FinalWin Prob.pScore
1628%98
113
1072%105
120
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.39887.3
GSW logo GSW
122.498111.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA113
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0GSWMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)113
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)113
0.3%
120
99.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0GSWMISS Hudson 3PT Jump Shot113
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)113
0.5%
120
99.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)112
0.4%
120
99.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)111
0.3%
120
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot111
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)111
0.5%
120
99.5%
Q4 - 1:16GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)111
0.5%
119
99.5%
Q4 - 1:19GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)111
0.8%
118
99.2%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Davis 3' Reverse Layup111
1.0%
118
99.0%
Q4 - 1:26GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)111
1.7%
118
98.3%
Q4 - 1:47MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)111
5.6%
115
94.4%
Q4 - 1:50GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)108
2.3%
115
97.7%
Q4 - 1:50GSWAzubuike Tip Shot (13 PTS)108
2.3%
115
97.7%
Q4 - 1:51GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
5.0%
113
95.0%
Q4 - 2:06GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)108
3.5%
113
96.5%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot108
4.2%
113
95.8%
Q4 - 2:13MIAHeat Rebound108
6.5%
113
93.5%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Cook Layup108
4.2%
113
95.8%
Q4 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)108
6.6%
113
93.4%
Q4 - 2:30MIABarnes STEAL (1 STL)108
12.6%
110
87.4%
Q4 - 2:48GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)108
22.5%
110
77.5%
Q4 - 2:48GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)108
24.1%
109
75.9%
Q4 - 2:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)108
27.9%
108
72.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2107
26.3%
108
73.7%
Q4 - 3:16GSWDavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)107
31.4%
108
68.6%
Q4 - 3:23GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)107
47.1%
105
52.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2107
49.2%
105
50.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)107
55.6%
105
44.4%
Q4 - 3:27MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)106
52.1%
105
47.9%
Q4 - 3:29GSWMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot106
47.3%
105
52.7%
Q4 - 3:43MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)106
37.6%
105
62.4%
Q4 - 3:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)106
47.1%
105
52.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot106
40.5%
105
59.5%
Q4 - 3:58GSWAzubuike 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)106
47.4%
105
52.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIADavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)106
65.3%
102
34.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIADavis Tip Shot (17 PTS)106
65.3%
102
34.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot104
50.0%
102
50.0%
Q4 - 4:30GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)104
57.1%
102
42.9%
Q4 - 4:34GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
73.6%
99
26.4%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot104
75.9%
99
24.1%
Q4 - 4:51GSWHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
80.7%
99
19.3%
Q4 - 4:51GSWHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
82.2%
98
17.8%
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T16)104
85.7%
97
14.3%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)104
89.9%
97
10.1%
Q4 - 5:00GSWMISS Davis 3' Driving Jump Shot104
88.8%
97
11.2%
Q4 - 5:08GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)104
80.6%
97
19.4%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot104
82.2%
97
17.8%
Q4 - 5:33MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)104
85.7%
97
14.3%
Q4 - 5:35GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 2 of 2104
85.1%
97
14.9%
Q4 - 5:35GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
82.1%
97
17.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAAzubuike STEAL (1 STL)104
85.5%
96
14.5%
Q4 - 5:54GSWEllis Driving Slam Dunk (14 PTS)104
89.4%
96
10.6%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)104
88.8%
94
11.2%
Q4 - 6:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)103
88.2%
94
11.8%
Q4 - 6:21MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)102
86.0%
94
14.0%
Q4 - 6:22GSWMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
84.7%
94
15.3%
Q4 - 6:41GSWWARRIORS Rebound102
81.4%
94
18.6%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot102
83.0%
94
17.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)102
86.2%
94
13.8%
Q4 - 6:54GSWMISS Azubuike 16' Jump Shot102
84.8%
94
15.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIADavis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)102
77.6%
94
22.4%
Q4 - 7:26GSWDavis 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)102
82.7%
94
17.3%
Q4 - 7:45GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)102
86.0%
92
14.0%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1102
86.5%
92
13.5%
Q4 - 7:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)100
82.8%
92
17.2%
Q4 - 7:58GSWMISS Davis 1' Driving Layup100
81.5%
92
18.5%
Q4 - 8:08MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)100
75.0%
92
25.0%
Q4 - 8:23MIADavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
79.7%
92
20.3%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot100
76.6%
92
23.4%
Q4 - 8:48GSWDavis 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)100
79.8%
92
20.2%
Q4 - 8:58GSWJackson Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)100
83.5%
90
16.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)100
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWright 2' Tip Shot (18 PTS)100
84.3%
89
15.7%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot98
78.2%
89
21.8%
Q4 - 9:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
81.1%
89
18.9%
Q4 - 9:21GSWMISS Ellis 3' Layup98
79.9%
89
20.1%
Q4 - 9:25GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
76.9%
89
23.1%
Q4 - 9:26GSWMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
79.9%
89
20.1%
Q4 - 9:32GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
77.0%
89
23.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot98
78.3%
89
21.7%
Q4 - 9:58GSWJackson 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (27 PTS)98
81.2%
89
18.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)98
82.2%
87
17.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
75.0%
87
25.0%
Q4 - 10:34GSWMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot95
73.6%
87
26.4%
Q4 - 10:43GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)95
70.2%
87
29.8%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot95
71.7%
87
28.3%
Q4 - 11:03GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
73.2%
87
26.8%
Q4 - 11:03GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)95
74.1%
86
25.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (30 PTS)95
77.1%
85
22.9%
Q4 - 11:29GSWAzubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)93
73.3%
85
26.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)93
80.8%
82
19.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW91
77.4%
82
22.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWARRIORS Rebound91
73.2%
82
26.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Hudson 52' 3PT Jump Shot91
76.2%
82
23.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)91
70.8%
82
29.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)89
66.5%
82
33.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)89
67.8%
81
32.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)89
71.0%
80
29.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 289
74.5%
80
25.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0GSWHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
72.0%
80
28.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
75.1%
79
24.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)89
75.1%
79
24.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0GSWMISS Barnes Layup89
77.6%
79
22.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0GSWMISS Azubuike Layup89
77.6%
79
22.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
75.1%
79
24.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
77.7%
79
22.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
75.1%
79
24.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
76.3%
79
23.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0GSWHarrington 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)89
78.8%
79
21.2%
Q3 - 1:04GSWWARRIORS Rebound89
79.6%
77
20.4%
Q3 - 1:06GSWMISS Hudson 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
81.8%
77
18.2%
Q3 - 1:11GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
79.6%
77
20.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
82.7%
77
17.3%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Davis Tip Shot89
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot89
80.7%
77
19.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
82.8%
77
17.2%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot89
80.7%
77
19.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
82.8%
77
17.2%
Q3 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot89
80.7%
77
19.3%
Q3 - 1:56GSWHarrington 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)89
82.9%
77
17.1%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWade 12' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)89
83.1%
75
16.9%
Q3 - 2:25GSWHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)87
80.7%
75
19.3%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
85.7%
72
14.3%
Q3 - 2:55GSWHudson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)84
80.8%
72
19.2%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
75.9%
72
24.1%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 283
74.8%
72
25.2%
Q3 - 3:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
76.2%
72
23.8%
Q3 - 3:19GSWMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
75.1%
72
24.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIADavis 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
72.6%
72
27.4%
Q3 - 4:10GSWJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)81
67.2%
72
32.8%
Q3 - 4:16MIABiedrins STEAL (2 STL)81
73.8%
69
26.2%
Q3 - 4:30MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
77.5%
69
22.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot81
75.1%
69
24.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
77.6%
69
22.4%
Q3 - 4:43GSWMISS Ellis 17' Fadeaway Jumper81
76.5%
69
23.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)81
74.0%
69
26.0%
Q3 - 4:57GSWJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)81
77.6%
69
22.4%
Q3 - 5:13GSWWARRIORS Rebound81
72.5%
69
27.5%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 181
72.9%
69
27.1%
Q3 - 5:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot79
66.6%
69
33.4%
Q3 - 5:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q3 - 5:31GSWMISS Jackson 3' Layup79
68.1%
69
31.9%
Q3 - 5:42GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)79
65.4%
69
34.6%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
66.6%
69
33.4%
Q3 - 5:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
69.4%
69
30.6%
Q3 - 5:59GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 279
68.9%
69
31.1%
Q3 - 5:59GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 279
66.5%
69
33.5%
Q3 - 6:03MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)79
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 6:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
67.3%
69
32.7%
Q3 - 6:15GSWMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot79
66.2%
69
33.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)79
63.5%
69
36.5%
Q3 - 6:36GSWDavis Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)79
67.4%
69
32.6%
Q3 - 6:41MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)79
63.6%
69
36.4%
Q3 - 6:56GSWEllis 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
67.5%
69
32.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)79
68.8%
67
31.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)78
68.2%
67
31.8%
Q3 - 7:20GSWBiedrins 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)77
66.0%
67
34.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)77
68.9%
65
31.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
66.0%
65
34.0%
Q3 - 7:44GSWMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 275
65.5%
65
34.5%
Q3 - 7:44GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
63.1%
65
36.9%
Q3 - 8:02MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 274
63.9%
64
36.1%
Q3 - 8:15GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
64.9%
64
35.1%
Q3 - 8:15GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
65.5%
63
34.5%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
67.9%
62
32.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Tip Shot (20 PTS)74
67.9%
62
32.1%
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot72
62.2%
62
37.8%
Q3 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
65.0%
62
35.0%
Q3 - 8:52GSWMISS Davis 15' Fadeaway Jumper72
63.8%
62
36.2%
Q3 - 9:15MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)72
59.2%
62
40.8%
Q3 - 9:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
55.8%
62
44.2%
Q3 - 9:30GSWMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot70
54.7%
62
45.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)70
52.1%
62
47.9%
Q3 - 9:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
48.6%
62
51.4%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot68
45.9%
62
54.1%
Q3 - 10:15GSWDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)68
47.3%
62
52.7%
Q3 - 10:30GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)68
54.0%
59
46.0%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot68
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 10:48GSWJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)68
57.9%
59
42.1%
Q3 - 10:57GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)68
64.4%
56
35.6%
Q3 - 10:58GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot68
66.8%
56
33.2%
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)68
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q3 - 11:39GSWMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA66
56.2%
56
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWEllis 17' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Biedrins 2 AST)66
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)66
61.8%
54
38.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
64.0%
54
36.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)66
67.9%
52
32.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0GSWDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)64
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)64
61.9%
52
38.1%
Q2 - 1:16GSWBarnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biedrins 1 AST)64
62.6%
52
37.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
69.8%
49
30.2%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
69.2%
49
30.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
65.7%
49
34.3%
Q2 - 1:45GSWMISS Jackson 4' Driving Jump Shot62
65.2%
49
34.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)62
62.1%
49
37.9%
Q2 - 2:10MIAHeat Rebound59
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q2 - 2:10MIABiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)59
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q2 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
55.9%
49
44.1%
Q2 - 2:26GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
56.5%
48
43.5%
Q2 - 2:30GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot59
60.1%
47
39.9%
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q2 - 2:39GSWMISS Jackson 2' Layup59
61.1%
47
38.9%
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)59
59.3%
47
40.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q2 - 3:07GSWMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
53.2%
47
46.8%
Q2 - 3:21MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T5)57
51.0%
47
49.0%
Q2 - 3:39GSWEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)57
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q2 - 3:44GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
57.0%
45
43.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot57
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q2 - 3:59GSWDavis 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)57
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 4:05GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)57
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 4:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
63.7%
43
36.3%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 4:39GSWBiedrins Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)57
63.8%
43
36.2%
Q2 - 4:47GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
66.4%
41
33.6%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot57
67.2%
41
32.8%
Q2 - 5:05GSWBiedrins 1' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)57
67.9%
41
32.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIABiedrins STEAL (1 STL)57
70.1%
39
29.9%
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
72.7%
39
27.3%
Q2 - 5:35GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot57
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)57
70.2%
39
29.8%
Q2 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
64.2%
39
35.8%
Q2 - 6:02GSWMISS Davis 3PT Finger Roll Layup54
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)54
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 6:32GSWEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
64.3%
39
35.7%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)54
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q2 - 7:04GSWMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
61.5%
37
38.5%
Q2 - 7:16MIADavis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 7:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
57.4%
37
42.6%
Q2 - 7:30GSWMISS Azubuike 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
56.5%
37
43.5%
Q2 - 7:39MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
54.6%
37
45.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
53.4%
37
46.6%
Q2 - 8:04GSWHarrington 1' Layup (2 PTS)49
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 8:04GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 8:06GSWMISS Harrington Layup49
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 8:09GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 8:10GSWMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot49
58.3%
35
41.7%
Q2 - 8:28GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
56.7%
35
43.3%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)49
58.0%
35
42.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
56.7%
35
43.3%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Cook Layup48
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
56.7%
35
43.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Cook 3' Running Layup48
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 9:00GSWPietrus 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)48
56.7%
35
43.3%
Q2 - 9:06GSWHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
57.5%
33
42.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
58.4%
33
41.6%
Q2 - 9:22MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
60.3%
33
39.7%
Q2 - 9:23GSWMISS Davis Layup48
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 9:25GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
57.6%
33
42.4%
Q2 - 9:28GSWMISS Harrington Driving Dunk48
59.5%
33
40.5%
Q2 - 9:42GSWDavis Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)48
57.7%
33
42.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIADavis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)48
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 10:04GSWDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
57.5%
32
42.5%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
54.7%
32
45.3%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMourning Putback Dunk (3 PTS)46
54.7%
32
45.3%
Q2 - 10:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
52.5%
32
47.5%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot44
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot44
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 10:30GSWBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
52.5%
32
47.5%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 243
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 10:47MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 10:48GSWMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWright 3' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)43
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 11:20GSWAzubuike 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)41
43.8%
32
56.2%
Q2 - 11:27MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)41
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q2 - 11:42MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 11:43GSWMISS Barnes Layup39
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q2 - 11:46GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 11:47GSWMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot39
43.2%
30
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA39
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound39
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Running Jump Shot39
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
42.9%
30
57.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Azubuike 2' Layup39
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade 20' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
41.1%
30
58.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0GSWJackson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)37
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWade 3' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
41.1%
28
58.9%
Q1 - 1:00GSWBiedrins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q1 - 1:00GSWBiedrins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q1 - 1:18MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
38.2%
26
61.8%
Q1 - 1:22GSWMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot33
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q1 - 1:36GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)33
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 233
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
38.2%
26
61.8%
Q1 - 1:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 1:39GSWMISS Hudson 17' Jump Shot32
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 1:43GSWJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot32
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q1 - 2:08GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)32
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 2:08GSWBiedrins 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)32
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 2:10GSWMISS Barnes 8' Running Jump Shot32
39.8%
24
60.2%
Q1 - 2:22GSWWARRIORS Rebound32
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
39.0%
24
61.0%
Q1 - 2:39GSWBiedrins 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)32
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAWright 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 3:21GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
39.6%
22
60.4%
Q1 - 3:21GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
40.1%
21
59.9%
Q1 - 3:21GSWWARRIORS Rebound30
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 3:21GSWMISS Hudson 8' Jump Shot30
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 3:50GSWJackson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)28
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWright 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
41.6%
18
58.4%
Q1 - 4:27GSWJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)26
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)24
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 4:56GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
38.9%
15
61.1%
Q1 - 4:56GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)23
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 5:07MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
37.4%
13
62.6%
Q1 - 5:18GSWMISS Ellis 6' Running Jump Shot21
36.8%
13
63.2%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 5:38GSWJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 5:43GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 5:44GSWMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 5:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)18
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 6:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
27.7%
13
72.3%
Q1 - 6:11GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 6:41GSWJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
24.6%
13
75.4%
Q1 - 6:41GSWJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 6:49MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)14
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 7:05GSWJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)14
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 7:15GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)12
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 7:15GSWMISS Biedrins Tip Shot12
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:16GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 7:16GSWMISS Biedrins Tip Shot12
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:17GSWMISS Davis 3' Layup12
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:24GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot12
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 7:47GSWDavis 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 7:53GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot12
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 8:11GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 8:11GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 8:15MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)12
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 8:33GSWMISS Ellis 4' Jump Shot12
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:38GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot12
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 8:55GSWJackson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)12
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 8:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 8:59GSWMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 9:30GSWBiedrins 3' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)10
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 9:50MIAWilliams 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
36.2%
0
63.8%
Q1 - 10:01GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wright8
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 10:01GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 10:03GSWMISS Davis 19' Step Back Jump Shot8
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWade 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:27GSWMISS Ellis 3' Jump Shot6
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWright 3' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 10:47GSWMISS Jackson 9' Jump Shot4
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:05MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:23GSWMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot2
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:44MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
GSW
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
32
63%
GSW
21
41
51%
Midrange
MIA
15
38
39%
GSW
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
GSW
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
25
35
71%
GSW
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3357%16.5 / 29
R. Davis2050%10.0 / 20
D. Wright1959%9.5 / 16
S. O'Neal1393%6.5 / 7
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
J. Williams880%4.0 / 5
D. Cook528%2.5 / 9
A. Mourning563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2858%14.0 / 24
B. Davis2560%12.5 / 21
M. Ellis2155%10.5 / 19
A. Biedrins1478%7.0 / 9
K. Azubuike1365%6.5 / 10
A. Harrington1243%6.0 / 14
M. Barnes536%2.5 / 7
M. Pietrus2100%1.0 / 1
T. Hudson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+21
-18
101
GSW
90
+20
-8
110
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.9%
GSW
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
111.5
MIA 115.3
GSW 122.4 +7.1
Pace
90.5
99.1
MIA 87.3
GSW 111.7 +24.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
13.8
MIA 16.5
GSW 12.9 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.1%
MIA 53.0% +5.1%
GSW 47.9%
TO %
15.4%
13.0%
MIA 16.2%
GSW 6.8% +9.4%
ORB %
22.2%
27.2%
MIA 43.9% +13.5%
GSW 30.4%
FTrt
30.0
27.6
MIA 42.2 +5.0
GSW 37.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.9%
MIA 51.2%
GSW 53.8% +2.6%
STL %
7.9%
9.1%
MIA 5.1%
GSW 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.1%
6.9%
MIA 11.3% +9.9%
GSW 1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.7%
MIA 54.9% +0.8%
GSW 54.1%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.6%
MIA 62.5% +11.3%
GSW 51.2%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.3%
MIA 39.5% +10.9%
GSW 28.6%
3P %
35.8%
34.8%
MIA 46.2% +8.7%
GSW 37.5%
FT %
72.7%
75.2%
MIA 71.4%
GSW 85.7% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
40.6%
MIA 38.6%
GSW 43.6% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
29.9%
MIA 45.8%
GSW 22.3% +23.4%
3P Att. %
21.7%
29.5%
MIA 15.7%
GSW 34.0% +18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points113120
Rebounds5740
Assists2121
Steals59
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)23 (3)
Field Goals41-8339-94
At-the-Rim FG20-3221-41
Midrange FG15-386-21
2-Point FG35-7027-62
3-Point FG6-1312-32
Free Throws25-3530-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
45.2
33
57%
2
10
0
0
7
5
1
1
11-12
92%
11-23
48%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
42.0
19
59%
18
1
0
3
0
2
5
13
2-4
50%
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
35.1
10
56%
9
1
0
1
3
5
1
8
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
21.1
13
93%
10
1
2
0
3
2
3
7
1-3
33%
6-6
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
18.5
8
80%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
38.4
20
50%
10
1
1
1
2
4
4
6
1-3
33%
5-14
36%
3-5
60%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
26.7
5
28%
7
1
2
0
2
3
3
4
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 261 · 38
12.8
5
63%
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
0
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 36
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
57
21
5
7
18
0
18
39
25-35
71%
35-70
50%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.