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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Kings19%92104
2Mavericks81%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.0
40.9
34.1
21
63%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
5-6
83%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.2
37.6
36.3
25
71%
6
3
3
2
0
3
0
6
3-6
50%
8-13
5-11
62%
44%
2-2
100%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.7
33.4
34.5
12
50%
1
6
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
6-8
3-8
75%
44%
0-4
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.8
27.5
33.9
7
70%
10
4
2
1
2
0
0
10
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
18.0
20.7
4
50%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
25.1
12.7
20
66%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
7-12
2-4
58%
46%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
20.5
18.7
7
61%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
20.4
26.2
4
69%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
10.9
14.4
4
41%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
5.8
3.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.7
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
39.6
38.7
32
74%
11
5
0
1
0
1
2
9
8-8
100%
9-15
9-17
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
38.5
35.7
13
43%
7
1
0
1
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-12
6-13
42%
50%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
38.0
33.6
18
53%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
27.9
20.0
14
70%
5
6
1
1
2
1
0
5
8-9
89%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
15.2
21.3
6
80%
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
24.8
23.9
16
71%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
7-9
3-8
78%
46%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.0
24.4
16.9
4
100%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
23.8
22.9
3
30%
3
0
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.4
3.8
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
3.5
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
0.6
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
2.0
0
0-0
47%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.