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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons65%10084
28Bucks35%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.0
42.4
36.8
12
43%
7
6
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
6-14
6-13
43%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.4
39.1
35.4
19
66%
5
6
2
1
1
3
0
5
3-3
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
47%
2-4
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.4
37.7
35.0
16
42%
11
4
0
1
3
1
3
8
0-0
-
5-14
4-9
36%
48%
2-5
40%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.0
36.3
32.5
7
25%
5
4
0
1
1
2
1
4
3-5
60%
2-10
4-8
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
28.2
30.4
6
38%
7
2
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
24.9
16.4
15
58%
7
1
1
0
2
3
3
4
1-2
50%
7-12
3-5
58%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.5
17.4
17.7
4
53%
5
0
3
1
0
1
4
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
9.0
18.1
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
5.1
3.7
5
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.0
8.0
0
1-2
50%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.9
2.5
0
0-0
48%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.8
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
43.1
25.9
4
34%
13
0
0
1
1
2
2
11
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
38.9
36.8
15
70%
6
5
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
6-9
5-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.2
38.7
38.7
7
39%
1
6
0
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
3-8
7-14
38%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
38.4
32.1
22
54%
7
3
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
9-14
4-7
64%
48%
0-4
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
29.6
11.7
17
45%
4
1
2
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
6-16
2-4
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.6
25.2
34.2
18
74%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
7-8
6-11
88%
53%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.7
21.0
23.5
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
4.8
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
0.4
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.5
16.7
0
3-5
51%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
12.6
0
1-3
45%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
4.8
0
1-1
44%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.