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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets61%9798
25Grizzlies39%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.7
38.9
32.1
33
56%
6
8
1
1
0
2
0
6
8-8
100%
11-22
7-14
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.4
38.9
29.8
14
78%
6
0
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.6
37.4
22.9
1
13%
13
0
0
0
3
1
4
9
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.5
35.9
29.0
12
55%
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
2-3
67%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.0
34.2
30.7
17
46%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
8-18
5-10
44%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.2
28.1
27.1
11
69%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.7
21.6
21.3
8
67%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.2
5.1
10.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.8
7.5
0
0-1
42%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
5.8
0
0-0
52%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.5
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.4
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
41.8
35.6
30
49%
13
5
0
1
5
2
4
9
4-6
67%
13-27
7-14
48%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.0
38.5
41.2
12
33%
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
2-3
67%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-8
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
34.6
26.0
8
57%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
26.5
20.0
10
73%
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
23.9
19.6
6
34%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
25.2
26.8
8
44%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
18.4
20.5
5
50%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
11.0
6.7
2
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
9.8
19.0
5
37%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
6.9
16.4
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.2
3.3
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
10.2
1
1-2
43%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.