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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies28%96132
6Jazz72%104130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
46.8
37.5
17
41%
13
12
1
1
2
2
2
11
7-11
64%
5-16
7-14
31%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
45.8
35.8
21
62%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
51%
5-8
63%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
32.4
13.6
19
80%
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
44%
3-6
50%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
6.5
19.2
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
2.0
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
46.5
25.9
29
74%
4
15
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
6-10
60%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
23.4
14.7
12
69%
2
0
3
0
3
2
0
2
4-6
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
20.8
19.0
9
113%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
19.6
16.7
14
72%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
6-8
3-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
13.9
13.6
6
52%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
7.5
25.3
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
6.3
0
1-2
44%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
41.6
36.4
7
25%
5
21
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-10
5-11
30%
50%
0-3
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
38.5
33.8
27
68%
11
3
1
1
2
0
3
8
0-2
0%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
5-7
71%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
37.3
30.4
18
75%
12
4
0
1
3
5
5
7
6-9
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.2
36.2
34.2
39
74%
15
1
0
1
0
3
2
13
3-5
60%
18-24
8-15
75%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.5
31.9
32.9
11
49%
2
6
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-5
60%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.7
26.2
23.1
12
62%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.0
19.0
13.6
6
43%
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
18.8
15.1
10
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
11.9
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
3.6
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
4.1
0
1-1
53%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
2.5
0
0-1
43%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.