FinalWin Prob.pScore
546%99
77
1254%100
80
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
89.58694.8
DEN logo DEN
93.08679.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 4th Period (11:30 PM EST)77
0%
80
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)77
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot77
24.1%
78
75.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASMartin BLOCK (7 BLK)77
24.8%
78
75.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENMartin Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)77
41.0%
78
59.0%
Q4 - 1:00SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)77
54.8%
76
45.2%
Q4 - 1:24DENCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Camby 2 AST)77
68.3%
76
31.7%
Q4 - 1:42SASParker Layup (20 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)77
83.7%
73
16.3%
Q4 - 2:00SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
76.2%
73
23.8%
Q4 - 2:03DENMISS Martin 15' Fadeaway Jumper75
73.3%
73
26.7%
Q4 - 2:23DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
63.1%
73
36.9%
Q4 - 2:24SASMISS Duncan 19' Turnaround Jump Shot75
67.9%
73
32.1%
Q4 - 2:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)75
77.5%
73
22.5%
Q4 - 2:50DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot75
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q4 - 3:08SASDuncan Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)75
61.6%
73
38.4%
Q4 - 3:29DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q4 - 3:29DENAnthony Layup (17 PTS)73
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot73
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q4 - 3:53DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
61.2%
71
38.8%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 273
62.5%
71
37.5%
Q4 - 3:55SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 273
67.8%
71
32.2%
Q4 - 3:59SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
70.1%
71
29.9%
Q4 - 4:00DENMISS Atkins 12' Jump Shot73
67.5%
71
32.5%
Q4 - 4:23SASDuncan Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)73
61.3%
71
38.7%
Q4 - 4:37SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q4 - 4:40DENMISS Anthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot71
49.6%
71
50.4%
Q4 - 5:02SASDuncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)71
43.0%
71
57.0%
Q4 - 5:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
35.4%
71
64.6%
Q4 - 5:22DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot69
33.0%
71
67.0%
Q4 - 5:35DENNUGGETS Rebound69
27.9%
71
72.1%
Q4 - 5:36DENMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
33.0%
71
67.0%
Q4 - 5:52SASFinley 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
27.8%
71
72.2%
Q4 - 6:11DENIverson 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS)67
24.0%
71
76.0%
Q4 - 6:24SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
29.0%
69
71.0%
Q4 - 6:24SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
28.2%
69
71.8%
Q4 - 6:38DENIverson Driving Layup (25 PTS)65
23.9%
69
76.1%
Q4 - 6:54SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)65
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q4 - 6:54SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)64
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q4 - 6:55DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)63
23.9%
67
76.1%
Q4 - 6:59SASNene STEAL (2 STL)63
18.1%
67
81.9%
Q4 - 7:11DENNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)63
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q4 - 7:13DENNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
20.4%
67
79.6%
Q4 - 7:17DENMISS Nene Driving Dunk63
24.1%
67
75.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
20.2%
67
79.8%
Q4 - 7:46SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
16.6%
67
83.4%
Q4 - 7:48SASNene BLOCK (3 BLK)61
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q4 - 8:14DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)61
18.0%
67
82.0%
Q4 - 8:14DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
18.7%
66
81.3%
Q4 - 8:19DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q4 - 8:24SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Hook Shot61
23.4%
65
76.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q4 - 8:46DENMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q4 - 9:08SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)61
23.2%
65
76.8%
Q4 - 9:20DENNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Anthony 6 AST)61
28.0%
65
72.0%
Q4 - 9:29DENAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
32.8%
63
67.2%
Q4 - 9:31SASNene BLOCK (2 BLK)61
34.5%
63
65.5%
Q4 - 9:53SASSpurs Rebound61
38.5%
63
61.5%
Q4 - 9:53DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Jump Shot61
36.7%
63
63.3%
Q4 - 10:08DENAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
34.9%
63
65.1%
Q4 - 10:22SASBonner Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)61
38.9%
63
61.1%
Q4 - 10:23DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)60
33.7%
63
66.3%
Q4 - 10:34DENNUGGETS Rebound60
44.0%
60
56.0%
Q4 - 10:34DENMISS Najera 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
48.2%
60
51.8%
Q4 - 10:48DENNUGGETS Rebound60
44.0%
60
56.0%
Q4 - 10:48DENMISS Anthony Layup60
48.3%
60
51.7%
Q4 - 10:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
44.0%
60
56.0%
Q4 - 10:50DENMISS Anthony 8' Turnaround Jump Shot60
48.3%
60
51.7%
Q4 - 11:06SASUdoka Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)60
44.0%
60
56.0%
Q4 - 11:06SASMISS Udoka Free Throw 1 of 259
42.9%
60
57.1%
Q4 - 11:19SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
44.3%
60
55.7%
Q4 - 11:23DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot59
42.5%
60
57.5%
Q4 - 11:40DENNUGGETS Rebound59
38.7%
60
61.3%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Finley Layup59
40.4%
60
59.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASEnd of 3rd Period (10:54 PM EST)59
44.3%
60
55.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENIverson 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)59
44.3%
60
55.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
49.5%
58
50.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot59
51.1%
58
48.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
54.6%
58
45.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
56.0%
57
44.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)59
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENMISS Atkins 22' Jump Shot59
63.1%
56
36.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)59
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 258
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 1:04DENKleiza Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)58
59.1%
56
40.9%
Q3 - 1:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)58
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q3 - 1:20SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
55.7%
56
44.3%
Q3 - 1:34SASFinley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)58
59.1%
56
40.9%
Q3 - 1:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)57
54.3%
56
45.7%
Q3 - 1:48DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
52.8%
56
47.2%
Q3 - 2:04SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)57
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 2:15SASSpurs Rebound55
44.3%
56
55.7%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Kleiza 15' Jump Shot55
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 2:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)55
39.4%
56
60.6%
Q3 - 2:34SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)55
40.9%
56
59.1%
Q3 - 3:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)55
44.3%
56
55.7%
Q3 - 3:03DENMISS Nene 12' Jump Shot55
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q3 - 3:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)55
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot55
41.2%
56
58.8%
Q3 - 3:38DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)55
44.5%
56
55.5%
Q3 - 4:03SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)55
39.6%
56
60.4%
Q3 - 4:27DENNene 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)53
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 4:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)53
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Hook Shot53
41.1%
54
58.9%
Q3 - 5:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
44.4%
54
55.6%
Q3 - 5:09DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot53
43.1%
54
56.9%
Q3 - 5:26SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)53
40.1%
54
59.9%
Q3 - 5:47SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
32.7%
54
67.3%
Q3 - 5:49DENMISS Carter Driving Layup50
31.4%
54
68.6%
Q3 - 6:00SASParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)50
28.8%
54
71.2%
Q3 - 6:05DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
26.4%
54
73.6%
Q3 - 6:30SASParker 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)48
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q3 - 6:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 6:40DENMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot46
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q3 - 6:46SASMartin STEAL (1 STL)46
17.9%
54
82.1%
Q3 - 6:56SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 6:57DENMISS Camby 18' Jump Shot46
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 7:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
18.3%
54
81.7%
Q3 - 7:10SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.1%
54
80.9%
Q3 - 7:28SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 7:29DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot46
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 7:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
18.3%
54
81.7%
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 245
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 8:04DENMartin Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)45
19.2%
54
80.8%
Q3 - 8:08DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)45
21.3%
52
78.7%
Q3 - 8:10SASMartin BLOCK (6 BLK)45
22.2%
52
77.8%
Q3 - 8:28DENIverson Driving Layup (19 PTS)45
24.3%
52
75.7%
Q3 - 8:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)45
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q3 - 8:36SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot45
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q3 - 9:02DENIverson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q3 - 9:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
33.5%
48
66.5%
Q3 - 9:10SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot45
34.5%
48
65.5%
Q3 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)45
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 9:29DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot45
35.9%
48
64.1%
Q3 - 9:44SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)45
33.5%
48
66.5%
Q3 - 10:06DENIverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)42
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q3 - 10:19SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)42
33.7%
45
66.3%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)40
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot40
29.9%
45
70.1%
Q3 - 10:52SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)40
27.6%
45
72.4%
Q3 - 10:52SASSpurs Rebound40
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q3 - 10:52SASCamby BLOCK (3 BLK)40
28.6%
45
71.4%
Q3 - 11:14SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q3 - 11:16DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 240
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q3 - 11:16DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
28.9%
45
71.1%
Q3 - 11:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q3 - 11:22SASMartin BLOCK (5 BLK)40
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q3 - 11:43DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)40
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASEnd of 2nd Period (10:13 PM EST)40
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENIverson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)40
40.8%
42
59.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)40
44.7%
40
55.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASMISS Parker 10' Running Jump Shot40
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENAnthony Layup (11 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)40
47.1%
40
52.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)40
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot40
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
52.1%
38
47.9%
Q2 - 1:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
53.2%
38
46.8%
Q2 - 1:13DENMISS Anthony 15' Turnaround Jump Shot40
52.7%
38
47.3%
Q2 - 1:24SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 1:24SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
50.7%
38
49.3%
Q2 - 1:33DENCamby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)38
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 1:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 1:49SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
44.1%
38
55.9%
Q2 - 2:13DENCamby Dunk (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)36
41.1%
38
58.9%
Q2 - 2:29SASVaughn 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)36
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 2:44SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
41.1%
36
58.9%
Q2 - 2:46DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot34
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 3:01SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 3:19DENIverson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 3:38SASBonner 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)32
38.3%
34
61.7%
Q2 - 3:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 3:45DENMISS Martin 12' Running Jump Shot30
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 3:57DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
32.8%
34
67.2%
Q2 - 4:00SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 130
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENMartin Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T8)28
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 4:08DENNUGGETS Rebound28
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 4:08DENMISS Martin Dunk28
30.1%
34
69.9%
Q2 - 4:12SASParker 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 4:23SASSpurs Rebound26
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 4:23SASCamby BLOCK (2 BLK)26
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 4:37DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)26
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 4:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
24.0%
34
76.0%
Q2 - 4:49SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot26
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 5:05SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 5:07DENMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 5:18DENNUGGETS Rebound26
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 5:18DENMISS Kleiza 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 5:48SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)26
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 5:58SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot24
21.7%
34
78.3%
Q2 - 6:02DENNUGGETS Rebound24
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 6:02DENMISS Martin Driving Layup24
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 6:11SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)24
20.8%
34
79.2%
Q2 - 6:35DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 6:35DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 221
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q2 - 6:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 6:54SASSpurs Rebound19
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 6:56SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 219
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 6:56SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)19
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q2 - 6:56SASSpurs Rebound18
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 6:57DENMISS Nene 20' Jump Shot18
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 7:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 217
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 7:19DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)17
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 7:26DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to Atkins17
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 7:38DENNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 7:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
12.8%
33
87.2%
Q2 - 7:57SASMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot17
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 8:12DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 8:12DENNajera Tip Shot (4 PTS)17
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Atkins Driving Layup17
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 8:17DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 8:20SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Hook Shot17
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 8:48DENAtkins Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)17
17.3%
31
82.7%
Q2 - 8:53DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q2 - 8:55SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Hook Shot17
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q2 - 9:11DENIverson Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)17
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 9:20SASJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)17
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q2 - 9:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Oberto Layup15
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q2 - 9:55DENNajera Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)15
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:08DENNUGGETS Rebound15
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 215
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q2 - 10:09SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 215
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q2 - 10:31DENAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)15
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q2 - 10:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot15
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q2 - 11:03SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q2 - 11:04DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q2 - 11:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q2 - 11:15SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot15
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 11:43DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)15
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENEnd of 1st Period (9:36 PM EST)15
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)15
32.6%
20
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENMISS Kleiza 10' Running Jump Shot15
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.0%
20
67.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Jump Shot15
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)15
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 1:21DENNene Layup (2 PTS)15
39.1%
18
60.9%
Q1 - 1:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 1:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Nene Tip Shot15
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 1:26DENMISS Kleiza 7' Running Jump Shot15
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 1:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 1:40SASMISS Udoka 20' Jump Shot15
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 1:58DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 2:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)15
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 2:12SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.6%
16
57.4%
Q1 - 2:38DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)15
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 2:50SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 2:58DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 3:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)12
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 3:03SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 3:15SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 3:36SASSpurs Rebound12
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 3:38DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 212
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 3:38DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 212
36.1%
16
63.9%
Q1 - 3:44SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 3:56DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 3:56DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 4:12DENNUGGETS Rebound10
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot10
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 4:28DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 4:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 4:55DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot10
41.2%
12
58.8%
Q1 - 5:24SASFinley 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)10
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 5:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 5:56DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.7%
12
64.3%
Q1 - 5:58SASMartin BLOCK (4 BLK)8
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 6:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot8
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 6:14DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)8
36.0%
12
64.0%
Q1 - 6:16SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)8
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 6:42DENIverson 18' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)8
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 7:01DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 7:03SASMISS Horry Reverse Layup8
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 7:27DENAnthony Layup (6 PTS)8
42.0%
10
58.0%
Q1 - 7:30SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)8
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 7:51DENCarter 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)8
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 8:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 8:11DENMISS Camby 21' Jump Shot8
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 8:20SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 8:32DENMISS Anthony 16' Turnaround Jump Shot5
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 8:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 8:48SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot5
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:04DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)5
44.0%
6
56.0%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)5
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:36DENMartin Inbound Turnover (P1.T1)3
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:38SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 10:04DENAnthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)0
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 10:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:18SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:23SASMartin BLOCK (3 BLK)0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:27SASSpurs Rebound0
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:27SASMartin BLOCK (2 BLK)0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:44SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:04SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:11SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 11:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:13DENMISS Camby Putback Dunk0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:15DENMISS Iverson 6' Jump Shot0
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 11:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:22SASMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)0
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:38DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 11:43SASIverson STEAL (1 STL)0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
45.5%
0
54.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.3%
DEN
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
7
14
50%
DEN
16
24
67%
Midrange
SAS
14
42
33%
DEN
13
45
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
DEN
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
SAS
17
27
63%
DEN
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2045%10.0 / 22
T. Duncan2040%10.0 / 25
M. Finley1864%9.0 / 14
M. Bonner956%4.5 / 8
B. Bowen467%2.0 / 3
J. Vaughn338%1.5 / 4
D. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
I. Udoka113%0.5 / 4
R. Horry0-0.0 / 3
F. Oberto0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2966%14.5 / 22
C. Anthony1745%8.5 / 19
A. Carter758%3.5 / 6
M. Camby643%3.0 / 7
Nene638%3.0 / 8
E. Najera675%3.0 / 4
C. Atkins531%2.5 / 8
K. Martin422%2.0 / 9
L. Kleiza0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+9
-8
87
DEN
73
+16
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.87 43.3%
DEN
0.88 44.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
110.4
SAS 89.5
DEN 93.0 +3.5
Pace
89.5
99.4
SAS 94.8 +15.2
DEN 79.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
13.9
SAS 15.2 +2.9
DEN 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.0%
SAS 41.1%
DEN 41.9% +0.8%
TO %
13.4%
14.4%
SAS 10.5% +3.3%
DEN 13.8%
ORB %
23.4%
25.6%
SAS 11.6%
DEN 25.0% +13.4%
FTrt
27.6
35.8
SAS 37.0 +15.7
DEN 21.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
61.2%
SAS 74.1% +11.6%
DEN 62.5%
STL %
7.1%
9.1%
SAS 5.8%
DEN 7.0% +1.2%
BLK %
6.5%
9.9%
SAS 4.3%
DEN 23.2% +18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.4%
SAS 43.3%
DEN 44.0% +0.7%
Rim FG%
60.6%
60.7%
SAS 50.0%
DEN 66.7% +16.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.4%
SAS 33.3% +4.4%
DEN 28.9%
3P %
36.9%
35.5%
SAS 35.3% +8.0%
DEN 27.3%
FT %
76.1%
75.1%
SAS 63.0%
DEN 76.5% +13.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
38.1%
SAS 19.2%
DEN 30.0% +10.8%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
39.1%
SAS 57.5%
DEN 56.3% +1.3%
3P Att. %
25.1%
22.8%
SAS 23.3% +9.5%
DEN 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes21.825.9
Points7780
Rebounds3548
Assists2020
Steals56
Blocks313
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)38 (3)
Field Goals27-7332-80
At-the-Rim FG7-1416-24
Midrange FG14-4213-45
2-Point FG21-5629-69
3-Point FG6-173-11
Free Throws17-2713-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 37
39.8
4
67%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
39.2
20
45%
4
9
2
0
2
1
1
3
4-7
57%
8-19
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
39.0
20
40%
14
2
2
2
4
1
2
12
6-10
60%
7-20
35%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
37.7
18
64%
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
7
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
3-6
50%
C · 6'10" 240 · 37
16.0
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
24.4
9
56%
3
2
0
0
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
13.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
13.4
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
10.7
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 28
3.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
#20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'7" 210 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
77
43%
35
20
5
3
8
0
5
30
17-27
63%
21-56
38%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.