FinalWin Prob.pScore
932%99
108
268%105
111
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
118.79198.4
DAL logo DAL
123.39083.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL108
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)108
1.4%
111
98.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)108
1.7%
110
98.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLBogans 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)108
3.0%
109
97.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)106
4.0%
109
96.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)106
4.5%
108
95.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)106
10.9%
107
89.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)105
9.3%
107
90.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
5.3%
107
94.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALMISS Terry 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot104
3.9%
107
96.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)104
3.1%
107
96.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (29 PTS)101
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 1:11ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (26 PTS)101
4.2%
105
95.8%
Q4 - 1:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
2.9%
105
97.1%
Q4 - 1:20DALMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot99
2.5%
105
97.5%
Q4 - 1:37ORLDampier STEAL (1 STL)99
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 1:39DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)99
3.8%
105
96.2%
Q4 - 1:54ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)99
6.3%
103
93.7%
Q4 - 2:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)97
4.7%
103
95.3%
Q4 - 2:10DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot97
3.9%
103
96.1%
Q4 - 2:38ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)97
2.4%
103
97.6%
Q4 - 2:58DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)94
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 3:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)94
2.1%
101
97.9%
Q4 - 3:18ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup94
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 3:39DALTerry Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)94
5.1%
101
94.9%
Q4 - 3:43DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
7.0%
99
93.0%
Q4 - 3:44ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot94
7.8%
99
92.2%
Q4 - 3:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)94
9.8%
99
90.2%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 4:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
6.7%
99
93.3%
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 294
9.2%
99
90.8%
Q4 - 4:20DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
7.6%
99
92.4%
Q4 - 4:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
9.4%
98
90.6%
Q4 - 4:37ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 194
9.9%
98
90.1%
Q4 - 4:40DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)92
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 4:59DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
4.6%
98
95.4%
Q4 - 5:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
5.2%
98
94.8%
Q4 - 5:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 5:06ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot92
6.5%
98
93.5%
Q4 - 5:28DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)92
8.1%
98
91.9%
Q4 - 5:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
10.8%
96
89.2%
Q4 - 5:44ORLLewis 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
10.8%
96
89.2%
Q4 - 5:47ORLDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)90
6.4%
96
93.6%
Q4 - 5:53ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
8.1%
96
91.9%
Q4 - 5:55DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot90
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (19 PTS)90
6.8%
96
93.2%
Q4 - 6:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)88
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 6:16DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot88
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 6:37ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)88
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 6:52DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)85
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 7:06ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)85
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 7:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)85
6.3%
93
93.7%
Q4 - 7:14DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot85
5.8%
93
94.2%
Q4 - 7:28DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 7:29ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot85
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q4 - 7:48DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)85
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 7:58DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
10.0%
90
90.0%
Q4 - 7:59ORLMISS Dooling 10' Jump Shot85
10.9%
90
89.1%
Q4 - 8:17ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
14.2%
90
85.8%
Q4 - 8:18DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
13.2%
90
86.8%
Q4 - 8:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 8:26ORLDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)85
12.1%
90
87.9%
Q4 - 8:45DALNowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)85
14.1%
90
85.9%
Q4 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
17.9%
88
82.1%
Q4 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
17.3%
88
82.7%
Q4 - 9:18DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)83
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q4 - 9:18DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 9:18DALMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot83
13.9%
88
86.1%
Q4 - 9:44ORLRedick Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)83
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 9:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
14.8%
88
85.2%
Q4 - 9:53DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
13.8%
88
86.2%
Q4 - 10:15ORLDooling Driving Layup (10 PTS)83
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 10:34DALHoward Running Dunk (14 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)81
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 10:38ORLHoward STEAL (1 STL)81
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 10:56ORLMagic Rebound81
15.4%
86
84.6%
Q4 - 10:57DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot81
14.5%
86
85.5%
Q4 - 11:03DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 11:04DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot81
15.2%
86
84.8%
Q4 - 11:18ORLTurkoglu 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)81
13.3%
86
86.7%
Q4 - 11:44DALTerry 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)79
11.0%
86
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL79
13.2%
84
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)79
16.0%
84
84.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot79
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALMISS Terry 21' Jump Shot79
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0DALMISS George 23' Jump Shot79
15.7%
84
84.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
13.8%
84
86.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLMISS Dooling 6' Running Bank Shot79
14.6%
84
85.4%
Q3 - 1:16ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
17.0%
84
83.0%
Q3 - 1:17DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
16.1%
84
83.9%
Q3 - 1:41ORLBogans Running Layup (4 PTS)79
14.3%
84
85.7%
Q3 - 1:44DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)77
12.1%
84
87.9%
Q3 - 1:56DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
10.1%
84
89.9%
Q3 - 1:57ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 277
10.4%
84
89.6%
Q3 - 1:57ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
11.7%
84
88.3%
Q3 - 2:12DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q3 - 2:12DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q3 - 2:13DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q3 - 2:14DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
14.0%
82
86.0%
Q3 - 2:24DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)76
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q3 - 2:42ORLDooling 6' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)76
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q3 - 2:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q3 - 2:50DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot74
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q3 - 3:08ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)74
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q3 - 3:25DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 3:25DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
9.7%
80
90.3%
Q3 - 3:39ORLEvans Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)72
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q3 - 3:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 3:45DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot70
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 4:06ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)70
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 4:21DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)68
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 4:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 4:37ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 268
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q3 - 4:37ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
10.9%
76
89.1%
Q3 - 4:45DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
9.8%
76
90.2%
Q3 - 4:45DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 5:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 5:06ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)66
11.4%
74
88.6%
Q3 - 5:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 5:13DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 5:37DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 5:38ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot65
9.1%
74
90.9%
Q3 - 5:50DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 6:09ORLTurkoglu 15' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)65
12.0%
72
88.0%
Q3 - 6:29DALHarris Driving Layup (15 PTS)63
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 6:39DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 6:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot63
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 6:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 6:57DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 263
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 6:57DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 7:14ORLHoward Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)63
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q3 - 7:35DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
11.9%
69
88.1%
Q3 - 7:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
10.6%
69
89.4%
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot61
11.2%
69
88.8%
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)61
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 8:20DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 8:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 8:34ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 8:36DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot61
15.7%
67
84.3%
Q3 - 8:47DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 8:48ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 8:59DALDampier Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)61
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 9:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q3 - 9:13ORLHarris BLOCK (2 BLK)61
19.1%
65
80.9%
Q3 - 9:27DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)61
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q3 - 9:37ORLNelson 12' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 9:59DALHarris 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dampier 3 AST)59
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 10:22ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)59
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 10:44DALHarris 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)56
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 11:00DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 11:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot56
26.3%
57
73.7%
Q3 - 11:17DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)56
28.3%
57
71.7%
Q3 - 11:17DALMAVERICKS Rebound56
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 11:17DALMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot56
27.4%
57
72.6%
Q3 - 11:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 11:43ORLLewis Layup (9 PTS)56
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 11:45ORLMISS Lewis 6' Running Jump Shot54
21.3%
57
78.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL54
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALStackhouse Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)54
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
21.3%
57
78.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLEvans Layup (2 PTS)54
21.3%
57
78.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Foyle Layup52
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0DALTerry 16' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)52
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0DALStackhouse 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)50
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q2 - 1:12ORLFoyle 3' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)50
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 1:32DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q2 - 1:32DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q2 - 1:55ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)48
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q2 - 2:03ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 2:04DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q2 - 2:25DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q2 - 2:26ORLMISS Evans 22' Jump Shot45
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 2:54DALJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)45
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 3:01DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 3:02ORLMISS Howard Layup45
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 3:16ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 3:17ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot45
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 3:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 3:28DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot45
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 3:34DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
21.2%
48
78.8%
Q2 - 3:35ORLMISS Nelson Driving Finger Roll Layup45
21.9%
48
78.1%
Q2 - 3:50DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
23.5%
48
76.5%
Q2 - 4:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 4:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 4:19DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper45
27.0%
46
73.0%
Q2 - 4:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 4:39ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot45
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 4:52DALNowitzki Driving Layup (13 PTS)45
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 4:57DALMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 5:18ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)45
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 5:32DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 5:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
29.8%
41
70.2%
Q2 - 5:37ORLMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Hook Shot42
30.6%
41
69.4%
Q2 - 5:54DALHarris 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)42
32.4%
41
67.6%
Q2 - 6:11ORLDooling 14' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
34.2%
39
65.8%
Q2 - 6:31DALDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 6:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
29.5%
39
70.5%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 240
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 6:42ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 6:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 6:53DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot39
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 7:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 7:06ORLMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot39
28.1%
39
71.9%
Q2 - 7:10DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)39
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 7:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 7:13ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
28.1%
39
71.9%
Q2 - 7:33DALNowitzki 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
29.7%
39
70.3%
Q2 - 7:56ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 7:56ORLFoyle Tip Shot (4 PTS)39
31.8%
37
68.2%
Q2 - 7:58ORLMISS Dooling 7' Running Hook Shot37
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 8:08ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
29.6%
37
70.4%
Q2 - 8:09DALMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot37
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 8:28ORLFoyle Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)37
27.2%
37
72.8%
Q2 - 8:48DALGeorge 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)35
25.5%
37
74.5%
Q2 - 9:12ORLDooling 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)35
27.0%
35
73.0%
Q2 - 9:39DALStackhouse 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)33
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q2 - 9:59ORLTurkoglu 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q2 - 10:21DALBass 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
25.4%
33
74.6%
Q2 - 10:37ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 10:54DALGeorge 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)29
25.4%
31
74.6%
Q2 - 11:18DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 11:19DALMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 11:40ORLLewis 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.0%
29
75.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot27
24.3%
29
75.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)27
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot24
19.4%
29
80.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)24
18.6%
29
81.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot22
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q1 - 1:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 1:13DALMISS Stackhouse 9' Turnaround Jump Shot22
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 1:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 1:36ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot22
16.3%
29
83.7%
Q1 - 1:51DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q1 - 1:51DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 2:11ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 2:23ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 2:24DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper19
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 2:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 2:42ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot19
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q1 - 2:52DALStackhouse Running Layup (5 PTS)19
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 2:57ORLStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)19
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 3:11DALStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)19
18.8%
25
81.2%
Q1 - 3:24DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 3:25ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 3:32ORLMagic Rebound19
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 3:32ORLHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)19
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 3:33ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 3:34ORLMISS Evans 18' Jump Shot19
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 3:40DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)19
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 4:05ORLHoward Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)19
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 4:15DALDampier Putback Dunk (4 PTS)17
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 4:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 4:18DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot17
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 4:39ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 4:44DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)15
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 5:00ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
18.5%
20
81.5%
Q1 - 5:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
17.5%
20
82.5%
Q1 - 5:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 5:23ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 5:36DALHarris 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)13
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 5:52ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)13
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 5:52ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 6:06DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)11
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 6:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 6:20ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 211
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 6:20ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)11
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 6:25DALHarris 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
21.5%
14
78.5%
Q1 - 6:36ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 6:54DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 6:54DALDampier Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 6:55DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Fadeaway Jumper8
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 7:14ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 7:29DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)6
21.6%
10
78.4%
Q1 - 7:52ORLHoward Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)6
22.8%
8
77.2%
Q1 - 8:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:02DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot4
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 8:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound4
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS Bogans 7' Fadeaway Jumper4
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:44ORLMagic Rebound4
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:45DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 8:54DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 8:55ORLMISS Nelson 6' Floating Jump Shot4
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 9:11DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)4
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 9:28ORLNelson 4' Jump Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 9:36DALHoward 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 9:50ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:01DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
24.0%
4
76.0%
Q1 - 10:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:15ORLMISS Bogans 10' Running Jump Shot2
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 10:31DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:54ORLHoward 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 11:07DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper0
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 11:27DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Hook Shot0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:43DALHarris Layup (2 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Howard: Tip to Howard0
25.3%
0
74.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.3%
DAL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
24
34
71%
DAL
12
12
100%
Midrange
ORL
15
36
42%
DAL
26
52
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
DAL
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
15
20
75%
DAL
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2681%13.0 / 16
D. Howard2261%11.0 / 18
R. Lewis1558%7.5 / 13
J. Nelson1346%6.5 / 14
K. Dooling1045%5.0 / 11
K. Bogans945%4.5 / 10
A. Foyle675%3.0 / 4
M. Evans440%2.0 / 5
J. Redick3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3160%15.5 / 26
J. Stackhouse2175%10.5 / 14
J. Howard1963%9.5 / 15
D. Harris1568%7.5 / 11
E. Dampier880%4.0 / 5
J. Terry836%4.0 / 11
D. George467%2.0 / 3
E. Jones350%1.5 / 3
B. Bass250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
84
+11
-7
95
DAL
82
+10
-8
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.13 56.3%
DAL
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
110.6
ORL 118.7
DAL 123.3 +4.7
Pace
93.5
90.6
ORL 98.4 +14.7
DAL 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.4
ORL 14.6 +2.6
DAL 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
50.2%
ORL 55.4% +0.4%
DAL 55.0%
TO %
14.7%
13.3%
ORL 7.0% +2.9%
DAL 9.9%
ORB %
23.4%
26.8%
ORL 21.4%
DAL 22.2% +0.8%
FTrt
35.5
31.8
ORL 23.8
DAL 31.3 +7.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
56.9%
ORL 45.5%
DAL 64.3% +18.8%
STL %
6.8%
6.6%
ORL 5.5% +2.2%
DAL 3.3%
BLK %
6.2%
7.5%
ORL 1.6%
DAL 5.7% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
53.9%
ORL 56.3%
DAL 60.3% +4.0%
Rim FG%
61.5%
58.5%
ORL 70.6%
DAL 100.0% +29.4%
Mid FG%
40.8%
44.3%
ORL 41.7%
DAL 50.0% +8.3%
3P %
38.6%
35.2%
ORL 35.7% +10.7%
DAL 25.0%
FT %
72.1%
81.4%
ORL 75.0%
DAL 92.0% +17.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
28.9%
ORL 40.5% +25.5%
DAL 15.0%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
49.6%
ORL 42.9% +22.1%
DAL 65.0%
3P Att. %
32.2%
21.5%
ORL 16.7%
DAL 20.0% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsORLDAL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points108111
Rebounds3741
Assists2027
Steals53
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals44-8442-80
At-the-Rim FG24-3412-12
Midrange FG15-3626-52
2-Point FG39-7038-64
3-Point FG5-144-16
Free Throws15-2023-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 29
42.4
26
81%
6
4
0
0
1
5
1
5
4-5
80%
8-12
67%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
40.1
15
58%
8
1
1
0
2
3
3
5
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
36.0
22
61%
13
5
2
1
2
4
1
12
4-5
80%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 28
33.8
9
45%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 190 · 26
30.4
13
46%
1
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29
18.9
4
40%
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
17.6
10
45%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 33
11.9
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
8.9
3
150%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27
F · 6'9" 238 · 31
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
#4 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'2" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
56%
37
20
5
1
7
0
9
28
15-20
75%
39-70
56%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.