FinalWin Prob.pScore
956%100
121
1944%98
114
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.610288.3
MIA logo MIA
114.010094.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0ORL121
100%
114
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot121
99.9%
114
0.1%
OT1 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)121
99.9%
114
0.1%
OT1 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)120
99.9%
114
0.1%
OT1 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)119
99.9%
114
0.1%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup119
99.8%
114
0.2%
OT1 - 0:11.0ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)119
99.2%
114
0.8%
OT1 - 0:32.0MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)116
91.0%
114
9.0%
OT1 - 0:52.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)116
75.4%
114
24.6%
OT1 - 0:52.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)115
73.4%
114
26.6%
OT1 - 1:01ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)114
62.5%
114
37.5%
OT1 - 1:03ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot114
50.6%
114
49.4%
OT1 - 1:18MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)114
62.1%
114
37.9%
OT1 - 1:25MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
81.8%
111
18.2%
OT1 - 1:26ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot114
84.5%
111
15.5%
OT1 - 1:48MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)114
87.4%
111
12.6%
OT1 - 2:06ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)114
90.8%
109
9.2%
OT1 - 2:25MIACook 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)112
88.4%
109
11.6%
OT1 - 2:41ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)112
90.6%
107
9.4%
OT1 - 2:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)112
93.4%
107
6.6%
OT1 - 2:58ORLMISS Lewis 5' Jump Shot112
90.6%
107
9.4%
OT1 - 3:15ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)112
93.6%
107
6.4%
OT1 - 3:18MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot112
92.5%
107
7.5%
OT1 - 3:29ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)112
89.0%
107
11.0%
OT1 - 3:43MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)109
76.3%
107
23.7%
OT1 - 3:53ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)109
68.6%
107
31.4%
OT1 - 4:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)107
60.5%
107
39.5%
OT1 - 4:04MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot107
57.6%
107
42.4%
OT1 - 4:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
50.7%
107
49.3%
OT1 - 4:13ORLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)107
53.7%
107
46.3%
OT1 - 4:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)107
60.5%
107
39.5%
OT1 - 4:29MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot107
57.6%
107
42.4%
OT1 - 4:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
50.6%
107
49.4%
OT1 - 4:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot107
53.6%
107
46.4%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Wright vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis107
60.5%
107
39.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)107
98.0%
104
2.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)106
96.7%
104
3.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)105
94.4%
104
5.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot105
81.0%
104
19.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)105
66.0%
104
34.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
61.9%
104
38.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (48 PTS)103
45.6%
104
54.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (47 PTS)103
49.7%
103
50.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)103
61.5%
102
38.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
29.3%
102
70.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2100
17.2%
102
82.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)100
22.9%
102
77.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)99
17.4%
102
82.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
11.2%
102
88.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)99
19.9%
102
80.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 299
18.4%
102
81.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)99
12.8%
102
87.2%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
19.4%
101
80.6%
Q4 - 1:03ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup99
23.1%
101
76.9%
Q4 - 1:10ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)99
33.1%
101
66.9%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
29.6%
101
70.4%
Q4 - 1:23ORLArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)99
22.9%
101
77.1%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)96
11.8%
101
88.2%
Q4 - 1:57ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)96
7.8%
101
92.2%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (45 PTS)94
6.6%
101
93.4%
Q4 - 2:33ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (14 PTS)94
8.2%
99
91.8%
Q4 - 2:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
6.9%
99
93.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot92
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
4.4%
99
95.6%
Q4 - 3:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
5.3%
99
94.7%
Q4 - 3:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
7.8%
99
92.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot92
6.6%
99
93.4%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
4.4%
99
95.6%
Q4 - 3:33ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 292
8.0%
99
92.0%
Q4 - 3:33ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
10.1%
99
89.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (43 PTS)91
7.6%
99
92.4%
Q4 - 3:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
10.1%
97
89.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot91
11.2%
97
88.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (41 PTS)91
13.9%
97
86.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHEAT Rebound91
24.9%
94
75.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Davis 12' Jump Shot91
30.4%
94
69.6%
Q4 - 4:30ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)91
24.7%
94
75.3%
Q4 - 4:30ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
32.9%
94
67.1%
Q4 - 4:32ORLMISS Arroyo Layup91
27.1%
94
72.9%
Q4 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)91
32.9%
94
67.1%
Q4 - 4:35ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup91
27.0%
94
73.0%
Q4 - 4:56MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)91
32.8%
94
67.2%
Q4 - 5:13ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)91
43.4%
92
56.6%
Q4 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
28.5%
92
71.5%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot88
26.4%
92
73.6%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHEAT Rebound88
21.9%
92
78.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Wright Layup88
26.3%
92
73.7%
Q4 - 5:53ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)88
21.8%
92
78.2%
Q4 - 6:03ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
15.7%
92
84.3%
Q4 - 6:04ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.8%
92
87.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)85
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHEAT Rebound85
24.3%
89
75.7%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
26.3%
89
73.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWright Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
34.1%
89
65.9%
Q4 - 7:14ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)85
39.6%
87
60.4%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q4 - 7:18ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
35.3%
87
64.7%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWade Layup (38 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)84
40.3%
87
59.7%
Q4 - 7:54ORLWade STEAL (3 STL)84
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 7:58ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
54.1%
85
45.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Wright 6' Running Hook Shot84
51.9%
85
48.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
47.4%
85
52.6%
Q4 - 8:10ORLMISS Evans Layup84
49.3%
85
50.7%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)84
53.9%
85
46.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAHEAT Rebound84
60.0%
83
40.0%
Q4 - 8:49ORLMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.9%
83
38.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (34 PTS)84
66.0%
83
34.0%
Q4 - 9:19ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)84
70.9%
81
29.1%
Q4 - 9:22ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 9:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
72.4%
81
27.6%
Q4 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)84
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)84
76.6%
80
23.4%
Q4 - 9:52ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)84
79.8%
79
20.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)81
71.1%
79
28.9%
Q4 - 10:13ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)81
65.0%
79
35.0%
Q4 - 10:13ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 280
64.1%
79
35.9%
Q4 - 10:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
65.4%
79
34.6%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot80
63.7%
79
36.3%
Q4 - 10:36ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)80
59.7%
79
40.3%
Q4 - 10:55MIAHaslem Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)78
54.6%
79
45.4%
Q4 - 11:10ORLWright STEAL (3 STL)78
59.2%
77
40.8%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)78
64.6%
77
35.4%
Q4 - 11:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)78
65.5%
76
34.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
69.2%
75
30.8%
Q4 - 11:45ORLMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
70.6%
75
29.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL78
73.8%
75
26.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS)78
73.2%
75
26.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)78
77.1%
73
22.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot75
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
64.4%
73
35.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot75
65.9%
73
34.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
69.0%
73
31.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot75
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound75
64.3%
73
35.7%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot75
67.4%
73
32.6%
Q3 - 1:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
64.3%
73
35.7%
Q3 - 1:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
62.7%
73
37.3%
Q3 - 1:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
59.8%
73
40.2%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS L. Jackson 3PT Jump Shot73
58.3%
73
41.7%
Q3 - 1:53ORLDooling 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
54.9%
73
45.1%
Q3 - 2:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q3 - 2:15ORLMISS Lewis 19' Fadeaway Jumper71
46.8%
73
53.2%
Q3 - 2:22ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot71
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q3 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
45.2%
73
54.8%
Q3 - 2:41ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot71
46.8%
73
53.2%
Q3 - 2:55ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
50.3%
73
49.7%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot71
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q3 - 3:16ORLDooling 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
46.0%
73
54.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
41.8%
73
58.2%
Q3 - 3:49ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q3 - 3:49ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
45.3%
71
54.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS)67
41.8%
71
58.2%
Q3 - 4:10ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
46.2%
69
53.8%
Q3 - 4:10ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
45.6%
69
54.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)65
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)65
43.4%
68
56.6%
Q3 - 4:39ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)65
46.2%
67
53.8%
Q3 - 4:48ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
38.4%
67
61.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS L. Jackson 12' Jump Shot62
37.0%
67
63.0%
Q3 - 5:14ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)62
34.9%
67
65.1%
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)59
28.0%
67
72.0%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
31.1%
65
68.9%
Q3 - 5:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
32.3%
65
67.7%
Q3 - 6:12ORLMagic Rebound59
36.0%
65
64.0%
Q3 - 6:13ORLMISS Lewis 18' Jump Shot59
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q3 - 6:22ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
36.0%
65
64.0%
Q3 - 6:24ORLWright BLOCK (3 BLK)59
33.3%
65
66.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)59
36.0%
65
64.0%
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 259
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 6:54ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)59
34.4%
65
65.6%
Q3 - 7:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot58
31.8%
65
68.2%
Q3 - 7:18ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T12)58
29.1%
65
70.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)58
32.9%
65
67.1%
Q3 - 7:52ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)58
39.6%
62
60.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)56
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 8:23ORLBogans Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 8:27MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)54
30.4%
62
69.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (10 PTS)54
26.9%
62
73.1%
Q3 - 8:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
24.4%
62
75.6%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot52
23.4%
62
76.6%
Q3 - 9:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 9:10ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 9:22ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)52
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot52
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)52
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 9:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)52
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 9:53ORLWright STEAL (2 STL)52
27.9%
60
72.1%
Q3 - 10:00ORLMagic Rebound52
31.0%
60
69.0%
Q3 - 10:00ORLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)52
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 10:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
32.3%
60
67.7%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot52
31.2%
60
68.8%
Q3 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q3 - 10:39ORLMISS Nelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper52
29.8%
60
70.2%
Q3 - 10:49MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
32.1%
60
67.9%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 252
32.6%
59
67.4%
Q3 - 10:54MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q3 - 10:56ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot52
32.8%
59
67.2%
Q3 - 11:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)52
36.3%
59
63.7%
Q3 - 11:25ORLHoward Dunk (14 PTS)52
42.7%
56
57.3%
Q3 - 11:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q3 - 11:28ORLMISS Howard Layup50
37.1%
56
62.9%
Q3 - 11:41MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Nelson Driving Finger Roll Layup50
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)50
47.0%
53
53.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)50
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS)47
43.0%
52
57.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0ORLNelson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)47
47.2%
50
52.8%
Q2 - 1:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q2 - 1:08ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
42.1%
50
57.9%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)45
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q2 - 1:44ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)45
47.9%
48
52.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)45
49.6%
48
50.4%
Q2 - 2:14ORLBogans Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)45
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q2 - 2:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Davis 15' Fadeaway Jumper43
43.5%
48
56.5%
Q2 - 2:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q2 - 2:30ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
42.3%
48
57.7%
Q2 - 2:36ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
44.3%
48
55.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper43
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q2 - 2:57ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)43
41.5%
48
58.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
36.7%
48
63.3%
Q2 - 3:31ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)40
39.2%
46
60.8%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)37
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 4:12ORLLewis 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)37
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 4:24MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)35
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 4:56ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)35
37.4%
42
62.6%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMagic Rebound33
34.7%
42
65.3%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Lewis 9' Hook Shot33
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 5:17ORLMagic Rebound33
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup33
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIAL. Jackson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)33
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 5:44ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P2.T9)33
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 6:08ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)33
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMagic Rebound33
44.3%
39
55.7%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
44.3%
39
55.7%
Q2 - 6:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMISS Foyle 6' Hook Shot33
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 6:54ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 6:55ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
42.0%
39
58.0%
Q2 - 7:23MIAHaslem 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)33
44.9%
39
55.1%
Q2 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS L. Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 7:43ORLBogans Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)33
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 7:53MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
50.1%
37
49.9%
Q2 - 7:59MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q2 - 8:02ORLWright BLOCK (2 BLK)33
53.3%
35
46.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIACook Foul Turnover (P1.T1)33
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 8:28ORLFoyle 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)33
52.4%
35
47.6%
Q2 - 8:43ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
50.2%
35
49.8%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS L. Jackson 20' Jump Shot31
49.3%
35
50.7%
Q2 - 9:05ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)31
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 9:17ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 9:19ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot28
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS)28
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 10:03ORLDavis STEAL (2 STL)28
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
52.6%
30
47.4%
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot28
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 11:00MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)28
55.3%
30
44.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
57.7%
28
42.3%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade Driving Dunk28
59.3%
28
40.7%
Q2 - 11:16ORLL. Jackson STEAL (1 STL)28
57.6%
28
42.4%
Q2 - 11:48MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
60.0%
28
40.0%
Q2 - 11:48MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
60.5%
27
39.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLHoward Tip Shot (10 PTS)28
62.3%
26
37.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)26
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAL. Jackson Layup (2 PTS)26
59.6%
26
40.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 226
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)26
62.3%
24
37.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot23
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q1 - 1:06ORLLewis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 1:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 221
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 1:48ORLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
53.2%
23
46.8%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 220
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIABlount Layup (2 PTS)20
53.2%
23
46.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup20
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q1 - 2:18ORLDooling Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 2:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
53.2%
21
46.8%
Q1 - 2:28ORLMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot18
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 2:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Haslem Reverse Layup18
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 3:09ORLDooling 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)18
51.0%
21
49.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 216
49.5%
20
50.5%
Q1 - 3:40ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
48.8%
20
51.2%
Q1 - 3:48ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 3:55ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 4:20MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
47.3%
20
52.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
47.6%
19
52.4%
Q1 - 4:42ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)14
49.0%
18
51.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)12
47.3%
18
52.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot12
51.3%
16
48.7%
Q1 - 5:19ORLLewis Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
47.8%
16
52.2%
Q1 - 5:59ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)10
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 6:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
46.0%
14
54.0%
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup8
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 6:38MIADavis Layup (4 PTS)8
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 6:42ORLWright STEAL (1 STL)8
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 7:01ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 7:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot8
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 7:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 7:17ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 7:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 7:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 7:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
56.5%
10
43.5%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot8
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 7:48ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)8
57.0%
10
43.0%
Q1 - 8:13ORLDavis STEAL (1 STL)8
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWright 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
60.6%
8
39.4%
Q1 - 8:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
62.2%
6
37.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot8
63.6%
6
36.4%
Q1 - 8:43ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
62.2%
6
37.8%
Q1 - 9:01ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
64.2%
6
35.8%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 9:16ORLHoward 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)8
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 9:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 9:28ORLWright BLOCK (1 BLK)6
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 9:50ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot6
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 10:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.9%
4
36.1%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot6
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 10:17ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:49ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)4
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 11:11ORLLewis 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:26ORLMagic Rebound0
60.3%
0
39.7%
Q1 - 11:28MIAMISS Barron 3' Layup0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 11:39MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.6%
0
41.4%
Q1 - 11:41ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot0
59.1%
0
40.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Barron vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
60.3%
0
39.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.10 55.0%
MIA
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
28
57%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
ORL
15
32
47%
MIA
21
48
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
ORL
23
28
82%
MIA
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2973%14.5 / 20
H. Turkoglu2258%11.0 / 19
R. Lewis1740%8.5 / 21
K. Bogans1354%6.5 / 12
C. Arroyo1346%6.5 / 14
M. Evans1083%5.0 / 6
K. Dooling1083%5.0 / 6
J. Nelson550%2.5 / 5
A. Foyle250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4875%24.0 / 32
R. Davis1750%8.5 / 17
U. Haslem1753%8.5 / 16
D. Wright1454%7.0 / 13
D. Cook1161%5.5 / 9
L. Jackson542%2.5 / 6
M. Blount250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
86
+24
-16
110
MIA
90
+10
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.10 55.0%
MIA
1.13 56.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
100.2
ORL 118.6 +4.6
MIA 114.0
Pace
93.5
90.5
ORL 88.3
MIA 94.9 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.3
ORL 16.3
MIA 15.2 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
48.2%
ORL 52.1%
MIA 53.5% +1.4%
TO %
14.7%
15.4%
ORL 13.8%
MIA 9.2% +4.6%
ORB %
23.4%
22.2%
ORL 40.4% +22.9%
MIA 17.5%
FTrt
35.5
30.0
ORL 29.8
MIA 36.5 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.5%
ORL 55.8%
MIA 58.1% +2.3%
STL %
6.8%
7.9%
ORL 3.9%
MIA 9.0% +5.1%
BLK %
6.2%
7.1%
ORL 5.6%
MIA 11.7% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
50.6%
ORL 55.0%
MIA 56.4% +1.4%
Rim FG%
61.5%
59.2%
ORL 57.1%
MIA 70.8% +13.7%
Mid FG%
40.8%
38.8%
ORL 46.9% +3.1%
MIA 43.8%
3P %
38.6%
35.8%
ORL 35.3%
MIA 38.5% +3.2%
FT %
72.1%
72.7%
ORL 82.1% +7.9%
MIA 74.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.2%
ORL 29.8% +1.6%
MIA 28.2%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
48.1%
ORL 34.0% +22.4%
MIA 56.5%
3P Att. %
32.2%
21.7%
ORL 36.2% +20.9%
MIA 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions102100
Possession Minutes27.725.3
Points121114
Rebounds5235
Assists2425
Steals49
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (5)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals43-9443-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2817-24
Midrange FG15-3221-48
2-Point FG31-6038-72
3-Point FG12-345-13
Free Throws23-2823-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
45.6
22
58%
6
6
2
2
3
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
4-10
40%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
44.9
17
40%
8
3
0
1
1
4
4
4
3-3
100%
4-11
36%
2-9
22%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
44.4
29
73%
21
0
0
1
3
3
7
14
9-11
82%
10-15
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 28
37.4
13
54%
4
2
2
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
19.0
5
50%
2
5
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
30.8
13
46%
7
5
0
0
0
1
3
4
4-6
67%
3-9
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29
18.5
10
83%
3
1
0
0
3
3
2
1
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
15.8
10
83%
1
2
0
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
5.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
121
55%
52
24
4
4
16
0
19
33
23-28
82%
31-60
52%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.