| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 CHA | 95.5 | 88 | 94.4 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) ATL | 104.5 | 89 | 83.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
CHA
68
+11
-20
79
ATL
75
+10
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
1.05 52.5%
ATL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | ATL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 84 0% | 93 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | CHA | Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Felton 5 AST) | 84 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 81 0.1% | 92 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | ATL | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | CHA | MISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 | 81 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 81 0.2% | 91 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 81 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:11 | ATL | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 81 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | CHA | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 81 0.5% | 90 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:17 | CHA | Felton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 80 0.4% | 90 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:18 | ATL | MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS) | 80 0.3% | 90 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | CHA | MISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | CHA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 77 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | ATL | MISS Johnson Driving Layup | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:04 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:05 | CHA | MISS Felton 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:17 | CHA | Carroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 77 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:19 | ATL | MISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | ATL | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 77 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:46 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | CHA | MISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | ATL | Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Smith 6 AST) | 77 0.4% | 90 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:03 | CHA | Smith STEAL (3 STL) | 77 0.7% | 87 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | ATL | Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 77 1.3% | 87 98.7% |
| Q4 - 3:40 | CHA | Felton Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 77 3.1% | 85 96.9% |
| Q4 - 3:50 | CHA | McInnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 75 2.1% | 85 97.9% |
| Q4 - 3:52 | CHA | MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 1.6% | 85 98.4% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11) | 75 2.0% | 85 98.0% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | ATL | MISS Williams 10' Jump Shot | 75 1.8% | 85 98.2% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | CHA | Williams STEAL (2 STL) | 75 1.4% | 85 98.6% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | ATL | Johnson Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 5 AST) | 75 2.0% | 85 98.0% |
| Q4 - 5:09 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 75 4.0% | 83 96.0% |
| Q4 - 5:09 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 74 3.5% | 83 96.5% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | ATL | Williams Running Layup (20 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST) | 73 2.9% | 83 97.1% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 73 3.9% | 81 96.1% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | CHA | MISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot | 73 4.3% | 81 95.7% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | CHA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 5.4% | 81 94.6% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | ATL | MISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot | 73 4.9% | 81 95.1% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 73 3.9% | 81 96.1% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | CHA | MISS Okafor 9' Turnaround Hook Shot | 73 4.3% | 81 95.7% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | ATL | Horford Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15) | 73 6.8% | 81 93.2% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | CHA | Mohammed Layup (6 PTS) | 73 4.8% | 81 95.2% |
| Q4 - 6:57 | ATL | Williams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14) | 71 3.8% | 81 96.2% |
| Q4 - 7:09 | CHA | Mohammed 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 71 3.6% | 81 96.4% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 69 2.8% | 81 97.2% |
| Q4 - 7:28 | ATL | MISS Horford 10' Hook Shot | 69 2.6% | 81 97.4% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | CHA | Wallace Layup (20 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST) | 69 2.1% | 81 97.9% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 67 2.2% | 81 97.8% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | ATL | MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot | 67 2.0% | 81 98.0% |
| Q4 - 8:28 | CHA | Carroll 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 67 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:30 | CHA | Carroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 65 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | CHA | MISS Wallace Driving Layup | 65 1.1% | 81 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | ATL | Johnson Foul Turnover (P5.T13) | 65 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | CHA | Mohammed Foul Turnover (P1.T18) | 65 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | ATL | Horford Putback Layup (6 PTS) | 65 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 65 2.0% | 79 98.0% |
| Q4 - 9:28 | ATL | MISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot | 65 2.4% | 79 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | ATL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 65 2.0% | 79 98.0% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | CHA | MISS Davidson 19' Jump Shot | 65 2.2% | 79 97.8% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 65 2.6% | 79 97.4% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | ATL | MISS West Layup | 65 2.4% | 79 97.6% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | CHA | McInnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 65 2.4% | 79 97.6% |
| Q4 - 10:16 | CHA | MISS McInnis Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 2.3% | 79 97.7% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS) | 64 2.4% | 79 97.6% |
| Q4 - 10:30 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 64 3.7% | 76 96.3% |
| Q4 - 10:31 | ATL | MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot | 64 4.4% | 76 95.6% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 64 3.7% | 76 96.3% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 61 2.4% | 76 97.6% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | CHA | MISS Davidson 10' Hook Shot | 61 2.0% | 76 98.0% |
| Q4 - 11:12 | ATL | Pachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 61 2.8% | 76 97.2% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | CHA | Carroll Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 61 2.2% | 76 97.8% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | ATL | Smith Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST) | 59 1.8% | 76 98.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 59 2.2% | 74 97.8% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | ATL | Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 59 2.8% | 74 97.2% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Williams STEAL (1 STL) | 59 2.7% | 74 97.3% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 59 3.3% | 74 96.7% |
| Q3 - 0:21.0 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 59 3.4% | 73 96.6% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 59 3.9% | 72 96.1% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 4.5% | 72 95.5% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 59 3.9% | 72 96.1% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | CHA | MISS Davidson 18' Jump Shot | 59 4.2% | 72 95.8% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | CHA | Davidson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 5.4% | 72 94.6% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | ATL | MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot | 59 5.1% | 72 94.9% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | CHA | Felton Foul Turnover (P4.T16) | 59 4.5% | 72 95.5% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | ATL | Pachulia Dunk (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST) | 59 5.4% | 72 94.6% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | ATL | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 59 6.5% | 70 93.5% |
| Q3 - 2:00 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 | 59 6.6% | 70 93.4% |
| Q3 - 2:00 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 | 59 7.3% | 70 92.7% |
| Q3 - 2:08 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 59 8.4% | 70 91.6% |
| Q3 - 2:09 | ATL | MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot | 59 7.9% | 70 92.1% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 59 7.0% | 70 93.0% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | CHA | MISS McInnis 19' Jump Shot | 59 7.4% | 70 92.6% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 59 8.4% | 70 91.6% |
| Q3 - 2:33 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 59 8.7% | 69 91.3% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | CHA | Felton Layup (13 PTS) (Mohammed 3 AST) | 59 9.8% | 68 90.2% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | ATL | Johnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST) | 57 8.4% | 68 91.6% |
| Q3 - 3:10 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 57 10.5% | 66 89.5% |
| Q3 - 3:10 | ATL | MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot | 57 11.8% | 66 88.2% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 10.5% | 66 89.5% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 16' Jump Shot | 57 11.0% | 66 89.0% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 57 12.4% | 66 87.6% |
| Q3 - 3:29 | ATL | MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 12.7% | 65 87.3% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | CHA | Wallace Dunk (15 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST) | 57 12.2% | 65 87.8% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | ATL | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10) | 55 10.5% | 65 89.5% |
| Q3 - 4:14 | CHA | Felton 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mohammed 2 AST) | 55 9.3% | 65 90.7% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | ATL | HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 52 6.9% | 65 93.1% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 5.9% | 65 94.1% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | ATL | Williams Dunk (15 PTS) (Smith 4 AST) | 51 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 51 7.3% | 63 92.7% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | CHA | MISS Wallace Layup | 51 7.6% | 63 92.4% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | ATL | Horford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 51 8.6% | 63 91.4% |
| Q3 - 5:29 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 51 7.3% | 63 92.7% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | CHA | Horford BLOCK (1 BLK) | 51 7.6% | 63 92.4% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | ATL | Horford 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 51 8.6% | 63 91.4% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | CHA | Wallace Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST) | 51 10.4% | 61 89.6% |
| Q3 - 6:20 | ATL | Smith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7) | 49 9.1% | 61 90.9% |
| Q3 - 6:23 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 49 7.8% | 61 92.2% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | ATL | MISS Smith Running Layup | 49 8.7% | 61 91.3% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | CHA | Smith STEAL (2 STL) | 49 7.8% | 61 92.2% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | ATL | Johnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST) | 49 9.1% | 61 90.9% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 49 10.4% | 59 89.6% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | CHA | Williams BLOCK (1 BLK) | 49 10.9% | 59 89.1% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 49 12.5% | 59 87.5% |
| Q3 - 7:09 | ATL | MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 12.0% | 59 88.0% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | CHA | Smith STEAL (1 STL) | 49 10.7% | 59 89.3% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | ATL | Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 2 AST) | 49 12.5% | 59 87.5% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 49 16.0% | 56 84.0% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | CHA | MISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot | 49 16.8% | 56 83.2% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | ATL | Johnson 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 49 18.9% | 56 81.1% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 49 21.0% | 54 79.0% |
| Q3 - 8:28 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 48 20.3% | 54 79.7% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | ATL | Williams Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST) | 47 18.9% | 54 81.1% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 47 21.0% | 52 79.0% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | CHA | Smith BLOCK (2 BLK) | 47 21.9% | 52 78.1% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | ATL | Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 47 23.9% | 52 76.1% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 47 29.5% | 49 70.5% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | ATL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 31.8% | 49 68.2% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | CHA | Felton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 47 29.6% | 49 70.4% |
| Q3 - 10:03 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 45 27.0% | 49 73.0% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | ATL | MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot | 45 26.0% | 49 74.0% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | CHA | Richardson Foul Turnover (P3.T13) | 45 23.9% | 49 76.1% |
| Q3 - 10:42 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 45 26.9% | 49 73.1% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | ATL | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 45 26.5% | 49 73.5% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | ATL | MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 | 45 24.8% | 49 75.2% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | CHA | Johnson STEAL (2 STL) | 45 24.2% | 49 75.8% |
| Q3 - 11:04 | ATL | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6) | 45 26.9% | 49 73.1% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 45 24.2% | 49 75.8% |
| Q3 - 11:19 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 44 23.5% | 49 76.5% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 43 21.9% | 49 78.1% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | ATL | MISS Williams Layup | 43 21.1% | 49 78.9% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | CHA | Felton 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST) | 43 19.5% | 49 80.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 41 17.5% | 49 82.5% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Bobcats Rebound | 41 17.5% | 49 82.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | CHA | MISS Felton 19' Jump Shot | 41 16.1% | 49 83.9% |
| Q2 - 0:13.0 | ATL | Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 41 17.8% | 49 82.2% |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 41 16.5% | 49 83.5% |
| Q2 - 0:15.0 | CHA | MISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot | 41 16.9% | 49 83.1% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 41 17.8% | 49 82.2% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | ATL | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 22.7% | 46 77.3% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | CHA | MISS Mohammed 6' Jump Shot | 41 23.2% | 46 76.8% |
| Q2 - 0:52.0 | ATL | Johnson Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Smith 3 AST) | 41 24.4% | 46 75.6% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | CHA | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 41 28.2% | 44 71.8% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | ATL | Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 38 22.2% | 44 77.8% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | CHA | Wallace Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 38 27.9% | 41 72.1% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | ATL | Williams 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 38 30.2% | 41 69.8% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | CHA | Wallace Driving Layup (7 PTS) | 38 33.2% | 39 66.8% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | ATL | Johnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T4) | 36 30.6% | 39 69.4% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | CHA | Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 36 27.8% | 39 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | CHA | Mohammed Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 36 27.8% | 39 72.2% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | CHA | MISS Richardson Driving Layup | 34 24.0% | 39 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 34 25.8% | 39 74.2% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | ATL | MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 | 34 25.4% | 39 74.6% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 34 24.0% | 39 76.0% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 34 25.5% | 38 74.5% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | CHA | MISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot | 34 26.3% | 38 73.7% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 34 28.1% | 38 71.9% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | ATL | Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 34 28.6% | 37 71.4% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | CHA | Okafor Running Layup (8 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST) | 34 30.5% | 36 69.5% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 32 28.1% | 36 71.9% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | ATL | MISS Horford 7' Jump Shot | 32 27.4% | 36 72.6% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | CHA | Richardson Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Felton 4 AST) | 32 25.8% | 36 74.2% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 30 23.9% | 36 76.1% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | ATL | MISS Horford Layup | 30 23.2% | 36 76.8% |
| Q2 - 5:36 | CHA | Okafor Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 30 21.7% | 36 78.3% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | ATL | Horford Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 28 20.0% | 36 80.0% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 28 18.4% | 36 81.6% |
| Q2 - 6:12 | CHA | MISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 28 19.0% | 36 81.0% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | ATL | Smith Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 28 20.5% | 36 79.5% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 28 21.9% | 34 78.1% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 | 27 21.3% | 34 78.7% |
| Q2 - 7:01 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 27 22.8% | 34 77.2% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | ATL | MISS West Free Throw 2 of 2 | 27 22.5% | 34 77.5% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | ATL | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 27 21.4% | 34 78.6% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | ATL | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 27 22.6% | 33 77.4% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | ATL | MISS Pachulia Layup | 27 24.0% | 33 76.0% |
| Q2 - 7:26 | CHA | Wallace 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 3 AST) | 27 22.6% | 33 77.4% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 25 20.9% | 33 79.1% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | ATL | MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot | 25 20.3% | 33 79.7% |
| Q2 - 8:04 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 25 19.2% | 33 80.8% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | CHA | MISS Felton 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 19.8% | 33 80.3% |
| Q2 - 8:26 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 21.1% | 33 78.9% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | ATL | MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot | 25 20.5% | 33 79.5% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 19.2% | 33 80.8% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | CHA | MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 19.8% | 33 80.2% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | ATL | Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST) | 25 21.3% | 33 78.7% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | CHA | West STEAL (1 STL) | 25 24.6% | 30 75.4% |
| Q2 - 9:58 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 25 26.8% | 30 73.2% |
| Q2 - 9:58 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 25 27.1% | 29 72.9% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | CHA | Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST) | 25 28.7% | 28 71.3% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | ATL | Pachulia Layup (3 PTS) | 22 25.0% | 28 75.0% |
| Q2 - 10:55 | CHA | McInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 22 26.7% | 26 73.3% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | ATL | Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 22 28.7% | 26 71.3% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | ATL | MISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 29.0% | 25 71.0% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | CHA | Pachulia STEAL (1 STL) | 22 28.7% | 25 71.3% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | ATL | Johnson 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST) | 22 30.7% | 25 69.3% |
| Q2 - 11:49 | CHA | Harrington Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 22 32.8% | 23 67.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ATL | 22 35.0% | 23 65.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ATL | HAWKS Rebound | 22 32.8% | 23 67.2% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | ATL | MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 34.1% | 23 65.9% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | CHA | Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6) | 22 32.9% | 23 67.1% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | CHA | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 34.6% | 23 65.4% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | ATL | MISS West Running Layup | 22 34.1% | 23 65.9% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 22 32.9% | 23 67.1% |
| Q1 - 0:46.0 | CHA | Smith BLOCK (1 BLK) | 22 33.4% | 23 66.6% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 22 34.6% | 23 65.4% |
| Q1 - 1:09 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 22 35.1% | 22 64.9% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | ATL | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 37.3% | 21 62.7% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | ATL | MISS Wright 19' Jump Shot | 22 38.5% | 21 61.5% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | CHA | McInnis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 22 37.3% | 21 62.7% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 20 34.6% | 21 65.4% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | ATL | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 20 34.1% | 21 65.9% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | ATL | West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 32.9% | 21 67.1% |
| Q1 - 2:04 | CHA | MISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot | 20 33.5% | 21 66.5% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | ATL | Johnson Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 20 34.9% | 21 65.1% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | ATL | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 37.2% | 19 62.8% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | CHA | MISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 2 | 20 37.5% | 19 62.5% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | CHA | Okafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 20 38.6% | 19 61.4% |
| Q1 - 3:04 | ATL | Johnson Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 19 37.0% | 19 63.0% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | CHA | Dudley Putback Layup (7 PTS) | 19 38.9% | 17 61.1% |
| Q1 - 3:22 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 17 37.0% | 17 63.0% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | CHA | MISS Felton Driving Layup | 17 35.4% | 17 64.6% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 17 37.0% | 17 63.0% |
| Q1 - 3:31 | ATL | MISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 36.3% | 17 63.7% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | ATL | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 34.7% | 17 65.3% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | CHA | MISS Okafor 12' Jump Shot | 17 35.4% | 17 64.6% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | ATL | Johnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 17 37.0% | 17 63.0% |
| Q1 - 4:08 | CHA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 17 38.5% | 15 61.5% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 17 41.1% | 15 58.9% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | CHA | MISS Felton 20' Jump Shot | 17 39.3% | 15 60.7% |
| Q1 - 4:40 | ATL | Horford 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST) | 17 41.1% | 15 58.9% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | CHA | Richardson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 17 42.2% | 13 57.8% |
| Q1 - 5:11 | CHA | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 44.5% | 13 55.5% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | ATL | MISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot | 17 43.8% | 13 56.2% |
| Q1 - 5:17 | CHA | Dudley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 17 42.2% | 13 57.8% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | ATL | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 17 44.5% | 13 55.5% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | CHA | Horford STEAL (1 STL) | 17 42.2% | 13 57.8% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | ATL | Williams Dunk (7 PTS) (Horford 1 AST) | 17 44.5% | 13 55.5% |
| Q1 - 5:49 | ATL | Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 46.4% | 11 53.6% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | CHA | MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2 | 17 46.8% | 11 53.2% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | CHA | Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 17 48.0% | 11 52.0% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | CHA | Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 46.7% | 11 53.3% |
| Q1 - 5:54 | ATL | MISS Smith 6' Hook Shot | 16 46.0% | 11 54.0% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | CHA | Dudley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 16 43.8% | 11 56.2% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | CHA | MISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 15 43.2% | 11 56.8% |
| Q1 - 6:25 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 15 43.9% | 11 56.1% |
| Q1 - 6:27 | CHA | MISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 42.4% | 11 57.6% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | ATL | Williams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 15 43.9% | 11 56.1% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | ATL | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 44.8% | 9 55.2% |
| Q1 - 7:05 | CHA | MISS Dudley 18' Jump Shot | 15 45.5% | 9 54.5% |
| Q1 - 7:28 | ATL | Smith 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 15 47.0% | 9 53.0% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | CHA | Felton 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 15 48.7% | 7 51.3% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 47.1% | 7 52.9% |
| Q1 - 7:58 | ATL | MISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 13 46.4% | 7 53.6% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | CHA | Dudley Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST) | 13 44.9% | 7 55.1% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | ATL | Williams Running Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 11 43.2% | 7 56.8% |
| Q1 - 8:39 | CHA | Johnson STEAL (1 STL) | 11 44.9% | 5 55.1% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | CHA | Okafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 46.9% | 5 53.1% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | ATL | MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 | 11 46.7% | 5 53.3% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | ATL | Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 45.4% | 5 54.6% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | CHA | Okafor Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 11 46.4% | 4 53.6% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | ATL | Johnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 9 45.0% | 4 55.0% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | CHA | Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Felton 2 AST) | 9 42.7% | 4 57.3% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | ATL | Johnson Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 6 39.5% | 4 60.5% |
| Q1 - 10:15 | CHA | Wallace 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Felton 1 AST) | 6 40.8% | 2 59.2% |
| Q1 - 10:30 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 4 39.2% | 2 60.8% |
| Q1 - 10:31 | ATL | MISS Horford 18' Jump Shot | 4 38.6% | 2 61.4% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | CHA | Felton Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST) | 4 37.2% | 2 62.8% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 35.5% | 2 64.5% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | ATL | MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot | 2 35.0% | 2 65.0% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | CHA | Dudley Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 2 33.9% | 2 66.1% |
| Q1 - 11:24 | CHA | Dudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 32.2% | 2 67.8% |
| Q1 - 11:25 | CHA | MISS Okafor 7' Hook Shot | 0 31.2% | 2 68.8% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 32.2% | 2 67.8% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | ATL | Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 32.5% | 1 67.5% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | ATL | Jump Ball Smith vs. Okafor: Tip to Horford | 0 33.9% | 0 66.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
1.05 52.5%
ATL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
20
27
74%
ATL
19
27
70%
Midrange
CHA
8
25
32%
ATL
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
ATL
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
Free Throws
CHA
16
27
59%
ATL
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Bobcats| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wallace | 24 | 75% | 12.0 / 16 | |
| R. Felton | 15 | 58% | 7.5 / 13 | |
| E. Okafor | 14 | 47% | 7.0 / 15 | |
| J. Richardson | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| J. Dudley | 7 | 58% | 3.5 / 6 | |
| N. Mohammed | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| M. Carroll | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| J. McInnis | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| J. Davidson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| O. Harrington | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Hawks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 31 | 62% | 15.5 / 25 | |
| M. Williams | 20 | 67% | 10.0 / 15 | |
| J. Smith | 19 | 68% | 9.5 / 14 | |
| A. Johnson | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| A. Horford | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| Z. Pachulia | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| M. West | 1 | 17% | 0.5 / 3 | |
| L. Wright | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CHA
68
+11
-20
79
ATL
75
+10
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
1.05 52.5%
ATL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 104.7 106.6 | CHA 95.5 +9.0 ATL 104.5 |
| Pace | 91.9 91.4 | CHA 94.4 +11.0 ATL 83.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.7 15.6 | CHA 15.3 +2.0 ATL 17.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.2% 48.3% | CHA 51.5% ATL 52.2% +0.7% |
| TO % | 14.9% 15.5% | CHA 20.4% ATL 15.6% +4.8% |
| ORB % | 25.7% 29.8% | CHA 25.0% +7.4% ATL 17.6% |
| FTrt | 32.3 34.0 | CHA 40.9 ATL 44.1 +3.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 59.1% 60.6% | CHA 56.3% ATL 72.7% +16.4% |
| STL % | 8.1% 7.9% | CHA 6.8% ATL 12.4% +5.6% |
| BLK % | 7.7% 8.4% | CHA 3.6% ATL 7.7% +4.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.6% 52.0% | CHA 52.5% ATL 54.7% +2.2% |
| Rim FG% | 57.1% 58.6% | CHA 74.1% +3.7% ATL 70.4% |
| Mid FG% | 39.2% 38.5% | CHA 32.0% +1.0% ATL 31.0% |
| 3P % | 36.7% 35.6% | CHA 28.6% ATL 41.7% +13.1% |
| FT % | 71.4% 77.2% | CHA 59.3% ATL 73.3% +14.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.3% 36.9% | CHA 40.9% +1.2% ATL 39.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 41.7% 46.7% | CHA 37.9% +4.8% ATL 42.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 22.0% 16.5% | CHA 21.2% +3.6% ATL 17.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | CHA | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 22.4 | 25.6 |
| Points | 84 | 93 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 33 |
| Assists | 18 | 24 |
| Steals | 6 | 11 |
| Blocks | 2 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 20 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 9 (2) | 6 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (1) | 27 (1) |
| Field Goals | 32-66 | 33-68 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 20-27 | 19-27 |
| Midrange FG | 8-25 | 9-29 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-52 | 28-56 |
| 3-Point FG | 4-14 | 5-12 |
| Free Throws | 16-27 | 22-30 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.