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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks59%9485
10Bulls41%9296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
40.5
38.2
28
51%
11
1
0
1
2
1
5
6
12-13
92%
5-18
8-16
28%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
36.1
32.5
12
40%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
2-7
29%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
33.4
38.1
9
22%
8
1
1
1
0
2
5
3
1-2
50%
4-15
6-13
27%
48%
0-5
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
22.4
20.4
7
64%
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
2
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.9
18.0
21.2
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
28.0
21.4
16
53%
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
4-5
80%
3-10
3-7
30%
43%
2-3
67%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.4
23.1
12.4
6
75%
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.0
18.9
15.5
0
0%
8
0
2
0
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.4
15.9
28.8
3
21%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.3
3.2
6.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
0.5
4.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.0
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
44.3
34.0
30
59%
6
5
2
1
0
3
0
6
6-6
100%
12-22
5-11
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
36.5
34.7
21
56%
9
2
1
1
0
2
5
4
5-6
83%
8-16
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
36.3
27.6
5
33%
17
3
1
1
4
1
4
13
3-6
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
32.3
36.6
15
54%
8
5
0
1
0
3
2
6
2-2
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
45%
3-4
75%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
28.3
26.1
12
55%
9
2
0
1
0
1
6
3
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.2
13.9
26.7
3
30%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
13.8
13.4
3
40%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
12.4
8.4
5
83%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
11.7
7.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
10.4
19.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.6
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.