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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs63%92104
18Magic37%87106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
39.7
30.9
24
51%
16
6
1
1
0
4
6
10
8-10
80%
8-19
7-14
42%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
37.3
29.9
17
48%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
7-14
6-12
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.1
33.7
25.1
21
84%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
54%
4-6
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.7
17.3
25.6
4
52%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.9
16.3
20.8
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.5
30.6
24.5
7
40%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.9
22.8
19.3
18
86%
2
0
2
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
3-5
60%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
18.4
19.4
4
50%
5
2
2
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.0
14.8
14.4
4
67%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.5
9.1
16.9
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
6.3
0
1-1
46%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.8
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.9
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.2
43.3
34.9
30
78%
8
3
4
1
3
4
1
7
8-12
67%
11-14
6-10
79%
55%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.0
40.6
27.1
31
70%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
5-5
100%
10-18
4-8
56%
48%
2-2
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.6
33.0
23.7
4
34%
3
2
1
1
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.9
21.6
30.7
6
33%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
17.1
31.9
3
38%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
31.3
21.0
16
70%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
3-8
38%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.5
30.0
22.0
12
67%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.8
17.9
15.6
4
67%
5
0
0
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.9
5.2
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.3
30.6
1
5-9
49%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.5
5.1
0
0-1
43%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.0
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.