FinalWin Prob.pScore
1353%94
111
2247%93
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.010084.2
ATL logo ATL
112.910198.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
OT1 - 0:00.0ATL111
0%
114
100%
OT1 - 0:07.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)111
1.8%
114
98.2%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot111
3.5%
114
96.5%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
9.6%
114
90.4%
OT1 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot111
7.2%
114
92.8%
OT1 - 0:35.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)111
5.0%
114
95.0%
OT1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Blount 13' Jump Shot111
9.1%
114
90.9%
OT1 - 0:51.0ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)111
18.3%
114
81.7%
OT1 - 0:51.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)111
21.3%
113
78.7%
OT1 - 0:51.0ATLHAWKS Rebound111
28.6%
112
71.4%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot111
33.3%
112
66.7%
OT1 - 1:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)111
45.0%
112
55.0%
OT1 - 1:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)111
70.7%
109
29.3%
OT1 - 1:14MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot111
74.6%
109
25.4%
OT1 - 1:32ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)111
80.9%
109
19.1%
OT1 - 1:32ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2111
82.3%
108
17.7%
OT1 - 1:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS)111
78.9%
108
21.1%
OT1 - 2:05ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)108
61.6%
108
38.4%
OT1 - 2:17MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)108
68.0%
106
32.0%
OT1 - 2:17MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)107
66.5%
106
33.5%
OT1 - 2:19ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)106
62.1%
106
37.9%
OT1 - 2:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)106
45.4%
106
54.6%
OT1 - 2:23ATLMISS Williams Layup106
57.2%
106
42.8%
OT1 - 2:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)106
45.2%
106
54.8%
OT1 - 2:43MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot106
50.6%
106
49.4%
OT1 - 3:01ATLWilliams Layup (24 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)106
60.2%
106
39.8%
OT1 - 3:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)106
66.3%
104
33.7%
OT1 - 3:17MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot106
70.4%
104
29.6%
OT1 - 3:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)106
78.6%
104
21.4%
OT1 - 3:29MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot106
70.5%
104
29.5%
OT1 - 3:57ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)106
74.2%
104
25.8%
OT1 - 4:23MIAWade Driving Layup (33 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)106
66.1%
104
33.9%
OT1 - 4:46MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
57.7%
104
42.3%
OT1 - 4:48ATLMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot104
54.7%
104
45.3%
OT1 - 5:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. O'Neal: Tip to104
47.6%
104
52.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)104
65.2%
104
34.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)104
42.4%
104
57.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)104
60.7%
104
39.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAHaslem Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)104
71.1%
102
28.9%
Q4 - 1:17ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)102
59.7%
102
40.3%
Q4 - 1:17ATLHAWKS Rebound102
43.7%
102
56.3%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Horford Layup102
55.0%
102
45.0%
Q4 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)102
46.1%
102
53.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)101
43.8%
102
56.2%
Q4 - 1:50MIAHeat Rebound100
35.6%
102
64.4%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot100
27.9%
102
72.1%
Q4 - 2:11ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)100
39.0%
102
61.0%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS)100
45.3%
100
54.7%
Q4 - 2:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)98
39.8%
100
60.2%
Q4 - 2:51ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot98
34.7%
100
65.3%
Q4 - 3:11MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)98
26.0%
100
74.0%
Q4 - 3:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
39.7%
100
60.3%
Q4 - 3:24ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 298
41.4%
99
58.6%
Q4 - 3:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
35.0%
99
65.0%
Q4 - 3:26ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot98
45.5%
99
54.5%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)98
39.1%
99
60.9%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)97
37.4%
99
62.6%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
30.9%
99
69.1%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot96
28.4%
99
71.6%
Q4 - 4:09MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)96
22.8%
99
77.2%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
17.1%
99
82.9%
Q4 - 4:23ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Fadeaway Jumper94
15.4%
99
84.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)94
12.0%
99
88.0%
Q4 - 5:05ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)92
11.5%
99
88.5%
Q4 - 5:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)92
15.1%
97
84.9%
Q4 - 5:44ATLWilliams Dunk (21 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)89
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 5:47ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
11.2%
95
88.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
12.3%
95
87.7%
Q4 - 6:01ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)89
18.1%
95
81.9%
Q4 - 6:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
13.4%
95
86.6%
Q4 - 6:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
18.0%
95
82.0%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot89
14.7%
95
85.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
14.7%
95
85.3%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P2.T12)89
17.9%
95
82.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)89
13.3%
95
86.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
17.7%
95
82.3%
Q4 - 7:01ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 289
19.9%
95
80.1%
Q4 - 7:01ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
17.6%
95
82.4%
Q4 - 7:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
20.0%
94
80.0%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS O'Neal Layup89
21.5%
94
78.5%
Q4 - 7:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)89
25.3%
94
74.7%
Q4 - 7:24ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
26.4%
93
73.6%
Q4 - 7:32MIACook 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)89
30.1%
92
69.9%
Q4 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound87
25.2%
92
74.8%
Q4 - 7:49ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot87
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 7:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
19.7%
92
80.3%
Q4 - 7:56ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot87
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 8:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
22.0%
92
78.0%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Haslem Layup87
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 8:19ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)87
26.7%
92
73.3%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)87
31.9%
90
68.1%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)86
30.6%
90
69.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
26.7%
90
73.3%
Q4 - 8:35ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot85
25.1%
90
74.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)85
23.5%
90
76.5%
Q4 - 9:33ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)82
16.1%
90
83.9%
Q4 - 9:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
19.4%
88
80.6%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot82
20.6%
88
79.4%
Q4 - 10:06ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)82
25.0%
88
75.0%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWright Putback Dunk (6 PTS)82
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem Putback Layup80
21.9%
86
78.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMISS Cook 11' Jump Shot80
21.9%
86
78.1%
Q4 - 10:40ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 10:40ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
25.7%
85
74.3%
Q4 - 11:02ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
29.8%
84
70.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
31.3%
84
68.7%
Q4 - 11:24ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)80
34.8%
84
65.2%
Q4 - 11:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)80
39.6%
82
60.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL77
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIALaw STEAL (1 STL)77
25.4%
82
74.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
31.3%
82
68.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)77
35.8%
80
64.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
31.2%
80
68.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)75
32.0%
79
68.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 275
36.4%
78
63.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
39.7%
78
60.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0ATLLaw Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)74
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
36.9%
78
63.1%
Q3 - 1:18ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot74
35.5%
78
64.5%
Q3 - 1:34MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)74
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 1:52ATLLaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
36.8%
78
63.2%
Q3 - 1:52ATLLaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
37.8%
77
62.2%
Q3 - 2:13ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)74
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
44.9%
76
55.1%
Q3 - 2:17ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q3 - 2:20ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup74
44.9%
76
55.1%
Q3 - 2:31MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
41.4%
76
58.6%
Q3 - 2:48ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)72
37.4%
76
62.6%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
42.1%
74
57.9%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
41.3%
74
58.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q3 - 3:21ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot70
36.7%
74
63.3%
Q3 - 3:34MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)70
33.7%
74
66.3%
Q3 - 3:52ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
30.0%
74
70.0%
Q3 - 3:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
33.6%
72
66.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot68
35.5%
72
64.5%
Q3 - 4:13ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)68
38.7%
72
61.3%
Q3 - 4:28MIADavis 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
34.1%
72
65.9%
Q3 - 4:41ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)66
30.9%
72
69.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)66
27.9%
72
72.1%
Q3 - 5:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)64
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 5:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
25.5%
71
74.5%
Q3 - 5:35MIAQuinn Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
27.8%
70
72.2%
Q3 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
24.8%
70
75.2%
Q3 - 5:47ATLMISS Pachulia Layup62
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 5:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot62
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 5:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 6:15ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)62
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
31.4%
67
68.6%
Q3 - 6:45ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
28.9%
67
71.1%
Q3 - 6:45ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
29.5%
66
70.5%
Q3 - 7:00ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
32.0%
65
68.0%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 7:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
34.1%
65
65.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot59
30.1%
65
69.9%
Q3 - 7:26ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)59
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
35.7%
63
64.3%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 258
34.1%
63
65.9%
Q3 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
36.9%
63
63.1%
Q3 - 8:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
37.7%
62
62.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)58
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 8:04MIADavis Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)58
44.1%
61
55.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 8:22ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
39.2%
61
60.8%
Q3 - 8:36MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)57
36.3%
61
63.7%
Q3 - 8:50ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)54
30.1%
61
69.9%
Q3 - 9:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot54
34.7%
59
65.3%
Q3 - 9:24ATLPachulia Dunk (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)54
37.1%
59
62.9%
Q3 - 9:30ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
40.4%
57
59.6%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot54
41.6%
57
58.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
44.1%
57
55.9%
Q3 - 9:40ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot54
43.0%
57
57.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade Tip Shot (15 PTS)54
40.9%
57
59.1%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot52
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 10:27ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 10:49MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)52
40.9%
55
59.1%
Q3 - 11:06ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)49
35.3%
55
64.7%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
38.3%
53
61.7%
Q3 - 11:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 11:48ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot47
39.3%
51
60.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS) (West 2 AST)47
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot47
46.8%
49
53.2%
Q2 - 1:00ATLShel. Williams Putback Layup (8 PTS)47
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q2 - 1:00ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q2 - 1:02ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot47
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 1:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
53.1%
47
46.9%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Wade Layup47
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
54.7%
47
45.3%
Q2 - 1:23ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot47
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)47
53.0%
47
47.0%
Q2 - 2:00ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T8)45
48.3%
47
51.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)45
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 2:37ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (West 1 AST)43
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q2 - 2:51ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 2:53ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Fadeaway Jumper43
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q2 - 3:22MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
46.3%
45
53.7%
Q2 - 3:43ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
43.7%
45
56.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)41
46.3%
43
53.7%
Q2 - 4:10ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)41
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q2 - 4:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
52.6%
41
47.4%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot41
53.4%
41
46.6%
Q2 - 4:27ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)41
55.4%
41
44.6%
Q2 - 4:45MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
52.6%
41
47.4%
Q2 - 4:45MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 4:56ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)39
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
51.2%
39
48.8%
Q2 - 5:28ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)37
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 5:52MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
46.9%
39
53.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 6:15ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
44.9%
39
55.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)35
47.1%
37
52.9%
Q2 - 6:37ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)33
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 6:52MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
47.1%
35
52.9%
Q2 - 7:09ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
42.7%
35
57.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWright STEAL (1 STL)30
39.9%
35
60.1%
Q2 - 7:28ATLWright 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)30
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)30
45.0%
33
55.0%
Q2 - 7:43ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
47.9%
33
52.1%
Q2 - 8:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
44.9%
33
55.1%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 230
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 8:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot29
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 8:29ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)29
45.3%
33
54.7%
Q2 - 8:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
47.6%
31
52.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 228
46.4%
31
53.6%
Q2 - 8:58ATLWilliams Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)28
47.9%
31
52.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)28
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q2 - 9:08ATLMISS Williams Putback Layup28
52.2%
29
47.8%
Q2 - 9:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q2 - 9:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q2 - 9:12ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot28
52.2%
29
47.8%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
52.2%
29
47.8%
Q2 - 9:33MIACook Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q2 - 9:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
48.0%
29
52.0%
Q2 - 9:38ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot26
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 10:02MIADavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)26
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 10:10MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
48.0%
29
52.0%
Q2 - 10:11ATLMISS Smith Layup26
47.1%
29
52.9%
Q2 - 10:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)26
45.2%
29
54.8%
Q2 - 10:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)25
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 10:40ATLShel. Williams 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
43.0%
29
57.0%
Q2 - 10:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
45.2%
27
54.8%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot24
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 11:03ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
47.8%
27
52.2%
Q2 - 11:08MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)24
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 11:13ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
52.7%
25
47.3%
Q2 - 11:28MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)24
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q2 - 11:40MIAHeat Rebound22
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q2 - 11:41ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.1%
25
52.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
45.4%
25
54.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
45.7%
25
54.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
46.3%
25
53.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
47.6%
25
52.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
48.2%
24
51.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
50.5%
23
49.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot22
51.0%
23
49.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
52.3%
23
47.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 222
52.8%
22
47.2%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
52.9%
22
47.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wright 16' Turnaround Jump Shot22
53.4%
22
46.6%
Q1 - 1:22ATLShel. Williams Layup (2 PTS)22
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
57.1%
20
42.9%
Q1 - 1:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
54.7%
20
45.3%
Q1 - 1:43ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot20
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)20
53.0%
20
47.0%
Q1 - 2:20ATLWest Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
50.5%
20
49.5%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)18
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
47.8%
20
52.2%
Q1 - 2:51ATLSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
45.8%
20
54.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 3:28ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)14
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 3:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 214
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 3:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 3:47ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot13
47.7%
16
52.3%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T4)13
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 4:22ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical13
48.8%
16
51.2%
Q1 - 4:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
48.8%
16
51.2%
Q1 - 4:22ATLSmith Putback Layup (2 PTS)13
48.8%
16
51.2%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS West Layup13
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)13
50.5%
14
49.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 4:39ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
52.3%
14
47.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMourning Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot11
48.2%
14
51.8%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 5:38ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 6:01ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 6:03ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 6:18ATLHAWKS Rebound9
42.8%
14
57.2%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 29
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.9%
14
57.1%
Q1 - 6:40ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot8
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 7:12ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q1 - 7:23MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)6
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 7:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 7:34ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot4
41.1%
11
58.9%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)4
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 8:08ATLJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)2
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 8:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot2
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 8:43ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
42.2%
9
57.8%
Q1 - 8:43ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
42.6%
8
57.4%
Q1 - 8:53ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)2
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 9:06MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:25ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 9:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.2%
4
50.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot2
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 9:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
51.6%
4
48.4%
Q1 - 9:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
51.9%
3
48.1%
Q1 - 10:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 10:00MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 10:17ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 10:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.0%
0
47.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 10:47ATLMISS Williams 7' Running Jump Shot0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:02MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 11:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 11:13ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 11:37MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot0
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to Quinn0
55.0%
0
45.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
ATL
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
22
73%
ATL
16
24
67%
Midrange
MIA
14
40
35%
ATL
24
44
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
ATL
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
Free Throws
MIA
42
49
86%
ATL
31
36
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3667%18.0 / 27
S. O'Neal1662%8.0 / 13
R. Davis1650%8.0 / 16
C. Quinn1275%6.0 / 8
U. Haslem1146%5.5 / 12
D. Wright867%4.0 / 6
D. Cook758%3.5 / 6
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2659%13.0 / 22
J. Johnson2548%12.5 / 26
A. Johnson1963%9.5 / 15
Z. Pachulia1372%6.5 / 9
J. Smith1260%6.0 / 10
S. Williams880%4.0 / 5
A. Horford563%2.5 / 4
A. Law4100%2.0 / 2
L. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+11
-17
94
ATL
86
+13
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
ATL
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
106.6
MIA 111.0
ATL 112.9 +1.9
Pace
90.5
91.4
MIA 84.2
ATL 98.9 +14.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 17.1
ATL 14.6 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.3%
MIA 48.6%
ATL 52.5% +3.9%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIA 15.5%
ATL 15.2% +0.3%
ORB %
22.2%
29.8%
MIA 21.1%
ATL 33.3% +12.2%
FTrt
30.0
34.0
MIA 69.0 +23.4
ATL 45.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.6%
MIA 72.7% +4.4%
ATL 68.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
MIA 10.0% +1.1%
ATL 8.9%
BLK %
7.1%
8.4%
MIA 7.4% +7.4%
ATL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.0%
MIA 58.4% +1.4%
ATL 57.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.6%
MIA 72.7% +6.0%
ATL 66.7%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.5%
MIA 35.0%
ATL 54.5% +19.5%
3P %
35.8%
35.6%
MIA 33.3% +24.2%
ATL 9.1%
FT %
72.7%
77.2%
MIA 85.7%
ATL 86.1% +0.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.9%
MIA 31.0% +0.6%
ATL 30.4%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
46.7%
MIA 56.3%
ATL 55.7% +0.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
16.5%
MIA 12.7%
ATL 13.9% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes28.524.5
Points111114
Rebounds3242
Assists2428
Steals109
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)30 (2)
Field Goals33-7141-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2216-24
Midrange FG14-4024-44
2-Point FG30-6240-68
3-Point FG3-91-11
Free Throws42-4931-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
49.0
36
67%
6
10
1
2
3
4
1
5
20-22
91%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
46.9
11
46%
8
2
4
0
3
5
3
5
3-3
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
38.7
12
75%
1
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
31.4
16
62%
7
1
0
1
5
5
3
4
8-12
67%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
19.8
8
67%
5
0
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
46.4
16
50%
2
4
2
0
4
4
0
2
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
20.9
7
58%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
4.7
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#2 · G · 6'2" 205 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
111
58%
32
24
10
5
17
0
8
24
42-49
86%
30-62
48%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.