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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers48%96116
23Grizzlies52%97110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.4
42.1
32.9
13
60%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.8
40.1
37.5
14
44%
8
3
2
1
1
0
2
6
1-4
25%
5-11
4-7
45%
52%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
34.6
36.2
25
50%
17
0
0
1
2
4
2
15
3-4
75%
11-22
8-17
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.9
34.4
31.9
25
66%
2
9
0
2
0
4
1
1
3-7
43%
8-14
4-10
57%
45%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
25.1
27.6
4
52%
4
2
1
1
0
3
3
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
22.8
8.7
19
73%
9
0
0
0
1
1
5
4
7-7
100%
6-10
2-3
60%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.6
14.3
17.6
3
40%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.0
11.5
19.4
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.7
6.1
1.3
7
88%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
55%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.0
5.0
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.5
4.1
9.4
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.2
5.0
0
0-1
37%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.0
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.8
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.0
44.4
40.2
26
70%
5
3
2
1
1
2
0
5
4-6
67%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
6-11
55%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
36.4
35.9
30
58%
9
3
0
1
3
3
1
8
6-9
67%
12-22
7-14
55%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
28.7
24.4
7
40%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
21.3
18.8
9
56%
4
7
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
1-4
25%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
19.1
21.3
6
51%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
26.7
27.8
19
103%
0
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
4-5
80%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
22.9
19.0
11
62%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
17.6
14.2
2
33%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
10.6
26.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
9.6
10.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
2.9
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.2
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.