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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks30%9680
10Heat70%102110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.7
31.3
40.3
11
66%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-3
5-11
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.1
30.5
34.1
14
45%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
5-11
6-12
45%
49%
0-2
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.9
26.5
38.4
12
62%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
26.3
35.2
6
50%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
6-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
15.9
24.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.4
24.6
19.7
17
53%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
51%
1-3
33%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
21.7
5.9
3
26%
11
2
1
0
0
1
5
6
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
52%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.5
20.1
29.9
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-8
6-10
25%
53%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
13.4
4.9
2
35%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
12.0
6.6
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
10.2
17.5
3
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-3
33%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.1
7.5
3.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
35.3
16.2
8
67%
4
8
2
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
30.8
36.4
28
75%
6
6
2
2
1
5
2
4
4-4
100%
12-16
9-17
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
20.6
29.7
15
83%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-3
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
16.3
24.3
7
51%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
15.4
32.0
6
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
31.7
11.8
11
65%
11
4
5
0
1
1
3
8
1-1
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
28.9
22.3
13
74%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
25.1
22.3
11
53%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-3
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
18.2
10.8
7
60%
2
1
2
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
10.2
4.5
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
7.5
2.6
2
25%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
27.8
1
2-4
51%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.1
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.