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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 31, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Wizards36%100109
11Raptors64%104119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
41.8
41.1
27
57%
4
5
1
2
0
3
0
4
9-11
82%
6-13
6-13
46%
47%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.9
36.8
42.8
21
63%
7
5
1
2
0
4
0
7
5-6
83%
8-13
7-16
62%
47%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
30.2
24.1
10
58%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.2
24.5
28.2
8
82%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
17.9
10.7
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.9
24.2
20.6
14
76%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.5
19.5
15.1
13
111%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
3-3
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
16.9
2.3
2
26%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
16.4
18.2
4
50%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.4
9.9
7.3
3
38%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
2.0
4.6
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.3
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.0
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
39.8
36.4
24
81%
3
11
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
10-12
5-9
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
39.0
37.9
34
77%
8
2
1
1
2
1
1
7
3-7
43%
14-18
8-16
78%
52%
1-1
100%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.6
33.4
35.0
9
41%
5
5
0
1
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
25.8
20.6
10
85%
6
2
0
0
3
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
20.6
28.7
5
42%
7
2
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.3
24.0
22.0
14
49%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
50%
1-5
20%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
22.9
18.6
11
79%
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
17.1
16.2
8
67%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
16.6
26.6
4
100%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
5-11
100%
47%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.9
0.8
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.7
0.7
0
0-0
53%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.9
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.7
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.