FinalWin Prob.pScore
2322%91
84
378%101
97
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
92.39196.6
DAL logo DAL
106.69186.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL84
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLWest Reverse Layup (2 PTS)84
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0DALMISS Terry 19' Pullup Jump Shot82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLMISS Law Layup82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLHarris STEAL (3 STL)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)82
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:40ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:45ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 1:55DALMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 281
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)81
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 2:28DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 280
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:37ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)79
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:46DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 179
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:48DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Smith Layup79
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:07DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)79
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 3:10DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 3:11DALMISS Nowitzki Reverse Layup79
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:16DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Law Driving Layup79
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 3:22ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)79
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:23DALMISS Howard Driving Finger Roll Layup79
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:43ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 3:52DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)77
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 3:52DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 4:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 4:14ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 276
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 4:34DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)76
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 4:53ATLWilliams 6' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)76
3.4%
82
96.6%
Q4 - 4:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 5:01DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot74
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 5:25ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)74
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 5:25DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)71
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 5:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 5:43ATLMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot71
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 5:59DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 5:59DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 271
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 6:03ATLTerry STEAL (2 STL)71
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 6:20DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)71
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 6:32ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
1.4%
81
98.6%
Q4 - 6:32ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 6:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 6:47ATLHawks Rebound69
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 6:48DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 7:11ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 7:11ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 268
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 7:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 7:23DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper68
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 7:48ATLSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)68
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 8:02DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)66
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 8:25ATLJohnson 13' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 8:58DALHoward Running Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)64
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 9:00DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 9:02ATLDampier BLOCK (3 BLK)64
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 9:16DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:16DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
1.1%
78
98.9%
Q4 - 9:25ATLNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 9:42ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 9:43DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 264
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 9:43DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 264
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 9:51DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 9:52ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 10:00DALDampier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 10:04ATLMISS Shel. Williams Tip Shot64
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:06ATLMISS Law Driving Layup64
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 10:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 10:13DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot64
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q4 - 10:30ATLLaw 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 10:43ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 10:45DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot62
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 11:03ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T11)62
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 11:16DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q4 - 11:16DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 11:29ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 11:29ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 11:35ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q4 - 11:37DALMISS George Layup60
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL60
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound60
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Law 18' Running Jump Shot60
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)58
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLShel. Williams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)57
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMISS Stackhouse 8' Running Bank Shot55
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 1:22ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 1:29ATLHawks Rebound53
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 1:30ATLStackhouse BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 1:45ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 1:46DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 253
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 1:46DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
0.9%
71
99.1%
Q3 - 1:46ATLWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)53
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 1:57DALGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)53
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 2:22DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 2:23ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 253
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 2:23ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 2:24ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 2:25ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot52
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 2:47DALTerry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 3:11ATLShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)52
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 3:23ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 3:25DALMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 250
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 3:25DALMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 250
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 3:27DALJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 3:28DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot50
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 3:43DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot50
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 3:53ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 3:54ATLMISS Horford Layup50
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 4:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 4:02DALMISS Howard 13' Running Jump Shot50
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 4:06DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Step Back Jump Shot50
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 4:29ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)50
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 4:42ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 4:44DALMISS Howard 28' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 4:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 4:51ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot48
0.9%
68
99.1%
Q3 - 4:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 4:59DALMISS Howard Layup48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 5:03ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)48
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 5:32DALHoward Layup (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)48
1.1%
68
98.9%
Q3 - 5:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot48
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 5:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 5:46DALMISS Terry 20' Turnaround Jump Shot48
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 6:09ATLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)48
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 6:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 6:27DALMISS Howard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot46
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 6:49ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 6:49ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 245
1.0%
66
99.0%
Q3 - 7:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)45
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 7:17DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)45
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 7:20ATLJohnson 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)45
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 7:29ATLHawks Rebound43
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 7:29ATLNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)43
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 7:48DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)43
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 8:24ATLJohnson 7' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)43
1.9%
60
98.1%
Q3 - 8:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q3 - 8:39DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 141
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q3 - 8:59ATLSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)41
1.9%
58
98.1%
Q3 - 9:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 9:08DALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 9:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 9:14ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot39
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q3 - 9:18ATLHawks Rebound39
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 9:18ATLNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)39
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q3 - 9:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 9:25DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper39
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 9:59ATLSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)39
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 10:12DALDampier Foul Turnover (P2.T10)37
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q3 - 10:28DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)37
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot37
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q3 - 10:49DALHarris Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)37
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q3 - 10:53DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q3 - 10:54ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot37
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 11:12DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)37
1.9%
56
98.1%
Q3 - 11:36ATLJohnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL35
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot35
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALHoward Backcourt Turnover (P3.T9)35
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound35
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Fadeaway Jumper35
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALDampier Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)35
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q2 - 1:10ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
2.7%
52
97.3%
Q2 - 1:31DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 1:48ATLStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)33
2.1%
52
97.9%
Q2 - 2:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 2:04DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
2.3%
52
97.7%
Q2 - 2:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 2:21ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot33
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 2:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
2.4%
52
97.6%
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Terry Layup33
2.3%
52
97.7%
Q2 - 2:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 2:35ATLMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot33
2.2%
52
97.8%
Q2 - 3:03DALTerry Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)33
2.6%
52
97.4%
Q2 - 3:07ATLTerry STEAL (1 STL)33
2.9%
50
97.1%
Q2 - 3:29DALHoward Running Layup (9 PTS)33
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 3:48DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Childress: Tip to Howard33
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 3:48ATLDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)33
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 3:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 3:56DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Turnaround Jump Shot33
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 4:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLMISS Horford Layup33
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 4:15DALHoward 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 4:33ATLHorford 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)33
4.8%
46
95.2%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
4.3%
46
95.7%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 5:09ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)31
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 5:38DALDampier Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)31
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 5:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
6.0%
42
94.0%
Q2 - 5:47ATLMISS Law 11' Running Jump Shot31
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 6:03DALDampier Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)31
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 6:18ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)31
7.5%
40
92.5%
Q2 - 6:23ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 6:24DALMISS Harris 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 6:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
5.5%
40
94.5%
Q2 - 6:44ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot28
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 6:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 6:54DALMISS George 19' Jump Shot28
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 7:16ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Law 1 AST)28
5.8%
40
94.2%
Q2 - 7:28DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T7)25
4.8%
40
95.2%
Q2 - 7:40DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:42DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 7:45DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 7:47DALMISS Diop 5' Hook Shot25
4.6%
40
95.4%
Q2 - 8:00DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
4.3%
40
95.7%
Q2 - 8:02DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot25
4.7%
40
95.3%
Q2 - 8:12ATLGeorge STEAL (1 STL)25
4.4%
40
95.6%
Q2 - 8:33DALJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)25
4.9%
40
95.1%
Q2 - 8:49DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.9%
37
94.1%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMISS Pachulia Reverse Layup25
6.1%
37
93.9%
Q2 - 8:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
6.6%
37
93.4%
Q2 - 8:58DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Floating Jump Shot25
6.4%
37
93.6%
Q2 - 9:26ATLChildress Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)25
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 9:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 9:30DALMISS Harris Layup23
5.3%
37
94.7%
Q2 - 9:38DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 223
5.0%
37
95.0%
Q2 - 9:38DALStackhouse Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
4.6%
37
95.4%
Q2 - 9:44ATLHarris STEAL (2 STL)23
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q2 - 10:05ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 10:07DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 10:27DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 10:29ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot23
5.8%
36
94.2%
Q2 - 10:50DALStackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
6.2%
36
93.8%
Q2 - 11:09DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 11:10ATLMISS Law Driving Layup23
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 11:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
7.4%
34
92.6%
Q2 - 11:25DALMISS Stackhouse Running Layup23
7.2%
34
92.8%
Q2 - 11:46ATLLaw 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound21
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS West 71' 3PT Jump Shot21
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALHarris Driving Layup (9 PTS)21
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Law Free Throw 2 of 221
7.0%
32
93.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)20
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Horford 6' Hook Shot20
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q1 - 1:05DALTerry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q1 - 1:32ATLLaw Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q1 - 1:36DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q1 - 1:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q1 - 1:39DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot18
7.3%
29
92.7%
Q1 - 1:56ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)18
7.0%
29
93.0%
Q1 - 2:20DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)16
6.4%
29
93.6%
Q1 - 2:26DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q1 - 2:27DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Running Hook Shot16
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 2:45DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.0%
27
93.0%
Q1 - 2:46ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot16
7.1%
27
92.9%
Q1 - 2:58DALHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)16
7.6%
27
92.4%
Q1 - 3:21ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)16
7.1%
27
92.9%
Q1 - 3:28ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q1 - 3:29DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Turnaround Jump Shot14
6.4%
27
93.6%
Q1 - 3:54ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
6.0%
27
94.0%
Q1 - 4:10DALDampier Slam Dunk (6 PTS)12
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q1 - 4:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
6.0%
25
94.0%
Q1 - 4:13DALMISS Stackhouse 11' Fadeaway Jumper12
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q1 - 4:32ATLJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
6.0%
25
94.0%
Q1 - 4:48DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)10
5.6%
25
94.4%
Q1 - 5:20ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 5:25DALDampier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 5:37DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
4.5%
25
95.5%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Jump Shot8
4.6%
25
95.4%
Q1 - 5:53DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)8
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 6:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
5.9%
22
94.1%
Q1 - 6:03ATLMISS Williams 14' Running Jump Shot8
6.0%
22
94.0%
Q1 - 6:30DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)8
6.4%
22
93.6%
Q1 - 6:35DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 6:36DALMISS Howard 17' Step Back Jump Shot8
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 6:49DALMAVERICKS Rebound8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 6:49DALMISS Harris Running Layup8
7.8%
19
92.2%
Q1 - 6:53DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
7.4%
19
92.6%
Q1 - 6:54ATLMISS Smith 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot8
7.6%
19
92.4%
Q1 - 7:11DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
8.2%
19
91.8%
Q1 - 7:11DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)8
8.3%
18
91.7%
Q1 - 7:21ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 7:39DALHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)6
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 7:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 7:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 8:06DALDampier 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)4
8.7%
14
91.3%
Q1 - 8:25ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 8:42DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 8:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
8.1%
12
91.9%
Q1 - 8:59ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
8.0%
12
92.0%
Q1 - 9:05ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 9:06DALMISS Harris Driving Layup0
7.4%
12
92.6%
Q1 - 9:10ATLHarris STEAL (1 STL)0
6.9%
12
93.1%
Q1 - 9:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 9:15DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot0
7.4%
12
92.6%
Q1 - 9:22DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.9%
12
93.1%
Q1 - 9:23ATLMISS Horford 12' Jump Shot0
7.1%
12
92.9%
Q1 - 9:44DALHoward 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)0
7.6%
12
92.4%
Q1 - 9:50DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
8.0%
10
92.0%
Q1 - 9:52ATLDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)0
8.2%
10
91.8%
Q1 - 10:15DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 10:25ATLDampier STEAL (1 STL)0
9.8%
7
90.2%
Q1 - 10:45DALHoward 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)0
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 11:03ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 11:13DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 11:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:23ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 11:46DALDampier Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Smith: Tip to Harris0
15.6%
0
84.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.2%
DAL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
27
44%
DAL
13
24
54%
Midrange
ATL
17
39
44%
DAL
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
DAL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
ATL
23
31
74%
DAL
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1860%9.0 / 15
J. Johnson1743%8.5 / 20
J. Smith1343%6.5 / 15
A. Law1246%6.0 / 13
A. Horford1150%5.5 / 11
A. Johnson4100%2.0 / 2
S. Williams467%2.0 / 3
J. Childress350%1.5 / 3
M. West250%1.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2255%11.0 / 20
J. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
D. Harris1963%9.5 / 15
J. Terry1454%7.0 / 13
E. Dampier12100%6.0 / 6
J. Stackhouse844%4.0 / 9
E. Jones350%1.5 / 3
D. Diop0-0.0 / 1
D. George0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
76
+11
-15
87
DAL
76
+12
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.2%
DAL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
110.6
ATL 92.3 +14.3
DAL 106.6
Pace
91.4
90.6
ATL 96.6 +10.4
DAL 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.4
ATL 14.9 +1.8
DAL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.2%
ATL 42.4%
DAL 48.6% +6.2%
TO %
15.5%
13.3%
ATL 15.7%
DAL 15.3% +0.4%
ORB %
29.8%
26.8%
ATL 15.4%
DAL 25.0% +9.6%
FTrt
34.0
31.8
ATL 43.1
DAL 47.9 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
56.9%
ATL 40.0%
DAL 59.4% +19.4%
STL %
7.9%
6.6%
ATL 9.9%
DAL 12.1% +2.2%
BLK %
8.4%
7.5%
ATL 11.7% +2.6%
DAL 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
53.9%
ATL 47.2%
DAL 53.9% +6.7%
Rim FG%
58.6%
58.5%
ATL 44.4%
DAL 54.2% +9.8%
Mid FG%
38.5%
44.3%
ATL 43.6% +10.3%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
35.6%
35.2%
ATL 16.7%
DAL 53.8% +37.1%
FT %
77.2%
81.4%
ATL 74.2%
DAL 74.3% +0.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
28.9%
ATL 37.5% +4.6%
DAL 32.9%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
49.6%
ATL 54.2%
DAL 49.3% +4.9%
3P Att. %
16.5%
21.5%
ATL 8.3%
DAL 17.8% +9.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsATLDAL
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.625.3
Points8497
Rebounds3944
Assists1219
Steals911
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals30-7232-73
At-the-Rim FG12-2713-24
Midrange FG17-3912-36
2-Point FG29-6625-60
3-Point FG1-67-13
Free Throws23-3126-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
46.4
17
43%
2
5
0
0
4
4
0
2
4-5
80%
5-13
38%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
41.9
13
43%
8
3
3
6
3
2
2
6
5-8
63%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
32.0
18
60%
6
0
0
0
3
3
0
6
6-7
86%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 22
31.8
11
50%
10
0
2
1
1
3
0
10
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
18.6
4
100%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
28.5
3
50%
6
0
1
0
2
3
3
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
23.3
12
46%
0
2
3
0
1
5
0
0
4-5
80%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
6.6
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
3.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
47%
39
12
9
7
15
0
6
33
23-31
74%
29-66
44%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.