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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat52%9893
30Knicks48%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
41.5
33.1
24
71%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.3
37.3
22.9
15
72%
7
7
1
1
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
4-6
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
28.0
27.4
8
40%
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.4
24.0
22.2
8
40%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.0
22.9
26.7
20
63%
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
9-14
7-12
64%
57%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.1
22.6
27.0
2
33%
4
0
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
20.0
15.4
12
72%
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
18.4
16.7
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.6
17.1
23.1
2
20%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.7
4.8
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
3.5
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
6.1
0
1-1
45%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
39.8
41.3
20
74%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
7-8
88%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.0
38.6
39.2
25
78%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
8-9
89%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.2
37.0
35.3
28
62%
11
1
0
1
0
3
5
6
10-13
77%
9-17
7-12
53%
57%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.9
35.5
31.5
8
47%
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-1
0%
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
0-4
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.3
3.9
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
25.3
1.9
4
27%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-7
0-0
29%
42%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
22.2
27.5
6
41%
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-3
67%
2-6
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
15.9
20.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.7
13.9
4.2
8
41%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
7.7
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.5
2.4
0
0-1
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.8
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.