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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hornets51%96104
25Grizzlies49%95108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.4
37.6
35.0
17
44%
23
0
0
1
2
2
12
11
1-5
20%
8-17
4-7
47%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.8
34.6
33.2
5
26%
3
10
1
2
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
0-6
5-11
0%
48%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
34.5
31.5
22
45%
11
5
0
1
0
0
4
7
3-5
60%
8-20
6-13
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.3
34.1
31.1
23
55%
2
0
2
1
1
3
2
0
5-7
71%
9-18
6-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
24.4
26.7
2
14%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.9
20.3
20.8
8
37%
3
3
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
0-6
3-6
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
16.6
12.7
11
61%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
43%
1-4
25%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
13.9
17.5
10
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
2-7
29%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.7
13.5
13.4
4
67%
7
0
1
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
10.4
10.0
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.1
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.7
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.0
45.4
38.1
22
51%
4
4
2
1
1
3
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
3-10
30%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
34.9
22.4
19
61%
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
34.1
38.7
11
42%
15
3
0
1
3
5
3
12
5-7
71%
3-10
8-16
30%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
24.4
27.5
18
83%
5
2
2
1
3
0
2
3
2-2
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
45%
2-4
50%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
23.9
17.4
4
40%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
27.7
18.9
15
64%
12
1
1
0
1
3
1
11
5-6
83%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
17.7
8.0
8
51%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
17.1
6.6
11
71%
4
3
2
0
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
37%
2-4
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
5.7
13.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
4.7
7.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-3
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
4.4
17.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.