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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 31, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors44%10094
29Hawks56%102115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.8
36.2
32.8
17
56%
6
12
1
2
0
2
2
4
7-7
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
46%
0-3
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
35.6
32.5
21
53%
8
2
2
1
0
1
3
5
7-11
64%
7-13
4-9
54%
47%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.8
35.0
25.3
17
58%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-6
50%
7-10
3-7
70%
45%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
34.2
22.9
6
44%
9
0
1
1
3
2
3
6
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
61%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
22.5
25.0
16
76%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
7-8
88%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.9
23.9
21.5
6
38%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
17.6
10.5
4
29%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.9
11.9
10.8
3
65%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
10.7
16.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
10.5
30.6
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-4
5-10
25%
50%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.9
2.0
10.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.6
40.2
39.6
33
57%
7
4
0
1
0
4
3
4
7-7
100%
4-12
8-15
33%
51%
6-14
43%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
32.8
33.7
17
78%
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-7
5-10
86%
47%
1-3
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
22.1
21.5
13
69%
2
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.2
19.6
35.3
4
29%
4
3
0
1
4
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
6-11
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
17.2
20.8
2
33%
7
1
0
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
34.5
32.7
23
74%
8
7
2
1
0
4
2
6
8-8
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
55%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.0
24.7
23.2
10
81%
9
0
1
1
0
3
2
7
4-5
80%
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
23.9
15.5
2
18%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
12.3
7.8
2
25%
3
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
7.7
8.9
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
3.1
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
1.9
1.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.