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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Hornets23%8988
15Raptors77%9890
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
36.4
35.1
19
53%
4
1
0
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
43%
3-8
38%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
35.8
33.6
9
38%
11
3
1
1
2
1
3
8
1-2
50%
4-11
7-15
36%
49%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.3
35.7
34.1
8
75%
5
3
0
1
1
5
1
4
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.3
35.1
31.9
11
35%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
4-14
5-11
29%
43%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
32.9
29.9
15
46%
7
1
1
1
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
42%
2-6
33%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.9
29.1
20.5
17
62%
6
6
0
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
13.2
24.6
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.6
12.0
15.8
7
88%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
5.3
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.0
4.7
9.1
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
2.1
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
46.3
31.2
35
65%
7
4
0
1
2
1
1
6
12-18
67%
10-18
6-13
56%
51%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
42.3
29.2
14
53%
2
8
0
1
1
0
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.6
39.0
31.6
12
40%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-5
20%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
29.6
25.5
8
40%
1
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
2-5
40%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
21.6
23.1
2
20%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
22.3
21.5
7
44%
8
1
1
1
0
1
0
8
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
2-5
40%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
14.7
19.3
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
14.1
4.0
6
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.9
5.8
4.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.9
4.4
5.5
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.2
7.2
0
1-2
46%
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.7
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.