FinalWin Prob.pScore
1838%93
82
1262%97
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.29493.5
CLE logo CLE
104.39292.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE82
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAL. Jackson 1' Layup (2 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0CLEPavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)80
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0CLEMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01CLEJames Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWade 2' Layup (22 PTS)80
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23CLEMISS James 16' Jump Shot78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44MIAGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57CLEVarejao Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (James 12 AST)78
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03CLEMISS James 19' Jump Shot78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31CLEMISS Hughes 20' Jump Shot78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)78
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04CLEJames 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:36CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 3:38CLECAVALIERS Rebound76
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 3:39CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 4:01MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)76
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)74
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 174
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)74
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 4:56MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 4:57CLEMISS Gooden 3' Layup74
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 5:07CLEGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 5:19CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 5:35MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 5:35MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 5:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 5:39CLEMISS James 8' Jump Shot72
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 5:52CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Barron 12' Jump Shot72
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 6:13CLEVarejao 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (James 11 AST)72
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 6:57CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)70
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 7:05CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot70
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 7:16CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 7:16CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)70
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 7:37CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 270
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 7:54CLEGibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 10 AST)69
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:15MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)69
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 8:35CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 9 AST)67
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 9:11CLEVarejao 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)65
9.5%
73
90.5%
Q4 - 9:34MIABarron 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)65
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q4 - 9:35MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q4 - 9:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot63
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Barron 2' Layup63
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q4 - 9:58CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q4 - 9:58CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (13 PTS)63
9.5%
71
90.5%
Q4 - 10:01CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup63
14.5%
69
85.5%
Q4 - 10:06CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
12.5%
69
87.5%
Q4 - 10:07CLEMISS Pavlovic 14' Jump Shot63
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q4 - 10:24CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q4 - 10:32CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q4 - 10:32CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
16.4%
68
83.6%
Q4 - 10:47CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q4 - 10:48CLEMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
19.1%
67
80.9%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q4 - 11:32CLEMISS Pavlovic 18' Jump Shot61
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q4 - 11:43CLEBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q4 - 11:45CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot61
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA61
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Barron 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)61
16.7%
67
83.3%
Q3 - 0:13.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound61
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0CLEMISS James 12' Running Jump Shot61
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound61
14.0%
67
86.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 161
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
11.7%
67
88.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup59
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 1:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 1:04CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 1:14CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
10.5%
67
89.5%
Q3 - 1:15CLEMISS Gibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T17)59
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 1:48CLEJames 1' Driving Slam Dunk (16 PTS)59
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 1:53MIAJames STEAL (1 STL)59
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 2:10CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAHughes STEAL (4 STL)59
23.7%
62
76.3%
Q3 - 2:39CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 2:39CLEVarejao 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)59
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 2:41CLEMISS Hughes 3' Layup59
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)59
31.1%
60
68.9%
Q3 - 2:57CLEGooden Reverse Dunk (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)59
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 3:08CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Barron 13' Jump Shot59
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 3:21CLEVarejao Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)59
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)59
39.6%
58
60.4%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound59
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot59
41.0%
58
59.0%
Q3 - 4:11CLEHughes 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)59
43.7%
58
56.3%
Q3 - 4:21CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
47.4%
56
52.6%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot59
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q3 - 4:44CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)59
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 4:44CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)59
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q3 - 4:59MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)59
56.1%
54
43.9%
Q3 - 5:18CLEJames Layup (14 PTS) (Hughes 5 AST)59
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q3 - 5:24MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)59
63.5%
52
36.5%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
67.5%
52
32.5%
Q3 - 5:32CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot59
66.3%
52
33.7%
Q3 - 5:47CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
63.5%
52
36.5%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
64.7%
52
35.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 5:56CLEMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot59
66.3%
52
33.7%
Q3 - 6:13MIADavis 7' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)59
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot57
55.7%
52
44.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q3 - 6:35CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot57
57.4%
52
42.6%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
50.0%
52
50.0%
Q3 - 7:10CLEMISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot55
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)55
45.6%
52
54.4%
Q3 - 7:39CLEPavlovic Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)55
50.0%
52
50.0%
Q3 - 7:43CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
53.4%
50
46.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot55
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q3 - 8:03CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)55
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 8:07MIAHughes STEAL (3 STL)55
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q3 - 8:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
67.8%
47
32.2%
Q3 - 8:21CLEMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
66.6%
47
33.4%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)55
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q3 - 8:49MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q3 - 8:53MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)53
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
60.9%
47
39.1%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot53
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q3 - 9:15CLEJames 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)53
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHughes STEAL (2 STL)53
62.8%
45
37.2%
Q3 - 9:47CLEGooden 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Pavlovic 1 AST)53
66.3%
45
33.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)53
69.4%
43
30.6%
Q3 - 10:16CLEPavlovic Foul Turnover (P1.T12)51
65.3%
43
34.7%
Q3 - 10:20CLEPavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
61.6%
43
38.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot51
62.7%
43
37.3%
Q3 - 10:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
65.3%
43
34.7%
Q3 - 10:36CLEMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot51
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q3 - 10:51MIAO'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)51
61.7%
43
38.3%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
57.5%
43
42.5%
Q3 - 11:06CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup49
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q3 - 11:24MIADavis 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)49
54.1%
43
45.9%
Q3 - 11:28CLEHughes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
50.8%
43
49.2%
Q3 - 11:43CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Williams 8' Floating Jump Shot47
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE47
50.8%
43
49.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade Tip Shot (11 PTS)47
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 8' Floating Jump Shot45
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
43.0%
43
57.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIADavis 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)45
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
43.0%
41
57.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
42.3%
41
57.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIADavis Layup (7 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)43
40.9%
41
59.1%
Q2 - 1:16CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
36.4%
41
63.6%
Q2 - 1:16CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
37.1%
40
62.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAGibson STEAL (2 STL)41
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 1:30CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
42.5%
39
57.5%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 2:02CLEJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 2:20MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
37.0%
39
63.0%
Q2 - 2:20MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIAHeat Rebound38
34.0%
39
66.0%
Q2 - 2:21CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 238
33.6%
39
66.4%
Q2 - 2:21CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)38
31.6%
39
68.4%
Q2 - 2:21CLECAVALIERS Rebound38
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 2:21CLEMISS Pavlovic 15' Jump Shot38
36.0%
38
64.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)38
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 2:54CLEIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)35
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 3:19CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot35
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
34.1%
36
65.9%
Q2 - 3:29CLEMISS Pavlovic 4' Running Jump Shot35
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIAO'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)35
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 4:10CLEIlgauskas 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)33
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 233
31.5%
34
68.5%
Q2 - 4:30MIAO'Neal Violation:Jump Ball33
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 4:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
32.5%
34
67.5%
Q2 - 4:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 4:44CLEMISS James Free Throw 2 of 232
30.8%
34
69.2%
Q2 - 4:44CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 232
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 5:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 5:04CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 5:05CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
24.3%
34
75.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Bank Shot30
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 5:16CLEMISS Hughes 2' Running Layup30
25.9%
34
74.1%
Q2 - 5:28CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
24.3%
34
75.7%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q2 - 5:43CLEGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 5:43CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 5:59MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)30
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 6:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 6:11CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 227
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 6:11CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 227
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 6:11CLECAVALIERS Rebound27
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot27
23.1%
32
76.9%
Q2 - 6:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 6:29CLEMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot27
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 6:48MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)27
22.4%
32
77.6%
Q2 - 7:05CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
19.6%
32
80.4%
Q2 - 7:05CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 224
20.0%
31
80.0%
Q2 - 7:21CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 224
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 7:34CLEBrown Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)23
19.6%
31
80.4%
Q2 - 7:40CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot23
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 7:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 7:50CLEMISS James 14' Jump Shot23
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 8:08CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 223
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q2 - 8:32CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 222
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:32CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 8:32CLECAVALIERS Rebound22
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 8:32CLEMISS Gibson 2' Driving Layup22
19.2%
30
80.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)22
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:05CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup20
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 9:15CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot20
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 9:36CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:36CLEMISS Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 220
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q2 - 9:39MIAPavlovic STEAL (1 STL)20
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q2 - 9:52CLEGibson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 219
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q2 - 10:20CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 10:20CLEIlgauskas 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)19
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 10:23CLEMISS Pavlovic 1' Running Finger Roll Layup19
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q2 - 10:30CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Williams 15' Running Jump Shot19
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q2 - 10:41CLEMISS Pavlovic 17' Jump Shot19
19.5%
27
80.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)19
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 11:08CLEGibson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWilliams 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)19
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot17
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:19.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3' Jump Shot17
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot17
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
19.9%
25
80.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot17
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 1:02CLEGibson 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 1:08MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)17
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q1 - 1:10CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot17
22.8%
23
77.2%
Q1 - 1:38MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 1:53CLEJames Foul Turnover (P1.T5)15
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 1:55CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup15
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 2:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot15
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 2:26CLEHughes Foul Turnover (P1.T4)15
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade 4' Running Bank Shot (3 PTS)15
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 3:00CLEJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T3)13
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 3:24MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 3:25CLEMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot13
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 3:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 212
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 4:09CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 4:09CLEMISS James Free Throw 1 of 212
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 4:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 4:44CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)12
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)12
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 5:15CLEJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)10
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 5:30CLECAVALIERS Rebound10
23.8%
15
76.2%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 210
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 5:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 5:43CLEGooden Foul Turnover (P2.T3)9
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:46CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot9
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMISS Gooden 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot9
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 6:11MIAHughes STEAL (1 STL)9
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAHeat Rebound9
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAJames BLOCK (1 BLK)9
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 6:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 6:20CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 6:20CLEMISS Gooden 2' Tip Shot9
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 6:22CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup9
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 6:36CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot9
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 6:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 6:44CLEMISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
23.7%
15
76.3%
Q1 - 6:58MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
22.6%
15
77.4%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 28
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 7:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 7:05CLEMISS Hughes 21' Jump Shot8
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 7:13CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
21.7%
15
78.3%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot8
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 7:36CLEPavlovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 7:36CLEPavlovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 7:39MIAWilliams 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 8:00CLECAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 8:57CLEHughes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)4
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 9:00CLEJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot4
21.9%
11
78.1%
Q1 - 9:06CLEGooden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)4
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 9:28CLEGooden 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)4
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 9:29CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 9:30CLEMISS Gooden 2' Layup4
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 9:48MIAHaslem 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 10:06CLEGooden Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)2
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 10:15CLEHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot2
24.7%
7
75.3%
Q1 - 10:31CLEGooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
25.8%
7
74.2%
Q1 - 10:39CLEGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot2
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 10:57CLEIlgauskas 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 11:17MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:44CLEJames 1' Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. O'Neal: Tip to Gooden0
31.8%
0
68.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
CLE
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
31
68%
CLE
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
9
33
27%
CLE
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
CLE
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
19
35
54%
CLE
24
34
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2242%11.0 / 26
R. Davis1550%7.5 / 15
S. O'Neal1359%6.5 / 11
J. Williams941%4.5 / 11
E. Barron744%3.5 / 8
U. Haslem638%3.0 / 8
D. Wright6100%3.0 / 3
M. Blount2100%1.0 / 1
L. Jackson233%1.0 / 3
D. Cook0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2552%12.5 / 24
D. Gooden1860%9.0 / 15
D. Gibson1673%8.0 / 11
A. Varejao15107%7.5 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas1346%6.5 / 14
S. Pavlovic525%2.5 / 10
L. Hughes429%2.0 / 7
D. Brown0-0.0 / 2
D. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+15
-18
91
CLE
79
+15
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
CLE
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
106.2
MIA 87.2 +17.1
CLE 104.3
Pace
90.5
90.0
MIA 93.5 +1.0
CLE 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.5
MIA 15.4 +0.2
CLE 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.0%
MIA 43.8%
CLE 46.8% +3.0%
TO %
15.4%
14.5%
MIA 17.9%
CLE 14.0% +3.9%
ORB %
22.2%
30.5%
MIA 27.9% +2.3%
CLE 25.6%
FTrt
30.0
30.8
MIA 48.6 +4.4
CLE 44.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
MIA 51.6%
CLE 67.6% +16.0%
STL %
7.9%
7.8%
MIA 5.3%
CLE 10.9% +5.6%
BLK %
7.1%
8.5%
MIA 3.1%
CLE 4.7% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.5%
MIA 45.1%
CLE 50.0% +4.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
57.7%
MIA 67.7% +8.3%
CLE 59.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
36.9%
MIA 27.3%
CLE 34.4% +7.1%
3P %
35.8%
35.8%
MIA 12.5%
CLE 30.8% +18.3%
FT %
72.7%
71.7%
MIA 54.3%
CLE 70.6% +16.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
34.7%
MIA 43.1% +1.5%
CLE 41.6%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
42.2%
MIA 45.8%
CLE 41.6% +4.3%
3P Att. %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 11.1%
CLE 16.9% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8296
Rebounds4442
Assists1623
Steals510
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)31 (4)
Field Goals31-7234-77
At-the-Rim FG21-3119-32
Midrange FG9-3311-32
2-Point FG30-6430-64
3-Point FG1-84-13
Free Throws19-3524-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
40.9
22
42%
6
8
0
0
5
3
1
5
8-16
50%
7-18
39%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
39.4
9
41%
4
5
2
0
4
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
34.6
6
38%
13
2
0
0
4
5
3
10
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
31.1
13
59%
9
1
1
2
4
5
3
6
5-10
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
16.8
6
100%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
39.7
15
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
24.4
7
44%
7
0
0
0
0
4
3
4
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
3.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
1.5
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
44
16
5
2
18
0
12
32
19-35
54%
30-64
47%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.