FinalWin Prob.pScore
437%95
95
263%99
97
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
102.29394.7
SAS logo SAS
103.29492.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS95
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot95
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALMavericks Rebound95
7.4%
97
92.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0DALElson BLOCK (1 BLK)95
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
14.2%
97
85.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
10.6%
97
89.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
7.8%
97
92.2%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 195
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot93
4.5%
97
95.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0DALTerry 3' Dunk (18 PTS)93
4.1%
97
95.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)91
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 1:04DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 1:04DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:13SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (37 PTS)89
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 1:28DALTerry 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)89
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 1:52SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)87
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 1:52SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 287
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 1:52SASSPURS Rebound87
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 1:52DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot87
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)87
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 2:23DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 2:23DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
6.6%
91
93.4%
Q4 - 2:36SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (34 PTS)85
5.7%
91
94.3%
Q4 - 2:59DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)85
8.5%
89
91.5%
Q4 - 3:05SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)82
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 3:26DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 3:26DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 3:43DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 3:44SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot80
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 3:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:56DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 279
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 4:13SASParker 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 4:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 4:33SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 5:01SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
3.7%
87
96.3%
Q4 - 5:02DALMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot79
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 5:26SASParker 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)79
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 5:49DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q4 - 5:49DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 278
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q4 - 5:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Finley 6' Jump Shot78
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 6:02SASSPURS Rebound78
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 6:02SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot78
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 6:19DALBass 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 6:32DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
4.7%
85
95.3%
Q4 - 6:33SASMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot76
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 6:42SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Layup76
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 7:03SASParker Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)76
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 7:22DALBass 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)76
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 7:36SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 7:49SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q4 - 7:50DALMISS Bass 2' Layup74
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 8:01DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 8:02SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot74
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q4 - 8:25DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 8:25DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 273
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 8:29DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
4.9%
83
95.1%
Q4 - 8:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 8:53DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot73
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 9:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 9:07SASMISS Ginobili 10' Jump Shot73
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 9:25SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Bass 4' Jump Shot73
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:29DALBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 9:30DALMISS Terry 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
5.1%
83
94.9%
Q4 - 9:55SASVaughn 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)73
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 10:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q4 - 10:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q4 - 10:19SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q4 - 10:38DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q4 - 10:38DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q4 - 10:52SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)69
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 11:07DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)69
13.0%
75
87.0%
Q4 - 11:23SASGinobili 16' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)66
8.9%
75
91.1%
Q4 - 11:37SASSPURS Rebound66
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q4 - 11:37DALMISS Harris 5' Jump Shot66
11.4%
73
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL66
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)66
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot66
20.5%
70
79.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASOberto 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)66
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)66
26.8%
68
73.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALMavericks Rebound66
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0DALMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot66
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 1:12SASBarry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)66
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 1:18SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 1:21DALMISS Bass 1' Layup66
36.8%
66
63.2%
Q3 - 1:22DALBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
40.1%
66
59.9%
Q3 - 1:23DALGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)66
36.8%
66
63.2%
Q3 - 1:28SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)66
40.1%
66
59.9%
Q3 - 1:43DALStackhouse 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)66
35.4%
66
64.6%
Q3 - 1:48SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)64
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 2:01DALBass 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)64
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 2:18SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T7)62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 2:33DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P4.T14)62
20.2%
66
79.8%
Q3 - 2:33DALMavericks Rebound62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 2:34DALMISS Bass 10' Jump Shot62
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 2:54SASFinley 2' Layup (5 PTS)62
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 3:02SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
27.4%
64
72.6%
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Stackhouse 7' Jump Shot62
28.5%
64
71.5%
Q3 - 3:21DALMavericks Rebound62
31.3%
64
68.7%
Q3 - 3:22SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup62
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 3:40DALNowitzki 10' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 4:00SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)60
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 4:14DALStackhouse 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)60
20.8%
64
79.2%
Q3 - 4:19DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 4:21SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q3 - 4:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 4:28DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 4:42SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)58
18.5%
64
81.5%
Q3 - 4:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)58
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 4:57DALStackhouse Foul Turnover (P3.T13)58
20.9%
62
79.1%
Q3 - 5:08SASGinobili 1' Dunk (25 PTS)58
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 5:18DALNowitzki 2' Layup (9 PTS)58
27.5%
60
72.5%
Q3 - 5:34SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)56
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 5:49DALDiop 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)56
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 6:06SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)54
24.7%
58
75.3%
Q3 - 6:06SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)54
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 6:08DALGinobili STEAL (2 STL)54
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 6:31DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 6:32SASMISS Ginobili 7' Floating Jump Shot54
30.0%
56
70.0%
Q3 - 6:45DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)54
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 7:02SASFinley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)54
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 7:18DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P3.T10)54
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 7:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 7:30SASMISS Parker 2' Layup54
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q3 - 7:49DALHoward 11' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)54
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 8:06SASParker 1' Layup (17 PTS)52
34.5%
53
65.5%
Q3 - 8:12DALBowen STEAL (3 STL)52
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q3 - 8:16DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 8:17SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot52
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 8:30SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q3 - 8:31DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot52
38.8%
51
61.2%
Q3 - 8:51DALMavericks Rebound52
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 8:51SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot52
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 9:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
37.2%
51
62.8%
Q3 - 9:08DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot52
38.2%
51
61.8%
Q3 - 9:32SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q3 - 9:53DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)52
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q3 - 10:02DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)50
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q3 - 10:21SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)49
37.1%
49
62.9%
Q3 - 10:44DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)49
40.1%
47
59.9%
Q3 - 10:58SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)49
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q3 - 10:58SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)49
44.5%
46
55.5%
Q3 - 10:58SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)49
47.1%
45
52.9%
Q3 - 11:06SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q3 - 11:07DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot49
51.1%
44
48.9%
Q3 - 11:36SASParker 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
53.7%
44
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot49
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
56.6%
42
43.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
56.3%
42
43.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
52.4%
42
47.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
52.9%
41
47.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
56.6%
40
43.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 247
56.9%
40
43.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
59.3%
40
40.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot46
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 1:04SASGinobili 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 1:18DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
59.5%
38
40.5%
Q2 - 1:18DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 245
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q2 - 1:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)45
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 1:29SASMISS Ginobili 16' Jump Bank Shot45
57.5%
38
42.5%
Q2 - 1:41DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 1:55DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 1:56SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot43
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q2 - 2:10DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T7)43
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 2:31SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)43
51.6%
38
48.4%
Q2 - 2:34SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 2:36DALHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)43
49.6%
38
50.4%
Q2 - 2:54SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)43
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 3:08SASSPURS Rebound43
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 3:08DALMISS Harris 7' Jump Shot43
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 3:21SASOberto 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)43
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
62.2%
33
37.8%
Q2 - 3:23SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup43
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 3:36DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)43
62.2%
33
37.8%
Q2 - 3:36SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)43
65.3%
33
34.7%
Q2 - 3:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
62.3%
33
37.7%
Q2 - 3:42DALMISS Terry 4' Jump Shot43
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
65.4%
33
34.6%
Q2 - 3:50SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot43
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 4:14DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)43
61.1%
33
38.9%
Q2 - 4:32DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
55.6%
33
44.4%
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS Parker 2' Layup40
54.7%
33
45.3%
Q2 - 4:40DALBowen STEAL (2 STL)40
52.7%
33
47.3%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
55.6%
33
44.4%
Q2 - 4:57SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 240
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 4:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
53.4%
33
46.6%
Q2 - 5:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
54.8%
32
45.2%
Q2 - 5:11DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q2 - 5:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 5:31SASMISS Parker 3' Layup40
57.0%
32
43.0%
Q2 - 5:38SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q2 - 5:40DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q2 - 5:48DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
57.9%
32
42.1%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot40
57.0%
32
43.0%
Q2 - 6:03DALBass 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
54.0%
32
46.0%
Q2 - 6:14DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
51.9%
32
48.1%
Q2 - 6:15SASMISS Bowen 3' Jump Shot38
50.9%
32
49.1%
Q2 - 6:37DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)38
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 6:53DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
46.4%
32
53.6%
Q2 - 6:54SASMISS Elson 11' Jump Shot36
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 7:12DALTerry 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
42.9%
32
57.1%
Q2 - 7:43SASGinobili 18' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
40.5%
32
59.5%
Q2 - 7:50SASParker Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
42.9%
30
57.1%
Q2 - 7:50SASParker Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
43.6%
29
56.4%
Q2 - 7:52DALParker STEAL (1 STL)34
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 8:00DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 8:01SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q2 - 8:27DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
47.6%
28
52.4%
Q2 - 8:27DALBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 8:41SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
45.4%
28
54.6%
Q2 - 8:41SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 8:57DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)32
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q2 - 9:15DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
44.8%
26
55.2%
Q2 - 9:17SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
44.0%
26
56.0%
Q2 - 9:43DALBass 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)30
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q2 - 9:43DALBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
40.0%
26
60.0%
Q2 - 9:44DALMISS Stackhouse 2' Layup28
38.1%
26
61.9%
Q2 - 10:01SASParker 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)28
39.9%
26
60.1%
Q2 - 10:18DALBarea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)28
41.9%
24
58.1%
Q2 - 10:43SASBarry 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)28
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q2 - 10:50DALBass 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q2 - 11:09SASParker 1' Layup (4 PTS)26
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q2 - 11:30DALBass 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
46.3%
20
53.7%
Q2 - 11:45SASParker Layup (2 PTS)24
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
48.8%
18
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
48.0%
18
52.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)24
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASOberto 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)21
40.9%
18
59.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot19
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 1:03SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
39.1%
16
60.9%
Q1 - 1:04SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 1:11SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
39.1%
16
60.9%
Q1 - 1:13DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot19
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 1:36SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 1:36SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 1:41DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
43.7%
14
56.3%
Q1 - 1:55SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 2:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 2:01DALMISS Stackhouse 21' Jump Shot19
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 2:13DALMavericks Rebound19
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 2:15DALMISS Harris 1' Layup19
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 2:20SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 2:30SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 2:31DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot19
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 2:51SASGinobili 5' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)19
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 3:06DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)19
53.8%
9
46.2%
Q1 - 3:06DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)18
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 3:06DALMavericks Rebound17
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Barry 21' Jump Shot17
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 3:22SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 3:23DALMISS Diop 2' Layup17
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 3:36SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 3:40SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 3:41SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot17
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 3:52DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
49.4%
9
50.6%
Q1 - 3:52DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
49.1%
9
50.9%
Q1 - 4:07SASVaughn 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)15
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 4:29DALHoward 1' Layup (9 PTS)15
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 4:49SASElson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)13
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 5:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 5:06DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 5:12DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 5:13SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot13
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 5:30DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)13
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 5:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
43.8%
5
56.2%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup10
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 6:01DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 6:19DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
39.1%
5
60.9%
Q1 - 6:19SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 2 of 28
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 6:19SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 6:32SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 6:34DALMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot8
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 6:45SASBonner 2' Layup (2 PTS)8
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 6:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 6:49SASMISS Elson 6' Hook Shot8
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 7:05DALNowitzki 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)8
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 7:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot6
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 7:47SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Elson 12' Jump Shot6
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 8:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:03DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot6
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 8:21SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 8:24DALBowen STEAL (1 STL)6
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:34DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 8:35SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot6
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 8:57DALDampier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)6
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 9:14DALMavericks Rebound4
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 9:16SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot4
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 9:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 9:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
34.3%
2
65.7%
Q1 - 10:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Elson 9' Fadeaway Jumper2
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:15SASSPURS Rebound2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:15DALMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:22SASMISS Parker 1' Layup2
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:28DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 10:37DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:38SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Bank Shot2
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:57SASSPURS Rebound2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:58DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot2
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 11:14SASElson 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:33DALHoward 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
34.5%
0
65.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Elson vs. Dampier: Tip to Harris0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
SAS
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
26
50%
SAS
20
29
69%
Midrange
DAL
14
31
45%
SAS
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
SAS
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
DAL
29
35
83%
SAS
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2269%11.0 / 16
J. Terry2077%10.0 / 13
B. Bass1860%9.0 / 15
D. Nowitzki1554%7.5 / 14
J. Stackhouse836%4.0 / 11
D. Harris418%2.0 / 11
D. Diop467%2.0 / 3
E. Dampier2100%1.0 / 1
J. Barea2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili3764%18.5 / 29
T. Parker2348%11.5 / 24
M. Finley1478%7.0 / 9
F. Oberto8100%4.0 / 4
J. Vaughn583%2.5 / 3
F. Elson433%2.0 / 6
B. Barry440%2.0 / 5
M. Bonner2100%1.0 / 1
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
79
+8
-14
87
SAS
82
+7
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.4%
SAS
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
106.5
DAL 102.2
SAS 103.2 +1.0
Pace
90.6
89.5
DAL 94.7 +2.4
SAS 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
16.5
DAL 15.2 +0.4
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.2%
50.4%
DAL 47.8%
SAS 49.4% +1.6%
TO %
13.3%
13.4%
DAL 15.1%
SAS 11.9% +3.2%
ORB %
26.8%
23.4%
DAL 12.9%
SAS 15.0% +2.1%
FTrt
31.8
27.6
DAL 50.7 +22.9
SAS 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
58.5%
DAL 48.4% +9.5%
SAS 38.9%
STL %
6.6%
7.1%
DAL 7.5% +1.1%
SAS 6.4%
BLK %
7.5%
6.5%
DAL 3.3%
SAS 5.3% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.8%
DAL 53.4%
SAS 54.5% +1.1%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.6%
DAL 50.0%
SAS 69.0% +19.0%
Mid FG%
44.3%
40.4%
DAL 45.2% +12.9%
SAS 32.3%
3P %
35.2%
36.9%
DAL 33.3% +1.7%
SAS 31.6%
FT %
81.4%
76.1%
DAL 82.9%
SAS 86.4% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.8%
DAL 37.7% +1.0%
SAS 36.7%
Mid Att. %
49.6%
44.1%
DAL 44.9%
SAS 39.2% +5.7%
3P Att. %
21.5%
25.1%
DAL 17.4%
SAS 24.1% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points9597
Rebounds3833
Assists1514
Steals76
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (4)27 (5)
Field Goals31-6936-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2620-29
Midrange FG14-3110-31
2-Point FG27-5730-60
3-Point FG4-126-19
Free Throws29-3519-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
40.2
20
77%
3
2
2
0
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
F · 7'0" 245 · 29
39.0
15
54%
9
2
0
0
4
3
0
9
6-7
86%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 210 · 28
38.3
22
69%
9
3
0
0
3
4
1
8
7-9
78%
6-10
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 25
26.9
4
18%
2
4
4
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
12.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 33
32.2
8
36%
2
2
1
0
3
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 23
25.7
18
60%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
21.9
4
67%
5
1
0
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 23
3.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24
#6 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'11" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
38
15
7
2
14
0
4
34
29-35
83%
27-57
47%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.