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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19SuperSonics38%103108
17Wizards62%107118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
44.3
39.3
29
50%
7
7
5
1
1
6
4
3
5-5
100%
9-17
7-14
53%
50%
2-10
20%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
34.9
36.3
10
50%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
34.6
25.6
24
68%
10
0
1
1
0
2
3
7
4-6
67%
10-15
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.7
30.1
30.4
5
42%
5
10
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
22.3
22.6
5
42%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.1
25.7
27.1
8
63%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.0
22.1
23.2
13
94%
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.0
14.0
18.9
12
81%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
6-7
3-6
86%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
12.0
6.0
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
8.9
0
1-2
51%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.8
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.7
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.9
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
44.3
40.6
16
45%
5
9
2
2
0
2
2
3
6-9
67%
2-9
6-13
22%
49%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
41.9
40.5
38
69%
3
2
4
2
1
5
1
2
9-10
90%
13-20
7-15
65%
49%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
36.4
27.6
15
59%
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.2
35.8
24.6
20
70%
11
1
0
1
1
2
5
6
6-12
50%
7-9
3-5
78%
56%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
16.6
20.1
6
51%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.5
16.8
12.1
14
72%
7
1
0
0
1
1
4
3
4-4
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
15.3
18.3
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
10.3
8.3
2
25%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
7.6
20.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
6.0
17.7
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.4
5.2
5.5
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
3.7
5.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.3
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.