FinalWin Prob.pScore
1917%91
69
483%103
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
78.48888.1
DET logo DET
129.58887.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL69
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETJohnson Dunk (6 PTS)69
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILJohnson STEAL (2 STL)69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DETBrezec Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILBucks Rebound69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 269
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 268
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETPISTONS Rebound68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:00DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:01DETMISS Johnson Layup68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:25DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 1:48DETHerrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brezec 2 AST)68
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:02DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:05MILMISS Yi 10' Jump Bank Shot68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:19DETStuckey 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:24DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:25DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:49MILRuffin Dunk (2 PTS)68
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 2:51DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)66
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:00MILYi Putback Dunk (12 PTS)66
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:02MILYi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:04MILBrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)64
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:24DETJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)64
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 3:24DETJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 3:42MILStorey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)64
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:55DETHerrmann Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 3:55DETHerrmann Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 4:06MILBucks Rebound64
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:06MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)64
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:06MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 263
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:22MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Brezec Free Throw 2 of 263
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 263
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:23DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:24DETMISS Johnson Layup63
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:42MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:42MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 4:57DETAfflalo Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)61
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 5:08MILStuckey STEAL (1 STL)61
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 5:20DETHerrmann 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brezec 1 AST)61
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 5:40DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 261
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41MILMISS Ruffin Layup61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43MILMISS Villanueva 18' Turnaround Jump Shot61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DETMISS Herrmann Free Throw 2 of 261
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DETHerrmann Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05MILJohnson STEAL (1 STL)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19DETBrezec 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44MILMISS Ivey 10' Jump Shot61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48MILIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Hayes 22' Jump Shot61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MILIvey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26DETHayes Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)59
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MILMISS Storey 21' Jump Shot59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50DETJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)59
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57MILMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15DETPISTONS Rebound59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41MILMISS Ivey 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS Afflalo Layup59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:14MILHayes STEAL (1 STL)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:20MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21MILMISS Gadzuric 16' Jump Shot59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:43DETStuckey Driving Layup (6 PTS)59
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 9:49MILMISS Storey 15' Jump Shot59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11DETHayes Dunk (11 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)59
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 10:16DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:17MILMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:25DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)59
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)59
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07MILVoskuhl Layup (4 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:12DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:31MILMISS Storey Free Throw 2 of 257
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 11:31MILMISS Storey Free Throw 1 of 257
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILMISS Ivey 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0DETHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)55
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01MILIvey Inbound Turnover (P2.T15)55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:06DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 1:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:15DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 1:24DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q3 - 1:25MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 1:40MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 1:41MILMISS Simmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 1:58MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 2:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 2:08MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 2:34DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)55
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q3 - 2:58MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 3:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 3:18DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q3 - 3:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q3 - 3:35MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot52
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q3 - 3:57DETHamilton 16' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)52
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 4:12MILYi 14' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)52
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q3 - 4:26DETBillups Dunk (10 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)50
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q3 - 4:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q3 - 4:30MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 4:55DETHamilton Layup (16 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)50
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q3 - 5:08MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 5:08MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 249
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q3 - 5:32DETMcDyess Reverse Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)49
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q3 - 5:48DETPISTONS Rebound49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 5:49DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 6:01DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 6:02MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot49
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 6:13MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 6:15DETMISS Prince 13' Fadeaway Jumper49
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 6:44MILRedd Driving Layup (13 PTS)49
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 6:48MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 6:51DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 7:07DETPISTONS Rebound47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 7:08MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot47
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 7:32DETWallace 9' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)47
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 7:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 7:50MILMISS Simmons 10' Fadeaway Jumper47
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 8:06DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)47
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 8:25MILYi 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)47
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 8:36DETPrince Tip Shot (15 PTS)45
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 8:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 8:38DETMISS Prince Layup45
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 8:54MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)45
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 9:17DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)43
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 9:37MILRedd 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
1.4%
61
98.6%
Q3 - 9:57DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 10:13MILYi 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)41
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q3 - 10:27MILBucks Rebound39
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 10:27MILMISS Bogut Tip Shot39
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q3 - 10:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 10:29MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot39
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q3 - 10:44DETPrince Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)39
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q3 - 11:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 11:03DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 11:21MILSimmons 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)39
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 11:42DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL37
1.3%
56
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot37
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 236
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETStuckey Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
1.4%
56
98.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MILMISS Bogut 19' Jump Shot36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q2 - 1:00DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot36
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 1:22MILBogut Layup (6 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)36
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q2 - 1:37DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
1.5%
54
98.5%
Q2 - 1:51MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)34
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 2:13DETAfflalo Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)34
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 2:17DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 2:19MILMISS Ivey Layup34
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 2:37DETPrince Layup (8 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)34
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 2:40MILAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)34
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 2:43MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 2:43DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 2:57MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 2:57MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 3:10DETAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)32
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 3:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 3:14MILMISS Bogut Layup32
3.0%
47
97.0%
Q2 - 3:33DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)32
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 3:54MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)32
3.7%
45
96.3%
Q2 - 4:15DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 4:32MILGadzuric Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)32
3.8%
45
96.2%
Q2 - 4:44MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
3.3%
45
96.7%
Q2 - 5:05MILVillanueva Layup (6 PTS)30
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 5:18DETHayes 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)28
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 5:32MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)28
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 5:51DETMaxiell 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 6:05DETPISTONS Rebound26
3.2%
41
96.8%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Redd 13' Jump Shot26
3.3%
41
96.7%
Q2 - 6:20DETStuckey Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
3.6%
41
96.4%
Q2 - 6:33MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)26
3.9%
39
96.1%
Q2 - 6:44DETAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 6:44DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q2 - 6:46MILAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)26
4.8%
37
95.2%
Q2 - 7:09DETMaxiell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
5.6%
37
94.4%
Q2 - 7:34DETPISTONS Rebound26
6.2%
35
93.8%
Q2 - 7:35MILMISS Redd Layup26
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 7:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 7:50MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 8:02MILVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
6.9%
35
93.1%
Q2 - 8:04DETMISS Wallace 8' Fadeaway Jumper26
6.7%
35
93.3%
Q2 - 8:28MILVillanueva Layup (4 PTS) (Voskuhl 1 AST)26
6.2%
35
93.8%
Q2 - 8:41MILBucks Rebound24
5.7%
35
94.3%
Q2 - 8:42DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot24
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q2 - 8:56MILVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)24
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 9:08MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
4.8%
35
95.2%
Q2 - 9:09MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 222
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 9:09MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 9:16MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q2 - 9:17DETMISS Hayes 17' Jump Shot21
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 9:38MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 9:40MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 9:41MILAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)19
3.3%
35
96.7%
Q2 - 9:59DETHayes 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)19
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 10:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
4.0%
33
96.0%
Q2 - 10:07MILMISS Redd Free Throw 3 of 319
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q2 - 10:07MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)19
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q2 - 10:07MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)18
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q2 - 10:20DETHayes 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)17
3.7%
33
96.3%
Q2 - 10:32DETPISTONS Rebound17
4.4%
30
95.6%
Q2 - 10:33DETMISS Maxiell 7' Jump Shot17
4.7%
30
95.3%
Q2 - 10:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
4.4%
30
95.6%
Q2 - 10:39MILMISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot17
4.5%
30
95.5%
Q2 - 10:51MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
4.9%
30
95.1%
Q2 - 10:52MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot17
4.5%
30
95.5%
Q2 - 11:08DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
4.8%
30
95.2%
Q2 - 11:26MILVoskuhl Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
4.4%
30
95.6%
Q2 - 11:26MILVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
4.3%
30
95.7%
Q2 - 11:45DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)15
4.0%
30
96.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL15
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
4.9%
28
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)15
4.4%
28
95.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
4.9%
28
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
4.9%
27
95.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILBell Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)15
5.5%
26
94.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)15
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILIvey Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)15
6.5%
24
93.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MILMISS Yi Free Throw 1 of 115
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
5.8%
24
94.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
5.4%
24
94.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
5.6%
24
94.4%
Q1 - 1:03DETHayes 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)13
5.9%
24
94.1%
Q1 - 1:14DETPISTONS Rebound13
6.5%
22
93.5%
Q1 - 1:15DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot13
6.8%
22
93.2%
Q1 - 1:33DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
6.5%
22
93.5%
Q1 - 1:34MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot13
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 1:50MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 1:51MILMISS Bell Layup13
6.7%
22
93.3%
Q1 - 2:03MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
7.1%
22
92.9%
Q1 - 2:03DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 213
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 2:03DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
6.5%
22
93.5%
Q1 - 2:24MILSimmons 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)13
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 2:29MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 2:32DETMISS Prince Layup11
6.3%
21
93.7%
Q1 - 2:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 2:38MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot11
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 2:43MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 2:44MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot11
6.1%
21
93.9%
Q1 - 3:06DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)11
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 3:19MILBell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
7.1%
19
92.9%
Q1 - 3:33MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 3:34DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot9
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 3:47MILRedd Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)9
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 3:52MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 3:55DETMISS Prince Layup9
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 3:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 4:00MILMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot9
6.2%
19
93.8%
Q1 - 4:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 4:27MILWallace STEAL (2 STL)9
6.0%
19
94.0%
Q1 - 4:45DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)9
6.6%
19
93.4%
Q1 - 5:19MILRedd 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
7.1%
17
92.9%
Q1 - 5:43DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)7
6.6%
17
93.4%
Q1 - 5:48DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
7.1%
15
92.9%
Q1 - 5:49MILMISS Simmons Layup7
7.3%
15
92.7%
Q1 - 5:50MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 5:51MILMISS Yi 18' Jump Shot7
7.3%
15
92.7%
Q1 - 6:17DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
7.8%
15
92.2%
Q1 - 6:17DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
7.9%
14
92.1%
Q1 - 6:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
8.3%
13
91.7%
Q1 - 6:21MILMISS Bogut 13' Hook Shot7
8.5%
13
91.5%
Q1 - 6:43DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)7
9.0%
13
91.0%
Q1 - 7:00MILSimmons 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)7
9.7%
11
90.3%
Q1 - 7:07MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.4%
11
89.6%
Q1 - 7:09DETMISS Billups Layup7
10.2%
11
89.8%
Q1 - 7:25DETPISTONS Rebound7
9.6%
11
90.4%
Q1 - 7:26MILMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 7:41DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
10.4%
11
89.6%
Q1 - 7:56MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 8:11DETMcDyess 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
10.2%
8
89.8%
Q1 - 8:39MILYi 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)4
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 8:52DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
10.2%
6
89.8%
Q1 - 9:08MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)2
10.7%
4
89.3%
Q1 - 9:24MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.2%
4
89.8%
Q1 - 9:26DETMISS Prince 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
9.9%
4
90.1%
Q1 - 9:50MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)0
9.3%
4
90.7%
Q1 - 10:04DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
10.1%
4
89.9%
Q1 - 10:09DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:10DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot0
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:27MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 10:43DETPrince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
11.5%
2
88.5%
Q1 - 11:01MILBillups STEAL (1 STL)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:18MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:19DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:40MILWallace STEAL (1 STL)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Bogut: Tip to Bell0
13.0%
0
87.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.2%
DET
1.30 64.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
21
52%
DET
18
25
72%
Midrange
MIL
13
39
33%
DET
19
37
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
DET
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
MIL
15
26
58%
DET
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd1860%9.0 / 15
J. Yi1250%6.0 / 12
A. Bogut850%4.0 / 8
R. Ivey625%3.0 / 12
C. Villanueva643%3.0 / 7
B. Simmons531%2.5 / 8
C. Bell422%2.0 / 9
J. Voskuhl4100%2.0 / 2
D. Gadzuric338%1.5 / 4
M. Ruffin338%1.5 / 4
A. Storey0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton22100%11.0 / 11
T. Prince1550%7.5 / 15
J. Hayes1478%7.0 / 9
C. Billups1365%6.5 / 10
A. McDyess1063%5.0 / 8
W. Herrmann8100%4.0 / 4
R. Wallace744%3.5 / 8
R. Stuckey650%3.0 / 6
A. Afflalo660%3.0 / 5
J. Maxiell675%3.0 / 4
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
P. Brezec125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
67
+19
-21
86
DET
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.78 39.2%
DET
1.30 64.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
110.3
MIL 78.4 +51.1
DET 129.5
Pace
91.2
88.2
MIL 88.1 +0.2
DET 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.9
MIL 16.3 +0.0
DET 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.5%
MIL 37.5%
DET 63.6% +26.1%
TO %
15.5%
12.6%
MIL 20.1%
DET 13.1% +7.0%
ORB %
30.1%
29.4%
MIL 35.6% +11.5%
DET 24.1%
FTrt
29.4
30.0
MIL 36.1 +8.8
DET 27.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
61.1%
MIL 53.8%
DET 73.3% +19.5%
STL %
7.2%
8.1%
MIL 4.5%
DET 10.2% +5.7%
BLK %
7.2%
9.4%
MIL 4.8%
DET 6.7% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.4%
MIL 39.2%
DET 64.8% +25.6%
Rim FG%
54.3%
60.1%
MIL 52.4%
DET 72.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%
41.4%
41.7%
MIL 33.3%
DET 51.4% +18.1%
3P %
34.4%
36.6%
MIL 16.7%
DET 53.3% +36.6%
FT %
73.3%
76.7%
MIL 57.7%
DET 76.2% +18.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
27.8%
MIL 29.2%
DET 32.5% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
51.9%
MIL 54.2%
DET 48.1% +6.1%
3P Att. %
19.5%
20.3%
MIL 16.7%
DET 19.5% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points69114
Rebounds3836
Assists1433
Steals49
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (2)29 (4)
Field Goals26-7245-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2118-25
Midrange FG13-3919-37
2-Point FG24-6037-62
3-Point FG2-128-15
Free Throws15-2616-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
31.6
8
50%
7
2
2
0
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
31.4
12
50%
8
0
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-1
0%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
31.1
18
60%
5
2
0
0
3
2
2
3
4-5
80%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
28.2
4
22%
5
4
0
0
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
21.9
5
31%
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
26.2
6
25%
1
3
1
0
3
4
0
1
4-6
67%
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
20.6
3
38%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
17.1
6
43%
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
11.5
4
100%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
8.3
3
38%
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
#24 · G · 6'5" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
69
39%
38
14
4
3
21
0
16
22
15-26
58%
24-60
40%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.