FinalWin Prob.pScore
2519%86
81
381%97
91
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
90.090101.9
DET logo DET
101.19080.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET81
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLSmith Layup (14 PTS) (West 1 AST)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETJohnson 9' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLPachulia 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)77
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P5.T11)75
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 1:47DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 1:51DETPISTONS Rebound75
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)75
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 1:58ATLWright Tip Shot (6 PTS)75
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 1:58ATLWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Pachulia Layup73
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)73
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 2:21DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)73
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 2:21ATLWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 2:21ATLWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:27DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 2:50ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:06DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)69
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 3:15ATLSmith Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)69
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 3:29DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 3:37ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 266
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 3:49DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)66
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 4:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)66
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMcDyess BLOCK (3 BLK)66
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 4:35DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)66
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 4:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 5:00ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 5:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
3.9%
73
96.1%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot66
3.5%
73
96.5%
Q4 - 5:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)66
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q4 - 5:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q4 - 5:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q4 - 5:30DETMISS Hayes 19' Jump Shot64
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q4 - 5:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)64
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q4 - 5:46ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot64
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 6:08ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)64
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 264
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 6:09DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q4 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q4 - 6:23ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q4 - 6:35DETHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q4 - 6:35DETHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q4 - 6:51DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q4 - 7:09ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)62
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q4 - 7:10DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q4 - 7:30ATLJohnson Driving Layup (21 PTS)62
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q4 - 7:52DETBillups 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)60
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q4 - 8:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q4 - 8:14ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q4 - 8:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)59
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q4 - 8:30DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 259
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q4 - 8:30DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 259
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q4 - 8:45ATLPachulia 16' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)59
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q4 - 8:59ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS Maxiell Jump Shot57
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q4 - 9:19ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q4 - 9:19ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q4 - 9:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)55
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q4 - 9:20ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot55
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q4 - 9:33DETHayes 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)55
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q4 - 9:49DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q4 - 9:50ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot55
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q4 - 10:15DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)55
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q4 - 10:20DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)55
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q4 - 10:41DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)55
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q4 - 10:53ATLMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)55
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q4 - 11:18DETMcDyess Dunk (5 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)55
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q4 - 11:41ATLLaw 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL53
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETPrince 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)53
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLMISS Law 21' Jump Shot53
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)53
5.9%
61
94.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 253
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 1:08DETPISTONS Rebound53
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 1:09DETMISS Maxiell Layup53
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 1:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot53
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 1:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 1:18DETMISS Hunter 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 1:41ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 1:59DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)53
7.4%
60
92.6%
Q3 - 2:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)53
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q3 - 2:07ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot53
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q3 - 2:25DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)53
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 2:50ATLLaw 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)53
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q3 - 2:54DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 3:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 3:04ATLMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot51
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q3 - 3:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q3 - 3:17DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 3:43ATLSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)51
12.7%
54
87.3%
Q3 - 4:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q3 - 4:01DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 149
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q3 - 4:19ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)49
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 4:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 4:28DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot49
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q3 - 4:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
12.5%
52
87.5%
Q3 - 4:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 249
12.8%
52
87.2%
Q3 - 4:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 249
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q3 - 5:05ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 5:06DETMISS Maxiell 8' Jump Shot49
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q3 - 5:15DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q3 - 5:17ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot49
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q3 - 5:36ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 5:37DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot49
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q3 - 6:00ATLJohnson Dunk (8 PTS)49
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q3 - 6:03DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T9)47
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 6:06DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 6:07ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot47
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q3 - 6:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
11.1%
52
88.9%
Q3 - 6:18DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot47
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 6:34ATLWright Putback Dunk (2 PTS)47
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 6:35ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:36ATLMISS Smith Layup45
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q3 - 6:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:48ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 245
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q3 - 6:48ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)45
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 6:48ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q3 - 6:50DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)43
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q3 - 7:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q3 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson Layup43
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q3 - 7:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q3 - 7:10DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot43
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q3 - 7:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q3 - 7:23DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot43
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q3 - 7:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q3 - 7:32ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot43
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q3 - 7:51DETHamilton 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS)43
6.3%
52
93.7%
Q3 - 8:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 8:13ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot43
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q3 - 8:34ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q3 - 8:36DETMISS Prince Tip Shot43
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q3 - 8:37DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 8:38DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot43
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q3 - 8:52ATLJohnson Layup (18 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)43
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 8:54DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q3 - 9:21ATLJohnson Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)41
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q3 - 9:25ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q3 - 9:26DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot39
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q3 - 9:41ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q3 - 9:53ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q3 - 9:55DETMISS Wallace 12' Jump Shot37
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q3 - 10:16ATLWilliams Dunk (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)37
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q3 - 10:21DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q3 - 10:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
2.4%
50
97.6%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot35
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q3 - 10:48DETHamilton Layup (14 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)35
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q3 - 10:51DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q3 - 10:52ATLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)35
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q3 - 11:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q3 - 11:05DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 235
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q3 - 11:22ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)35
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q3 - 11:37DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)33
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET33
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
2.9%
47
97.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS West 5' Jump Shot33
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup33
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLMISS West 10' Jump Shot33
3.3%
47
96.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot33
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)33
3.2%
47
96.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMcDyess Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)33
3.4%
47
96.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson Tip Shot (12 PTS)33
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
3.4%
45
96.6%
Q2 - 1:00ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup31
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 1:12DETHamilton Layup (12 PTS)31
3.6%
45
96.4%
Q2 - 1:38ATLJohnson Layup (10 PTS)31
4.3%
43
95.7%
Q2 - 1:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMISS Smith 13' Hook Shot29
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 1:57DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 1:57DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 229
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 2:10ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
3.9%
42
96.1%
Q2 - 2:10ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 2:24ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
3.4%
42
96.6%
Q2 - 2:25DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 2:48ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
3.1%
42
96.9%
Q2 - 2:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
2.7%
42
97.3%
Q2 - 2:58DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
2.6%
42
97.4%
Q2 - 3:13ATLBillups STEAL (1 STL)25
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 3:30DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 3:30DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
2.9%
41
97.1%
Q2 - 3:41DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
3.2%
40
96.8%
Q2 - 3:43ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot25
3.3%
40
96.7%
Q2 - 3:58DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)25
3.6%
40
96.4%
Q2 - 4:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q2 - 4:02DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot25
5.0%
37
95.0%
Q2 - 4:22ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
4.6%
37
95.4%
Q2 - 4:22ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
4.6%
37
95.4%
Q2 - 4:26ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
4.2%
37
95.8%
Q2 - 4:27DETMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot23
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q2 - 4:37ATLWilliams 11' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
3.7%
37
96.3%
Q2 - 4:55DETAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)21
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 5:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 5:17ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 5:34DETHayes 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)19
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
3.9%
33
96.1%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 6:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)17
3.6%
33
96.4%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot17
3.3%
33
96.7%
Q2 - 6:21DETHayes Putback Layup (2 PTS)17
3.6%
33
96.4%
Q2 - 6:22DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q2 - 6:24DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Bank Shot17
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q2 - 6:38DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 217
3.9%
31
96.1%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 217
4.1%
31
95.9%
Q2 - 6:56DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)17
4.4%
31
95.6%
Q2 - 7:20DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q2 - 7:22ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot17
5.2%
29
94.8%
Q2 - 7:47DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (4 PTS)17
5.6%
29
94.4%
Q2 - 7:48DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q2 - 7:49DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
6.6%
27
93.4%
Q2 - 7:51DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.1%
27
93.9%
Q2 - 7:54ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot17
6.3%
27
93.7%
Q2 - 7:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)17
6.8%
27
93.2%
Q2 - 7:57ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot17
6.3%
27
93.7%
Q2 - 8:12DETWallace 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)17
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q2 - 8:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
7.5%
25
92.5%
Q2 - 8:40ATLBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)17
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q2 - 9:08DETBillups 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q2 - 9:32ATLLaw Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)17
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q2 - 9:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)17
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q2 - 9:41ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot17
9.4%
23
90.6%
Q2 - 9:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
10.1%
23
89.9%
Q2 - 9:49ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)17
9.4%
23
90.6%
Q2 - 10:09DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)17
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q2 - 10:26ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T4)17
11.1%
21
88.9%
Q2 - 10:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q2 - 10:41DETMISS Hayes 15' Jump Shot17
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q2 - 10:52DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot17
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q2 - 10:59DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q2 - 11:00ATLMISS Law Layup17
11.4%
21
88.6%
Q2 - 11:06ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.9%
21
88.1%
Q2 - 11:07DETMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q2 - 11:26ATLWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q2 - 11:26ATLMISS West Free Throw 1 of 216
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q2 - 11:37ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
10.9%
21
89.1%
Q2 - 11:39DETMISS Hunter Layup16
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET16
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound16
10.0%
21
90.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot16
10.6%
21
89.4%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
10.1%
21
89.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Law 11' Running Jump Shot16
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETHunter Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)16
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup14
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Pachulia Layup14
10.3%
19
89.7%
Q1 - 1:19DETHamilton Layup (10 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)14
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 1:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 1:22ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot14
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 1:35DETPrince Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
12.8%
17
87.2%
Q1 - 1:57ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 2:08DETHamilton Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)12
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 2:36ATLJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 2:55DETPrince 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)10
12.9%
13
87.1%
Q1 - 3:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
14.0%
11
86.0%
Q1 - 3:02ATLMISS Law 18' Running Jump Shot10
14.1%
11
85.9%
Q1 - 3:23DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)10
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 3:40DETPISTONS Rebound10
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 3:40ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot10
16.5%
9
83.5%
Q1 - 3:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 3:49DETMISS Hamilton Layup10
17.1%
9
82.9%
Q1 - 3:54DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 3:55DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.1%
9
82.9%
Q1 - 4:14ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 4:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 4:25DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot8
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 4:45ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 4:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 5:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.2%
9
86.8%
Q1 - 5:07ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 5:24DETBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)8
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 5:46DETPISTONS Rebound8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 5:47ATLMISS Smith 14' Hook Shot8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 6:03DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)8
14.2%
9
85.8%
Q1 - 6:15DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 6:16ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot8
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 6:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 6:40DETMISS Wallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot8
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 6:55ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)8
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 6:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 6:59DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot6
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 7:16ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 7:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14.0%
7
86.0%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 7:48ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS)6
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 7:53ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 7:56DETMISS Prince 14' Hook Shot4
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 8:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 8:13ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot4
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 8:28DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 8:31DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 8:34ATLMISS Williams Dunk4
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 8:38DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 8:56ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 9:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 9:09DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot2
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 9:15ATLWallace STEAL (1 STL)2
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 9:37DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 9:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 9:42ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot2
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 9:59DETBillups 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)2
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 10:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.1%
5
88.9%
Q1 - 10:06ATLHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 10:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:15ATLMISS Smith Layup2
11.3%
5
88.7%
Q1 - 10:39DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 11:01ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 11:19DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:33DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:34ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Smith: Tip to Wright0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 43.1%
DET
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
28
57%
DET
10
15
67%
Midrange
ATL
11
43
26%
DET
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
0%
DET
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
ATL
27
35
77%
DET
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2350%11.5 / 23
M. Williams1563%7.5 / 12
J. Smith1439%7.0 / 18
Z. Pachulia1042%5.0 / 12
A. Johnson836%4.0 / 11
L. Wright660%3.0 / 5
A. Law429%2.0 / 7
M. West117%0.5 / 3
S. Stoudamire0-0.0 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2368%11.5 / 17
R. Hamilton1847%9.0 / 19
T. Prince1761%8.5 / 14
J. Maxiell1056%5.0 / 9
J. Hayes857%4.0 / 7
A. McDyess536%2.5 / 7
R. Wallace425%2.0 / 8
A. Afflalo250%1.0 / 2
L. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+15
-11
94
DET
76
+13
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.86 43.1%
DET
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
110.3
ATL 90.0 +11.1
DET 101.1
Pace
91.4
88.2
ATL 101.9 +21.3
DET 80.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.9
ATL 14.1 +3.7
DET 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
49.5%
ATL 35.5%
DET 47.9% +12.4%
TO %
15.5%
12.6%
ATL 10.7% +3.3%
DET 14.0%
ORB %
29.8%
29.4%
ATL 30.6% +5.0%
DET 25.6%
FTrt
34.0
30.0
ATL 46.1 +6.4
DET 39.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
61.1%
ATL 44.4%
DET 63.6% +19.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.1%
ATL 11.1% +7.8%
DET 3.3%
BLK %
8.4%
9.4%
ATL 3.4%
DET 8.5% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
52.4%
ATL 43.1%
DET 50.6% +7.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
60.1%
ATL 57.1%
DET 66.7% +9.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
41.7%
ATL 25.6%
DET 44.2% +18.6%
3P %
35.6%
36.6%
ATL 0.0%
DET 26.7% +26.7%
FT %
77.2%
76.7%
ATL 77.1% +4.7%
DET 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
27.8%
ATL 36.8% +16.3%
DET 20.5%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
51.9%
ATL 56.6% +2.3%
DET 58.9%
3P Att. %
16.5%
20.3%
ATL 6.6%
DET 20.5% +14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes21.226.8
Points8191
Rebounds4745
Assists1221
Steals103
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (0)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (3)
Field Goals27-7633-73
At-the-Rim FG16-2810-15
Midrange FG11-4319-43
2-Point FG27-7129-58
3-Point FG0-54-15
Free Throws27-3521-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
38.1
15
63%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
7-10
70%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
38.1
23
50%
5
2
3
0
2
5
2
3
5-7
71%
9-17
53%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
37.5
14
39%
9
3
1
1
5
4
3
6
6-6
100%
4-14
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
29.1
8
36%
2
3
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 32
28.6
6
60%
12
1
0
1
0
4
2
10
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
22.1
10
42%
11
0
1
0
1
4
6
5
6-6
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
16.1
4
29%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
9.1
1
17%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
9.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
43%
47
12
10
2
11
0
15
32
27-35
77%
27-71
38%
0-5
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.