FinalWin Prob.pScore
848%99
102
1552%100
104
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
115.98890.8
MIA logo MIA
114.39188.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA102
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)102
3.5%
104
96.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0UTABoozer 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)102
36.1%
102
63.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)100
23.0%
102
77.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)100
56.9%
99
43.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)99
53.4%
99
46.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
42.3%
99
57.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot98
37.2%
99
62.8%
Q4 - 1:18UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)98
28.1%
99
71.9%
Q4 - 1:22UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
12.8%
99
87.2%
Q4 - 1:24UTAWade BLOCK (1 BLK)95
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
14.5%
99
85.5%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
15.6%
98
84.4%
Q4 - 1:52UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
22.2%
97
77.8%
Q4 - 1:52UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
20.3%
97
79.7%
Q4 - 1:52UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
15.4%
97
84.6%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Layup93
13.4%
97
86.6%
Q4 - 2:14UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q4 - 2:14UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q4 - 2:31UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
8.0%
97
92.0%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 291
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 2:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
6.3%
96
93.7%
Q4 - 2:37UTAMISS Miles Layup91
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 2:41UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
12.3%
96
87.8%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot91
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 3:02UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)91
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 3:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)88
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 3:26UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)88
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 3:38MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 3:53UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)86
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 3:57UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot83
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 4:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)83
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 183
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 4:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 4:26UTAMISS Miles Driving Layup83
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q4 - 4:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 4:44UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 4:46UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)83
7.6%
90
92.4%
Q4 - 4:48UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 283
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 4:48UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 283
6.9%
90
93.1%
Q4 - 5:05MIACook Tip Shot (10 PTS)83
9.9%
90
90.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot83
16.2%
88
83.8%
Q4 - 5:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 5:20UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 5:30UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
9.8%
88
90.2%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot81
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)81
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 5:41UTAMISS Millsap 6' Jump Shot81
7.8%
88
92.2%
Q4 - 5:53UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
9.8%
88
90.2%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot81
8.9%
88
91.1%
Q4 - 6:12UTAMillsap Layup (12 PTS)81
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 6:14UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 6:15UTAMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot79
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)79
6.8%
88
93.2%
Q4 - 6:47UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 6:47UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 6:51UTAJazz Rebound77
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 6:51UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 7:10MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
8.6%
86
91.4%
Q4 - 7:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 7:24UTAMISS Hart 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
11.6%
84
88.4%
Q4 - 7:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 7:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 7:48UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)77
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 7:48UTAMillsap 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 7:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 7:48UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot74
9.0%
82
91.0%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)74
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q4 - 8:30UTAMiles Driving Dunk (17 PTS)74
15.3%
80
84.7%
Q4 - 8:43UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot72
11.5%
80
88.5%
Q4 - 9:05UTAMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)72
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)72
13.7%
80
86.3%
Q4 - 9:38UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)72
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q4 - 9:52MIADavis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)69
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 10:19UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)69
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q4 - 10:36MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P5.T12)66
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 10:46UTAJazz Turnover: Backcourt (T#13)66
7.9%
76
92.1%
Q4 - 11:02MIADavis Layup (10 PTS)66
10.8%
76
89.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS O'Neal Layup66
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q4 - 11:37UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)66
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA63
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound63
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Hart Driving Layup63
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
9.9%
74
90.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot63
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0UTAMillsap Layup (7 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)63
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot61
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIACook 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0UTAWright STEAL (1 STL)61
8.1%
72
91.9%
Q3 - 1:06UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 1:30MIAJump Ball Wright vs. Millsap: Tip to Williams61
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 1:30UTAWright BLOCK (3 BLK)61
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
10.8%
72
89.2%
Q3 - 2:05UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 2:05UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
13.2%
70
86.8%
Q3 - 2:10UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
11.7%
70
88.3%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup59
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 2:35UTAHarpring 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)59
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 2:56UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Wright 21' Fadeaway Jumper57
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 3:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 3:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIACook 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)55
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 3:42UTABrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)55
7.6%
68
92.4%
Q3 - 3:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 4:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q3 - 4:05UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIABarron Foul Turnover (P2.T11)55
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 4:36UTAKirilenko Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 4:37UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)55
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 4:38UTABarron BLOCK (1 BLK)55
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 4:57UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Davis Dunk55
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 5:39UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (15 PTS)55
13.8%
65
86.2%
Q3 - 5:54MIADavis 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)53
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 6:09UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
14.6%
63
85.4%
Q3 - 6:09UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 252
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 6:21MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)52
14.8%
63
85.2%
Q3 - 6:39UTABoozer Tip Shot (4 PTS)52
16.7%
61
83.3%
Q3 - 6:40UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 6:41UTAMISS Boozer Tip Shot50
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 6:42UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 6:43UTAMISS Brewer Layup50
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 6:50UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup50
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 7:07UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T9)50
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWade Reverse Layup (7 PTS)50
15.3%
61
84.7%
Q3 - 7:28UTACollins Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)50
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 7:42MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)50
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 7:55UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)50
17.1%
59
82.9%
Q3 - 7:55UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
16.5%
59
83.5%
Q3 - 7:58UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot48
14.6%
59
85.4%
Q3 - 8:17UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)48
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q3 - 8:28UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 8:29UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot46
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)46
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 8:50UTAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)46
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 8:58UTAKirilenko Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)46
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 9:07UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot45
10.8%
59
89.2%
Q3 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)45
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 9:16UTAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)45
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 9:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot45
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q3 - 9:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 9:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
9.5%
59
90.5%
Q3 - 9:41UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 9:42UTAMISS Boozer 8' Jump Shot43
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 10:08MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
9.3%
59
90.7%
Q3 - 10:19UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)43
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 10:19UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 242
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 10:39MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)42
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Haslem Layup42
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
13.3%
54
86.7%
Q3 - 10:57UTAMISS Collins 15' Jump Shot42
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAO'Neal 2' Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q3 - 11:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)42
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot42
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q3 - 11:31UTABrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q3 - 11:46MIAO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)42
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot42
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAWright BLOCK (2 BLK)42
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWade Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 242
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAMISS Miles Free Throw Technical42
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 242
25.3%
50
74.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIADavis Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)42
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
28.3%
48
71.7%
Q2 - 1:00UTAMISS Kirilenko 21' Jump Shot42
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q2 - 1:14UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot42
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 1:31UTAD. Williams 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)40
25.4%
48
74.6%
Q2 - 2:15UTAMiles 12' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)40
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 2:19UTAJazz Rebound38
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 2:20UTAMISS Miles 3' Jump Shot38
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 2:40MIAWright Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)38
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 3:04UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 3:04UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 237
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)37
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 3:32UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
27.1%
44
72.9%
Q2 - 3:32UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 236
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 3:38MIABarron 6' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)36
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q2 - 3:56UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (9 PTS)36
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIABarron 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)34
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 4:35UTAJazz Rebound34
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 4:35UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 234
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 4:35UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 234
32.0%
40
68.0%
Q2 - 4:54MIABarron Layup (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)34
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 5:15UTAMillsap 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)34
35.5%
38
64.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)32
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 5:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
38.1%
35
61.9%
Q2 - 5:44UTAMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot32
39.0%
35
61.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIABarron Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 6:12UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
38.3%
35
61.7%
Q2 - 6:17UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS O'Neal Layup30
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)30
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal Layup30
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 6:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)30
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot30
35.3%
35
64.7%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 6:43UTAMISS Boozer 20' Jump Shot30
34.1%
35
65.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIABarron 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
36.7%
35
63.3%
Q2 - 7:28UTAMillsap 4' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)30
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
36.6%
33
63.4%
Q2 - 8:03UTAMiles Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)28
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 8:09UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot26
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 8:27UTAMiles Layup (2 PTS)26
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 8:28UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 8:30UTAMISS Harpring 16' Jump Shot24
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 8:42MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
32.5%
30
67.5%
Q2 - 8:57UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 8:57UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 223
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 9:16MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)23
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q2 - 9:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)23
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q2 - 9:28UTAMISS Hart 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 9:42UTAMISS Hart Free Throw Technical23
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q2 - 9:52MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q2 - 9:55UTADavis STEAL (2 STL)23
41.4%
25
58.6%
Q2 - 10:14UTAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot23
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
41.4%
25
58.6%
Q2 - 10:29UTAMISS Harpring Finger Roll Layup23
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q2 - 10:46MIACook Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)23
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 10:51UTADavis STEAL (1 STL)23
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q2 - 11:04UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
48.7%
23
51.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot23
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q2 - 11:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q2 - 11:20UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA23
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
52.4%
21
47.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot23
52.5%
21
47.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q1 - 1:08MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 1:24UTAFesenko Layup (2 PTS)21
51.2%
19
48.8%
Q1 - 1:26UTAFesenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
48.3%
19
51.7%
Q1 - 1:28UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot19
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
48.3%
19
51.7%
Q1 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 1:54UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot19
51.8%
17
48.2%
Q1 - 2:16UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 2:28UTAWade STEAL (1 STL)19
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 2:42MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 3:03UTAD. Williams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)19
55.2%
15
44.8%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
53.2%
15
46.8%
Q1 - 3:38UTAKirilenko Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)17
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 4:01MIAO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)15
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot15
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 4:22UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)15
54.9%
11
45.1%
Q1 - 4:26UTAJazz Rebound13
53.2%
11
46.8%
Q1 - 4:27UTAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)13
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)13
53.2%
11
46.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 4:52UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot13
55.7%
9
44.3%
Q1 - 5:09UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.8%
9
43.2%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 213
56.5%
9
43.5%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 5:23UTAMISS Boozer 19' Jump Shot13
57.3%
8
42.7%
Q1 - 5:42MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)13
59.0%
8
41.0%
Q1 - 5:56UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)13
56.7%
8
43.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)10
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot10
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 6:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 6:28UTAMISS Boozer 8' Hook Shot10
54.8%
6
45.2%
Q1 - 6:43UTAJazz Rebound10
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot10
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 7:01UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 7:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 7:08UTAMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot8
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 7:24UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot8
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 7:38UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot8
50.5%
6
49.5%
Q1 - 7:56UTAJazz Rebound8
52.0%
6
48.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot8
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 8:12UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 18
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 8:30UTAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)6
50.1%
4
49.9%
Q1 - 8:43UTAJazz Rebound6
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 8:44UTAHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)6
50.7%
4
49.3%
Q1 - 8:46MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)6
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 8:59UTABrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
50.1%
4
49.9%
Q1 - 9:13MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 9:30UTAD. Williams 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
53.6%
2
46.4%
Q1 - 9:37MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 9:39UTAHaslem STEAL (1 STL)4
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)4
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:04UTAMISS Brewer Layup4
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 10:22MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 10:35UTACollins Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)4
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:39UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.2%
2
51.8%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot2
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 10:52UTABrewer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)2
46.1%
2
53.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAO'Neal 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
44.3%
2
55.7%
Q1 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 11:35MIAJump Ball Wright vs. Kirilenko: Tip to Wade0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:36UTAWright BLOCK (1 BLK)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:43UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:45UTAMISS Kirilenko 19' Jump Shot0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Collins: Tip to D. Williams0
48.0%
0
52.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
15
30
50%
MIA
23
34
68%
Midrange
UTA
14
35
40%
MIA
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
MIA
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
UTA
29
43
67%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams2261%11.0 / 18
A. Kirilenko2175%10.5 / 14
C. Miles2071%10.0 / 14
P. Millsap1255%6.0 / 11
C. Boozer1028%5.0 / 18
M. Harpring850%4.0 / 8
J. Collins563%2.5 / 4
R. Brewer225%1.0 / 4
K. Fesenko2100%1.0 / 1
J. Hart0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
S. O'Neal1753%8.5 / 16
D. Cook1575%7.5 / 10
E. Barron1393%6.5 / 7
D. Wright1275%6.0 / 8
R. Davis1255%6.0 / 11
J. Williams950%4.5 / 9
U. Haslem633%3.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
75
+20
-13
95
MIA
79
+12
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.03 51.5%
MIA
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
100.2
UTA 115.9 +1.6
MIA 114.3
Pace
93.6
90.5
UTA 90.8 +2.6
MIA 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.3
UTA 15.9 +0.5
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
48.2%
UTA 48.0%
MIA 53.2% +5.2%
TO %
15.2%
15.4%
UTA 12.9%
MIA 12.7% +0.2%
ORB %
29.6%
22.2%
UTA 35.9% +7.0%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
34.9
30.0
UTA 56.6 +27.5
MIA 29.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
58.5%
UTA 55.9% +14.4%
MIA 41.5%
STL %
9.3%
7.9%
UTA 4.5%
MIA 6.6% +2.1%
BLK %
7.3%
7.1%
UTA 4.2%
MIA 13.8% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
50.6%
UTA 51.5%
MIA 57.1% +5.6%
Rim FG%
61.4%
59.2%
UTA 50.0%
MIA 67.6% +17.6%
Mid FG%
44.2%
38.8%
UTA 40.0%
MIA 42.1% +2.1%
3P %
37.2%
35.8%
UTA 45.5% +16.9%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
75.9%
72.7%
UTA 67.4%
MIA 87.0% +19.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
30.2%
UTA 39.5%
MIA 43.0% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
44.3%
48.1%
UTA 46.1% +2.0%
MIA 48.1%
3P Att. %
16.6%
21.7%
UTA 14.5% +5.6%
MIA 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions8891
Possession Minutes23.324.8
Points102104
Rebounds4136
Assists1917
Steals46
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals34-7641-79
At-the-Rim FG15-3023-34
Midrange FG14-3516-38
2-Point FG29-6539-72
3-Point FG5-112-7
Free Throws29-4320-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
39.4
22
61%
3
7
1
0
1
2
0
3
6-9
67%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
34.7
21
75%
7
1
0
2
3
1
4
3
9-12
75%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 258 · 26
32.4
10
28%
10
3
0
0
2
5
2
8
2-4
50%
4-16
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 29
23.3
5
63%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 235 · 23
20.6
2
25%
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
27.4
20
71%
4
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 246 · 23
25.1
12
55%
5
0
1
1
1
6
2
3
2-5
40%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 32
18.1
8
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
6-6
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 30
13.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 280 · 21
5.2
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
#10 · G · 6'6" 220 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
41
19
4
3
13
0
14
27
29-43
67%
29-65
45%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.