump Shot74
35.6%
71
64.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)74
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound72
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Pullup Jump Shot72
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 272
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
23.5%
71
76.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)72
26.8%
70
73.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
29.6%
70
70.4%
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 272
29.1%
70
70.9%
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
26.4%
70
73.6%
Q3 - 1:36MIABlount 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)72
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 2:04DALHassell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)70
21.5%
70
78.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIABlount Running Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)70
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q3 - 2:39DALMISS Terry 5' Hook Shot68
20.5%
68
79.5%
Q3 - 3:01MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)68
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 3:15DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
21.4%
68
78.6%
Q3 - 3:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Davis 21' Pullup Jump Shot68
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAHeat Rebound68
21.4%
68
78.6%
Q3 - 3:49DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
20.4%
68
79.6%
Q3 - 4:09MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
17.7%
68
82.3%
Q3 - 4:09MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
17.3%
68
82.7%
Q3 - 4:23DALTerry 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 4:46MIABlount Layup (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)66
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 5:00DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper64
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 5:21MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)64
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 5:41DALDiop Layup (6 PTS)62
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q3 - 5:43DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 5:44DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot62
14.8%
64
85.2%
Q3 - 5:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot62
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 6:25DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)62
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 6:38DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 6:39DALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
21.8%
61
78.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)62
19.8%
61
80.2%
Q3 - 7:10DALHarris Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)62
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 7:29MIACook 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)62
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound60
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q3 - 7:44DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot60
21.4%
59
78.6%
Q3 - 8:03DALJones Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q3 - 8:03DALJones Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)60
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 8:27DALJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)60
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)60
33.6%
54
66.4%
Q3 - 9:05DALHarris Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)60
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q3 - 9:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
32.1%
54
67.9%
Q3 - 9:12MIADiop BLOCK (2 BLK)60
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 9:35DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
35.6%
54
64.4%
Q3 - 9:49MIAHaslem Dunk (12 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)60
38.9%
52
61.1%
Q3 - 10:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
34.1%
52
65.9%
Q3 - 10:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
34.4%
51
65.6%
Q3 - 10:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
36.9%
50
63.1%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q3 - 10:25DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 10:25DALDiop Layup (4 PTS)58
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q3 - 10:28DALMISS Harris Running Layup58
46.6%
48
53.4%
Q3 - 10:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Cook 17' Turnaround Jump Shot58
45.1%
48
54.9%
Q3 - 10:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
47.8%
48
52.2%
Q3 - 10:54DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper58
46.6%
48
53.4%
Q3 - 11:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
42.0%
48
58.0%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot58
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q3 - 11:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 11:29DALMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot58
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)56
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 253
26.8%
48
73.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
28.6%
48
71.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)52
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q2 - 1:02MIACook Running Layup (7 PTS)52
29.0%
46
71.0%
Q2 - 1:13DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
25.3%
46
74.7%
Q2 - 1:23MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
20.7%
46
79.3%
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 2:02DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)48
23.0%
44
77.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAAl. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)48
25.4%
43
74.6%
Q2 - 2:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 2:26DALMISS Harris Layup46
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIACook 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)46
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 3:03DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
18.4%
43
81.6%
Q2 - 3:03DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 244
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)44
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 3:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 3:14DALMISS Nowitzki Putback Layup44
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 3:22DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 3:23DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot44
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 3:29DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot44
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
20.3%
42
79.7%
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical44
24.3%
39
75.7%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem Putback Layup (8 PTS)44
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup42
20.1%
39
79.9%
Q2 - 4:44DALHarris Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
21.5%
39
78.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 241
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 5:14DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)41
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 5:48DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)39
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
22.2%
34
77.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 238
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 6:05MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup38
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 6:18DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot38
21.9%
34
78.1%
Q2 - 6:29DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot38
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 6:48DALHarris Layup (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
22.7%
34
77.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIABarron Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
23.8%
32
76.2%
Q2 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound36
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 7:25DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot36
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 7:47DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q2 - 8:02DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
21.8%
32
78.2%
Q2 - 8:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 236
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
21.3%
32
78.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 8:18DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Layup35
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 8:25MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)35
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 8:40DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)35
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 8:57MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
23.1%
29
76.9%
Q2 - 9:09MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 9:11DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot33
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q2 - 9:47MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 9:48DALMISS George 16' Jump Shot31
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 10:07MIADavis Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)31
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 10:21DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 10:21DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q2 - 11:00DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)26
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q2 - 11:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot26
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 11:26DALStackhouse Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)26
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)26
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
14.9%
24
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 41' 3PT Jump Shot24
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)24
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)22
12.4%
24
87.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 3PT Jump Shot22
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 13' Jump Shot22
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot22
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 1:12DALMAVERICKS Rebound22
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot22
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 1:25MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot22
14.3%
22
85.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAQuinn 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 2:01DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot20
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 2:40DALHoward Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 2:51DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 3:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 3:06DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot18
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIADavis Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)18
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:26DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper16
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 3:35DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q1 - 3:39MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)16
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot16
10.3%
20
89.7%
Q1 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
9.4%
20
90.6%
Q1 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 4:27DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)14
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 4:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup14
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 5:11DALTerry Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)14
10.2%
18
89.8%
Q1 - 5:25MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 5:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)12
9.6%
16
90.4%
Q1 - 5:58DALHoward 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)12
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 6:32DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 6:42DALMISS Harris Layup12
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 7:03MIABlount Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)12
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 7:11MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot10
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 7:34DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 7:34DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 210
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
10.0%
13
90.0%
Q1 - 8:02DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
8.7%
13
91.3%
Q1 - 8:16DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.0%
13
92.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot7
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 8:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
8.7%
13
91.3%
Q1 - 8:57MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 9:26DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)4
8.6%
10
91.4%
Q1 - 9:34DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.7%
7
90.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.0%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 9:56DALJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)4
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 10:06MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
11.9%
4
88.1%
Q1 - 10:26DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
11.2%
4
88.8%
Q1 - 10:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 11:00DALDiop Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 11:13MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:20DALMISS Harris Driving Layup0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 20
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 20
12.5%
0
87.5%
Q1 - 11:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:49DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Blount: Tip to Harris0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
21
67%
DAL
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
DAL
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DAL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
DAL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis1750%8.5 / 17
M. Blount1777%8.5 / 11
U. Haslem1667%8.0 / 12
D. Cook1563%7.5 / 12
C. Quinn1050%5.0 / 10
A. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
E. Barron758%3.5 / 6
L. Jackson0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2455%12.0 / 22
J. Howard1843%9.0 / 21
E. Jones1794%8.5 / 9
D. Harris1547%7.5 / 16
J. Terry857%4.0 / 7
D. Diop6100%3.0 / 3
J. Stackhouse450%2.0 / 4
T. Hassell2100%1.0 / 1
B. Bass0-0.0 / 1
D. George0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+8
-14
84
DAL
77
+9
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
110.6
MIA 98.9 +6.7
DAL 105.6
Pace
90.5
90.6
MIA 83.0
DAL 97.2 +14.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.4
MIA 17.4
DAL 14.8 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.2%
MIA 51.4% +2.1%
DAL 49.3%
TO %
15.4%
13.3%
MIA 15.6%
DAL 13.0% +2.6%
ORB %
22.2%
26.8%
MIA 14.7% +1.2%
DAL 13.5%
FTrt
30.0
31.8
MIA 35.7
DAL 36.0 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
56.9%
MIA 55.9%
DAL 60.6% +4.7%
STL %
7.9%
6.6%
MIA 2.2%
DAL 10.1% +7.9%
BLK %
7.1%
7.5%
MIA 5.4%
DAL 8.6% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.9%
MIA 52.4%
DAL 54.0% +1.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.5%
MIA 66.7% +9.6%
DAL 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
44.3%
MIA 43.2% +6.1%
DAL 37.1%
3P %
35.8%
35.2%
MIA 33.3%
DAL 42.1% +8.8%
FT %
72.7%
81.4%
MIA 68.0%
DAL 74.1% +6.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
28.9%
MIA 30.0% +2.0%
DAL 28.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
49.6%
MIA 52.9%
DAL 46.7% +6.2%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.5%
MIA 17.1%
DAL 25.3% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points8994
Rebounds3734
Assists1920
Steals29
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals34-7033-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2112-21
Midrange FG16-3713-35
2-Point FG30-5825-56
3-Point FG4-128-19
Free Throws17-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
46.0
10
50%
4
7
0
1
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
42.5
17
50%
6
7
1
0
1
1
0
6
5-8
63%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
35.5
15
63%
2
1
0
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
28.4
16
67%
9
2
0
0
1
4
1
8
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
27.6
17
77%
6
0
0
1
4
0
1
5
3-5
60%
7-8
88%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
22.1
7
50%
2
0
0
1
3
5
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
20.9
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
16.9
7
58%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
52%
37
19
2
3
14
0
5
32
17-25
68%
30-58
52%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.