FinalWin Prob.pScore
2638%96
103
2262%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
109.69489.3
MIA logo MIA
105.49398.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL103
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (12 PTS)103
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper102
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 2102
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)102
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)101
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
99.6%
93
0.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
98.7%
93
1.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)99
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)97
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJump Ball Davis vs. Williams: Tip to Wade97
98.1%
89
1.9%
Q4 - 1:18MILBucks Rebound97
98.8%
89
1.2%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Cook Tip Shot97
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
97.7%
89
2.3%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Cook Layup97
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 1:25MILDavis STEAL (3 STL)97
97.5%
89
2.5%
Q4 - 1:26MILBucks Rebound97
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 1:26MILHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)97
97.9%
89
2.1%
Q4 - 1:38MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)97
98.1%
89
1.9%
Q4 - 1:46MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 1:46MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 2:00MIACook Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 2:05MILWade STEAL (4 STL)95
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)95
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 2:29MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)95
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:47MILBell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 195
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 3:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)93
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup93
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 3:30MILBell Reverse Layup (12 PTS)93
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 3:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot91
96.7%
81
3.3%
Q4 - 3:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
95.9%
81
4.1%
Q4 - 3:55MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
96.3%
81
3.7%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)91
97.3%
81
2.7%
Q4 - 4:27MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS)91
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
98.2%
78
1.8%
Q4 - 5:02MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 5:23MILBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q4 - 5:25MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)87
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper87
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 6:21MILBell Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)87
97.4%
73
2.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)85
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q4 - 6:42MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
95.4%
73
4.6%
Q4 - 6:55MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
94.2%
73
5.8%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.6%
73
6.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
89.7%
73
10.3%
Q4 - 7:06MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
90.5%
73
9.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIABlount 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)83
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q4 - 7:46MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)80
87.9%
71
12.1%
Q4 - 8:20MILQuinn STEAL (2 STL)80
92.4%
68
7.6%
Q4 - 8:37MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 280
93.9%
68
6.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q4 - 8:58MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)80
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q4 - 9:16MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
88.9%
67
11.1%
Q4 - 9:37MILBell 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
86.2%
67
13.8%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)75
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
77.4%
67
22.6%
Q4 - 10:08MILMISS Ivey 22' Jump Shot75
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q4 - 10:33MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
81.5%
67
18.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot75
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q4 - 10:48MILWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)75
77.5%
67
22.5%
Q4 - 11:02MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
72.1%
67
27.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS L. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHEAT Rebound73
67.3%
67
32.7%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS L. Jackson 21' Jump Shot73
70.7%
67
29.3%
Q4 - 11:41MILYi Dunk (10 PTS)73
67.4%
67
32.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
62.7%
67
37.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
62.7%
67
37.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
59.6%
67
40.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILWade STEAL (3 STL)71
56.2%
67
43.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)71
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
56.3%
67
43.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
55.6%
67
44.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0MILBucks Rebound69
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup69
49.6%
67
50.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 268
44.2%
67
55.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot68
44.5%
67
55.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
41.0%
67
59.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot68
44.5%
67
55.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
40.4%
67
59.6%
Q3 - 1:05MILMISS Yi 10' Jump Shot68
41.9%
67
58.1%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
45.4%
67
54.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
46.3%
66
53.7%
Q3 - 1:27MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Simmons 6' Hook Shot68
51.7%
65
48.3%
Q3 - 1:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
55.2%
65
44.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS L. Jackson 13' Jump Shot68
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Simmons Tip Shot68
51.7%
65
48.3%
Q3 - 1:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
55.2%
65
44.8%
Q3 - 1:50MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot68
51.7%
65
48.3%
Q3 - 2:09MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
53.8%
65
46.2%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot68
52.3%
65
47.7%
Q3 - 2:31MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 2:33MILMISS Redd 12' Running Jump Shot68
50.4%
65
49.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)68
53.9%
65
46.1%
Q3 - 3:01MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
48.5%
65
51.5%
Q3 - 3:05MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
40.0%
65
60.0%
Q3 - 3:06MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot65
36.8%
65
63.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 3:47MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
44.0%
63
56.0%
Q3 - 3:47MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
43.2%
63
56.8%
Q3 - 3:58MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
39.9%
63
60.1%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 163
39.3%
63
60.7%
Q3 - 4:15MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
43.2%
61
56.8%
Q3 - 4:15MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 262
42.5%
61
57.5%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
43.8%
61
56.2%
Q3 - 4:34MILYi Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)62
39.0%
61
61.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 4:44MILDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)60
32.5%
61
67.5%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)60
35.6%
61
64.4%
Q3 - 5:14MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)60
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)60
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
47.2%
57
52.8%
Q3 - 5:45MILMISS Williams Layup60
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q3 - 5:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
51.7%
57
48.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Quinn 4' Jump Shot60
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q3 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot60
49.4%
57
50.6%
Q3 - 6:26MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)60
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Yi: Tip to Williams60
50.8%
57
49.2%
Q3 - 6:52MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)60
46.5%
57
53.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
42.4%
57
57.6%
Q3 - 7:38MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yi 2 AST)58
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q3 - 7:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot55
37.4%
55
62.6%
Q3 - 8:11MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
34.1%
55
65.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIADavis Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q3 - 8:40MILSimmons Tip Shot (4 PTS)53
34.6%
53
65.4%
Q3 - 8:42MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q3 - 8:44MILMISS Simmons Driving Layup51
29.2%
53
70.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIADavis 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)51
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q3 - 9:13MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
34.4%
51
65.6%
Q3 - 9:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q3 - 9:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
31.2%
51
68.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q3 - 9:39MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot49
29.0%
51
71.0%
Q3 - 9:57MIADavis Driving Dunk (14 PTS)49
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q3 - 10:14MILYi Dunk (4 PTS)49
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q3 - 10:15MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Hook Shot47
28.9%
49
71.1%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q3 - 10:52MILWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)47
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIADavis Reverse Layup (12 PTS)45
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 11:24MILBlount STEAL (1 STL)45
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 11:37MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
31.1%
47
68.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILWilliams 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
28.9%
47
71.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot43
24.3%
47
75.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILBucks Rebound43
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
24.9%
47
75.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBogut Dunk (8 PTS)43
23.7%
47
76.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot41
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
20.7%
47
79.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 1:08MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 241
24.4%
45
75.6%
Q2 - 1:08MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 241
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 1:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 241
25.3%
45
74.7%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 241
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:36MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 1:41MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:42MILMISS Bell Layup39
20.1%
45
79.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 2:11MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot39
24.6%
43
75.4%
Q2 - 2:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
26.2%
43
73.8%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot39
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 2:41MILRedd Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
22.0%
42
78.0%
Q2 - 3:08MILRedd Driving Dunk (4 PTS)37
21.9%
42
78.1%
Q2 - 3:30MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot35
19.5%
42
80.5%
Q2 - 3:59MILRuffin Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)35
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 4:18MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 4:34MILMISS Ruffin 8' Jump Hook Shot33
20.9%
39
79.1%
Q2 - 4:51MIABarron Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
22.2%
39
77.8%
Q2 - 4:58MILBarron STEAL (1 STL)33
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 5:08MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot33
25.9%
37
74.1%
Q2 - 5:28MILRuffin Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)33
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 6:09MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 231
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 6:09MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
21.5%
37
78.5%
Q2 - 6:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot30
20.3%
37
79.7%
Q2 - 6:39MILRedd 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)30
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 6:44MILBucks Rebound28
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 6:45MILMISS Bogut 10' Hook Shot28
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 7:09MIAQuinn Layup (8 PTS)28
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 7:39MILVoskuhl Foul Turnover (P2.T10)28
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 7:52MILBucks Rebound28
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Ivey Reverse Layup28
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 8:08MILBucks Rebound28
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot28
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 8:25MILVoskuhl Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)28
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 8:39MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 8:54MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
24.9%
32
75.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAL. Jackson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)28
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 9:14MILMISS Redd 14' Fadeaway Jumper28
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q2 - 9:32MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 9:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
33.3%
28
66.7%
Q2 - 9:43MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
34.1%
28
65.9%
Q2 - 9:58MIABlount Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
35.9%
28
64.1%
Q2 - 10:12MILVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)26
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 10:44MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Bogut 4' Jump Shot26
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS L. Jackson 16' Jump Shot26
34.6%
26
65.4%
Q2 - 11:15MILVillanueva 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
33.1%
26
66.9%
Q2 - 11:26MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
31.0%
26
69.0%
Q2 - 11:39MILVillanueva Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q2 - 11:50MIAL. Jackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound22
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILIvey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)19
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q1 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound19
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot19
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 1:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS L. Jackson 21' Jump Shot19
24.6%
24
75.4%
Q1 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:41MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot19
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 2:19MILWade STEAL (2 STL)19
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)19
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 2:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot19
33.7%
19
66.3%
Q1 - 3:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.0%
19
65.0%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q1 - 3:17MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)19
32.8%
19
67.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 3:44MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)19
36.9%
17
63.1%
Q1 - 4:07MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 216
32.6%
17
67.4%
Q1 - 4:08MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
31.4%
17
68.6%
Q1 - 4:19MILVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)16
32.5%
16
67.5%
Q1 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 213
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 213
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 4:44MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)13
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIABlount Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)13
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 5:06MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yi 1 AST)13
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)10
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 5:46MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot10
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 6:00MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot10
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:13MILDavis STEAL (2 STL)10
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 6:36MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 6:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 7:00MILWade STEAL (1 STL)10
34.1%
9
65.9%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 7:22MILQuinn STEAL (1 STL)10
37.2%
7
62.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIADavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 8:00MILYi 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)10
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
37.8%
5
62.2%
Q1 - 8:42MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
39.2%
5
60.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot8
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.2%
5
62.8%
Q1 - 8:57MILMISS Yi Layup8
37.8%
5
62.2%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
39.1%
5
60.9%
Q1 - 9:27MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 9:31MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Blount Dunk6
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 9:54MILSimmons Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 9:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.2%
5
67.8%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot4
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 10:26MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)4
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 10:43MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 10:52MILDavis STEAL (1 STL)2
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:02MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 11:04MILMISS Bogut Jump Shot2
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 11:24MIABlount 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)2
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 11:45MILBogut 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Bogut: Tip to Williams0
33.4%
0
66.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
19
29
66%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIL
11
27
41%
MIA
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIL
19
27
70%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2574%12.5 / 17
C. Villanueva1568%7.5 / 11
A. Bogut1354%6.5 / 12
C. Bell1267%6.0 / 9
B. Simmons1169%5.5 / 8
J. Yi1063%5.0 / 8
M. Redd833%4.0 / 12
M. Ruffin563%2.5 / 4
R. Ivey440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2771%13.5 / 19
R. Davis2372%11.5 / 16
C. Quinn1260%6.0 / 10
M. Blount1155%5.5 / 10
D. Cook1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem1071%5.0 / 7
E. Barron220%1.0 / 5
L. Jackson214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
74
+15
-20
89
MIA
77
+7
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
100.2
MIL 109.6 +4.2
MIA 105.4
Pace
91.2
90.5
MIL 89.3
MIA 98.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
MIL 16.1
MIA 14.7 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.2%
MIL 57.5% +0.1%
MIA 57.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
MIL 19.1%
MIA 16.1% +3.0%
ORB %
30.1%
22.2%
MIL 32.4% +18.1%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
29.4
30.0
MIL 37.0 +8.6
MIA 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
58.5%
MIL 47.4%
MIA 52.6% +5.2%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
MIL 8.5%
MIA 15.1% +6.6%
BLK %
7.2%
7.1%
MIL 5.3% +1.7%
MIA 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
50.6%
MIL 57.9%
MIA 58.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%
54.3%
59.2%
MIL 65.5% +3.0%
MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.8%
MIL 40.7%
MIA 42.4% +1.7%
3P %
34.4%
35.8%
MIL 47.1%
MIA 52.9% +5.8%
FT %
73.3%
72.7%
MIL 70.4% +8.5%
MIA 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
30.2%
MIL 39.7% +7.3%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
48.1%
MIL 37.0% +7.6%
MIA 44.6%
3P Att. %
19.5%
21.7%
MIL 23.3% +0.3%
MIA 23.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points10398
Rebounds4128
Assists1820
Steals814
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)23 (1)
Field Goals38-7338-74
At-the-Rim FG19-2915-24
Midrange FG11-2714-33
2-Point FG30-5629-57
3-Point FG8-179-17
Free Throws19-2713-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
44.7
25
74%
2
9
2
0
4
2
1
1
6-6
100%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
39.3
13
54%
12
2
0
1
2
4
1
11
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
33.5
8
33%
2
2
1
1
3
2
0
2
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
21.3
10
63%
7
2
3
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
17.9
11
69%
7
1
2
0
2
1
4
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
30.1
12
67%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
20.6
15
68%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
17.8
4
40%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
11.5
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
#34 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'5" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
41
18
8
3
20
0
11
30
19-27
70%
30-56
54%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.