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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Jazz42%99114
12Nuggets58%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
41.3
37.1
26
55%
4
14
1
1
0
4
1
3
8-8
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.5
27.1
32.3
6
38%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
12.3
24.5
10
63%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
6-11
63%
55%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.2
11.4
18.5
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
9.3
27.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
33.6
6.7
5
64%
10
2
0
0
1
0
3
7
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.7
31.0
27.3
22
65%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
5-9
56%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.0
27.6
27.2
14
51%
10
1
4
1
1
2
5
5
10-13
77%
2-8
4-8
25%
52%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
21.4
22.7
12
46%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
2-6
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
12.9
2.2
8
82%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.9
12.0
12.9
9
77%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
0.1
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.7
44.0
29.6
33
67%
3
5
2
1
0
3
1
2
10-15
67%
10-16
5-11
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
37.2
32.3
36
76%
4
6
1
1
1
7
1
3
11-13
85%
11-16
9-17
69%
50%
1-2
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
32.0
24.2
6
44%
9
5
0
1
2
3
0
9
0-2
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
30.7
30.1
8
38%
9
0
1
1
0
4
3
6
6-8
75%
1-7
5-10
14%
52%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.1
20.9
25.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.0
30.4
33.2
8
40%
1
3
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
20.6
11.0
5
87%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
16.8
19.9
4
100%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.8
7.2
17.0
4
106%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
13.4
0
1-2
49%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.8
6.1
0
0-1
53%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.