FinalWin Prob.pScore
732%100
117
468%106
125
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
130.090100.9
DAL logo DAL
140.48980.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL117
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAMISS D. Williams 22' Jump Shot117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0UTAJazz Rebound117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (41 PTS)117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)115
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00UTAKirilenko 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)115
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 1:17DALTerry Running Dunk (19 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)113
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 1:19UTAHarris STEAL (3 STL)113
0.5%
121
99.5%
Q4 - 1:28DALHoward 22' Step Back Jump Shot (47 PTS)113
1.2%
121
98.8%
Q4 - 1:52UTAMillsap Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)113
2.5%
119
97.5%
Q4 - 2:10DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)111
1.9%
119
98.1%
Q4 - 2:10DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)111
2.0%
118
98.0%
Q4 - 2:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)111
2.4%
117
97.6%
Q4 - 2:11UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 2111
2.7%
117
97.3%
Q4 - 2:11UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)111
3.4%
117
96.6%
Q4 - 2:25DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)110
3.0%
117
97.0%
Q4 - 2:25DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)110
3.3%
116
96.7%
Q4 - 2:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)110
3.8%
115
96.2%
Q4 - 2:40UTAMISS Harpring 15' Jump Shot110
4.7%
115
95.3%
Q4 - 2:53DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)110
8.3%
115
91.7%
Q4 - 2:53DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2110
9.4%
114
90.6%
Q4 - 2:53DALDampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)110
7.3%
114
92.7%
Q4 - 2:53DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot110
10.5%
114
89.5%
Q4 - 3:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)110
7.1%
114
92.9%
Q4 - 3:12UTAMISS Boozer 8' Jump Shot110
8.4%
114
91.6%
Q4 - 3:30DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harris 12 AST)110
12.4%
114
87.6%
Q4 - 3:41UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)110
18.3%
112
81.7%
Q4 - 3:41UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)109
17.3%
112
82.7%
Q4 - 3:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)108
13.5%
112
86.5%
Q4 - 3:50DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Floating Jump Shot108
12.2%
112
87.8%
Q4 - 4:10UTABoozer 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (24 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)108
9.4%
112
90.6%
Q4 - 4:23DALHoward Driving Dunk (43 PTS)106
6.7%
112
93.3%
Q4 - 4:37UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)106
9.3%
110
90.7%
Q4 - 4:37UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)105
8.7%
110
91.3%
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki Driving Dunk (14 PTS)104
6.6%
110
93.4%
Q4 - 5:19DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)104
10.7%
108
89.3%
Q4 - 5:19DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2104
14.0%
108
86.0%
Q4 - 5:19DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (41 PTS)104
11.4%
108
88.6%
Q4 - 5:38UTAD. Williams 17' Jump Shot (35 PTS)104
14.3%
107
85.7%
Q4 - 5:58DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)102
10.8%
107
89.2%
Q4 - 5:58DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)102
11.3%
106
88.7%
Q4 - 6:18UTAKirilenko Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)102
15.0%
105
85.0%
Q4 - 6:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)100
12.0%
105
88.0%
Q4 - 6:26DALMISS Howard 7' Fadeaway Jumper100
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 6:42UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)100
8.7%
105
91.3%
Q4 - 6:42UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)99
8.3%
105
91.7%
Q4 - 6:56DALHarris 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)98
6.9%
105
93.1%
Q4 - 7:14UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)98
10.0%
103
90.0%
Q4 - 7:19UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)95
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 7:20UTAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)95
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 7:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)95
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 7:24UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot95
5.0%
103
95.0%
Q4 - 7:43DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 11 AST)95
6.1%
103
93.9%
Q4 - 8:03UTAMillsap 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)95
8.9%
101
91.1%
Q4 - 8:05UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
7.0%
101
93.0%
Q4 - 8:06UTADampier BLOCK (2 BLK)93
6.0%
101
94.0%
Q4 - 8:26DALDampier Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Harris 10 AST)93
7.0%
101
93.0%
Q4 - 8:43UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 8:43UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
8.4%
99
91.6%
Q4 - 8:43UTAD. Williams Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)91
7.0%
99
93.0%
Q4 - 8:43UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 8:44UTAMISS Kirilenko 7' Jump Shot90
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 8:50UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 8:51UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 8:51UTAMISS Millsap Layup90
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 8:52UTAMISS D. Williams 4' Jump Shot90
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 8:53UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 8:55UTANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)90
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 9:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)90
6.1%
99
93.9%
Q4 - 9:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)90
6.4%
98
93.6%
Q4 - 9:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)90
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 9:10DALMISS Harris Driving Layup90
8.9%
97
91.1%
Q4 - 9:20DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)90
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 9:21DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Finger Roll Layup90
8.9%
97
91.1%
Q4 - 9:46UTAHarpring Layup (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 8 AST)90
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 10:06DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)88
6.8%
97
93.2%
Q4 - 10:22UTAHarpring 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 7 AST)88
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 10:41DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)86
6.7%
95
93.3%
Q4 - 11:04UTAKirilenko 15' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)86
10.8%
92
89.2%
Q4 - 11:18UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 11:19UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot84
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 11:31DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)84
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 11:31DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)84
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 11:44UTAMillsap Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA82
8.9%
90
91.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAMISS D. Williams Reverse Layup82
8.4%
90
91.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)82
9.5%
90
90.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
7.9%
90
92.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)79
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)79
7.8%
87
92.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)78
7.6%
87
92.4%
Q3 - 1:06UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q3 - 1:07DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot77
6.6%
87
93.4%
Q3 - 1:31UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q3 - 1:40DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
4.8%
87
95.2%
Q3 - 1:54UTAD. Williams 18' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
4.0%
87
96.0%
Q3 - 1:59UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 2:00DALMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot73
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 2:19UTABrewer 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)73
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q3 - 2:38DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)71
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 2:58DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 2:58UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 271
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 2:58UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 3:02DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)70
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q3 - 3:22DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q3 - 3:23UTAMISS D. Williams 11' Jump Shot70
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 3:36DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q3 - 3:36DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
3.4%
84
96.6%
Q3 - 3:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 3:40UTAMISS Brewer Driving Layup70
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 3:46DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)70
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 4:02UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P4.T14)70
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 4:08UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q3 - 4:09DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup70
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 4:32UTABoozer Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)70
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 4:54DALDampier Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)68
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 5:11UTAKirilenko 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)68
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 5:27DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)66
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 5:46UTAD. Williams 7' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 6:03DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 6:25UTAD. Williams 6' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)64
6.6%
75
93.4%
Q3 - 6:40DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 6:40DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 6:57UTABoozer Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS) (Kirilenko 6 AST)62
6.6%
73
93.4%
Q3 - 7:05DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
6.1%
73
93.9%
Q3 - 7:05DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 260
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 7:08UTAHarris STEAL (2 STL)60
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 7:21DALHoward 19' Step Back Jump Shot (31 PTS)60
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 7:46UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 7:46UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 8:00DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)58
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 8:19UTAD. Williams 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 8:36DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
8.3%
67
91.7%
Q3 - 8:39UTANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)56
9.4%
65
90.6%
Q3 - 8:41UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
10.9%
65
89.1%
Q3 - 8:42DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot56
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 8:53DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 8:54DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 9:06UTABoozer 13' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)56
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 9:25DALHoward 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)54
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 9:43UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)54
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 9:57DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 9:57DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 10:17UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)52
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 10:20DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q3 - 10:22DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
9.7%
61
90.3%
Q3 - 10:23DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 252
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q3 - 10:23DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
10.3%
61
89.7%
Q3 - 10:48UTABrewer Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 5 AST)52
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 11:07DALHoward 14' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)50
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 11:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 11:30UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 150
11.5%
58
88.5%
Q3 - 11:42UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot48
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA48
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALHarris Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)48
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 248
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)48
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot47
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALNowitzki Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)47
11.5%
56
88.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
11.5%
54
88.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
10.9%
54
89.1%
Q2 - 1:15UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 1:16UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 1:16UTAMISS Boozer Layup45
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 1:17UTAMISS Boozer 4' Running Jump Shot45
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 1:33DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)45
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 1:49UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)45
15.5%
51
84.5%
Q2 - 2:03DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)42
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 2:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
13.9%
49
86.1%
Q2 - 2:12UTADampier BLOCK (1 BLK)42
14.3%
49
85.7%
Q2 - 2:26DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 2:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Harris Layup42
18.3%
47
81.7%
Q2 - 2:51UTAOkur Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)42
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:59DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)40
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 3:17UTABoozer 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)40
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 3:33DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)38
12.8%
47
87.2%
Q2 - 3:48UTABoozer Layup (10 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)38
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 4:00DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)36
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 4:00DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)36
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 4:17UTAD. Williams Layup (9 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)36
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 4:31DALDampier Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)34
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:51UTAMiles Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)34
15.8%
40
84.2%
Q2 - 5:05DALHoward 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)32
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 5:19UTAMillsap Foul Turnover (P1.T10)32
17.4%
37
82.6%
Q2 - 5:29DALHoward 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)32
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 5:41UTAOkur 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)32
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 5:56UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
21.0%
34
79.0%
Q2 - 5:57DALMISS George 12' Jump Shot30
20.4%
34
79.6%
Q2 - 6:15UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
19.1%
34
80.9%
Q2 - 6:15UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 229
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 6:28UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
19.4%
34
80.6%
Q2 - 6:29DALMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot29
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 6:51UTAOkur 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)29
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 7:12DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 7:26UTAD. Williams Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)27
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 7:45DALBass Foul Turnover (P2.T7)25
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 8:00UTAHarpring Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 8:04DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 8:18DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot23
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q2 - 8:35DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 8:41UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 223
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 8:41UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 223
13.4%
32
86.6%
Q2 - 9:03DALBass 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)23
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 9:11DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 9:12UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 9:42DALHoward Running Dunk (14 PTS)23
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 9:46UTAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)23
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q2 - 9:52UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 9:53DALMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot23
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 10:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 10:09UTAMISS Harpring 8' Jump Hook Shot23
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 10:28DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 10:33DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 10:34UTAMISS Collins 17' Jump Shot23
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 10:36UTACollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 10:39UTABass BLOCK (1 BLK)23
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 11:00DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q2 - 11:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 11:04UTAMISS Hart 17' Jump Shot23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 11:23UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q2 - 11:24DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot23
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 11:31DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 11:32UTAMISS Harpring 12' Pullup Jump Shot23
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 11:38UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q2 - 11:40DALMISS Stackhouse 22' Jump Shot23
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA23
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0UTAHarpring 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
21.3%
26
78.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)21
19.4%
26
80.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot21
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTACollins 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
22.9%
23
77.1%
Q1 - 1:02UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw Technical19
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 1:13DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 1:22UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
19.8%
23
80.2%
Q1 - 1:41DALHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)19
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 1:44DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 1:45DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot19
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 2:05UTABoozer 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)19
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 2:16UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 2:17DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot17
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 2:30DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 2:31UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot17
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 2:42DALDiop Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 2:51UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P2.T7)17
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 2:56DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 3:17UTAHart Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)17
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 3:17UTAHart Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)16
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 3:17UTAMISS Hart Free Throw 1 of 315
19.2%
21
80.8%
Q1 - 3:33UTAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 3:34DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper15
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 3:47UTABrewer Palming Turnover (P1.T6)15
17.0%
21
83.0%
Q1 - 3:55UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 3:56UTAMISS Brewer 12' Jump Shot15
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 4:12UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 4:13UTAMISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot15
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 4:28DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)15
18.4%
21
81.6%
Q1 - 4:28DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 4:48DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMISS Brewer 23' Jump Shot15
20.0%
19
80.0%
Q1 - 5:13UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21.1%
19
78.9%
Q1 - 5:15DALMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot15
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 5:30UTAOkur 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
19.6%
19
80.4%
Q1 - 5:44DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 5:59UTAHart Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)13
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 6:07UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:08DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 6:33UTABoozer Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)11
18.5%
16
81.5%
Q1 - 6:43DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)9
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 6:43DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 29
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 6:54UTATerry STEAL (2 STL)9
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 7:07UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 7:08DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot9
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 7:33UTABoozer 12' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 7:55DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)7
16.5%
15
83.5%
Q1 - 8:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
17.5%
13
82.5%
Q1 - 8:02UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.8%
13
82.2%
Q1 - 8:20DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)7
18.7%
13
81.3%
Q1 - 8:38UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T4)7
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 8:57DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 8:57DALDampier Tip Shot (6 PTS)7
21.1%
11
78.9%
Q1 - 8:58DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot7
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 9:18UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 9:31DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)7
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 9:40UTAHarris STEAL (1 STL)7
24.7%
7
75.3%
Q1 - 9:58DALDampier 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)7
26.5%
7
73.5%
Q1 - 10:21UTAD. Williams 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
27.6%
5
72.4%
Q1 - 10:33UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
26.3%
5
73.7%
Q1 - 10:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 10:34DALMISS Dampier Layup5
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:36DALMISS Harris 5' Floating Jump Shot5
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:47UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)5
24.7%
5
75.3%
Q1 - 11:04DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)3
23.4%
5
76.6%
Q1 - 11:17UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)3
24.8%
3
75.2%
Q1 - 11:32DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)0
22.1%
3
77.9%
Q1 - 11:45UTATerry STEAL (1 STL)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Okur: Tip to Brewer0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.27 63.6%
DAL
1.40 70.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
24
34
71%
DAL
15
22
68%
Midrange
UTA
19
36
53%
DAL
19
34
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
3
4.5
6
50%
75%
DAL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
Free Throws
UTA
22
31
71%
DAL
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams4179%20.5 / 26
C. Boozer2475%12.0 / 16
M. Harpring1146%5.5 / 12
A. Kirilenko1063%5.0 / 8
M. Okur10100%5.0 / 5
P. Millsap758%3.5 / 6
R. Brewer643%3.0 / 7
J. Hart450%2.0 / 4
C. Miles250%1.0 / 2
J. Collins233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard4787%23.5 / 27
E. Dampier2188%10.5 / 12
J. Terry1979%9.5 / 12
D. Nowitzki1647%8.0 / 17
D. Harris1056%5.0 / 9
J. Stackhouse1071%5.0 / 7
B. Bass233%1.0 / 3
D. George0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
75
+16
-15
91
DAL
76
+12
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.27 63.6%
DAL
1.40 70.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
110.6
UTA 130.0
DAL 140.4 +10.4
Pace
93.6
90.6
UTA 100.9 +20.6
DAL 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.4
UTA 14.3 +3.7
DAL 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
50.2%
UTA 62.5%
DAL 66.0% +3.5%
TO %
15.2%
13.3%
UTA 14.3%
DAL 12.9% +1.4%
ORB %
29.6%
26.8%
UTA 45.7% +5.7%
DAL 40.0%
FTrt
34.9
31.8
UTA 40.8
DAL 48.6 +7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.0%
56.9%
UTA 54.3%
DAL 58.1% +3.8%
STL %
9.3%
6.6%
UTA 10.0% +2.1%
DAL 7.9%
BLK %
7.3%
7.5%
UTA 3.6%
DAL 7.1% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
53.9%
UTA 63.6%
DAL 70.2% +6.6%
Rim FG%
61.4%
58.5%
UTA 70.6% +2.4%
DAL 68.2%
Mid FG%
44.2%
44.3%
UTA 52.8%
DAL 55.9% +3.1%
3P %
37.2%
35.2%
UTA 50.0%
DAL 56.3% +6.3%
FT %
75.9%
81.4%
UTA 71.0%
DAL 85.7% +14.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
28.9%
UTA 44.7% +14.2%
DAL 30.6%
Mid Att. %
44.3%
49.6%
UTA 47.4%
DAL 47.2% +0.1%
3P Att. %
16.6%
21.5%
UTA 7.9%
DAL 22.2% +14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points117125
Rebounds3431
Assists2525
Steals97
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)18 (1)19 (0)
Field Goals46-7643-72
At-the-Rim FG24-3415-22
Midrange FG19-3619-34
2-Point FG43-7034-56
3-Point FG3-69-16
Free Throws22-3130-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
34.5
41
79%
3
7
2
0
3
3
1
2
12-13
92%
10-16
63%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
33.1
10
63%
1
8
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 235 · 23
28.4
6
43%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 258 · 26
27.8
24
75%
5
4
0
0
4
6
2
3
2-3
67%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
20.1
10
100%
3
1
1
0
2
4
2
1
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 32
24.9
11
46%
6
1
1
0
1
3
3
3
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 23
22.7
7
58%
9
1
2
1
1
3
5
4
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
20.1
2
50%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 249 · 29
14.9
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 30
13.5
4
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 30
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
#22 · G · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · C · 7'1" 280 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
64%
34
25
9
2
15
0
16
18
22-31
71%
43-70
61%
3-6
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.