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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 31, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks63%10195
22Grizzlies37%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
35.8
34.4
20
50%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
50%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
35.3
34.7
26
53%
11
1
0
1
2
3
0
11
10-10
100%
8-19
7-15
42%
51%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.6
33.7
20.2
15
90%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
3-3
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
56%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
27.5
25.4
10
63%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
20.9
23.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
27.3
20.2
20
68%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
2-3
67%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.4
26.1
21.9
3
75%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.0
13.3
18.6
0
0%
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.8
12.7
12.8
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
7.4
6.8
1
17%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
2.1
0
0-0
51%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.0
2.0
0
0-1
47%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
42.7
39.7
32
92%
2
3
0
1
0
5
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
7-10
70%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
33.4
38.1
13
32%
13
2
0
1
2
2
0
13
5-7
71%
4-17
7-14
24%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
25.4
24.3
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
21.5
17.5
7
102%
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
20.9
22.0
5
43%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
30.8
24.5
15
57%
3
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
7-7
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
27.8
28.6
9
41%
2
10
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
24.5
15.9
9
46%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
2-3
67%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
10.8
9.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
2.1
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.9
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.