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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat60%99117
27Bucks40%9698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
42.1
37.0
32
70%
8
11
4
2
1
2
3
5
10-13
77%
11-16
9-17
69%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
40.2
29.1
28
78%
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
6-7
86%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.7
30.7
27.4
7
37%
11
0
0
1
0
3
5
6
1-1
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
20.4
21.8
20
71%
4
3
0
0
0
4
2
2
4-7
57%
8-11
5-8
73%
58%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
17.9
27.9
4
50%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.1
29.4
27.3
3
75%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
21.3
17.2
9
51%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
18.1
23.3
9
56%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
9.1
4.5
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
6.1
10.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
3.0
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
1.9
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.1
40.0
36.8
38
56%
5
7
3
1
0
9
1
4
5-6
83%
15-25
6-12
60%
48%
1-6
17%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
36.1
34.4
4
40%
7
3
0
1
2
3
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
6-11
40%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
34.7
34.4
10
53%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
47%
1-5
20%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.5
32.6
31.6
11
35%
7
4
3
1
0
2
6
1
1-6
17%
5-13
6-10
38%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
24.8
19.8
5
73%
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.7
28.8
32.1
10
45%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
4-5
80%
0-2
4-8
0%
43%
2-7
29%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.4
25.7
24.5
16
69%
11
0
0
1
0
0
4
7
6-6
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
6.8
8.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
2.6
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
2.6
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
2.6
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
2.6
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.