FinalWin Prob.pScore
3024%91
87
1676%100
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
89.797105.2
MIA logo MIA
91.99991.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MINMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)87
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MINMcCants REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 285
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)85
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup85
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot85
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0MINWade STEAL (2 STL)85
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMourning Tip Shot (9 PTS)85
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Haslem Layup85
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)85
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot85
24.6%
86
75.4%
Q4 - 1:16MINMcCants 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Telfair 6 AST)85
16.8%
86
83.2%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)82
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)82
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 1:23MINMISS Telfair Layup82
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 1:34MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 282
7.0%
86
93.0%
Q4 - 1:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)82
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 1:35MINMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot82
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)82
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 1:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
13.5%
84
86.5%
Q4 - 1:57MINMcCants Dunk (16 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)82
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q4 - 2:00MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot80
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 2:17MINSmith Layup (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)80
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
5.8%
83
94.3%
Q4 - 2:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q4 - 2:39MINMISS McCants 17' Jump Shot78
8.7%
81
91.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)78
14.3%
81
85.7%
Q4 - 3:07MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)78
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 3:07MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)76
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 3:37MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
10.7%
79
89.3%
Q4 - 3:38MINMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot76
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)76
14.8%
79
85.2%
Q4 - 4:16MINTelfair Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)76
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q4 - 4:34MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
10.6%
77
89.4%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 273
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q4 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 4:43MINMISS Telfair 16' Jump Shot73
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
16.2%
75
83.8%
Q4 - 5:06MINDavis STEAL (2 STL)73
19.9%
74
80.1%
Q4 - 5:26MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)73
26.0%
74
74.0%
Q4 - 5:40MINMcCants Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
32.7%
72
67.3%
Q4 - 5:40MINMISS McCants Free Throw 1 of 272
31.0%
72
69.0%
Q4 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
33.1%
72
66.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
34.5%
71
65.5%
Q4 - 6:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
37.3%
70
62.7%
Q4 - 6:04MINMISS McCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
39.8%
70
60.2%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)72
45.8%
70
54.2%
Q4 - 6:31MINMcCants Foul Turnover (P3.T18)72
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q4 - 6:49MINTimberwolves Rebound72
61.0%
68
39.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
58.5%
68
41.5%
Q4 - 7:09MINJefferson 9' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS)72
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q4 - 7:28MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)70
43.4%
68
56.6%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot70
41.1%
68
58.9%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
36.0%
68
64.0%
Q4 - 7:45MINMISS McCants 19' Jump Shot70
38.2%
68
61.8%
Q4 - 8:01MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)70
41.5%
68
58.5%
Q4 - 8:16MINDoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)70
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q4 - 8:29MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)68
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q4 - 8:44MINGomes Driving Layup (10 PTS)68
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
29.9%
66
70.1%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 266
32.5%
65
67.5%
Q4 - 9:19MINRichard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
28.9%
65
71.1%
Q4 - 9:19MINRichard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
27.7%
65
72.3%
Q4 - 9:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
24.5%
65
75.5%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 264
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q4 - 9:46MINMISS Gomes 15' Jump Shot64
25.7%
64
74.3%
Q4 - 9:56MINRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Quinn Layup64
27.7%
64
72.3%
Q4 - 10:00MINQuinn STEAL (1 STL)64
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q4 - 10:05MINRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q4 - 10:05MINMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot64
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q4 - 10:25MIAHEAT Rebound64
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Quinn Layup64
27.4%
64
72.6%
Q4 - 10:57MINSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T16)64
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q4 - 11:04MINMcCants REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q4 - 11:06MINMISS McCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q4 - 11:32MINMISS Gomes 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
34.9%
62
65.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)64
38.6%
62
61.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
43.6%
60
56.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MINRichard Foul Turnover (P1.T15)64
42.1%
60
57.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS)64
47.3%
60
52.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MINSmith 4' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)64
52.5%
58
47.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
47.4%
58
52.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)62
48.3%
57
51.7%
Q3 - 1:05MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)62
50.1%
56
49.9%
Q3 - 1:05MINTimberwolves Rebound62
55.2%
56
44.8%
Q3 - 1:05MINWright BLOCK (4 BLK)62
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 1:05MINGomes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
55.2%
56
44.8%
Q3 - 1:07MINO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)62
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q3 - 1:27MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
55.3%
56
44.7%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Hook Shot62
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q3 - 1:44MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)62
50.3%
56
49.7%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
40.8%
56
59.2%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
41.7%
55
58.3%
Q3 - 2:15MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)59
43.3%
54
56.7%
Q3 - 2:15MINMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 258
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 2:24MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot58
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)58
38.9%
54
61.1%
Q3 - 2:32MINMISS Smith 4' Jump Hook Shot58
40.4%
54
59.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
43.9%
54
56.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
48.1%
52
51.9%
Q3 - 3:02MINMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)58
48.5%
52
51.5%
Q3 - 3:09MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot58
50.4%
52
49.6%
Q3 - 3:26MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
47.1%
52
52.9%
Q3 - 3:26MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 3:44MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
42.9%
52
57.1%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup56
41.5%
52
58.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
38.3%
52
61.7%
Q3 - 4:01MINMISS McCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
38.1%
52
61.9%
Q3 - 4:08MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
41.5%
52
58.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot56
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 4:25MINTelfair Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)56
36.9%
52
63.1%
Q3 - 4:33MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)53
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot53
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q3 - 4:45MINMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot53
27.0%
52
73.0%
Q3 - 5:03MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)53
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Wade Layup53
28.1%
52
71.9%
Q3 - 5:17MINBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)53
25.7%
52
74.3%
Q3 - 5:25MINTimberwolves Rebound53
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 5:28MINMISS McCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 5:32MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)53
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 5:34MINO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)53
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)53
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q3 - 6:03MINDavis STEAL (1 STL)53
31.6%
50
68.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)53
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 6:44MINTelfair 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)53
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q3 - 7:02MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)51
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot51
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 7:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 7:06MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 7:13MINMISS Telfair Driving Layup51
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 7:25MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 7:28MINMISS McCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 7:32MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)51
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:33MINMISS McCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 7:40MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)51
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot51
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 7:48MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 7:49MINMISS Jefferson 4' Hook Shot51
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 7:55MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot51
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot51
33.7%
48
66.3%
Q3 - 8:21MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)51
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q3 - 8:26MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot51
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q3 - 8:38MINMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot51
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q3 - 8:42MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q3 - 8:43MINO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)51
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q3 - 9:13MINJefferson 10' Hook Shot (15 PTS)51
36.2%
46
63.8%
Q3 - 9:15MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)49
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q3 - 9:16MINMISS McCants 18' Jump Shot49
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q3 - 9:30MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 249
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q3 - 9:31MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
32.9%
45
67.1%
Q3 - 9:42MINMISS Telfair 20' Jump Shot49
34.0%
45
66.0%
Q3 - 9:55MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)49
36.4%
45
63.6%
Q3 - 10:11MINDoleac 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)49
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q3 - 10:23MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
29.1%
45
70.9%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
31.8%
43
68.2%
Q3 - 10:33MINMISS Doleac 9' Jump Shot47
32.8%
43
67.2%
Q3 - 10:46MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot47
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q3 - 11:03MINWilliams STEAL (2 STL)47
30.9%
43
69.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q3 - 11:18MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
34.6%
42
65.4%
Q3 - 11:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
37.2%
41
62.8%
Q3 - 11:36MINMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot47
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN47
40.7%
41
59.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINTimberwolves Rebound47
40.7%
41
59.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINMISS Gomes 37' 3PT Jump Shot47
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0MINWilliams STEAL (1 STL)47
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MINDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
38.4%
41
61.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MINMISS Telfair 17' Jump Shot47
37.6%
41
62.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MINGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
39.2%
41
60.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot47
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 1:14MINGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 1:14MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 246
36.2%
41
63.8%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS)46
35.3%
41
64.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
39.7%
39
60.3%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot46
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 1:42MINGomes Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
39.8%
39
60.2%
Q2 - 1:56MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)43
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 2:15MINTelfair Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
30.0%
37
70.0%
Q2 - 2:39MINMISS Telfair Layup41
30.7%
37
69.3%
Q2 - 2:50MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)41
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 3:03MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 241
29.1%
37
70.9%
Q2 - 3:03MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 1 of 241
30.9%
37
69.1%
Q2 - 3:10MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup41
30.7%
37
69.3%
Q2 - 3:29MINGomes Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS)41
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)39
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 4:02MINTelfair 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
28.1%
35
71.9%
Q2 - 4:17MINTimberwolves Rebound37
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 4:18MINMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)37
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHaslem Tip Shot (9 PTS)37
25.9%
35
74.1%
Q2 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Hook Shot37
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 4:39MINWade STEAL (1 STL)37
28.2%
33
71.8%
Q2 - 4:49MINMcCants REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
30.6%
33
69.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot37
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 5:10MINMcCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jaric 3 AST)37
27.6%
33
72.4%
Q2 - 5:25MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot34
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
21.4%
33
78.6%
Q2 - 5:57MINMISS Richard 15' Jump Shot34
22.0%
33
78.0%
Q2 - 6:13MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
23.4%
33
76.6%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot34
22.7%
33
77.3%
Q2 - 6:34MINJefferson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gomes 1 AST)34
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)32
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 7:04MINJefferson Dunk (11 PTS) (Richard 1 AST)32
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T5)30
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 7:40MINJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)30
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 7:55MINRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot30
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound30
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup30
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 8:31MINMcCants Foul Turnover (P2.T6)30
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 8:45MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 8:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade Layup30
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 9:02MINMcCants 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 9:19MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS)28
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 9:33MINSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T5)28
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 9:38MINGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q2 - 9:40MINMISS McCants 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 9:56MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T3)28
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 10:04MINRichard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 10:04MINRichard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
17.3%
29
82.7%
Q2 - 10:18MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 226
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q2 - 10:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:36MINMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot26
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 10:51MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)26
16.4%
29
83.6%
Q2 - 10:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot26
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 11:08MINMISS Gomes 17' Jump Shot26
15.1%
29
84.9%
Q2 - 11:22MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)26
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q2 - 11:41MINGomes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)26
17.4%
27
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN24
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot24
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Williams 14' Fadeaway Jumper24
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MINMcCants 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
14.9%
27
85.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MINTimberwolves Rebound22
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0MINHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)22
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIADavis Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)22
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0MINHaslem STEAL (3 STL)22
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)22
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q1 - 1:18MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)22
17.5%
23
82.5%
Q1 - 1:24MINRichard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup19
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 1:37MINTelfair Driving Layup (5 PTS)19
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q1 - 1:55MINTimberwolves Rebound17
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot17
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 217
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 2:05MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 2:16MINMcCants 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)17
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q1 - 2:27MINMISS Telfair Free Throw Technical14
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)14
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 2:55MINJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:05MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot12
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 3:16MINWright BLOCK (3 BLK)12
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 3:41MINTimberwolves Rebound12
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot12
10.5%
20
89.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 212
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
10.7%
19
89.3%
Q1 - 3:48MINMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot12
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:59MINTimberwolves Rebound12
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 4:00MINMISS Brewer Tip Shot12
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 4:01MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 4:02MINMISS Smith Reverse Layup12
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)12
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 4:36MINSmith 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)12
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
12.6%
16
87.4%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 5:07MINMISS Smith Driving Layup10
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)10
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 5:45MINHaslem STEAL (2 STL)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIADavis Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
16.7%
12
83.3%
Q1 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 6:06MINMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)10
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
19.1%
9
80.9%
Q1 - 6:18MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 6:19MINWright BLOCK (2 BLK)10
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 6:27MINTimberwolves Rebound10
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot10
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 6:46MINJaric Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 6:53MINTimberwolves Rebound10
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot10
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 7:08MINTelfair 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
19.7%
8
80.3%
Q1 - 7:13MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Hook Shot8
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 7:27MINJefferson 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS)8
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 7:28MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 7:31MINWright BLOCK (1 BLK)6
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 7:35MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 7:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:53MINMISS Telfair 3PT Jump Shot6
15.6%
8
84.4%
Q1 - 8:04MINTelfair Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 8:15MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
15.2%
8
84.8%
Q1 - 8:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 8:28MINMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot5
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 8:56MINJefferson 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
17.2%
5
82.8%
Q1 - 9:05MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup3
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:16MIAHEAT Rebound3
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot3
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 9:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.9%
5
85.1%
Q1 - 9:23MINMISS Jaric Driving Layup3
15.3%
5
84.7%
Q1 - 9:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:46MINHaslem STEAL (1 STL)3
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 9:55MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
18.4%
3
81.6%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup3
17.9%
3
82.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 10:19MINMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot3
17.3%
3
82.7%
Q1 - 10:35MINBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
18.2%
3
81.8%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot3
17.8%
3
82.2%
Q1 - 10:49MINJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
17.0%
3
83.0%
Q1 - 11:05MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
15.0%
3
85.0%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 20
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 11:13MINMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot0
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Doleac: Tip to Haslem0
17.0%
0
83.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.91 45.3%
MIA
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
11
26
42%
MIA
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIN
18
43
42%
MIA
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIN
17
23
74%
MIA
31
42
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2252%11.0 / 21
R. McCants1950%9.5 / 19
S. Telfair1753%8.5 / 16
C. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
R. Gomes1042%5.0 / 12
M. Doleac433%2.0 / 6
C. Richard467%2.0 / 3
C. Brewer0-0.0 / 4
M. Jaric0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3047%15.0 / 32
U. Haslem1853%9.0 / 17
S. O'Neal1554%7.5 / 14
A. Mourning1083%5.0 / 6
R. Davis945%4.5 / 10
J. Williams735%3.5 / 10
C. Quinn225%1.0 / 4
D. Wright0-0.0 / 3
L. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
M. Blount0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
78
+18
-19
96
MIA
86
+16
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
0.91 45.3%
MIA
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.7
100.2
MIN 89.7
MIA 91.9 +2.2
Pace
92.1
90.5
MIN 105.2 +13.3
MIA 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
MIN 13.7 +2.0
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
48.2%
MIN 40.7% +2.2%
MIA 38.5%
TO %
15.1%
15.4%
MIN 17.2%
MIA 12.7% +4.5%
ORB %
27.5%
22.2%
MIN 23.4%
MIA 27.7% +4.3%
FTrt
24.8
30.0
MIN 26.7
MIA 53.8 +27.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
58.5%
MIN 45.5%
MIA 58.6% +13.1%
STL %
8.1%
7.9%
MIN 5.2%
MIA 10.1% +4.9%
BLK %
6.2%
7.1%
MIN 5.7%
MIA 15.9% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.6%
MIN 45.3% +0.7%
MIA 44.6%
Rim FG%
56.5%
59.2%
MIN 42.3%
MIA 53.1% +10.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
38.8%
MIN 41.9% +15.6%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
35.0%
35.8%
MIN 23.5%
MIA 25.0% +1.5%
FT %
73.6%
72.7%
MIN 73.9% +0.1%
MIA 73.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
30.2%
MIN 30.2%
MIA 41.0% +10.8%
Mid Att. %
45.8%
48.1%
MIN 50.0%
MIA 48.7% +1.3%
3P Att. %
18.5%
21.7%
MIN 19.8% +9.5%
MIA 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8791
Rebounds4549
Assists1517
Steals510
Blocks411
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)36 (0)
Field Goals33-8629-78
At-the-Rim FG11-2617-32
Midrange FG18-4310-38
2-Point FG29-6927-70
3-Point FG4-172-8
Free Throws17-2331-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 23
37.3
22
52%
20
2
2
1
2
4
6
14
6-7
86%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 170 · 23
37.3
17
53%
1
6
1
0
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 262 · 31
25.0
4
33%
1
1
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 22
22.6
0
0%
7
0
0
0
2
5
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 224 · 29
22.6
0
0%
1
3
0
1
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
36.1
19
50%
3
0
0
0
4
6
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
4-11
36%
F · 6'7" 245 · 25
25.4
10
42%
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-5
40%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 265 · 24
21.3
11
61%
4
0
0
0
2
5
0
4
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 256 · 23
12.3
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
F · 6'9" 255 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22
#4 · G · 6'4" 218 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'4" 210 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · C · 6'10" 235 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
45
15
5
4
19
0
11
34
17-23
74%
29-69
42%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.