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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats35%95120
20Kings65%100135
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
40.3
35.5
31
77%
6
9
4
2
2
3
0
6
7-7
100%
9-13
7-13
69%
51%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.7
35.5
33.3
22
85%
4
4
2
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
5-6
4-9
83%
41%
4-7
57%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
29.4
32.8
19
65%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
7-8
88%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
2-3
67%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.6
27.1
23.2
12
76%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
43%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.4
20.9
15.3
11
62%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.6
30.6
30.9
6
24%
5
1
2
0
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
42%
0-5
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.3
25.2
17.8
12
61%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
42%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
15.8
10.9
4
52%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
9.4
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
3.0
3.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
2.7
3.7
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
8.8
0
1-2
44%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
46.4
33.1
36
76%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
8-11
73%
11-14
5-9
79%
54%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
34.5
22.6
15
80%
5
5
2
1
0
2
0
5
8-10
80%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
32.9
32.7
14
80%
5
6
0
1
1
4
1
4
3-4
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
32.3
31.6
30
90%
1
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5-6
83%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
7-10
70%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
18.3
19.1
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
29.2
21.1
14
90%
2
1
1
1
2
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.2
16.7
12.2
11
69%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
5-9
56%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
14.0
20.4
7
60%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
13.4
13.5
5
51%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
1.3
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.8
1.1
2.1
3
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.8
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.