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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls55%99107
18SuperSonics45%97101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
40.7
33.6
27
72%
12
2
1
1
0
4
3
9
9-13
69%
9-13
6-12
69%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
36.8
39.1
20
55%
4
9
3
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
33.3
34.5
12
35%
5
6
1
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-14
6-13
21%
48%
2-3
67%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
30.6
31.1
14
79%
7
0
1
1
3
2
2
5
2-2
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
22.6
33.2
0
0%
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.2
27.3
24.3
14
53%
8
1
0
0
0
1
0
8
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
25.9
15.2
16
91%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
5-6
1-2
83%
45%
1-1
100%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.5
12.1
5.9
4
60%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.6
7.3
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
3.4
17.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.8
7.6
0
1-2
49%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.3
6.2
0
1-2
49%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
42.3
38.7
29
45%
2
3
4
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
6-18
6-13
33%
49%
3-10
30%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
42.3
33.6
20
72%
12
1
1
1
2
1
3
9
6-9
67%
7-10
6-11
70%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.6
34.9
28.2
5
25%
4
12
4
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
43%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
18.3
30.5
10
85%
3
3
0
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
5-10
80%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
14.2
28.1
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.1
38.0
21.0
18
50%
4
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-12
2-5
42%
45%
2-5
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.0
25.1
22.1
12
67%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.0
20.1
18.4
5
87%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
4.9
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
9.0
0
1-2
50%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.7
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.7
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.2
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.