FinalWin Prob.pScore
2040%97
74
1960%101
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
82.29090.6
WAS logo WAS
107.98988.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA74
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0WASBlatche 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABlatche BLOCK (3 BLK)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHeat Rebound73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42WASMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAL. Jackson 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAHeat Rebound71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12MIAMISS Al. Johnson Layup71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33WASMISS Butler 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAL. Jackson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T19)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17WASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)71
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q4 - 5:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16WASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:32WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS L. Jackson 3' Layup68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:43WASMISS Blatche 16' Jump Shot68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:08MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (L. Jackson 3 AST)68
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22WASMISS McGuire 19' Jump Shot65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44WASMISS Songaila 18' Jump Shot65
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)65
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28WASSongaila Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAL. Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52WASMISS Young 5' Jump Shot60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10MIADavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20WASMISS McGuire 10' Jump Shot58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43MIAAl. Johnson 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)58
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:52WASBlatche Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10WASWilks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26WASBlatche 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)56
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)56
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50WASMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 255
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50WASMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02WASWIZARDS Rebound55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Davis 3' Layup55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18WASSongaila 1' Layup (11 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)55
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 10:26WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS L. Jackson 7' Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot55
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08WASMISS McGuire 7' Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:32MIAAl. Johnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:44WASMISS Young 20' Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0WASWilks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAL. Jackson 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0WASMISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 253
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 253
0.3%
79
99.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0WASSongaila 6' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)53
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 1:24WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 1:24WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 1:29WASWilks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 1:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 1:45WASBlatche Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)51
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 2:05MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)51
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 2:19WASBlatche 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)51
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 2:52WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Al. Johnson 16' Jump Shot51
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 3:16WASButler 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 3:40MIACook 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 3:45WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)49
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAL. Jackson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)49
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:10WASMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot47
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:17WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Davis 2' Layup47
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 4:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 4:37WASMISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 4:43WASWilks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 4:44WASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot47
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 5:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 5:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 246
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 5:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 5:09WASMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot46
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 5:25MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)46
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 5:35MIAL. Jackson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)43
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 5:56WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stevenson 6 AST)42
0.6%
71
99.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIACook 9' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)42
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 6:24WASButler 10' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)40
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 6:38MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T16)40
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 6:44WASMISS Haywood 1' Layup40
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 6:58WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot40
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 7:18WASJamison 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Mason Jr. 5 AST)40
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 7:37WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMason Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)40
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 8:00WASStevenson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)40
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T15)40
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 8:30WASMason Jr. Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T11)40
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 8:46WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 240
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 8:47MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)40
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 8:49WASButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)39
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMason Jr. STEAL (4 STL)39
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 9:12WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 9:12WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
2.3%
61
97.7%
Q3 - 9:19WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 9:33WASMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot39
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 9:41WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot39
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 9:53MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q3 - 9:53WASMISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot39
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 10:12WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot39
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q3 - 10:40WASButler 1' Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)39
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 10:45MIAMason Jr. STEAL (3 STL)39
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)39
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup39
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 11:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 11:09WASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 11:28WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot39
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIAHeat Rebound39
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)39
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASJamison 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)39
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0WASButler 1' Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS)39
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0WASMason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)39
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0WASWIZARDS Rebound39
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0WASMISS Stevenson 2' Layup39
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMason Jr. STEAL (2 STL)39
9.3%
52
90.7%
Q2 - 1:05MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 1:06WASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q2 - 1:20MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)39
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 1:39WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T9)39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 1:44WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS L. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.1%
52
89.9%
Q2 - 1:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 1:54WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot39
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 2:04WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
10.1%
52
89.9%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Davis 3' Jump Shot39
10.5%
52
89.5%
Q2 - 2:19WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 2:19WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 2:36MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 2:59WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 2:59WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 3:17MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)36
11.8%
48
88.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)35
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 3:39WASBlatche 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)34
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)34
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 4:02WASSongaila 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)34
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 4:12WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot34
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:36WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)34
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 5:03MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 5:24WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 5:24WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)32
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 5:48WASBlatche 18' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 5 AST)29
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)29
14.2%
40
85.8%
Q2 - 6:22WASYoung 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)27
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 6:36WASWIZARDS Rebound27
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup27
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot27
14.7%
38
85.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 6:50WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.3%
38
84.7%
Q2 - 7:10WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot27
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 7:17MIABlatche BLOCK (2 BLK)27
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 7:39WASSongaila 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)27
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 7:48MIAWade Tip Shot (10 PTS)27
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot25
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 8:03WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 225
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 8:03WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 8:16MIADavis 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)25
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 8:29WASYoung 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)23
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 222
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 8:53WASMISS Songaila 5' Jump Shot22
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIADavis 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
16.8%
32
83.2%
Q2 - 9:36MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
15.5%
32
84.5%
Q2 - 9:37WASMISS Songaila Free Throw 2 of 220
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 9:37WASSongaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 9:44WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup20
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 9:59WASYoung 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)20
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 10:03WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 10:05WASMISS Blatche 1' Layup20
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 10:09MIABlatche STEAL (1 STL)20
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q2 - 10:17WASBlatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
21.8%
28
78.2%
Q2 - 10:17WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)20
22.3%
27
77.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 10:41WASWilks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)18
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAWilks STEAL (1 STL)18
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q2 - 10:58WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)18
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q2 - 11:13WASMISS Jamison Free Throw Technical18
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 11:24WASWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot18
20.6%
26
79.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0WASMISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot18
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIADavis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)18
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 216
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q1 - 1:08WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot16
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 1:27WASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)16
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:34WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 1:36MIABlatche BLOCK (1 BLK)16
24.2%
22
75.8%
Q1 - 1:59WASSongaila 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 2:32WASMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot14
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 2:49WASWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 2:50MIAMISS L. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 3:09WASWilks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)14
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 3:27MIAL. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)14
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 3:42WASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 3:45MIAJamison STEAL (1 STL)11
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 4:07WASJamison 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 4:27WASStevenson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T4)10
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 4:34MIAStevenson STEAL (2 STL)10
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 4:45WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAHaslem 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)10
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 5:30WASButler 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)8
23.0%
16
77.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIABlount Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)8
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot8
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 6:15WASMason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)8
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 6:55WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)6
27.8%
11
72.2%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 7:36WASStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)4
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 7:52WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot4
28.5%
8
71.5%
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 8:03WASMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 8:08WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:09WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot4
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 8:15MIAStevenson STEAL (1 STL)4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:28WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 8:32MIAHaywood STEAL (1 STL)4
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:46WASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)4
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 9:00MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 9:21WASButler 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)2
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 9:48WASHaywood 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)2
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 9:53WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 9:54WASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot2
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 10:13MIADavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 10:19WASStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 10:23WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:38WASHaywood 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:09MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:10WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:18WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot0
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 11:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:43WASMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Haywood vs. Barron: Tip to Butler0
34.4%
0
65.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.0%
WAS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
20
40%
WAS
12
17
71%
Midrange
MIA
14
37
38%
WAS
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
WAS
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
12
20
60%
WAS
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2261%11.0 / 18
L. Jackson1454%7.0 / 13
D. Wade1243%6.0 / 14
D. Cook941%4.5 / 11
U. Haslem525%2.5 / 10
M. Blount563%2.5 / 4
A. Johnson338%1.5 / 4
E. Barron233%1.0 / 3
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Blatche1869%9.0 / 13
C. Butler1657%8.0 / 14
A. Jamison1568%7.5 / 11
R. Mason Jr.1260%6.0 / 10
D. Songaila1161%5.5 / 9
N. Young857%4.0 / 7
B. Haywood675%3.0 / 4
D. Stevenson542%2.5 / 6
M. Wilks5125%2.5 / 2
D. McGuire0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+12
-19
83
WAS
75
+6
-14
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.0%
WAS
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
108.3
MIA 82.2 +25.6
WAS 107.9
Pace
90.5
90.4
MIA 90.6 +2.1
WAS 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.3
MIA 15.9 +0.4
WAS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.9%
MIA 43.7%
WAS 58.0% +14.3%
TO %
15.4%
13.8%
MIA 19.2%
WAS 16.9% +2.3%
ORB %
22.2%
28.9%
MIA 24.4% +10.1%
WAS 14.3%
FTrt
30.0
29.7
MIA 28.2
WAS 31.9 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.8%
MIA 57.1%
WAS 66.7% +9.6%
STL %
7.9%
8.4%
MIA 8.9%
WAS 12.4% +3.5%
BLK %
7.1%
8.2%
MIA 3.9%
WAS 10.5% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.1%
MIA 44.0%
WAS 59.3% +15.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.0%
MIA 40.0%
WAS 70.6% +30.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.4%
MIA 37.8%
WAS 47.1% +9.3%
3P %
35.8%
35.6%
MIA 42.9%
WAS 44.4% +1.5%
FT %
72.7%
78.2%
MIA 60.0%
WAS 72.7% +12.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
33.3%
MIA 28.2% +3.5%
WAS 24.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.6%
MIA 52.1%
WAS 49.3% +2.8%
3P Att. %
21.7%
24.1%
MIA 19.7%
WAS 26.1% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points7496
Rebounds4036
Assists1624
Steals811
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals28-7136-69
At-the-Rim FG8-2012-17
Midrange FG14-3716-34
2-Point FG22-5728-51
3-Point FG6-148-18
Free Throws12-2016-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
38.4
22
61%
4
3
1
1
4
2
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
30.1
5
25%
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
5
1-2
50%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
27.6
12
43%
3
6
2
0
7
0
1
2
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 26
19.9
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
12.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
33.7
9
41%
8
3
1
1
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
29.2
14
54%
3
3
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
18.6
3
38%
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
16.0
5
63%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
44%
40
16
8
2
19
0
10
30
12-20
60%
22-57
39%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.