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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nuggets47%104109
28Bucks53%105102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.0
43.7
37.2
10
34%
1
11
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-12
2-4
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
43.5
40.1
29
49%
8
10
3
1
0
2
3
5
2-4
50%
12-24
11-21
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.6
35.1
27.0
15
69%
8
1
4
1
1
3
5
3
1-2
50%
7-10
3-5
70%
51%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
35.0
31.1
17
77%
11
1
0
1
1
2
2
9
5-7
71%
6-8
5-11
75%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.1
27.3
21.4
12
61%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.4
24.6
21.5
16
74%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.7
19.9
21.9
6
44%
10
0
1
1
2
1
4
6
6-11
55%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
6.1
3.0
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.8
4.3
8.3
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.5
0.6
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.7
20.0
1
4-8
46%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
14.6
0
2-4
48%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.1
38.4
38.5
16
37%
3
6
1
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
6-16
7-14
38%
49%
0-4
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.5
37.6
35.4
13
62%
6
4
2
2
1
5
2
4
1-1
100%
6-10
7-13
60%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
32.8
27.7
16
62%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
30.4
34.8
8
45%
12
1
0
1
1
0
2
10
0-2
0%
4-8
6-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.5
22.2
31.6
6
43%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.7
28.8
30.6
26
87%
2
6
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
6-7
86%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
27.3
13.6
7
79%
7
0
0
0
2
0
1
6
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
12.2
2.1
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
10.2
9.4
8
103%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-2
100%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
7.4
0
1-1
47%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.8
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.1
3.2
0
0-1
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.