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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks36%90100
16Hornets64%94107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
44.3
41.0
27
65%
1
8
2
1
1
4
0
1
5-6
83%
8-14
7-15
57%
49%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
43.6
33.4
17
59%
9
9
0
1
5
4
0
9
2-3
67%
6-10
6-12
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
26.3
32.9
12
67%
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.8
22.3
18.4
6
43%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
13.2
11.1
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
29.9
23.6
13
61%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
5-6
83%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
29.4
24.7
15
63%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
26.1
33.2
7
44%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
4.5
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
0.4
5.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
5.1
0
1-1
44%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
37.5
32.5
24
56%
5
13
4
2
0
1
1
4
11-12
92%
5-15
5-10
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.4
35.9
30.9
16
42%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-18
5-12
39%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
35.5
36.0
17
58%
14
3
0
1
0
1
3
11
3-4
75%
7-13
8-15
54%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
34.1
32.6
18
87%
13
0
1
1
4
1
6
7
8-10
80%
5-6
4-8
83%
58%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
26.9
22.2
19
74%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
4-5
80%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.0
21.5
24.9
3
17%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-6
3-7
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
14.6
16.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
13.9
11.9
4
50%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
10.5
17.1
4
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
6.6
2.4
2
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
2.9
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
2.3
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.