FinalWin Prob.pScore
2330%97
106
1670%104
103
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
103.9102107.2
MIA logo MIA
104.09994.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND106
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)106
97.8%
103
2.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 2105
97.0%
103
3.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDRush Layup (14 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)105
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)103
95.7%
100
4.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
90.6%
100
9.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)103
92.6%
100
7.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 2103
88.4%
100
11.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)103
82.2%
100
17.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
87.9%
99
12.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
90.0%
99
10.0%
Q4 - 1:05MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)103
90.4%
99
9.6%
Q4 - 1:05MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)103
91.2%
98
8.8%
Q4 - 1:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)103
94.1%
97
5.9%
Q4 - 1:07INDMISS Tinsley 8' Jump Shot103
94.9%
97
5.1%
Q4 - 1:25INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
95.1%
97
4.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS Cook Layup103
93.9%
97
6.1%
Q4 - 1:43MIAJump Ball Davis vs. Granger: Tip to103
89.1%
97
10.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade Foul Turnover (P8.T20)103
93.0%
97
7.0%
Q4 - 2:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
86.4%
97
13.6%
Q4 - 2:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
85.3%
97
14.7%
Q4 - 2:25MIADavis Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)101
83.3%
97
16.7%
Q4 - 2:26INDO'Neal STEAL (3 STL)101
71.2%
97
28.8%
Q4 - 2:48MIACook 9' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)101
83.3%
97
16.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)101
86.0%
95
14.0%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
88.7%
95
11.3%
Q4 - 3:07MIAHEAT Rebound101
84.0%
95
16.0%
Q4 - 3:09INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
86.3%
95
13.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)101
90.7%
95
9.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2101
91.3%
94
8.7%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
84.5%
94
15.5%
Q4 - 3:33INDMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper101
86.0%
94
14.0%
Q4 - 3:51MIADavis 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)101
89.6%
94
10.4%
Q4 - 4:06INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
92.6%
92
7.4%
Q4 - 4:06INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)100
92.2%
92
7.8%
Q4 - 4:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)99
89.9%
92
10.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot99
88.8%
92
11.2%
Q4 - 4:18INDO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)99
85.8%
92
14.2%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
90.1%
92
9.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
90.8%
91
9.2%
Q4 - 4:43MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
92.9%
90
7.1%
Q4 - 4:44INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot99
93.7%
90
6.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
95.1%
90
4.9%
Q4 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot99
94.6%
90
5.4%
Q4 - 5:04MIAHEAT Rebound99
89.3%
90
10.7%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
91.4%
90
8.6%
Q4 - 5:13INDWade STEAL (1 STL)99
89.4%
90
10.6%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
92.3%
90
7.7%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
92.8%
89
7.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
94.3%
88
5.7%
Q4 - 5:31INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
94.9%
88
5.1%
Q4 - 5:42MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)99
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 5:58INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
94.4%
88
5.6%
Q4 - 5:58INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 5:59INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)97
92.5%
88
7.5%
Q4 - 6:00INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot97
90.6%
88
9.4%
Q4 - 6:07INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)97
89.6%
88
10.4%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot97
88.6%
88
11.4%
Q4 - 6:22INDO'Neal 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)97
86.0%
88
14.0%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)95
82.7%
88
17.3%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
89.3%
85
10.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot95
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 6:55INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)95
89.4%
85
10.6%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
79.1%
85
20.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
80.6%
84
19.4%
Q4 - 7:34INDDunleavy Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)92
82.9%
83
17.1%
Q4 - 7:40INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
79.3%
83
20.7%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot90
77.7%
83
22.3%
Q4 - 8:08INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)90
71.0%
83
29.0%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)87
59.6%
83
40.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
60.8%
82
39.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
65.5%
81
34.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
65.5%
81
34.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Davis 11' Fadeaway Jumper87
69.5%
81
30.5%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Davis Layup87
69.5%
81
30.5%
Q4 - 8:51INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)87
65.6%
81
34.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)84
51.5%
81
48.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
57.2%
79
42.8%
Q4 - 9:21INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
59.1%
79
40.9%
Q4 - 9:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
63.3%
79
36.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.5%
79
38.5%
Q4 - 9:41INDO'Neal Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
57.3%
79
42.7%
Q4 - 9:50INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
51.6%
79
48.4%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot82
49.7%
79
50.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
44.1%
79
55.9%
Q4 - 10:06INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot82
45.9%
79
54.1%
Q4 - 10:18INDPacers Rebound82
50.2%
79
49.8%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.4%
79
51.6%
Q4 - 10:46INDO'Neal 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)82
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T17)80
38.7%
79
61.3%
Q4 - 11:21INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
33.5%
79
66.5%
Q4 - 11:36MIACook Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)78
29.0%
79
71.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND78
24.6%
79
75.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound78
29.0%
79
71.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Daniels 51' 3PT Jump Shot78
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIACook Tip Shot (11 PTS)78
28.7%
79
71.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cook Layup78
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot78
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T14)78
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T15)78
37.9%
77
62.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
33.2%
77
66.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot78
34.6%
77
65.4%
Q3 - 1:10INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot78
35.6%
77
64.4%
Q3 - 1:28INDRush 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q3 - 1:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
28.5%
77
71.5%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 276
27.9%
77
72.1%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)76
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
29.4%
76
70.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
32.5%
75
67.5%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
35.7%
75
64.3%
Q3 - 2:17INDHarrison Foul Turnover (P1.T13)76
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#14)76
36.1%
75
63.9%
Q3 - 2:37INDDaniels Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)76
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 2:38INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
36.2%
75
63.8%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot76
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q3 - 2:50INDHarrison 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)76
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 3:02INDPacers Rebound74
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 3:03INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 274
24.9%
75
75.1%
Q3 - 3:03INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 274
27.1%
75
72.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)74
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 3:26INDMISS Dunleavy Layup74
25.5%
75
74.5%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)74
28.1%
75
71.9%
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q3 - 3:51INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
31.6%
73
68.4%
Q3 - 3:51INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 273
30.8%
73
69.2%
Q3 - 4:14MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)73
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q3 - 4:28INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T11)73
34.6%
71
65.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Driving Layup (14 PTS)73
39.3%
71
60.7%
Q3 - 4:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)73
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q3 - 5:10INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
34.7%
69
65.3%
Q3 - 5:12INDMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)70
31.9%
69
68.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)70
34.7%
69
65.3%
Q3 - 5:43INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)70
30.7%
69
69.3%
Q3 - 5:44INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot67
23.4%
69
76.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound67
21.2%
69
78.8%
Q3 - 6:04INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot67
22.0%
69
78.0%
Q3 - 6:23MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
24.2%
69
75.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
24.7%
68
75.3%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
27.0%
67
73.0%
Q3 - 6:27INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot67
28.1%
67
71.9%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)67
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 6:57INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)67
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)67
37.2%
65
62.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
40.3%
63
59.7%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
41.7%
63
58.3%
Q3 - 7:30INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS O'Neal Layup67
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q3 - 7:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
40.4%
63
59.6%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q3 - 7:48INDGranger 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)67
40.4%
63
59.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
36.8%
63
63.2%
Q3 - 8:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
38.4%
62
61.6%
Q3 - 8:13INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)65
39.9%
61
60.1%
Q3 - 8:25MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T11)63
36.8%
61
63.2%
Q3 - 8:42INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)63
32.9%
61
67.1%
Q3 - 8:56MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)60
27.0%
61
73.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
29.1%
59
70.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot60
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 9:22INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)60
29.1%
59
70.9%
Q3 - 9:28INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot57
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 9:47INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)57
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIADavis 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)57
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 10:09INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot57
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q3 - 10:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot57
27.9%
57
72.1%
Q3 - 10:38INDTinsley 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
25.7%
57
74.3%
Q3 - 10:43INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot55
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 10:59INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
20.7%
57
79.3%
Q3 - 10:59INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 254
20.3%
57
79.7%
Q3 - 11:14MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)54
20.7%
57
79.3%
Q3 - 11:45INDO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)54
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND52
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound52
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 57' 3PT Jump Shot52
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
20.5%
55
79.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Foster 4' Jump Shot52
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0INDMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)52
24.0%
53
76.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIACook 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)52
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDTinsley 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
25.2%
51
74.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup50
24.6%
51
75.4%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
23.8%
51
76.2%
Q2 - 1:03INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q2 - 1:16MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)50
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q2 - 1:49INDGranger Driving Dunk (3 PTS)50
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
27.9%
48
72.1%
Q2 - 2:26INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)48
30.6%
46
69.4%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMourning 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
25.4%
46
74.6%
Q2 - 2:56INDTinsley Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)45
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 3:02MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)45
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 3:22INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 3:22INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 244
31.8%
42
68.2%
Q2 - 3:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot44
31.8%
42
68.2%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 3:49INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot44
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q2 - 4:02INDPacers Rebound44
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 4:03INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)44
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 4:11MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)44
31.9%
42
68.1%
Q2 - 4:28INDTinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)44
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 4:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 241
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 241
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 5:00INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 5:00INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
26.6%
40
73.4%
Q2 - 5:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
24.1%
40
75.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Tinsley 15' Hook Shot39
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T10)39
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 5:41INDRush Foul Turnover (P1.T7)39
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 6:10INDTinsley 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)39
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 6:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot37
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 6:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 6:30INDMISS Tinsley 11' Hook Shot37
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 6:43MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)37
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 6:57INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
26.5%
36
73.5%
Q2 - 6:57INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 7:06INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
24.1%
36
75.9%
Q2 - 7:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
22.7%
36
77.3%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Foster 10' Jump Shot35
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 7:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 7:20INDMISS Harrison 16' Jump Shot35
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 7:30MIACook 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 7:54INDRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)35
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)32
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 8:24MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 8:26INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q2 - 8:33MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)32
26.6%
32
73.4%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHEAT Rebound32
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot32
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 8:52INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot32
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)32
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 9:22INDMISS Tinsley 16' Jump Shot32
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 9:28INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot32
31.9%
29
68.1%
Q2 - 9:41INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 9:41INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 9:56MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q2 - 10:12INDTinsley 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)30
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q2 - 10:21INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 10:22MIAMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot28
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
26.1%
27
73.9%
Q2 - 10:33INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q2 - 10:41INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Blount Layup28
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q2 - 11:06INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 227
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q2 - 11:21MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)27
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q2 - 11:38INDO'Neal 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 31' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0INDDaniels 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q1 - 0:15.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot23
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDMISS Murphy Layup23
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T7)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 1:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 1:07INDMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)23
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 1:22MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 1:31INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 1:35INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 1:37INDMISS Murphy 13' Jump Shot23
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 2:11INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 223
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:11INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 2:20MIADavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 2:27INDMourning STEAL (1 STL)22
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q1 - 2:58INDRush Reverse Layup (7 PTS)22
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 3:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
23.8%
21
76.2%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot20
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 3:22INDMurphy Layup (2 PTS)20
22.0%
21
78.0%
Q1 - 3:24INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 3:27INDMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)18
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 3:48INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Shot18
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 4:11INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)18
18.8%
21
81.2%
Q1 - 4:18MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 4:34MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.5%
19
82.5%
Q1 - 4:36INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 115
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 4:43INDPacers Rebound13
16.5%
19
83.5%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 213
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 4:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 5:02INDTinsley 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)13
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 5:10INDPacers Rebound11
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 5:12INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)11
14.6%
18
85.4%
Q1 - 5:17INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 5:21INDWright BLOCK (1 BLK)11
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)11
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 5:46INDHarrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
14.2%
18
85.8%
Q1 - 5:46INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 210
13.8%
18
86.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
14.3%
18
85.7%
Q1 - 6:17INDRush 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)10
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 6:22INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 6:23INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot8
11.9%
18
88.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 6:45INDQuinn STEAL (1 STL)8
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 6:55MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
14.4%
16
85.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAHEAT Rebound8
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 7:12INDMISS Harrison 10' Turnaround Jump Shot8
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)8
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 7:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 7:31INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 7:55INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)8
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 8:04INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot8
16.9%
13
83.1%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)8
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 8:24INDO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)8
18.8%
11
81.2%
Q1 - 8:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 8:42INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.2%
11
80.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)8
20.1%
11
79.9%
Q1 - 9:05INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)8
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 9:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.7%
11
82.3%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot6
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 9:33INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)6
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 10:00INDDunleavy 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 10:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
15.5%
9
84.5%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
16.0%
8
84.0%
Q1 - 10:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.4%
8
84.6%
Q1 - 10:23INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWilliams Layup (2 PTS)2
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 10:41INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)2
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 10:59INDWright STEAL (1 STL)2
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 11:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 11:04INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot2
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 11:17MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)2
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 11:34INDTinsley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
21.0%
2
79.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
22.3%
0
77.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
20
65%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
IND
17
40
43%
MIA
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
MIA
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
IND
22
32
69%
MIA
30
37
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tinsley2645%13.0 / 29
J. O'Neal2480%12.0 / 15
D. Granger1673%8.0 / 11
K. Rush1488%7.0 / 8
M. Dunleavy627%3.0 / 11
M. Daniels638%3.0 / 8
T. Murphy536%2.5 / 7
D. Harrison550%2.5 / 5
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
U. Haslem2475%12.0 / 16
D. Wade2460%12.0 / 20
D. Cook1444%7.0 / 16
R. Davis1359%6.5 / 11
S. O'Neal1255%6.0 / 11
J. Williams675%3.0 / 4
A. Mourning643%3.0 / 7
D. Wright4100%2.0 / 2
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
M. Blount0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+18
-18
102
MIA
80
+13
-19
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.04 52.0%
MIA
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
100.2
IND 103.9
MIA 104.0 +0.1
Pace
98.0
90.5
IND 107.2 +12.8
MIA 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
16.3
IND 13.4 +1.8
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.2%
IND 49.4% +0.7%
MIA 48.7%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
IND 15.4% +2.6%
MIA 18.0%
ORB %
24.4%
22.2%
IND 31.0% +7.3%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
29.2
30.0
IND 37.6
MIA 49.3 +11.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.5%
IND 55.3%
MIA 65.7% +10.4%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
IND 5.9%
MIA 11.1% +5.2%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
IND 6.6%
MIA 11.7% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.6%
IND 52.0%
MIA 55.4% +3.4%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.2%
IND 65.0%
MIA 68.2% +3.2%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
IND 42.5%
MIA 43.6% +1.1%
3P %
37.4%
35.8%
IND 32.0% +10.6%
MIA 21.4%
FT %
76.8%
72.7%
IND 68.8%
MIA 81.1% +12.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
30.2%
IND 23.5%
MIA 29.3% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
48.1%
IND 47.1% +4.9%
MIA 52.0%
3P Att. %
28.9%
21.7%
IND 29.4% +10.7%
MIA 18.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions10299
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points106103
Rebounds4238
Assists2123
Steals611
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals38-8535-75
At-the-Rim FG13-2015-22
Midrange FG17-4017-39
2-Point FG30-6032-61
3-Point FG8-253-14
Free Throws22-3230-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 222 · 25
38.9
16
73%
6
4
3
0
5
6
1
5
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 188 · 30
37.7
26
45%
4
6
0
0
5
1
0
4
3-5
60%
7-19
37%
3-8
38%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
29.8
6
27%
1
4
0
0
4
2
0
1
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 29
29.3
24
80%
7
2
2
1
0
5
4
3
6-7
86%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
20.1
4
40%
9
1
0
0
1
4
4
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28
32.2
5
36%
9
1
1
2
0
4
3
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
19.6
6
38%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
18.2
14
88%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
14.4
5
50%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
#23 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · C · 6'11" 245 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
52%
42
21
6
4
18
0
13
29
22-32
69%
30-60
50%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.