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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat32%9097
9Bulls68%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
41.4
34.5
24
42%
8
8
3
2
1
2
2
6
8-11
73%
8-23
8-16
35%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
31.1
29.6
16
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
29.9
33.4
12
60%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
28.1
28.1
2
25%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
27.2
23.2
9
39%
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
5
1-1
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
31.6
18.0
17
65%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
5-10
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
27.2
20.3
11
40%
9
2
0
1
0
0
3
6
0-2
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
1-6
17%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
11.4
10.5
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
7.5
13.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
4.4
4.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
22.6
1
2-4
46%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
3.5
0
1-1
43%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
44.9
34.7
26
54%
5
5
2
1
0
4
0
5
5-7
71%
9-12
4-8
75%
47%
1-9
11%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
44.2
35.0
12
46%
14
2
0
1
1
2
2
12
6-7
86%
3-10
7-13
30%
53%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
39.4
30.4
1
9%
15
3
2
1
4
1
7
8
1-6
17%
0-3
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
37.6
37.3
34
75%
6
7
1
1
0
1
1
5
10-13
77%
9-14
6-13
64%
49%
2-3
67%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
19.9
26.2
4
29%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.2
33.1
21.9
19
53%
4
0
0
0
1
4
0
4
5-7
71%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
2-8
25%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
8.1
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
5.7
16.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
3.8
13.5
4
52%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.3
3.3
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
9.4
0
2-4
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.6
4.0
0
0-1
51%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.