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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Raptors29%89106
4Rockets71%9690
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.2
33.3
23.7
3
30%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
32.4
35.1
13
58%
9
6
1
1
1
1
2
7
3-5
60%
5-9
7-14
56%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
25.7
29.2
16
54%
6
6
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
20.6
20.7
5
36%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
18.1
20.8
8
67%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
32.7
29.5
20
83%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
4-5
80%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.4
30.6
16.0
11
55%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
22.1
23.2
14
74%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
21.0
3.5
16
102%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
7-7
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
1.2
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.0
1.2
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
34%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.8
1.2
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.7
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
38.2
36.9
12
46%
2
4
1
2
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
38.2
35.9
16
81%
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
2-4
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
35.3
36.2
22
54%
6
5
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
9-15
8-16
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
30.6
29.6
8
36%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
15.4
24.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.7
25.2
15.4
10
71%
8
1
0
1
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
54%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
17.7
22.2
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
16.9
27.3
7
44%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
11.9
1.6
7
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
6.4
11.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
4.1
1.7
6
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.